B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$9.80
+66.1% vs current
GT
Goodyear Tire RubberDNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.80
+32.2% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
-6.8% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-09
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.2
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+82.0
Score
AI commentary
Tone is mixed but cautious. Primary company materials emphasized EMEA/APAC improvement and $107M of Goodyear Forward benefits, while trusted coverage focused on the swing to a net loss and weak demand. Secondary coverage also indicated a negative immediate stock reaction after the print, and the May 7, 2026 anchor close of $6.86 shows the market did not reward the modest headline beat. Delayed analyst revision evidence was limited in checked sources, so this remains more of a monitoring setup than a strong re-rating call.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-09
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-07eventPost-earnings reset keeps focus on whether self-help can outrun volume pressure [#8-K-2026-05-06]Medium impact
Q1 2026 results showed net sales of $3.9B, adjusted EPS of -$0.39, and segment operating income of $95M. Goodyear Forward delivered $107M of benefits, but lower volume and higher inflation/other costs still drove a sharp year-over-year earnings step-down.
2026-06-30catalystLiquidity and working-capital normalization need confirmation [#10-Q-2026-05-07]High impact
Q1 operating cash outflow was $718M, including $650M of working-capital use and $83M of rationalization payments. Quarter-end cash was $723M, unused availability was $2.975B, and Goodyear had $530M drawn on its U.S. revolver, so the next balance-sheet update matters for confidence.
2026-12-31catalystGoodyear Forward plus price/mix remain the core long-duration repair story [#8-K-2026-05-06][#10-Q-2026-05-07]High impact
Management is still leaning on cost transformation and price/mix to offset macro weakness. EMEA and Asia Pacific improved year over year, and the company said further savings actions are needed as demand and raw-material pressure persist.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology