RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

HL

Hecla MiningC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Second-quarter continuing-operations free cash flow reached $136 million, and management attributed softer sales partly to shipment timing rather than lower production. Conversion of that inventory into third-quarter sales, alongside Lucky Friday strength, could support a better operating view.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.
What can break
Keno Hill underperformance could offset improvement at Greens Creek and Lucky Friday and pressure the revised 2026 production range. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
17
Value
60
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.00 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-10-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $21.78
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -11.0
Value60 · Δ7d +2.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +10.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Keno Hill underperformance could offset improvement at Greens Creek and Lucky Friday and pressure the revised 2026 production range. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Silver and gold price changes can materially affect realized revenue and cash generation; lower realized prices contributed to the second-quarter sequential revenue decline. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Revenue fell to $334 million from $411 million in the prior quarter as realized metal prices and shipment timing weighed on sales.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

Third-quarter concentrate sales test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
17
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.0
Δ21d
-44.4
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+4.0
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.9
Δ21d
-27.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 17.4 / Value 60.0 / Sentiment 57.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$9.3B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
671.77M
P/E (TTM)
65.0
P/S (TTM)
10.80
P/FCF (TTM)
79.69
Rev YoY
+49.3%
EPS YoY
+93.6%
Gross Margin
+51.1%
Op Margin
+47.2%
Net Debt
-$13.25M
Current Ratio
5.20
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data