B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
+18.8% vs current
GNW
Genworth FinancialCNYSE / Insurance
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
-1.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
-30.7% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-24
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.4
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+25.7
Positive
Pulse
-30.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+41.8
Score
AI commentary
Market snippets show clustered analyst targets around $10.00, implying cautious optimism among coverage [#SERP-4] while realtime quote/summary pages list hold-oriented views [#SERP-2]. Retail-data aggregators show mixed/neutral insider signals and modest upside in consensus snapshots [#SERP-7].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-24
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-25catalystQuarterly results / capital updateHigh impact
Next quarterly earnings and capital adequacy update could re-rate shares if results or reserve actions surprise; analyst snippets show modest upside expectations [#SERP-2].
2026-06-30eventReinsurance / reserve program announcement window (assumed)High impact
Potential reinsurance or reserve-management announcements could materially alter solvency outlook; analyst consensus targets cluster near $10 indicating attention on capital moves [#SERP-4]. Assumed window end used for scheduling.
2027-02-24catalystPortfolio remediation / strategic repositioningHigh impact
Multi-quarter execution on portfolio exits, long-term care reserves, or capital returns could drive multi-year re-rating; market summaries show analysts clustering targets above current levels [#SERP-6].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-24 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology