B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HWKN
HawkinsBNasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-01
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+20.1
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+20.1
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+26.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+60.7
Score
AI commentary
The available earnings coverage frames fiscal Q1 as a revenue beat but EPS miss; the packet does not establish a post-release share-price reaction or post-print analyst revisions. Two August Form 4 filings record open-market officer purchases, but they do not establish operating performance. The zero-valued sentiment fields are unavailable measurements, not neutral readings. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-29] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-27] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-31]
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-01
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-31eventNext reported quarter tests organic growthHigh impact
Management reported approximately 5% organic revenue growth in fiscal Q1 and expects a return to historical organic growth rates in fiscal 2027. The next results are a test of that expectation and of margin performance, not a confirmed improvement. Date is an analytical monitoring horizon, not an announced earnings date. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
2026-12-31catalystRecovery from first-quarter cost pressureMedium impact
Fiscal 2027 Q1 revenue rose 8%, but EPS fell 4% as raw-material and freight costs pressured margins. Management said raw-material costs had largely stabilized by quarter-end; whether that translates into margin recovery remains unproven. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
2027-06-30catalystWater Treatment expansion and cash deploymentHigh impact
Water Treatment sales rose 6% in fiscal Q1, including $6.9 million from acquired businesses; Hawkins also acquired Aqua-Chem and used free cash flow for repurchases and dividends. Sustained organic growth, acquisition integration and debt reduction could support the thesis, but returns are not yet demonstrated. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-01 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology