B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
+30.9% vs current
HELE
Helen of TroyANasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
+4.8% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
-25.2% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.2
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+55.5
Score
AI commentary
Tone is cautiously constructive after the April 23 print: FY26 closed with net sales, adjusted EPS and cash flow at the better end of expectations, and FY27 guidance gives a visible repair path if brand momentum stabilizes [#8-K-2026-04-23]. The offset is that Q4 sales still fell, gross margin compressed on tariffs and promotions, and the 10-K keeps tariff and sourcing risk front and center [#10-K-2026-04-23]. Coverage remains thin, analyst revision depth is unavailable, and social context is absent, so this is a monitored rerate rather than a high-conviction momentum setup.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-29
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-14eventSouthaven sale improves liquidity and de-levering runwayMedium impact
The 10-K notes the Southaven distribution facility sold for $82.0M gross, less $3.8M of costs to sell, which supports balance-sheet flexibility if free cash flow holds up [#10-K-2026-04-23].
2026-04-23eventFY27 guide reset gives the post-print rerate a live roadmapHigh impact
The April 23 release closed FY26 with net sales, adjusted EPS and cash flow at the better end of expectations and set FY27 sales of $1.751B-$1.822B, adjusted EPS of $3.25-$3.75 and FCF of $85M-$100M, giving the rerate a concrete execution path [#8-K-2026-04-23].
2027-02-28catalystTariff and mix pressure remain the key FY27 margin bridgeHigh impact
The 10-K says most products are sourced from unaffiliated manufacturers in China, Vietnam, Mexico and the U.S., and it flags significant tariff risk; pricing/mix execution and supplier diversification remain the main margin lever through FY27 [#10-K-2026-04-23].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology