B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
+41.4% vs current
HAYW
HaywardANYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$17.25
+22.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
-18.7% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-16
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.3
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+63.8
Score
AI commentary
Recent headlines are constructive because they include raised guidance and a Q2 earnings-date announcement. No verified post-print price reaction, analyst revisions, options data, short-interest data, employee score, or usable social coverage was provided; missing reaction data is not treated as positive evidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-16
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-29eventQ1 FY2026 results and raised guidanceHigh impact
Q1 sales rose 12%, net income 63%, adjusted EBITDA 15%, and adjusted diluted EPS 30% year over year. Management raised FY2026 sales-growth guidance to approximately 5% from 4% and adjusted EPS guidance to $0.84-$0.87 from $0.82-$0.86 [#SEC-8K-2026-04-29].
2026-10-14catalystPrice realization and margin executionMedium impact
Positive pricing and volume supported Q1 growth, while gross margin expanded 50 basis points and adjusted EBITDA margin reached 22.1%. Tariffs and inflation remain offsets [#SEC-8K-2026-04-29].
2027-07-16catalystAftermarket installed base and SmartPad adoptionHigh impact
The company identifies its installed-base aftermarket model, approximately 85% aftermarket sales, and continued SmartPad technology adoption as long-term growth drivers [#SEC-8K-2026-04-29].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-16 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology