IDR

Idaho Strategic ResourcesC

NYSE American / Materials

At close

2026-06-02

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$57.00

+48.0% vs current

Most likely

Base case

50%

Probability

Target price

$45.00

+16.8% vs current

B-

Bear case

25%

Probability

Target price

$30.00

-22.1% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-05-19

AI commentary

T3 follow-up is cautiously constructive. Primary filings confirm record Q1 results, higher production, and new exploration/mill initiatives, while trusted market coverage indicates a mixed earnings surprise with revenue beating estimates modestly and EPS missing. However, analyst target revisions and a durable post-print price reaction were not captured, so this remains a monitoring view rather than a high-conviction rerating call.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-19

Open post-earnings memo

Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-05-14eventRecord Q1 2026 earnings print showed strong operating leverageMedium impact

SEC filing and press release show Q1 revenue of $14,482,286 (+98.97% YoY), net income attributable to IDR of $6,387,992 (+297.02%), EPS of $0.40, 3,234 ounces produced (+11.52%), and average realized gold price of $4,702.04/oz (+65.06%). Management said the company maintained profitability while increasing production and reinvesting in near-mine exploration and capital projects. [#8-K-2026-05-14] [#10-Q-2026-05-14]

2026-12-31catalystMurray Mill buildout and 2026 drilling program create mid-term operating leverageMedium impact

The company said work continued on the Murray Mill, including completion of the paste backfill circuit and foundation work for the new ball mill, while geology finalized broader 2026 field-season plans in the Murray Gold Belt and REE belt. This is a genuine operating expansion lever, but the payoff depends on execution, permitting, and capex discipline. [#8-K-2026-05-14]

2026-12-31catalystNiagara lease adds copper-silver optionality and district consolidationMedium impact

Idaho Strategic said it executed a long-term lease on the Niagara copper-silver project and planned 2026 drilling to upgrade confidence and test continuity in a historic inferred resource estimated at roughly 150 million pounds of copper and 8.8 million ounces of silver. This is a longer-dated rerating catalyst rather than an immediate earnings driver. [#IR-2026-03-12]

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-05-19 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology