B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$505.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ISRG
Intuitive SurgicalDNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The primary Q2 release showed strong revenue, earnings, procedure, placement, and installed-base growth, with recurring revenue supported by a growing global system footprint [#SEC-8K-2026-07-16]. This supports a durable long-term robotics adoption thesis.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Competition, remanufactured instruments, international execution, and valuation concerns remain cited external risks.
Momentum
76
Value
52
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $400.00 · Bull $505.00 · Bear $315.00Analysis 2026-07-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $489.57
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d -9.3
Value52 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment43 · Δ7d -5.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Competition, remanufactured instruments, international execution, and valuation concerns remain cited external risks.
- • Deferred U.S. elective procedures and coverage or premium changes could pressure procedure growth.
- • The market prioritized slowing U.S.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Q2 earnings beat, but near-term reaction remains mixed
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
76
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.3
Δ21d
+1.3
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
43
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.3
Δ21d
-19.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 76.1 / Value 51.5 / Sentiment 43.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-21. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$400.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$156.55B
Beta
1.66
Shares Out
346.64M
P/E (TTM)
75.0
P/S (TTM)
20.89
P/FCF (TTM)
88.40
Rev YoY
+18.5%
EPS YoY
+26.6%
Gross Margin
+66.7%
Op Margin
+31.3%
Net Debt
-$5.76B
Current Ratio
4.96
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data