GEO
GEO GroupANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The May 6 beat-and-raise, the July 1 facility transitions, and continued buybacks give GEO a path to higher second-half revenue and a slower rerating if execution holds.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
News driver: FinancialContent - GEO Group ( NYSE : GEO ) Q1 CY2026 : Beats On Revenue , Stock Jumps 14 . 3 %.
What can break
Government-policy and contract concentration can quickly alter utilization, pricing, and renewal timing.
Momentum
95
Value
52
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $26.00 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $18.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $27.20
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d +3.1
Value52 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment71 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
95
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+5.2
Value
52
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
71
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
+10.3
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 94.7 / Value 52.4 / Sentiment 70.7
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$3.12B
Beta
0.73
Shares Out
139.2M
P/E (TTM)
9.8
P/S (TTM)
0.91
P/FCF (TTM)
87.66
Rev YoY
+13.1%
EPS YoY
+552.1%
Gross Margin
+25.5%
Op Margin
+9.2%
Net Debt
$1.64B
Current Ratio
1.62
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology