B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HE
Hawaiian Electric IndustriesCNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+1Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-08
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-31.7
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-31.7
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-45.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+82.2
Score
AI commentary
News flow is elevated around the Q2 release but fundamentally mixed: the headline GAAP improvement was largely non-cash, while core earnings weakened. Social, options, short-interest, employee-review, analyst-revision, and post-print price-reaction data are unavailable or insufficient, so the thesis remains monitoring-oriented.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-08
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-07eventQ2 results were mixed, with headline earnings boosted by a non-cash settlement gainMedium impact
Q2 GAAP net income was $123 million, including a $101 million after-tax non-cash gain from remeasuring the remaining wildfire settlement liability. Core net income fell to $22 million from $35 million, while Hawaiian Electric core net income declined to $33 million from $42 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
2026-11-06catalyst2026 operating-cost pressure remains a near-term overhangMedium impact
Management continues to expect adjusted O&M excluding pension to significantly outpace inflation in 2026, citing insurance, storm response, vegetation management, maintenance, cyber-defense, labor, and benefits costs. Higher interest expense and O&M already pressured Q2 core earnings. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
2027-08-08catalystWildfire mitigation recovery and securitization could reduce financing pressureHigh impact
The Wildfire Mitigation Plan recovery was approved, and HEI plans to securitize eligible costs while emphasizing customer affordability. The remaining settlement liability was reduced from $1.44 billion to $1.30 billion, but future accretion and financing needs remain material. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology