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HAYW

HaywardC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 North American sales rose 9%, and reaffirmed 2026 guidance supports a constructive case if pricing continues to offset costs and SmartPad adoption broadens. SEC-filed Q2 release
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
Europe and Rest of World Q2 sales fell 8%, primarily on lower volume; regional weakness could persist. SEC-filed Q2 release
Momentum
26
Value
66
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.00 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $9.00Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.18
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d +8.0
Value66 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -9.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Europe and Rest of World Q2 sales fell 8%, primarily on lower volume; regional weakness could persist. SEC-filed Q2 release
  • • Tariffs and inflation contributed to Q2 gross-margin compression despite positive pricing. SEC-filed Q2 release
  • • Q2 gross-margin compression and an 8% sales decline in Europe and Rest of World show that growth is uneven.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · BMO

October 28 results test reaffirmed 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
+5.0
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.6
Δ21d
-28.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 25.8 / Value 66.4 / Sentiment 49.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.69B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
212.12M
P/E (TTM)
25.5
P/S (TTM)
3.13
P/FCF (TTM)
17.99
Rev YoY
+6.3%
EPS YoY
+2.3%
Gross Margin
+44.1%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
$619.1M
Current Ratio
3.33
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data