B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HE
Hawaiian Electric IndustriesCNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-24
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+3.3
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+3.3
Mixed
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-45.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+50.6
Score
AI commentary
Primary filings support a mixed, monitoring-oriented view: ASB proceeds modestly improve funding flexibility, but Q2 core earnings weakened despite a large GAAP gain. The packet does not establish a post-release price reaction, analyst target revisions, or reliable current social, options, short-interest or employee measures; zero sentiment fields denote unavailable data, not neutral readings.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-24
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-18eventRegulatory decision on the proposed rate rebasingHigh impact
Hawaiian Electric seeks approximately $170 million in annual revenue increases phased across 2027–28. Approval and timing matter because management expects 2026 operating costs to significantly outpace inflation. December 18 is the company's requested interim-decision date, not a guaranteed PUC deadline. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
2026-12-31catalystCore earnings remain pressured before new ratesMedium impact
Second-quarter GAAP EPS of $0.71 included a non-cash wildfire-settlement remeasurement; core EPS fell to $0.13 from $0.20 a year earlier. Higher interest and operating costs could continue to weigh on the stock until rate recovery improves. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
2027-03-31catalystRemaining settlement financing and ASB stake monetizationMedium impact
HEI received $29.5 million from selling ASB shares in September and disclosed another $4.4 million after the underwriters exercised their option. Its remaining ASB stake offers a potential funding source after the lockup, but proceeds and timing are uncertain and further capital raising may still be needed for wildfire-settlement payments. [#8-K-2026-09-21]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-24 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology