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Earnings documents stored for GIS.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-14Where Analysts Pushed Back On PEP Stock's Latest Earnings Call
Trefis
Where Analysts Pushed Back On PEP Stock's Latest Earnings Call
PepsiCo management spent its latest earnings call defending its big bet on North American growth, and the answers revealed exactly where the strategy is under pressure. After significantly underperforming the market over the last year, PepsiCo (PEP) stock is facing a critical test. The company has spent heavily on an “affordability” strategy to reignite volume growth in its core North American market, but the latest results were softer than hoped. On its latest call, analysts repeatedly circled one central question: is the expensive playbook failing, and is a painful “earnings reset” required to fix it? The most pointed challenge was the simplest: if the affordability push is working, why was volume in the key North America Foods (PFNA) division flat this quarter? This gets to the heart of the investment case, questioning the return on a very deliberate strategic shift. Management’s response was to immediately zoom out from North America to the global picture. The CEO highlighted that global volumes grew 3% in foods and 2% in beverages, calling it the “fastest growth in volume since 2022.” In the U.S., the defense was that the strategy successfully got the entire salty snacks category back to volume growth, and that PepsiCo is now gaining volume share. That is a meaningful achievement, but it reframes the goal. The answer was less specific on why PepsiCo’s own volumes didn’t pop, attributing the softness to an American consumer who is in worse shape “than what we had anticipated,” largely due to high gas prices. With the payback on spending looking weak, the next logical fear is that the company might need to spend even more, forcing an “earnings reset.” One analyst put that question to management directly, voicing the market’s biggest concern. A reset would imply the current plan is not only underperforming but is also underfunded, threatening future profits. The CEO’s answer was an unambiguous rejection of the idea. “We don't think we need any sort of reset,” he stated, anchoring the denial in a single claim: “record productivity in the first half of the year.” The company believes it can fund its growth initiatives by taking costs out of the business, not by lowering its earnings guidance. Management reaffirmed its full-year guidance, signaling confidence that it can navigate the consumer weakness without sacrificing the bottom line. Management’s story is...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-10Is GIS Stock a Value Trap or Opportunity at 11x Forward Earnings Now
Zacks
Is GIS Stock a Value Trap or Opportunity at 11x Forward Earnings Now
General Mills, Inc. GIS screens cheaply, but the valuation debate is not simple. The stock’s low multiple reflects a company still working through weak category demand, cautious consumers and pressured margins.The question is whether cash generation and cost savings can carry the stock until sales improve. For now, the answer depends on how quickly topline stabilization becomes visible. GIS trades at roughly 11.5X forward 12-month earnings. That is below the Zacks sub-industry at about 14.5X, the broader sector near 17.1X and the S&P 500 at about 21.2X.The discount also shows up against General Mills’ own history. Its forward price-to-earnings multiple is below a five-year median near 15.0X, while its trailing enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 9.6X sits under a five-year median of 12.1X.That makes GIS cheaper than many consumer staples alternatives on earnings. Conagra Brands, Inc. CAG is a relevant packaged food peer for investors weighing demand softness and promotional intensity across center-store categories. General Mills, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | General Mills, Inc. Quote The discount exists for clear reasons. Fiscal 2026 organic net sales fell 2%, while total net sales declined 5% to $18.4 billion, partly reflecting divestitures and acquisitions.North America Retail remains a key pressure point. The segment’s full-year net sales fell 11% to $10.6 billion and organic net sales declined 3%, even though the company held or gained pound share in 65% of its top 10 U.S. categories.Promotional activity is another drag. Consumers bought more on promotion and less at everyday prices, limiting the benefit of volume recovery. The Kraft Heinz Company KHC, a global food and beverage company with many mature brands, offers another comparison point for investors evaluating how large food companies manage value, pricing and brand support. General Mills expects free cash flow conversion of approximately 95% of adjusted after-tax earnings in fiscal 2027. That target matters because cash flow gives management room to fund dividends, repurchases and reinvestment without relying only on near-term profit growth.The company returned $1.3 billion through dividends and $500 million through net share repurchases in fiscal 2026. That record of cash return helps separate GIS from a weaker value-trap profile.Cash flow also supports brand spending. General Mi...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-10What Analysts Really Pressed GIS On This Quarter
Trefis
What Analysts Really Pressed GIS On This Quarter
After a year spent cutting prices, General Mills says it's time for an innovation push, but analysts on its latest call pressed on whether a squeezed consumer is ready to follow. With its stock down 29% in the past year, General Mills (GIS) has a lot to prove. After spending the past fiscal year cutting prices to stabilize volumes, management is now pivoting to innovation and premiumization to drive growth. The central question hanging over its latest earnings call was whether that pivot can actually work: after teaching shoppers to hunt for value, can the company now convince them to pay up, especially when key brands are still struggling and the consumer remains under pressure? From Price Cuts to a Prayer for Premium? The first challenge put to management was about this strategic shift itself. If last year was all about price investments to fix the fundamentals, what gives them confidence that a pivot to innovation and renovation will deliver results now? The concern is that after a year of deep value messaging, the consumer is now trained to expect it, making a push for higher-priced new products a tough sell. Management’s answer framed this as a deliberate “2-step process.” The first step, they argued, is complete and successful. A year ago, the company’s most profitable base volume was down about 10%; today, in the areas where it invested in price, that same volume is up about 1%. With that foundation secured and household penetration growing, they believe the conditions are now right for the second step: letting innovation, new packaging, and brand messaging drive growth. The response was strategically sound, but it rests entirely on the idea that step one truly bought them the permission to execute step two. Who Is Paying For This Growth? If the strategy is a pivot to innovation, the next question is where the growth will come from in a tough environment. Analysts pointed to a consumer who is still “pressured,” ongoing pressures in brands like Totino's and Wilderness, and a persistent inventory drag in the pet segment. Given that backdrop, is the company’s growth plan dependent on its own execution, or is it hoping for a better economy? The answer here was direct: the plan does not assume a better macro environment. Management stated they are “not anticipating an improved consumer environment or improved category environment.” When asked whether hitti...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-04Jim Cramer Highlights General Mills’ “Blowout Quarter”
Insider Monkey
Jim Cramer Highlights General Mills’ “Blowout Quarter”
General Mills, Inc. (NYSE:GIS) was among the stocks Jim Cramer commented on as he advised investors on how to take advantage of Wednesday’s market rotation. Cramer highlighted the stock’s rally during the episode, as he said: A stock market data. Photo by AlphaTradeZone on Pexels General Mills, Inc. (NYSE:GIS) provides branded foods, including cereals, snacks, meals, baking products, frozen items, ice cream, and pet food. Cramer called it one of the most “reliable stocks” during the May 11 episode, as he remarked: While we acknowledge the potential of GIS as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 33 Stocks That Should Double in 3 Years and 15 Stocks That Will Make You Rich in 10 Years Disclosure: None. Follow Insider Monkey on Google News.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-02General Mills (GIS) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Motley Fool
General Mills (GIS) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Image source: The Motley Fool. Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. ET Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Finance - Jeff Siemon Chairman and Chief Executive Officer - Jeffrey L. Harmening Chief Operating Officer - Dana McNabb Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer - Kofi A. Bruce Operator: Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, welcome to General Mills fiscal 26 Q4 earnings call. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star, 1. To raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. I will now hand the conference over to Jeff Siemon vice president, investor relations and corporate finance. Jeffrey, please go ahead. Jeff Siemon: Thank you, Samantha, and good morning to everyone. For joining us today for our live Q&A session on our Q4 and full year fiscal 2026 results. I hope you all had time to review our press release, listen to the prepared remarks, and view our presentation materials, which we made available this morning on our Investor Relations website. it is important to note that in our Q&A session, we may make forward looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions. So please refer to this morning's press release for factors that could impact forward looking statements. And for reconciliations of non GAAP information may be discussed on today's call. I am here with Jeffrey L. Harmening, our chairman and CEO, Dana McNabb, our COO, Kofi A. Bruce, our CFO. Now, let me turn it over to Jeffrey for some opening remarks. Jeffrey L. Harmening: Thanks, Jeffrey, and good morning, everybody. Before we get going today, I thought I would provide a brief summary of some of the main messages for today. Really how we finish fiscal 2026, and then where General Mills is headed in fiscal 2027. And so recall, as we entered fiscal 26, we made a bold decision to reinvest in Remarkability. And most importantly, I think, was in adjusting our base prices across a meaningful part of our portfolio to strengthen the fundamentals of our business. And we certainly encountered some challenges this past fiscal year, including a more difficult consumer backdrop that impacted the pace and the cost of the volume improvement, as well as some specific headwinds on a couple of key business namely Totino's and Wilderness, I can con...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-02General Mills Jumps 9.9% After Earnings Beat, Sees Up to $3 Billion Savings
GuruFocus.com
General Mills Jumps 9.9% After Earnings Beat, Sees Up to $3 Billion Savings
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. General Mills (NYSE:GIS) shares rose sharply after the packaged-food company reported quarterly adjusted earnings and revenue that came in above Bloomberg-compiled analyst estimates. The stock jumped as much as 9.9% in New York trading, marking its biggest intraday gain since 2020, while helping reduce a year-to-date decline that had reached 25% through Tuesday's close. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 7 Warning Sign with GIS. Is GIS fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Management said consumers remain under pressure from rising prices and could keep leaning toward discounts, promotions, and more careful shopping habits. Chief Operating Officer Dana McNabb said shoppers are likely to be more deliberate about where and how they spend, while Chief Executive Officer Jeff Harmening said General Mills is done cutting prices but may try to win consumers through product innovation, packaging changes, marketing, and trends tied to higher protein and fiber intake, including premium Cheerios with added protein. General Mills said earlier price reductions helped support sales volume after losing share to private-label and smaller competitors. Organic sales in its North American retail business were flat for the quarter, which was better than expected, while the company guided for fiscal-year organic sales to range from up 0.5% to down 1.5%. RBC Capital Markets' Nik Modi said the company's guidance looks prudent and achievable, as General Mills also targets $3 billion in cost savings by fiscal 2030.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-02General Mills (GIS) Stock Looks Below Fair Value While Earnings Stay Weak
Simply Wall St.
General Mills (GIS) Stock Looks Below Fair Value While Earnings Stay Weak
Find your next quality investment with Simply Wall St's easy and powerful screener, trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide. General Mills stock has fallen about 44.5% over the past three years, yet on current checks the valuation still screens as cheap, which puts recent share price weakness against a more supportive read from the numbers. Over three years, General Mills has delivered a share price decline of roughly 44.5%, which means long term holders are sitting on sizeable losses even after the recent bounce. Large non cash impairments in the pet food business and a cautious outlook for profit may weigh on sentiment, while planned cost savings and a focus on brand strength can help support future earnings power. On Simply Wall St's broader valuation checks, General Mills looks inexpensive in 5 of 6 areas, indicating the stock leans cheap rather than fully priced based on its value score. The issue now is whether General Mills' current share price already reflects these business challenges or if the stock still offers a margin of safety for investors focused on valuation. Find out why General Mills' -25.9% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. The P/E ratio fits General Mills well because earnings are a key driver for how investors usually look at large, established consumer brands. The stock trades on a P/E of about 9.1x, which is well below the Food industry average of 16.0x and also under the broader peer group average of 22.7x. That gap indicates that investors are currently paying less for each dollar of General Mills earnings than for many comparable companies. On Simply Wall St’s fair P/E estimate of 17.5x, which blends in factors such as the company’s margin profile, size and risk, General Mills screens as undervalued on this metric. The recent impairments and cautious profit guidance have weighed on sentiment, yet even after those updates the current multiple is still far below the model’s fair level. For investors who focus on earnings-based pricing, the stock appears discounted against both its industry and this more tailored benchmark. On the P/E multiple, General Mills stock currently appears undervalued relative to both peers and its own fair ratio. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. For General Mills, Simply Wall St Narratives pick up where the P/E puzzle leave...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-01General Mills (GIS) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
Zacks
General Mills (GIS) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
General Mills (GIS) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.95 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.82 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.74 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +16.48%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this maker of Cheerios cereal, Yoplait yogurt and other packaged foods would post earnings of $0.74 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.64, delivering a surprise of -13.51%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. General Mills, which belongs to the Zacks Food - Miscellaneous industry, posted revenues of $4.61 billion for the quarter ended May 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.13%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $4.56 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. General Mills shares have lost about 25.2% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 9.6%. While General Mills has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for General Mills was unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You c...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-01General Mills Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Organic Sales Flat Y/Y
Zacks
General Mills Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Organic Sales Flat Y/Y
General Mills, Inc. GIS reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, wherein both top and bottom lines beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate and increased year over year. The company posted adjusted earnings of 95 cents per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 82 cents. The bottom line also increased 27% year over year on a constant-currency (cc) basis, driven by elevated adjusted operating profit, a reduced adjusted effective tax rate and fewer shares outstanding, partially offset by higher net interest expense. General Mills, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | General Mills, Inc. Quote Net sales increased 1% to $4,609.6 million, benefiting from a 7-point contribution from the 53rd week and a 1-point benefit from foreign currency exchange, partially offset by a 7-point headwind from the net impact of divestitures and acquisitions. On an organic basis, sales were broadly unchanged, including a 1-point benefit from favorable trade expense timing. The top line also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4,604 million. The adjusted gross margin increased 150 basis points (bps), reaching 34.2% of net sales, supported by favorable pricing and mix, with higher input costs partially offsetting these gains. Favorable trade expense timing contributed a 60 bps benefit to adjusted gross margin. We expected an adjusted gross margin expansion of 50 bps.General Mills’ adjusted operating profit increased 13% in constant currency to $705 million, driven by elevated adjusted gross profit dollars, including a 7-point benefit from favorable trade expense timing. Adjusted operating margin improved 160 bps to 15.3%. We expected an adjusted operating margin of 14.3% for the quarter. North America Retail: Revenues in the segment were $2,466.6 million, down 4% year over year, including a 10-point headwind from the divestiture and a 7-point benefit from the 53rd week. Organic net sales were essentially unchanged from the prior year, while Nielsen-measured retail sales declined 4%. The difference was primarily cused by a previously anticipated 2-point benefit from trade expense timing and favorable changes in retailer inventory levels.Segment operating profit of $506.4 million increased 7% for both reported and in constant currency. Growth was driven by favorable net price realization and product mix, along with lower selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-01General Mills Inc (GIS) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Innovations Amid Inflation ...
GuruFocus.com
General Mills Inc (GIS) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Innovations Amid Inflation ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Cost Savings Target: $3 billion in cumulative cost savings through fiscal 2030. Fiscal '27 Cost Savings: $750 million expected in fiscal '27. Focus Areas for Fiscal '27: Top line growth, innovation, and brand communication. Inflation Impact: Fiscal '27 will include elevated inflation. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 7 Warning Sign with GIS. Is GIS fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: July 01, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. General Mills Inc (NYSE:GIS) exited fiscal '26 with a stronger foundation, showing improvements in household penetration and base volume. The company plans to deliver $3 billion in cumulative cost savings by fiscal 2030, with $750 million expected in fiscal '27. General Mills Inc (NYSE:GIS) is focusing on innovation and renovation to enhance brand remarkability and meet consumer needs. The company has a clear strategy to drive top-line growth by improving brand communication and packaging. General Mills Inc (NYSE:GIS) has a disciplined approach to capital allocation, focusing on driving cash flow and restoring profitable growth. The company faced challenges in fiscal '26 due to a difficult consumer backdrop and specific headwinds in key businesses like Totino's and Wilderness. General Mills Inc (NYSE:GIS) anticipates continued consumer pressure and changes in buying behavior, such as increased promotion-driven purchases. The company expects elevated inflation and mechanical headwinds to impact fiscal '27. There is a low single-digit headwind expected from retail inventory in FY27 due to customer mix changes. General Mills Inc (NYSE:GIS) acknowledges that the consumer environment will remain stressed, impacting organic sales growth. Q: FY27 represents a pivot from price-based investments to innovation and renovation. Can you discuss the learnings that informed this shift and your confidence in delivering expected results? A: Jeffrey Harmening, CEO: The pivot was anticipated as part of a two-step process. Last year, we focused on adjusting base pricing to improve value. This year, with that foundation, we're enhancing brand communications, packaging, and innovation. Our previous efforts increased household penetration and share, setting a strong base for FY27. Q: Have you seen changes in...
TranscriptFY2026 Q42026-07-01FY2026 Q4 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 90 paragraphs
FY2026 Q4 earnings call transcript
I will now hand the conference over to Jeff Siemon, Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Finance. Jeff, please go ahead.
Thank you, Samantha. Good morning to everyone. Thanks for joining us today for our live Q&A session on our Q4 and full year fiscal 2026 results. I hope you all had time to review our press release, listen to the prepared remarks, and view our presentation materials, which we made available this morning on our investor relations website. It's important to note that in our Q&A session, we may make forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions. Please refer to this morning's press release for factors that could impact forward-looking statements and for reconciliations of non-GAAP information, which may be discussed on today's call. I'm here with Jeff Harmening, our Chairman and CEO, Dana McNabb, our COO, and Kofi Bruce, our CFO. Let me turn it over to Jeff for some opening remarks.
Thanks, Jeff. Good morning, everybody. Before we get going today, I thought I'd provide a brief summary of some of the main messages for today, really how we finished fiscal 2026, then where General Mills is headed in fiscal 2027. Recall, as we entered fiscal 2026, we made a bold decision to reinvest in remarkability. Most importantly, I think, was in adjusting our base prices across a meaningful part of our portfolio to strengthen the fundamentals of our business. We certainly encountered some challenges this past fiscal year, including a more difficult consumer backdrop that impacted the pace and the cost of the volume improvement, as well as some specific headwinds on a couple of key businesses, namely Totino's and Wilderness.
I can confidently say that we exit the year with a stronger foundation, with encouraging improvements in household penetration and base volume and innovation that gives us confidence as we look to the path ahead, specifically to FY 2027. I'm equally confident that fiscal 2027 will be a better year for General Mills, and our priorities for the coming year, I think are quite clear. First, we're focused on improving our top-line growth by driving a step change in the remarkability of our brands. Also importantly, with our base price investments behind us, we're shifting our focus more toward innovation and renovation to packaging and brand communication that deliver the benefits that matter most to today's consumers, supported by stronger price mix, with a heavy emphasis on mix from premium innovation, price pack architecture, to trade efficiency.
Whether it's Cheerios or Blue Buffalo or Häagen-Dazs or Annie's, we have really good plans going into fiscal 2027 to meet consumers where they are on the brands and benefits that deliver to their needs. Second, as we accelerate and expand our enterprise transformation efforts to drive greater speed and efficiency and flexibility across our business, we expect to deliver $3 billion in cumulative cost savings over the four years through fiscal 2030, primarily through our Holistic Margin Management Productivity Program and our Global Transformation Initiative. We're expecting $750 million to be delivered in fiscal 2027. These savings are critical to help offset inflation, to fund our growth investments, and support stronger earnings and cash flow over time. Third, we will stay disciplined on capital allocation.
Our focus is on driving cash flow, working on leverage, and restoring profitable growth over time. While fiscal 2027 will include elevated inflation and some mechanical headwinds, we believe the combination of stronger brand remarkability, sharper execution, and a more aggressive productivity agenda positions us to build momentum and create sustainable shareholder value over the long term. With that, operator, can you go ahead and let's get started on Q&A.
Excellent. Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. A reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand, and to withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Max Gumport with BNP Paribas. Max, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hey, thanks very much for the question. To start off, it seems like FY 2027 represents a big pivot from price-based investments in FY 2026 to innovation and renovation-based investments focusing on offering consumers better for you attributes in FY 2027. Can you talk about some of the learnings that informed this shift and your level of confidence that it will deliver the results you're expecting? Thank you very much.
Yeah, Max. This is Jeff Harmening. Let me take that one. I would say we always felt like we would be pivoting based on where we started last year. Recall last year, I talked about it kind of being a two-step process. The first thing we had to do was to get our base pricing back in line. Not necessarily equal competition or anything like that, but really making sure we were under key price cliffs and price thresholds. The job to do last year when we talked about remarkability was really about value. We have effectively done that. That's kind of only the first step in a two-step process to get us back to profitable organic volume growth.
The second step really is with that foundation behind us, and it worked as we thought it would work, is to make sure now it allows the rest of our marketing to work even better. Dana and her team have done a really nice job improving brand communications and packaging and price mix and new product innovation, renovation. All those things work a lot better when you get your base pricing. Yes, it's a pivot from what we did, what we talked about last year, but that's only because we did the work last year. I'm really glad that we did it. We increased household penetration for the first time in a number of years. We increased our pound share in NAR. We were competitive in the other three segments.
The work we're doing this year, honestly, we can only do it because of the work that we had done last year, and I'm pleased with how we have done that, and even more pleased with the innovation we have coming out ahead of us.
Great. Just as a follow-up, last year, like others in the industry, you saw your fiscal year get dented a bit by changes in the macro environment. Specifically, consumers during the middle of the fiscal year started to demonstrate an increased propensity to wait to buy product on promotion. I'm wondering, one, have you seen that behavior dissipate? Two, what's the level of flexibility that you've embedded in your outlook for FY 2027 for other such unexpected changes in consumer behavior? Thanks very much. I'll leave it there.
Well, why don't I take that question. Good morning, Max. Thanks for that. What we are anticipating is that as we go into this new fiscal year, the consumer is going to continue to be pressured. We do expect to see them continue to change their behavior because of that. Being more deliberate in how and where they shop, buying more on promotion and less on everyday prices, making trade-offs between pack sizes and channels, all with value at the forefront. Actually, as we exited our Q4, we saw categories slow down by about one point. As we go into this fiscal year, we're not anticipating that to change. We expect the current consumer and category backdrop will continue. Even as we say that, we know that consumers are still willing to pay for benefits that matter most to them.
Think functional nutrition, bold flavors, et cetera. For me, this really reinforces the importance of our focus on remarkability. When we do that well, like on Cheerios Protein or renovated Chex Mix snacks or Tastefuls and Tiki Cat offerings, we can unlock growth even in this more challenging consumer environment. Again, as we look ahead, our assumption is the consumer will remain pressured, and we'll stay focused on the levers that we can control.
Okay, thanks very much.
Your next question comes from the line of Peter Grom with UBS. Peter, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. I kind of wanted to start with maybe a bigger picture question and just ask on the category outlook. It just feels like we've been talking about growth below long-term trends for a while. As you think about what you're seeing from a category standpoint, do you continue to view this as simply cyclical dynamics? Or as these trends continue, is there maybe some view that long-term category growth rates may not be as applicable moving forward?
Yeah, let me take that one. This is Jeff. There are some trends that we know are long-term in nature. Things are kind of undeniable. I think about demographics, for example, and 55+ consumer base growing or increasing Hispanic population in the U.S. or pet humanization, which 25 years in is probably a trend. There are things like that that are everlasting. There are other things that are certainly cyclical in nature. Consumers have always cared about things like their food tasting good and being good for them and value and convenience, but those definitions change over time. E-commerce is kind of the new convenience. We know consumers care a lot about value, which is why the base pricing worked so well last year. They care about health, and now it's really all about protein.
The question is, how long will all of these things last? The answer is really kind of unknowable in a volatile environment. What we do know, though, is that our focus this coming year on driving improved organic growth and doing it profitably is the right path. I have confidence in our plans. Dana mentioned Cheerios Protein, and that's off to a great start. She talked about Tiki Cat, which really is about pet humanization, which is growing quite nicely as well. She also talked about bold flavored Chex Mix, which is doing well. All those things that she talked about really resonate with today's consumers and kind of where we are. What it looks like over time, we will see, but our focus is squarely over the next 12 months and continuing to make progress using remarkability.
That's really helpful. Just maybe just some perspective on the phasing of organic sales growth. You mentioned below in the first quarter, any way to put some guardrails on how much below the full year guidance you would expect to start the year? Just any thoughts on how you see that evolving as we progress through the year as well. Thank you.
Sure. This is Kofi. Let me just start by saying I'm probably not going to satisfy your question because I don't want to get too much more specific and get in the habit of providing quarterly guidance. Other than just reiterate what we said in our prepared remarks. We would expect the shipment timing headwinds on pet to continue into Q1. We would expect some reversal on North America Retail as we step into Q1. Those will have both top and bottom line implications, obviously, versus expectations. As a reminder, we divested yogurt this end of June last fiscal year, so FY 2026.
That'll be a comparison headwind, along with the fact that we would expect our cost savings, i.e., the impact of inflation net of all of our cost savings initiatives to be negative and progressively improve as we move through Q2 and into Q3 in the back half. Other than that, I wouldn't get too much more specific.
Great. Thanks so much. That's a run.
You bet.
Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Lazar with Barclays. Andrew, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks so much. Good morning, everybody. Jeff, I was wondering, I guess what should our expectations be around both volume share and value share as we move through this year? I know that the transfer from volume to value share is really the key point in a lot of the work that you did last year around the price points and such. Trying to get a better sense of what your expectation is so we can track that in the market data and whatnot as we move forward. Thanks so much.
Yeah, I think for us, Andrew, you're right. This past year, we focused on volume share in NAR, I would say. We focused on dollar share in the other three segments, but in NAR, we focused on pound share because of the pricing actions that we took. Having those largely behind us as we enter this new year, our goal is going to be to make sure that we're competitive across dollar share, across all four of our segments. That doesn't mean we completely abandon what we do with pounds. There's always a mix, and I like to say we like to stay in the middle of the boat, and I think the same would hold true on pound and dollar share as we enter this year. It's not as if we're abandoning one and looking at the other.
Our job is to do both, is continue to grow household penetration and generate the price mix we're looking for so that we're competitive on a dollar basis. As we look at this year, we want to make sure whether it's in NAR or whether it's in PED or food service or international, that we're competitive on a dollar basis, and that doesn't mean we'll completely abandon what we think of pounds. The job to do really is as we pivot to the innovation we have, the renovation and the price mix, which is heavily focused on mix, really what we're looking for dollar competitiveness.
Got it. Specific to NAR, on dollar share, as you think about where some of the share weakness has gone, it doesn't seem like private label is that big a factor in this. It's more just by looking at what the other options are, some of these smaller insurgent players and things of that nature. As you diagnose where some of that share has gone, all the work you're doing this year to step up the remarkability work to try and counter that, how do you see that dynamic playing out and how the work you're doing can address that more fully? Thank you.
Hi, Andrew. Thank you for the question. As I look at NAR and think about remarkability, when we were sitting here on this call last year, from a share perspective, we had seen private label get stronger in pretty much all of our categories. They were stealing share, we also saw small brands stealing share, and we were squarely in the middle and had to take action in order to become more competitive. As we diagnosed where we were struggling the most, it was really on affordability and value. That's why in fiscal 2026, we focused on remarkability with most of our investment on price. We saw it work. That was about fixing our base volume. Sitting here last year, we were looking at base volume, which is our most profitable volume. It was down about 10%.
Now we're entering the year with our base volume where we invested on price up about 1%, and we have household penetration growth. We are entering this fiscal year with a much stronger foundation. Now it is all about making sure that we are delivering the benefits that consumers are willing to pay for. Making a significant step up in innovation, in renovation, in packaging, in terms of format and functionality, which will allow us to get a modest improvement in price mix, an emphasis on that is on mix. That it will be a difference maker in terms of our ability to improve dollar share performance. I'm confident that we will see improved organic sales results in NAR as we go into next year.
Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Tom Palmer with JPMorgan. Tom, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Good morning. Thanks for the question. Maybe I could move off the sales line a little bit and ask on the cost savings, the $3 billion in planned savings over the next four years. I think elements of the savings that were laid out were maybe already in place, although maybe not fully quantified. Could you maybe provide a little bit of detail on what pieces such as HMM were underway and maybe to an extent already embedded in your expectations versus the pieces that are new and we should look to ramp up over the next four years? Thank you.
Thanks for the question. I think as we talk about transformation, we have to start first with reminding everyone that our primary goal is to restore profitable organic sales growth. All of our cost saving efforts are in service to that goal. When you look at the $3 billion, we have approximately $2 billion of that's expected to come from HMM, and that really is at a rate consistent with what we've delivered over the past few years. HMM is a really strong capability our commercial teams lead. It's about understanding what the consumer values and putting back in what they do value and taking out what they don't value. That's something that's been consistent over the years.
The other billion is expected to come from the acceleration that we've talked about from our Global Transformation Initiative and other cost-saving actions. That's really about improving our end-to-end business processes and identifying new ways of working when you think about new tools, technology, operating models to be more agile. One of those areas that we talked about on the prepared remarks that we're thinking about is our supply chain transformation. I really want to emphasize that our supply chain is truly, I think, the best in food. Very good at what they do. Our supply chain was also built for a different time, a little bit lower volume. We've seen that we need faster innovation, more packaging flexibility.
It's really about thinking, how do we reimagine the supply chain for the future so that we can get at profitable growth? We are still really in the early phases of this design, so we don't have more to share, but we will come back and share more as we get more details.
Thanks for that detail, Dana. I also wanted to ask on cost inflation expectations. It is a dynamic environment, obviously, on the fuel side. How did you, I guess, make your assumptions here just on how the year progresses from an inflation standpoint, how you're assuming kind of fuel costs look, and then how much visibility versus given hedges and things like that versus assumptions are embedded in that 4%-5%? Thanks.
Sure. This is Kofi. Just to give some perspective, our inflation outlook of 4% to 5% assumes about $100 a barrel on oil on the uncovered portion of the year, and conversion costs based on a lagging PPI. We're covered about eight to nine months out, so the uncovered portion of the year is relatively small. We're fairly locked in. What I would say is that as we work our way through the year, we would expect that any meaningful change in oil on its own would fall within that range of our guidance, just given the amount that we've got covered through the year.
Okay. Thank you.
You bet.
Your next question comes from the line of David Palmer with Evercore ISI. David, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Great. Thank you. Just to follow up on your previous comments on dollar market share trend, which you anticipate improving in fiscal 2027, any more specifics you can offer on that? What sort of dollar category growth do you think will happen this year? Do you anticipate Mills starting to grow in line with the category by the end of the fiscal year? Is that what's baked into your guidance? I have a follow-up.
Thank you for the question. I don't think that I will predict dollar share on all of our categories. That would probably get me into trouble. As we said in our prepared remarks, we're assuming our categories will track roughly in line with FY 2026. For NAR, that's roughly flat in dollars. We expect to deliver improved NAR retail sales performance with a combination of remarkability. We do think that we'll see some modest price mix, because remember, price mix was a real headwind for us this year. That will help us from a dollar share perspective. Then again, this modest price mix is going to be driven entirely by mix, and with packaging formats, innovation, renovation.
I also think when you look at our dollar share performance for NAR, you can miss the fact that Totino's was a real problem for us this year. We just didn't execute the way that we need to or at our standard. We had a price pack architecture conversion that wasn't great. We didn't have the innovation that we needed to. So going into fiscal 2027, we've improved almost every lever of remarkability. We have a strong merchandising now that we've got this price pack architecture fixed. We have really good innovation. Think Blasted Totino's Rolls, Ultimate Pizza that's doing really well. Then in the frozen segment, we see Asian snacks and Mexican snacks growing really well.
We're launching an Old El Paso frozen snack. We have Wanchai Ferry that is coming over. So I feel like we've diagnosed that business well. We're already seeing improvement into June. Now, four weeks is not necessarily a trend, but we've improved our hot snacks trend by a point and our pizza trend by almost five points. Just stabilizing that business alone, we're not going to turn it around overnight, but stabilizing that alone is going to have a big impact on our dollar share performance.
Thanks for all that. I'll ask you one more tough one. You guys are really good on consumer insights. I was just seeing some data that showed that very low-income consumers, let's call it the under $50,000 crowd, was actually spending more on at-home food. It was decent dollar growth because they're trading down from restaurants. Then the over $100,000, which might be the upper third, they were also spending more on at home because they were trading into higher priced, often smaller brands, protein centric, whatever the wellness news of the day. The middle of the third is a little bit more compressed because they're making choices all over the place, restaurants and at home. I wonder how you think about your consumer.
Where are the trends by income cohort today, and where do you see the improvement coming in 2027 and beyond? Thank you.
Thanks for the question. When you look at at-home eating consumption, we see that in the last quarter pretty stable. It's at 86%. We didn't see it move around. We did see the middle-lower income households eat a little bit more at home and spend a little bit more on staples, so think cooking from home, but nothing significant. Again, I'll come back to when you have brands as big as ours, you have a wide consumer base that you have to serve. You have to make sure that your everyday shelf price is right, that you have opening price points that are easier for lower income households to access, that it's done with packaging innovation, and then also for the larger families, that you have large packs that deliver value.
What we're being really smart about is making sure that we understand how stressed the consumer is going into this fiscal year, that we don't take that for granted, and that we make sure that we're bringing the right value. As you said, there is a portion of the economy in this K economy that will spend more. We've got to make sure that we have the benefits, and the new products and the renovations they're willing to spend against. That is functional nutrition, bold flavors. We're bringing a significant amount of new product innovation. Think the example of Cheerios Protein that we had this year in almost every category. Our humanization trend in pet will continue, and cats are on fire.
Cat growth is on fire. Tiki Cat and our BLUE Tastefuls and our BLUE Wilderness cat we think will continue to perform. To me, it is about understanding exactly where the consumer is, not underestimating how stressed they are, and making sure we have the benefits in the right places to deliver for them.
Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Peter Galbo with Bank of America. Peter, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Good morning, guys. Thanks for the questions. Dana, in your prepared remarks, you talked about it a bit on the call today, you spent a lot of time on innovation and renovation, and I think we would all agree that that is probably the right next move to improve product quality or attributes. Obviously that comes at a cost. If we just think about the cost associated with innovation and renovation against what you've announced, probably more incremental cost savings from an HMM perspective. Can you help us bridge how those two ideas can kind of coexist within General Mills? We often think of the HMM cost savings coming from the cost line that you're obviously boosting on products. Any kind of further clarity there would be helpful.
Well, good morning, Peter. Why don't I start with that question and then Kofi can do a follow-up. I think it comes back to what I talked about from an HMM perspective. This is led by our commercial teams. It's really about making sure that we understand what the consumer values and is willing to pay for, and what they don't value and taking that out. If we start with the consumer, it allows you to have benefits that you launch that they're willing to pay for, and you can manage margins appropriately. For example, our Cheerios Protein was a benefit that consumers were willing to pay for, and we were able to premium price that to the core and offset the cost of that innovation and renovation.
That is really our focus going into next fiscal year is what are consumers willing to pay for? We're going to see a little bit of price mix appreciation, and the majority of that will be mix. Then, of course, as we always do with HMM, the teams will focus on what are things they don't value and take it out accordingly in order to make sure that we can reinvest that back into the things they do value. That is our approach. It's been consistent over a number of years, and it won't change going into next fiscal year.
I would just add from a sort of annual financial modeling perspective, we would expect every year to see some significant portion of reinvestment back in the product, either through renovation, new product innovation with costs. To the extent that those costs come in, we're relying by and large, heavily on HMM. In fact, the genesis of our HMM discipline was all about being able to reinvest back in the business, both in product as well as marketing, messaging and other ideas to drive growth. Fundamentally, this is the step-up that we're seeing last FY 2026, this fiscal year that we're expecting in FY 2027, all contained within our sort of normal gearing of HMM. We can comfortably cover it, even with a little bit of the step-up in inflation pressure.
Great. Thanks for that, Kofi. Maybe if I could just follow up there and to Tom's question around inflation, your HMM numbers for this year, the 4-5 kind of matching the inflation number. I guess, on a like for like basis in 2027, if we're kind of ignoring the 53rd week, are you thinking about just gross margins as being relatively flat for the year? I know you've given kind of the sales and operating profit ranges for the year, but if we're just trying to bridge kind of from gross down to operating, is that the right way we should think about it?
Well, I would expect a modestly less pressure on gross margin than operating margin. I think given the shape of the P&L, there would be some modest pressure on gross margin.
Okay. Thanks very much, guys.
Your next question comes from the line of Matt Smith with Stifel. Matt, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hi, thank you. Kofi, a follow-up question on the cost outlook. When we think about the 4%-5% net inflation, can you clarify if that includes any tariff refunds and your expectation for timing around that?
Sure, Matt. It does include expectations for tariff refunds. I think as a reminder, our biggest tariff exposure is on steel and aluminum. Those tariffs are still in place and not subject to refunds. We are and have been realizing some modest amount of tariff refunds that have frankly been somewhat immaterial. I would not expect a material contribution that we'd be talking about on a go-forward basis for fiscal 2027.
Thank you. As a follow-up, going back to the discussion around the expectations for organic sales, how do you think about the gating factors for getting back to positive growth for the year at the high end of your range? Is that dependent more on your initiatives around innovation and renovation and driving favorable mix, or would you kind of weight that more heavily towards the overall category performance as we move through the year? Thank you.
I would say the former more than the latter. Our expectation would be that if we're in the more upper end, more favorable end of our range, that we would see better price mix accretion and less volume pressure from the places where we're expecting that appreciation. All things equal, we view that as largely within our control and somewhat independent of category development.
Appreciate it. I'll pass it on. Thank you.
You bet.
Your next question comes from the line of Chris Carey with Wells Fargo Securities. Chris, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Thank you so much. The context around the improvement in market share, realizing you certainly don't want to be overly specific, which makes complete sense. I wonder if you could just contextualize the relative importance of improving share trends in Totino's and improving Wilderness dog feeding. You called out in the prepared remarks that these businesses were pretty material impacts on pound volume declines. When you think about the outlook in these two businesses, specifically relative to the rest of your portfolio, again, maybe just a bit of context on how important share gains are here and some more detail on expectations.
Yeah, look, I appreciate that. I think this is, like, the third question we have on market share, as I think about it's an and. We need to improve the things that haven't been working as well, I think Dana was pretty clear on that in Totino's and Wilderness. Totino's was a bigger challenge, by the way, than Wilderness, just due to the absolute size of the business. Getting that more stable will be helpful. It's a matter of doing those things. Even more importantly, I think, is doubling down on the things that are working. Dana talked about Tiki Cat and cat food, which is working. Love Made Fresh, which is up 80% in the last quarter from where it was before, continuing to improve that.
Cheerios Protein, which I think is now a $100 million business for us, doubling down on that and Cheerios Granola and kind of getting that back to growth. For me, our ability to get back to growth and improve share is kind of an and. It is improving the things that we needed to improve, like Totino's and Wilderness, doubling down on the things that are working. I would also say our international business, which has returned to growth, specifically the Häagen-Dazs business, which has done well there. That's how we think about it, is really doubling down on both sides of the equation. I think we can do both, we certainly have the plans to do both. It is now up for us to execute.
I think importantly, we stated this before, we're not anticipating an improved consumer environment or improved category environment. We're going to make our own success this year, we're confident that we can do that.
Okay. All right, thanks. The follow-up is just around pet. Consumption trends have been okay, certainly better than reported results in certain quarters. The inventory volatility has been a kind of, it happens here and there, right, intermittently. I realize some of that has to do with channel and specific retailers. Is there some visibility in the smoothing out of this inventory volatility? I know that it's going to remain a dynamic in fiscal Q1, and I think the guidance implies that it's going to get better. I just ask in the context of the business has actually been improving better in the consumption data than what we've seen if we kind of smooth out recent quarter averages.
I just wonder if there's some visibility and a narrowing of this inventory gap over time and maybe a bit more context on why it's lasted as long as it has. Thank you.
Yeah, thanks for the question. We are pleased with our pet performance. We finished the year with retail sales up 1%, growing share on our Life Protection Formula on our cat businesses, and obviously, we've seen a significant improvement in Love Made Fresh. As it comes to our retail sales versus our inventory or our sell-in, as we've dug deeper, as you mentioned, we've seen a consistent headwind from customer mix, with our fastest-growing customers, think e-com and mass, carrying significantly less inventory than our traditional customers. This was really the key component of the two-point gap between our organic sales and our retail sales in Q4. For the full year, our channel sales, as I said, were up 1%, but organic sales lagged about four points.
We think it's prudent as we go into next year to assume a low single-digit headwind from the retail inventory in FY 2027, with customer mix being the contributing key factor.
Okay. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Rob Dickerson with BTIG. Rob, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks so much. Maybe I can just try to recap and summarize a little bit on the organic sales outlook for the year. Just kind of given all the comments already stated. Just like Jeff said, focus on dollar share. Price mix is supposed to be more of a contributor. Flat category assumption better than Q1, I guess is a little bit below algo for the year. The guide's still actually down year-over-year. When we wrap all that up and then we frankly combine it just the dynamic of trying to figure out what's working and what consumers want and shifting the mix some and maybe going a little bit more premium.
Is it kind of fair to one, I guess, just frankly assume, obviously, volumes will still be down for the year and I don't hear any commentary around maybe turning positive in the back half. Maybe that's just a function of this is the year where you say we're kind of just shifting that mix to get to a point such that we can actually grow the volumes later. In some of our core brands, there might still be a little bit more volume contraction necessary to find that base. When we get into 2028, yes, the hope here, along with the cost savings, is for the volume to come back. I don't know if all that makes sense, but a lot in there. Thank you so much.
Yeah. There's a lot in there. You summarized a lot of what we're doing, so I appreciate that. I would kind of back it up to the first principle, which is, our job is to improve our organic sales trajectory and to do that profitably. That's really the job. That's what we're looking to do. All of the things you just mentioned are in service to that, as well as the transformation that we also discussed. For us, we made improvements in household penetration and our base business this year. The next step in that evolution is really to improve the trajectory of our organic sales and then do it profitably. That's what we're looking to do this year against a backdrop of a consumer environment which we still think will be stressed this year.
I think it's really important to reiterate, which I think I've done, but to reiterate that we're not expecting that environment to improve. That's the main objective, and we feel confident that we can hit that objective. To the extent that that leads to even better things in 2028, we'll leave that for another day. The job to do this year is to improve upon what we had last year, and we feel like we have the plans in place to do that, both on the sales line and HMM as well as the transformation.
Okay. Fair enough. Then maybe just a very easy question. You clearly have made a fair amount of portfolio adjustments over the past, call it three, five years. Heard a lot of commentary about excess cash would go to deleverage. Kind of just where you sit now, would you say, like, we feel great about the portfolio, don't foresee anything else kind of in the near term? Are you still looking at certain parts of the portfolio strategically? Thanks.
No, that's a very fair question, and I'm glad you asked. First of all, we're very proud of our portfolio shaping over the last number of years, and we think we've been effective at it. We know we've been disciplined at it. So whether that's additions like Blue Buffalo or Tiki, or whether that's divestitures like yogurt or what we've announced with Brazil or our Häagen-Dazs shops, we've been very disciplined on both sides of the acquisitions and divestitures. We have an always-on capability when it comes to M&A. We haven't really changed how we think about M&A or, in that sense, how we think about capital allocation. What I would say is that our focus really now is squarely on organic sales growth and doing it profitably.
To that extent, and as you look at the balance sheet and where we are, our bar for M&A is going to be very high and specifically on the acquisition front. While we haven't changed how we think about it, the bar for portfolio shaping is high. Our number one priority is getting back to organic sales growth and doing that profitably.
All right, super. Thanks, Jeff.
All right. Thank you.
We have reached the end of the Q&A session. Jeff Siemon for closing remarks, go ahead.
Yeah. Thank you, Samantha. I appreciate everyone's good discussion this morning. Thanks for the engagement. I know we didn't quite get to everyone's questions, so please don't hesitate to reach out for any follow-ups. Wish everybody a great summer. Go US National team today, and we'll talk to you all soon. Thank you very much.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-06-30Student loan changes, Fed speech, and Q4 earnings
Yahoo Finance Video
Student loan changes, Fed speech, and Q4 earnings
Asking for a Trend host Josh Lipton previews the top market-moving events for Wednesday, July 1, including the expiration of key provisions under the SAVE student loan repayment plan and the largest overhaul of the federal student loan system in decades. Investors will also be watching remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and quarterly earnings from General Mills (GIS), the maker of Cheerios and Häagen-Dazs.

