B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
+17.0% vs current
GILT
Gilat Satellite NetworksDNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
+1.6% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
-26.1% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-16
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+6.6
Positive
Company
+17.2
Positive
Macro
+7.9
Positive
Pulse
-35.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+47.3
Score
AI commentary
This was a scheduled T+3 earnings follow-up. Primary-source evidence is now adequate via the May 13, 2026 6-K, but the overall posture remains cautious because the strongest verified signal is a mixed one: materially better profitability and reiterated guidance alongside a consensus revenue miss reported by trusted earnings coverage. Immediate market reaction was negative in secondary coverage, and no reliable post-print analyst target/rating revision set was confirmed in checked sources, so confidence stays modest despite the improved operating print.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-16
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-30eventQ1 2026 earnings reset: profit inflected but revenue-miss overhang remains [#6K-2026-05-13]High impact
Gilat reported Q1 2026 revenue of $110.5M (+20% y/y), GAAP operating income of $4.4M versus a prior-year loss, adjusted EBITDA of $15.1M versus $7.6M, and reiterated 2026 revenue guidance of $500M-$520M with adjusted EBITDA of $61M-$66M. The setup is supportive, but trusted post-print coverage indicated revenue missed consensus, which likely capped the initial reaction.
2026-09-30catalystDefense, IFC, and ESA order conversion can support a cleaner growth narrative [#6K-2026-05-13]High impact
Management highlighted stronger defense demand, robust in-flight connectivity demand, a multimillion India SkyEdge IV partnership, a multi-million IFC order, approximately $6M of U.S. Army communications orders, over $16M for a European ministry of defense, and $39M of Sidewinder ESA terminal orders. If these programs convert into reported revenue and margins on schedule, investors may give more credit to the current backlog and pipeline.
2026-11-15catalystSegment mix and profitability improvement need to hold beyond one quarter [#6K-2026-05-13]High impact
Q1 segment revenue was $72.8M Commercial, $25.4M Defense, and $12.3M Peru, with Peru notably above the prior-year level. Sustained mix benefits and operating leverage would help validate the 2026 outlook; a reversal would reinforce the market's caution after the sales miss.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-16 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology