B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1,250.00
+17.3% vs current
GS
Goldman Sachs GroupBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1,142.24
+7.2% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$950.00
-10.8% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-17
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+23.4
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.7
Positive
Pulse
-30.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+52.5
Score
AI commentary
Reuters coverage reported an immediate post-print GS share increase of about 7.2% after the earnings release, while the packet records a July 16 headline about GS losses, indicating subsequent digestion. Post-print analyst reaction is constructive but mixed, with target increases alongside a Market Perform stance. Social coverage remains unavailable. Sources: https://www.reuters.com/legal/transactional/goldmans-profit-jumps-trading-surge-corporate-deal-spree-2026-07-14/ and https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/dow-down-nearly-275-points-on-losses-for-goldman-sachs-alphabet-inc-cl-a-stocks-1d2c20b6-9f7fb59b10bc?mod=mw_FV
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-17
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
Forward visibility is limited, so this memo should be read as a lower-conviction monitoring view rather than a catalyst-driven call.; no forward-looking company-specific catalyst is supported by primary-source evidence; high-coverage catalyst set is still too generic or cadence-driven; high-coverage report lacks a dated company-specific catalyst beyond generic cadence; peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-14eventQ2 2026 earnings materially exceeded the pre-print setupMedium impact
Goldman reported EPS of $20.98, net revenue of $20.34 billion, and annualized ROE of 23.5%. Revenue rose 39% year over year, led by Global Banking & Markets. Stored Zacks context indicated $14.47 EPS and $16.49 billion revenue expectations. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-14] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-10]
2026-07-14catalystCapital-markets momentum and backlog support forward earningsHigh impact
Global Banking & Markets revenue increased 53% year over year to $15.52 billion; investment-banking fees rose 55% to $3.40 billion, and the investment-banking backlog increased sequentially and versus year-end. Sustainability depends on continued deal and trading activity. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-14]
2026-07-14catalystDividend increase and book-value growth reinforce capital-return supportMedium impact
Goldman increased its quarterly dividend to $5.00 per common share for the third quarter, while book value per share rose 2.8% year to date to $367.67. This supports long-term shareholder returns but is unlikely to drive a major near-term re-rating. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-14]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology