B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HRB
H&R BlockCNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$39.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-06-26
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.2
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+43.4
Score
AI commentary
Verified primary-source tone is mildly positive because the most important recent update is still the May 6, 2026 SEC-filed beat-and-raise. Secondary follow-up coverage a month later framed the stock as up about 3.3% since earnings but also flagged downward estimate revisions, and there is no strong social or broad analyst-revision packet here to upgrade the thesis beyond cautious monitoring.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-06-26
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-06eventQ3 beat-and-raise reset the near-term narrativeMedium impact
The SEC-filed May 6, 2026 earnings release showed fiscal Q3 revenue up 5.3% to $2.4 billion, adjusted EPS up 11.9% to $6.02, and management raising full-year fiscal 2026 outlook while citing higher net average charge, assisted volume, international revenue, and Refund Transfer volume. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-06]
2026-06-30catalystAuthorized Q4 repurchases and capital returns can support per-share opticsMedium impact
The same SEC-filed release said the board authorized an incremental $100 million of common-stock repurchases in fiscal Q4 2026, alongside an existing program with about $700 million remaining, which can support EPS and near-term downside absorption. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-06]
2027-04-15catalystNext tax season must prove assisted-share gains and higher-complexity mix are durableMedium impact
Management called the latest season an inflection point and highlighted improved assisted market share for a third consecutive year, but the longer thesis still depends on whether pricing, mix, and assisted-share gains persist into the next filing season rather than reflecting a single strong season. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-06]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-06-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology