B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IDR
Idaho Strategic ResourcesCNYSE American / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-20
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.3
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.3
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-24.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+64.2
Score
AI commentary
News tone is mixed: company reporting emphasizes year-over-year growth and development progress, while earnings-surprise coverage was negative. A secondary earnings calendar reported an approximately 8.9% next-day decline; the RankAlpha anchor was $32.85 on August 19. Social coverage and robust analyst-revision data are unavailable, so this remains a low-coverage monitoring view.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-20
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-13eventQ2 2026 earnings follow-up is mixed-to-negativeHigh impact
The company’s Q2 release, furnished with its 8-K, reported revenue of $10.73 million, up 13.25% year over year, and EPS of $0.23. Operating progress was offset by consensus misses reported by Zacks, including a 4.17% adjusted EPS miss and a 14.14% revenue miss. [#8-K-2026-08-14] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
2026-08-31catalystGrade, cost and execution pressureHigh impact
Q2 feed grade declined 20.86% year over year and all-in sustaining cost rose 16.08%. The company also faced a wildfire-related mill shutdown and mining-method changes in the lower H-vein, leaving near-term execution risk elevated. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
2026-09-30catalystJumbo vein production and Paymaster developmentHigh impact
Management said development of the high-grade Jumbo vein advanced, with production expected to begin in Q3 2026, while Paymaster development was modestly ahead of schedule. Execution could support a recovery if production and grades improve. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology