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GNW

Genworth FinancialC
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Execution on reinsurance and capital initiatives materially reduces reserve uncertainty and frees capital for buybacks/dividends, allowing multiple expansion toward the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
What can break
Failure to execute reinsurance/capital plans
Momentum
23
Value
52
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.00 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $7.00Analysis 2026-02-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.50
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -2.1
Value52 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +2.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to execute reinsurance/capital plans
  • • Regulatory or rating-agency actions
  • • Reserve deterioration, slower-than-expected reinsurance or failed capital actions lead to continued discounting and pressure toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-25

Quarterly results / capital update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-2.1
Δ21d
-32.1
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+2.4
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
+0.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 23.3 / Value 52.5 / Sentiment 61.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.37B
Beta
1.02
Shares Out
377.85M
P/E (TTM)
15.4
P/S (TTM)
0.51
P/FCF (TTM)
23.47
Rev YoY
+2.3%
EPS YoY
-0.4%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+7.2%
Net Debt
-$478M
Current Ratio
3.31
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data