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IBKR

Interactive Brokers GroupB
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3
B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-07-24
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+27.1
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+27.1
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+70.4
Score

AI commentary

Post-earnings news tone is positive because of the broad Q2 beat and BMO target increase, but market reaction is mixed: coverage reported a 2.98% regular-session gain followed by a 0.41% after-hours decline [Investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-interactive-brokers-tops-q2-2026-forecasts-as-trading-stays-strong-93CH-4804334), and the July 23 close was lower than the July 21 close. The T+3 follow-up therefore has concrete company-source and market-reaction evidence, but no formal forward guidance or complete analyst-revision set is available. Social, options, short-interest and employee-sentiment fields are not covered by the packet, so this remains a neutral monitoring setup rather than a high-conviction bullish call.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-24
Open post-earnings memo

Evidence flagged

peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators

Impact
tentative
Confidence
-

AI events

2026-07-21eventQ2 2026 earnings beat with record operating metricsMedium impact

The company’s [SEC 8-K exhibit](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1381197/000138119726000118/ibkr-ex99_1.htm) reported GAAP diluted EPS of $0.69 and reported net revenue of $1.90 billion, with commission revenue up 30%, net interest income up 23%, customer accounts up 34%, customer equity up 40%, DARTs up 36%, and margin loans up 67% year over year [#SEC-8K-2026-07-21] [#8-K-2026-07-21]. Market coverage cited consensus EPS near $0.64 and revenue near $1.76 billion. The initial reaction was positive, but subsequent price action has not fully held.

2026-07-24catalystPost-earnings analyst target revisionsMedium impact

BMO raised its IBKR target to $110 from $105 while maintaining Outperform after the Q2 beat, according to [Investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/bmo-raises-interactive-brokers-stock-price-target-on-growth-outlook-93CH-4806408). Further revisions could support a modest rerating, but the available analyst-count data are incomplete.

2026-09-14eventQuarterly dividend paymentMedium impact

The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0875 per share payable September 14, 2026 to shareholders of record September 1, 2026 [#SEC-8K-2026-07-21]. This is supportive for capital-return visibility but is unlikely to be a major standalone share-price driver.

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo
As of 2026-07-24 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology