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GEMI

Gemini Space StationC
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2026-08-14
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Earnings documents stored for GEMI.

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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-14

Gemini Space Station Inc (GEMI) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Surges 37% on ...

GuruFocus.com
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Total Revenue: $45.5 million, up 37% year-over-year. Net Revenue: $43.7 million, up 33% year-over-year. Transaction Revenue: $17.8 million, down 15% year-over-year and down 26% sequentially. Exchange Revenue: $12.5 million, down 38% year-over-year and down 27% sequentially. OTC Revenue: $4.7 million, up 671% year-over-year. Prediction Markets Revenue: $0.5 million, up 18% sequentially. Services Revenue and Interest Income: $26 million, up 117% year-over-year and up 6% sequentially. Credit Card Revenue: $16.2 million, up 231% year-over-year and up 10% sequentially. Staking Revenue: $4 million, up 88% sequentially and up 50% year-over-year. Advisory Fee Revenue: $2.7 million, consistent with prior two quarters. Custodial Fee Revenue: $0.6 million, down 67% both year-over-year and sequentially. Interest Income: $2.4 million, roughly flat sequentially. Total Operating Expenses: $122.4 million, down 15% sequentially. Salaries and Compensation: $48.2 million, down 26% sequentially. Sales and Marketing: $8.8 million, down 54% sequentially and down 45% year-over-year. Transaction Losses: $20.1 million, up from $3.6 million in the prior year. Technology Expenses: $18.8 million, down 15% sequentially and up 5% year-over-year. General and Administrative Expenses: $20.6 million, down 5% sequentially and up 7% year-over-year. Net Loss: $107.7 million, an improvement of 19% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA: Loss of $74 million. Operating Loss: $76.9 million, improved 18% sequentially. Total Spot Trading Volume: Declined to $3.8 billion from $11.3 billion in Q2 of 2025, a 66% decline. Assets on Platform: $8.4 billion at end of Q2, compared to $18.2 billion in Q2 of 2025. Monthly Transacting Users: 580,000, up 11% year-over-year, though down 2% sequentially. Headcount: Approximately 402 at quarter end, down 40% from Q3 2025 peak. Card MTUs: 106,000 at quarter end, up 165% year-over-year, though down 7% sequentially. Card Receivables: Roughly flat sequentially at $219.6 million. Pre-Provision Net Revenue on Card: Improved 44% sequentially to $5.5 million. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with GEMI. Is GEMI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: August 14, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Total revenue grew 37% y…Read full document

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Total Revenue: $45.5 million, up 37% year-over-year. Net Revenue: $43.7 million, up 33% year-over-year. Transaction Revenue: $17.8 million, down 15% year-over-year and down 26% sequentially. Exchange Revenue: $12.5 million, down 38% year-over-year and down 27% sequentially. OTC Revenue: $4.7 million, up 671% year-over-year. Prediction Markets Revenue: $0.5 million, up 18% sequentially. Services Revenue and Interest Income: $26 million, up 117% year-over-year and up 6% sequentially. Credit Card Revenue: $16.2 million, up 231% year-over-year and up 10% sequentially. Staking Revenue: $4 million, up 88% sequentially and up 50% year-over-year. Advisory Fee Revenue: $2.7 million, consistent with prior two quarters. Custodial Fee Revenue: $0.6 million, down 67% both year-over-year and sequentially. Interest Income: $2.4 million, roughly flat sequentially. Total Operating Expenses: $122.4 million, down 15% sequentially. Salaries and Compensation: $48.2 million, down 26% sequentially. Sales and Marketing: $8.8 million, down 54% sequentially and down 45% year-over-year. Transaction Losses: $20.1 million, up from $3.6 million in the prior year. Technology Expenses: $18.8 million, down 15% sequentially and up 5% year-over-year. General and Administrative Expenses: $20.6 million, down 5% sequentially and up 7% year-over-year. Net Loss: $107.7 million, an improvement of 19% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA: Loss of $74 million. Operating Loss: $76.9 million, improved 18% sequentially. Total Spot Trading Volume: Declined to $3.8 billion from $11.3 billion in Q2 of 2025, a 66% decline. Assets on Platform: $8.4 billion at end of Q2, compared to $18.2 billion in Q2 of 2025. Monthly Transacting Users: 580,000, up 11% year-over-year, though down 2% sequentially. Headcount: Approximately 402 at quarter end, down 40% from Q3 2025 peak. Card MTUs: 106,000 at quarter end, up 165% year-over-year, though down 7% sequentially. Card Receivables: Roughly flat sequentially at $219.6 million. Pre-Provision Net Revenue on Card: Improved 44% sequentially to $5.5 million. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with GEMI. Is GEMI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: August 14, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Total revenue grew 37% year-over-year to $45.5 million, driven by strong growth in services revenue and OTC business. Services revenue and interest income reached $26 million, up 117% year-over-year, now representing 59% of net revenue. Operating expenses declined 15% sequentially, and headcount is down 40% from peak, reflecting successful cost restructuring. Prediction markets showed strong growth, with event contracts traded up 93% quarter-over-quarter and new monthly highs in July. The company has built a comprehensive regulated derivatives stack (DCM, DCO, FCM application) and is ready to launch perpetual futures for US customers upon approval. Exchange revenue declined 38% year-over-year due to continued softness in crypto trading volumes, with spot trading volume down 66%. Net loss was $107.7 million, and adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $74 million, partly due to non-cash mark-to-market losses on Bitcoin holdings. Transaction losses increased significantly to $20.1 million, driven by a higher provision for credit losses related to an identity fraud event in the credit card portfolio. Card MTUs declined 7% sequentially, and new sign-ups were only 5,000 due to a deliberate pullback in acquisition marketing. Custodial fee revenue fell 67% year-over-year, reflecting lower asset valuations and net custody outflows, with assets on platform down to $8.4 billion from $18.2 billion a year ago. Q: Can you walk us through your competitive advantages in prediction markets, specifically in having them built in-house? How do you scale in this market, given competitors are investing aggressively and bringing much larger customer bases?A: Cameron Winklevoss (President, Co-Founder): Our key advantage is that we are building a super app, not just a predictions app. We offer predictions alongside spot Bitcoin, staking, a credit card, and US equities, which allows for significant cross-pollinization. For example, 50% of prediction users also have a Gemini credit card. Furthermore, we have invested in the entire stack, including our own clearing house and exchange, which gives us control over our destiny and enables distribution partnerships to drive the flywheel. Q: On perpetuals, given the CFTC's approval of digital asset perps in the US, what's the process and timeframe for Gemini to bring a product to market? What are some gating items that need to be overcome?A: Tyler Winklevoss (CEO, Co-Founder): We are in the process of achieving the necessary approvals, which include an amendment to our DCO for margining and the approval of our FCM application. The technology is ready, as we already offer this product in Singapore. We believe approvals could happen this year, and once they do, we are ready to launch perpetual futures for US customers. Cameron Winklevoss added that the US perp story is just getting started, comparing it to being at "mile one of a marathon." Q: On the provision for credit losses in the quarter, understanding that the majority of these provisions are from a fraud incident, how are provisions for credit losses looking outside of this incident within the portfolio? How confident are you that we should not see another meaningful provision from this cohort?A: Danijela Stojanovic (Interim CFO): We believe this was a concentrated identity fraud event associated with a specific Q1 origination cohort, not broad-based deterioration. As the investigation progressed, we identified additional fraud patterns, leading to an updated CECL estimate. Excluding the fraud-related cohort, delinquency increased modestly from 2.8% to 3.3%, which is consistent with normal seasoning. We have strengthened our fraud controls and expect future provisioning to reflect underlying credit performance rather than this specific fraud event. Q: Card MTUs fell in 2Q 2026. Do you expect sustained MTU growth to remain soft negative given the bearish crypto market? Do you expect the growth in prediction markets and the newly introduced equities product to be able to reverse the card MTU growth trend?A: Cameron Winklevoss (President, Co-Founder): The card's growth story in 2025 was driven by excitement around crypto rewards, which naturally wanes as crypto prices decline. Our focus in the first half of 2026 shifted to maturity and controls, ensuring the portfolio seasons for the long term. We still believe in the product and expect organic growth through word of mouth. Tyler Winklevoss added that they are expanding rewards to include stocks, aligning with the super app vision to retain customers even if their interest shifts from crypto to other assets like AI stocks. Q: Could you touch on the long-term ARPU expansion opportunity for Gemini power users? How does the ARPU for your retail customer that adopts all of your Gemini 2.0 product offerings compare to the blended average retail ARPU today?A: Danijela Stojanovic (Interim CFO): We see a meaningful long-term ARPU expansion opportunity as customers adopt more of the ecosystem. Historically, retail customers engaged through a single product. Our strategy is to increase scope and frequency of engagement by offering a comprehensive financial platform. We consistently see that multi-product customers trade more frequently, retain balances longer, and exhibit stronger retention. This product ecosystem will drive sustainable ARPU expansion through greater product adoption rather than relying solely on favorable crypto market conditions. Q: Following the initial launch of stock trading on the platform, how have early volumes looked? Additionally, how are trading activity trends across the platform since the beginning of the third quarter?A: Danijela Stojanovic (Interim CFO): It is still very early days for equities, with the launch only about five weeks old. We don't expect equities to be a material revenue contributor in 2026, but the long-term monetization opportunity comes through deeper customer relationships, cash balances, and securities lending. In Q3, spot crypto volumes have moderated, but prediction markets have continued to perform well, reaching new monthly highs in July, helped by the World Cup. Engagement remains healthy in crypto prediction contracts, particularly Bitcoin contracts, showing evolution beyond one-off event-driven trading. Q: As a repeated follow-up, what specifically changed in the fraud screening that's going to protect you from this occurring in the future?A: Danijela Stojanovic (Interim CFO): Fraud prevention isn't a static process, as bad actors continue to evolve their tactics. We have implemented a number of enhancements and controls based on what we learned from this event and will continue to invest in those capabilities. We don't think it's appropriate to discuss the details of our fraud controls publicly, as they are part of our prevention framework, but we view it as an ongoing discipline rather than a one-time fix. Q: More broadly, if the US regulatory path opens for perps beyond crypto, how quickly could you launch, and where do you think client interest might be strongest? Finally, given the liquidity advantages of larger incumbents, what gives you confidence you can build meaningful share?A: Tyler Winklevoss (CEO, Co-Founder): The technology is ready, and we already operate this product offshore. Once we receive the necessary US approvals, we can launch quickly. Perps have been the largest traded products with the most liquidity in crypto for a long time, and there is huge demand. Cameron Winklevoss added that the US perp story is just getting started, and it is very early days, even though they have existed offshore for a long time, suggesting a tremendous opportunity for new entrants. Q: Are there any specific categories that clients are trading more frequently this quarter within predictions?A: Danijela Stojanovic (Interim CFO): We continue to see strong engagement in our crypto prediction contracts, especially Bitcoin contracts across different durations and expiry dates. This demonstrates that prediction markets are evolving beyond one-off event-driven trading into more sustained, ongoing activity. The later stages of the World Cup also helped drive volume in July, but activity has remained healthy even after that concluded. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-14

Gemini Space Station Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat
Interested in Gemini Space Station, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Revenue grew despite weaker crypto trading: Q2 revenue rose 37% year over year to $45.5 million, driven by services, interest income, OTC trading and card revenue. Net loss improved to $107.7 million, although adjusted EBITDA worsened due largely to non-cash losses on Bitcoin holdings. Trading activity weakened while new businesses expanded: Exchange revenue fell 38% and spot trading volume dropped 66%, but OTC revenue surged 671% and prediction-market activity continued to grow. Gemini also launched commission-free U.S. equities and ETF trading, expanding access to more than 5,000 markets. Fraud provisions pressured the card business, while costs declined: Card revenue rose 231%, but transaction losses increased sharply because of an identity-fraud incident and related credit-loss provisions. Operating expenses fell 15% sequentially after restructuring, and Gemini is pursuing further product expansion, including potential U.S. crypto perpetual futures. Gemini Space Station (NASDAQ:GEMI) reported second-quarter revenue growth despite weaker crypto trading activity, as expanding services revenue, over-the-counter trading and new product offerings offset a decline in exchange revenue. The company also highlighted lower operating costs following restructuring actions, while a fraud-related credit-card provision weighed on results. Total revenue rose 37% year over year to $45.5 million, while net revenue increased 33% to $43.7 million, Interim CFO Danijela Stojanovic said. Services revenue and interest income reached $26 million, up 117% from a year earlier and representing 59% of net revenue, compared with 50% in the first quarter. → Lumentum Just Delivered the AI Growth Investors Wanted Gemini reported a net loss of $107.7 million, improving from a $133.2 million loss in the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $74 million, compared with a $59.9 million loss in the prior quarter. Stojanovic said the adjusted EBITDA decline was primarily driven by non-cash mark-to-market losses on Bitcoin holdings after Bitcoin prices fell during the quarter. Transaction revenue totaled $17.8 million, down 15% year over year and 26% sequentially. Exchange revenue fell 38% from a year earlier to $12.5 million as crypto trading activity remained weak. Total spot trading volume declined…Read full document

Interested in Gemini Space Station, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Revenue grew despite weaker crypto trading: Q2 revenue rose 37% year over year to $45.5 million, driven by services, interest income, OTC trading and card revenue. Net loss improved to $107.7 million, although adjusted EBITDA worsened due largely to non-cash losses on Bitcoin holdings. Trading activity weakened while new businesses expanded: Exchange revenue fell 38% and spot trading volume dropped 66%, but OTC revenue surged 671% and prediction-market activity continued to grow. Gemini also launched commission-free U.S. equities and ETF trading, expanding access to more than 5,000 markets. Fraud provisions pressured the card business, while costs declined: Card revenue rose 231%, but transaction losses increased sharply because of an identity-fraud incident and related credit-loss provisions. Operating expenses fell 15% sequentially after restructuring, and Gemini is pursuing further product expansion, including potential U.S. crypto perpetual futures. Gemini Space Station (NASDAQ:GEMI) reported second-quarter revenue growth despite weaker crypto trading activity, as expanding services revenue, over-the-counter trading and new product offerings offset a decline in exchange revenue. The company also highlighted lower operating costs following restructuring actions, while a fraud-related credit-card provision weighed on results. Total revenue rose 37% year over year to $45.5 million, while net revenue increased 33% to $43.7 million, Interim CFO Danijela Stojanovic said. Services revenue and interest income reached $26 million, up 117% from a year earlier and representing 59% of net revenue, compared with 50% in the first quarter. → Lumentum Just Delivered the AI Growth Investors Wanted Gemini reported a net loss of $107.7 million, improving from a $133.2 million loss in the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $74 million, compared with a $59.9 million loss in the prior quarter. Stojanovic said the adjusted EBITDA decline was primarily driven by non-cash mark-to-market losses on Bitcoin holdings after Bitcoin prices fell during the quarter. Transaction revenue totaled $17.8 million, down 15% year over year and 26% sequentially. Exchange revenue fell 38% from a year earlier to $12.5 million as crypto trading activity remained weak. Total spot trading volume declined 66% to $3.8 billion from $11.3 billion in the prior-year quarter, with institutional activity accounting for nearly 90% of the volume decrease, Stojanovic said. → Ryman Checks Into a $1.38B Hospitality Upgrade Over-the-counter revenue, however, climbed 671% year over year to $4.7 million. The company attributed the increase partly to episodic institutional demand during periods of heightened crypto-market volatility, while noting that OTC results could remain variable because of the nature of large institutional trades. Prediction markets contributed $500,000 in transaction revenue, up 18% from the first quarter. Event contracts traded increased 93% sequentially. Gemini said it prioritized order-book depth and liquidity over near-term fee capture, with rebates under new maker and taker incentive programs accounting for roughly 20% of gross prediction-market fees. → Joby’s Defense Pivot Accelerates With $500M Resonant Sciences Deal “We continue to see predictions as the largest near-term growth opportunity on the platform,” Co-Founder and President Cameron Winklevoss said, particularly heading into the second-half sports season. The company tripled its number of contracted prediction-market makers since the first quarter, introduced three maker and taker incentive programs, enhanced its predictions API and added AI-powered personalized insights. Gemini also began operating its derivatives clearinghouse and settling its own prediction-market contracts after receiving a derivatives clearing organization license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in April. Credit-card revenue increased 231% year over year to $16.2 million and rose 10% sequentially. Card monthly transacting users totaled 106,000 at quarter-end, up 165% from a year earlier but down 7% from the first quarter as Gemini shifted customer acquisition toward lower-spending, higher-return channels. Card receivables were roughly unchanged from the prior quarter at $219.6 million, while pre-provision net revenue from the card business improved 44% sequentially to $5.5 million. New card sign-ups were approximately 5,000 during the quarter. Transaction losses rose to $20.1 million from $3.6 million a year earlier, primarily because of a higher provision for expected credit losses tied to an identity fraud incident involving a specific first-quarter account cohort. Gemini had previously established an initial $4.1 million reserve, but expanded its estimate during the second quarter after identifying additional affected accounts and fraud patterns. Stojanovic said the company believes the issue was concentrated rather than indicative of wider deterioration in card credit performance. Total delinquency rose to 9.4% from 3.8%, but fraud-related delinquency increased to 6.1% from 1%, while non-fraud delinquency rose modestly to 3.3% from 2.8%. Gemini has strengthened fraud controls, onboarding and monitoring processes, though Stojanovic said the company would not publicly detail those measures because they are part of its fraud-prevention framework. Total operating expenses declined 15% sequentially to $122.4 million, reflecting the full-quarter impact of restructuring actions. Salaries and compensation fell 26% sequentially to $48.2 million, including $20.3 million of stock-based compensation. Headcount ended the quarter at about 402, down from 442 in the first quarter and approximately 40% below the company’s third-quarter 2025 peak. Sales and marketing expense declined 54% sequentially to $8.8 million. Broad-based acquisition marketing was largely paused, with brand and performance marketing spending of approximately $100,000 during the quarter. Gemini said it expects to increase brand and performance marketing in the second half while remaining within its full-year guidance. The company launched commission-free U.S. equities and exchange-traded fund trading in July. Gemini said eligible U.S. customers can now access more than 5,000 tradable markets across equities, crypto and event contracts, compared with fewer than 100 a year earlier. Multi-product users nearly doubled year over year, according to management. Tyler Winklevoss, Gemini’s co-founder and CEO, said the company is pursuing a “financial super app” strategy rather than operating solely as a predictions or crypto-trading platform. He said 50% of Gemini customers who have placed predictions also hold a Gemini credit card. Gemini said it has filed an application to operate as a futures commission merchant and is seeking an amendment to its derivatives clearinghouse approval for margining. Tyler Winklevoss said the company could launch U.S. crypto perpetual futures after receiving those approvals, which management believes could arrive this year. Gemini already offers perpetual contracts in Singapore, he said. The company is not providing revenue guidance, citing the early monetization stage of several new products and uncertainty in the broader crypto environment. It expects cash compensation to decline 15% to 20% from 2025 levels, stock-based compensation of $100 million to $115 million for the year, and technology and general-and-administrative expenses of $155 million to $170 million. Gemini expects marketing spending, excluding rewards and promotions, to equal 10% to 15% of revenue for the full year. Management said it is now focused on distribution, customer acquisition and cross-selling across its expanding product platform while maintaining cost discipline. Our mission is to unlock the next era of financial, creative, and personal freedom. Gemini envisions a future where crypto will redesign the global financial system, the internet, and money in a way that provides greater choice, independence, and opportunity for all. As a trusted bridge between the traditional financial system and the emerging cryptoeconomy, we are providing access for individuals and institutions to a decentralized future that is more open, fair, and secure. Gemini was founded in 2014 to be the most trusted, secure, and easy way to buy, sell, and store crypto assets. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "Gemini Space Station Q2 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for August 2026.

TranscriptFY2026 Q22026-08-14

FY2026 Q2 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 55 paragraphs
Operator

Day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Gemini second quarter 2026 earnings call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Ryan Todd, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Ryan Todd

Thanks, operator. Good morning, and thank you for joining Gemini second quarter 2026 earnings call. My name is Ryan Todd, Head of Investor Relations at Gemini. Joining me on the call today are Gemini's Co-Founders, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, and our interim CFO, Danijela Stojanovic. Yesterday, we released our second quarter 2026 financial results. During today's call, we may make forward-looking statements which may vary materially from actual results and are based on management's current expectations, forecasts, and assumptions. Information concerning the risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause these results to differ is included in our SEC filings. Our discussion today will also include certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in the earnings presentation on our investor relations website and on the SEC's website.

Ryan Todd

Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for, GAAP measures. We will start today's call with prepared remarks and then take questions. With that out of the way, let me turn the call over to our founders, Cameron and Tyler.

Cameron Winklevoss

Thanks, Ryan. Good morning, everyone. With the close of Q2, we are approaching the one-year anniversary of Gemini going public. In September 2025, the price of Bitcoin touched $117,000, and the market we were entering looked much different from the market we operate in today, with Bitcoin closing Q2 below $60,000. Despite these headwinds, we have been head down building for the Gemini of tomorrow. The Gemini platform has changed more in the past nine months than it did in the past decade. Last quarter, we spoke about the launch of prediction markets in December 2025, and last month, following the close of Q2, we launched commission-free U.S. stock trading. With the addition of stocks, customers in eligible states in the United States can now trade 1,000s of U.S. equities with 0% commission, participate in prediction markets, and trade crypto all from the Gemini app.

Cameron Winklevoss

Since the end of Q2, we also began operating our derivatives clearing house and settling our own prediction markets contracts following the DCO license we received from the CFTC in April. This quarter, we continued to focus on rapidly evolving our predictions business. While Q1 was largely product and feature-focused, this quarter, we invested in marketplace liquidity and improving the overall trader experience on our prediction marketplace. Since Q1, we tripled the number of contracted market makers on the platform, launched three new maker and taker incentive programs, and expanded trading infrastructure with several improvements to our predictions API. On the product side, we shipped personalized insights powered by AI and a rebuilt interface with unique category-specific experiences across the contract markets we offer.

Cameron Winklevoss

Looking ahead, we continue to see predictions as the largest near-term growth opportunity on the platform, especially heading into the upcoming sports season in the second half of the year. We've recently certified a wide range of new product filings and continue to deliver new experiences to directly capture that activity. With our clearing house now live and clearing our own contracts, which keeps those economics in-house, we are now focused on adding distribution partners to our DCM and expect to have more updates on our progress here shortly. Through all of it, the focus stays on continuing to improve the health of both sides of the order book. Deeper taker flow attracts more makers, which tightens spreads and lets customers trade with greater capital more predictably. We believe that this is the next unlock in driving prediction activity higher at Gemini.

Cameron Winklevoss

With that, I'll turn it over to Tyler to discuss our recent business highlights.

Tyler Winklevoss

Thanks, Cameron. Tyler here. In Q1, we laid out our strategy for Gemini 2.0, and Q2 was our first full quarter operating under it. As we march ahead in the second half of 2026, the shape of the business is visibly different. More products, a leaner cost base, less dollars going out the door, and revenue that leans less on spot crypto trading every quarter. Danijela will take you through the financials in detail shortly. I'm going to spend my time on what we built this quarter and what we intend to do with it. We've operated through crypto market cycles for over a decade, and the rule has held every time. Bear markets are for building. The first half of 2026 was a focus on building by design.

Tyler Winklevoss

We put our dollars and our focus into shipping new products and securing regulated infrastructure rather than overspend on acquisition in an environment where we felt paid acquisition wasn't going to earn the right returns. We continue to believe

Tyler Winklevoss

That was the right sequencing. It put us on pace to complete and operationalize our regulated derivatives stack. Our designated contract marketplace at the start of this year, our derivatives clearinghouse launched earlier this month, and our FCM application filed in June. Very few firms in this country hold that combination of licenses, and we built ours in-house rather than spending significant capital to acquire it. The stack was built for more than predictions. Most price discovery in crypto happens in perpetual futures, not spot. Today, the vast majority of that volume sits outside the United States. We already offer perpetual contracts to customers in Singapore, so the product and the technology are built and running. We own the DCM and the DCO and have filed our FCM application.

Tyler Winklevoss

If and when we receive the approvals we need, we are ready and intend to launch perpetual futures for U.S. customers. On the product side, this year, we have dramatically expanded what customers can actually trade at Gemini. With commission-free U.S. equities and ETFs launched in July, the platform now offers more than 5,000 tradable markets across equities, crypto, and event contracts, up from less than 100 a year ago. We also rebuilt our advanced trading experience on mobile, so customers can trade directly from the chart or the order book with positions, open orders, and margin all visible in one place. We expanded the assets available for margin trading, and we continue to improve our developer platform and API trading capabilities for programmatic and agentic traders.

Tyler Winklevoss

Taken together, the first half of this year was about building the products and licensing the structure needed to support a financial super app. We feel confident we've never had a better mousetrap, and it's driving better engagement, with multi-product users nearly doubling year-over-year. The focus now shifts to distribution and growing revenue by getting more customers and more activity on the platform while holding the cost discipline we established this year. With that, I'll turn over the call to our interim CFO, Danijela, to discuss our financial results for the quarter in greater detail.

Danijela Stojanovic

Thank you, Cameron and Tyler. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I will start with a few key takeaways from the quarter, then walk you through the results in further detail and close with our updated financial outlook for the year. Three things I want to highlight upfront. First, total revenue grew 37% year-over-year to $45.5 million, driven by continued growth in services revenue and our OTC business. This growth came despite a 38% year-over-year decline in exchange revenue as crypto market volumes remained under pressure throughout the quarter. Second, services revenue and interest income reached $26 million, up 117% year-over-year and now representing 59% of net revenue, up from 50% in Q1, reflecting both the continued growth of the card and staking businesses and a softer trading environment. Third, our cost restructuring is delivering.

Danijela Stojanovic

Total operating expenses declined 15% sequentially to $122.4 million and headcount ended the quarter at approximately 402, down 40% from our Q3 2025 peak. The full benefit of the Q1 restructuring is now flowing through the cost structure. Turning to revenue, net revenue was $43.7 million, up 33% year-over-year. Transaction revenue was $17.8 million, down 15% year-over-year and down 26% sequentially. Within that, there were meaningful moving parts. Exchange revenue was $12.5 million, down 38% year-over-year and down 27% sequentially, reflecting continued softness in crypto trading activity. Total spot trading volume declined to $3.8 billion from $11.3 billion in Q2 of 2025, a 66% decline against a 38% decline in exchange trading revenue. Institutional volume accounted for nearly 90% of the volume decline, while fee economics continued to improve in both retail and institutional trading segments.

Danijela Stojanovic

OTC revenue was $4.7 million, up 671% year-over-year. Similar to Q1, the quarter included episodic client demand in response to periods of heightened volatility in the crypto market that contributed to elevated volume. The underlying eOTC API program continues to add institutional clients, and we expect OTC to remain variable quarter to quarter given the nature of large institutional trades. Prediction markets contributed $0.5 million to transaction revenue, up 18% sequentially. That figure is reported net of rebates. As Cameron mentioned, we launched new maker and taker incentive programs during the quarter, and the rebates paid under those programs, roughly 20% of gross fees, are reported as contra revenue. Event contracts traded in Q2 were up 93% quarter-over-quarter, and our focus in the period was on building depth in the order book rather than maximizing short-term fee capture.

Danijela Stojanovic

While this is still an early-stage product, we are encouraged by the growth in customer activity and believe the investments we are making today position the marketplace for stronger monetization as liquidity and participation continues to scale. Turning to services revenue and interest income, which was $26 million, up 117% year-over-year and up 6% sequentially. Let me walk you through the key components. Credit card revenue was $16.2 million, up 231% year-over-year and up 10% sequentially. Card MTUs were 106,000 at quarter end, up 165% year-over-year, though down 7% sequentially as we continue to shift our acquisition strategy towards higher returning, lower spend channels. New sign-ups in Q2 were approximately 5,000, reflecting that deliberate pullback in acquisition marketing in the second quarter.

Danijela Stojanovic

Card receivables remained roughly flat sequentially at $219.6 million, and pre-provision net revenue on the card improved 44% sequentially to $5.5 million, reflecting the continued maturation of the portfolio. Staking revenue was $4 million, up 88% sequentially and up 50% year-over-year. There were three primary drivers of the increase. First, approximately $1.6 million relates to revenue that economically belonged in the first quarter but was recognized in Q2 as we completed the migration to our in-house validator infrastructure and resolved associated data capture issues. Second, following that migration, we now act as a principal in the staking arrangement. So validator costs now flow through operating expenses rather than being netted against revenue, increasing reported staking revenue on a growth basis. Third, we also saw continued growth in staking adoption during the quarter, reflecting healthy underlying customer engagement with the product.

Danijela Stojanovic

Advisory fee revenue was $2.7 million, consistent with the prior two quarters, reflecting our ongoing advisory services agreement with a strategic customer entered into during Q3 2025. As the compensatory warrant arrangement associated with that agreement reaches the end of its recognition period in July 2026, we expect to recognize the small remaining amount of advisory fee revenue in the third quarter, after which this revenue source is expected to conclude. Custodial fee revenue was $0.6 million, down 67% both year-over-year and sequentially, reflecting lower average asset valuations on the platform during the quarter and net custody asset outflows. Assets on platform ended Q2 at $8.4 billion, compared to $18.2 billion in Q2 of 2025, reflecting the decline in crypto asset prices over the past year and the custody net asset outflows. Interest income was $2.4 million, roughly flat sequentially. Now turning to expenses.

Danijela Stojanovic

Total operating expenses were $122.4 million, down 15% sequentially from $144.5 million in Q1 and up 24% year-over-year. The sequential improvement reflects the full quarter benefit of our restructuring actions. Salaries and compensation were $48.2 million, down 26% sequentially. This includes $20.3 million of stock-based compensation. Without the $20.3 million of stock-based compensation, cash compensation was $27.9 million, down 32% sequentially and down 20% year-over-year, reflecting our lower headcount base following our workforce reduction. There was no severance in Q2 compared to $6.5 million in Q1. Headcount ended the quarter at approximately 402, down from 442 in Q1 and down approximately 40% from our Q3 2025 peak. Sales and marketing was $8.8 million, down 54% sequentially and down 45% year-over-year. Within that, brand and performance marketing was approximately $0.1 million, as we paused broad-based acquisition spend and focused on organic and targeted channels.

Danijela Stojanovic

That level of spend reflects our tactical decisions during the quarter and should not be viewed as a fixed operating run rate, as future investment will continue to be driven by market opportunities and expected returns. Credit card rewards and promotional and referral incentives were $8.7 million, down 24% sequentially, reflecting lower cardholder spend activity during the quarter. Transaction losses increased from $3.6 million in the prior year to $20.1 million. The increase is primarily due to higher provision for expected credit losses on the credit card portfolio. As we discussed last quarter, we previously identified an identity fraud event in Q1 and established an initial $4.1 million reserve based on the information available at the time. During the second quarter, as our investigation progressed, we identified additional fraud patterns and affected accounts associated with the same Q1 origination cohort.

Danijela Stojanovic

These account balances continue to mature through the delinquency cycle, and our June 30th reserve reflects our updated estimate under the CECL methodology. Importantly, based on our analysis, we believe the elevated provision is concentrated to this identified fraud-related cohort and does not reflect broad-based deterioration in the underlying credit portfolio. We have taken actions to strengthen our fraud controls and monitoring, and while provision expense will continue to evolve as the portfolio seasons, we expect future provisioning to be driven primarily by the underlying credit performance of the portfolio rather than one-time fraud events. Technology expenses were $18.8 million, down 15% sequentially and up 5% year-over-year, reflecting operating efficiencies that largely offset continued investment in product development. General and administrative expenses were $20.6 million, down 5% sequentially and up 7% year-over-year.

Danijela Stojanovic

Combined, tech and G&A was $39.3 million for the quarter, tracking within our full year guidance range. On the bottom line, net loss was $107.7 million, an improvement of 19% year-over-year compared to a net loss of $133.2 million in Q2 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $74 million compared to a loss of $59.9 million in Q1 and a loss of $51.9 million in Q2 of 2025. That deterioration is driven primarily by non-cash mark-to-market losses on Bitcoin holdings, reflecting the decline in Bitcoin prices during the quarter following the close of the $100 million strategic investment of Bitcoin that we received in May.

Danijela Stojanovic

We believe that operating loss offers a cleaner view of our operational performance, which improved 18% sequentially from $94.2 million in Q1 to $76.9 million in Q2, reflecting the full quarter benefit of our restructuring actions and continued expense discipline across the business. Monthly transacting users were 580,000, up 11% year-over-year, though down 2% sequentially as softer crypto market conditions weighed on trading activity. Let me close with our outlook. Consistent with prior quarters, we are not providing formal revenue guidance at this time. While we have expanded our product portfolio and market infrastructure, many of these initiatives are still in the early stages of monetization. Our focus in the first half of this year was on building capacity by expanding our regulated footprint, launching new products, and improving the marketplace.

Danijela Stojanovic

As we shift our focus toward distribution and customer acquisition in the second half of 2026, we expect these investments to contribute more meaningfully over time. But the pace of that ramp remains difficult to predict, given both the early stage of these businesses and the broader macro and crypto environment. On expenses, we are refining the precision of our outlook. Cash compensation is still expected to decline 15%-20% relative to 2025 levels, which does not account for stock-based compensation or restructuring charges. Stock-based compensation is still expected to total $100 million-$115 million for the full year. We now expect technology and G&A expenses to be between $155 million and $170 million for the full year, narrowing our previous guidance range. On marketing, our guidance remains unchanged at 10%-15% of revenue without rewards and promotions.

Danijela Stojanovic

Marketing spend in the second quarter was intentionally well below that range as we prioritized investments in product development, regulated infrastructure, and marketplace capabilities during a period of weaker customer acquisition economics. As we enter the second half of the year, we expect to increase brand and performance marketing while remaining within the full year guidance range we previously provided. With nearly two quarters of restructuring now behind us and the full cost run rate reflected in our results, we have largely completed the first phase of Gemini's transformation. Over the past year, we believe that we have fundamentally reshaped the business by broadening our product offerings and establishing a more disciplined operating model. We are adding products. Stocks are live, predictions are scaling, and the derivatives infrastructure is in place. We believe that we are operating more efficiently than at any point since going public.

Danijela Stojanovic

The next phase is execution and growing adoption across our expanding platform while maintaining the discipline that we have established. To summarize, this quarter reflects continued progress as we continue to transform Gemini into a broader multi-product financial platform. We delivered 37% year-over-year revenue growth despite one of the weakest crypto trading environments since becoming public, improved operating loss for the third consecutive quarter, and continued to expand beyond our historical exchange business. While there is still meaningful work ahead to improve profitability, we believe we have largely completed the heavy lifting of expanding our product and market infrastructure. Our focus now shifts to scaling adoption, growing revenue, and demonstrating the operating leverage embedded in the platform. With that, I will hand it back to Ryan to open up the Q&A.

Ryan Todd

Thanks, Danijela. We will now turn to Q&A. Questions were submitted in writing yesterday after the release of our second quarter results. Before we go analyst by analyst, we want to first start with a repeat question we received from several analysts, specifically on the provision for credit losses in the quarter. Given how consistently it came up, we will address that to start. On the provision for credit losses in the quarter, understanding that the majority of these provisions are from a fraud incident, how are provisions for credit losses looking outside of this incident within the portfolio? With respect to fraud, can you help us understand what changed in your assessment from May to today? How confident are you that we should not see another meaningful provision from this cohort?

Danijela Stojanovic

Thanks, Ryan. We understand the question given the size of the Q2 provision. First, I would separate the operational issue from the underlying credit performance of the portfolio. Based on our investigation to date, we believe that this was a concentrated identity fraud event associated with a specific Q1 origination cohort, rather than broad-based deterioration in the portfolio. Many of those accounts were still current at the end of the first quarter, and then naturally progressed through the delinquency cycles during the second quarter. As our investigation progressed during that time period, we identified additional fraud patterns and affected accounts associated with that same fraud event. As those amounts really matured and more performance data became available, we updated our CECL estimate to reflect the expanded scope of this identified fraud event.

Danijela Stojanovic

And what I will say is that the headline delinquency metrics this quarter are overwhelmingly influenced by that one concentrated cohort, rather than a change in the broader credit characteristics of the portfolio. If you exclude the fraud-related cohort, you can see that the underlying portfolio has performed broadly in line with our expectations. Delinquency increased from 3.8%-9.4%, but nearly all of that increase was fraud related. So fraud related delinquency rose from 1%-6.1%. While when you look at the non-fraud delinquency, it increased modestly from 2.8%-3.3%. This is consistent with normal seasoning in a relatively young portfolio. And what we've done since, we've taken these learnings and strengthened our fraud controls, onboarding, and monitoring based on what we've learned through our investigation.

Danijela Stojanovic

From a timing perspective, these provision balances will flow through to charge-off state over the normal credit loss cycle as they progress through delinquency and reach charge-off status. Lastly, we will say, obviously, it's hard with respect to the second half of the year, we're not providing quarterly guidance on provision expense or charge-offs. But as with any lending portfolio, provision expense will continue to naturally evolve as the portfolio seasons and as new information becomes available. But what we will say is that based on what we know today, we expect the future provisioning to increasingly reflect the underlying credit performance of the portfolio rather than this specific fraud event.

Ryan Todd

As a repeated follow-up, what specifically changed in the fraud screening that's going to protect you from this occurring in the future?

Danijela Stojanovic

Yeah. Unfortunately, fraud prevention isn't a static process. Fraud is an area where bad actors continue to evolve their tactics. Our fraud controls and monitoring and underwriting capabilities have to continue to evolve alongside them. We've implemented a number of enhancements and controls based on what we learned from this event, and we will continue to invest in those capabilities over time. We also periodically implement new enhancements and controls irrespective of any given event so that we can continue to be equipped to identify and prevent evolving fraud schemes. Beyond that, we don't think it's appropriate to discuss the details of our fraud controls publicly because those controls are part of our fraud prevention framework. But we view it as an ongoing discipline rather than a one-time fix.

Ryan Todd

Our next question comes from James Yaro at Goldman Sachs. On prediction markets, can you walk us through your competitive advantages in prediction markets, specifically in having them built in-house? How do you scale in this market, given competitors are investing aggressively and bringing much larger customer bases?

Cameron Winklevoss

This is Cameron here. I think one of the key points here is that we are not just a predictions app. We are actually building a super app that offers predictions, and those predictions are offered alongside spot Bitcoin, staking, a credit card, and U.S. equities, and more. We think there's a lot of opportunity for cross-pollinization, and it's a broader offering than simply just predictions. I think few people actually have such a strong breadth. In addition, focusing on predictions, we've also invested in the entire stack. We've got the clearing house and the exchange, which allows us to control our destiny with more control and also work on distribution partnerships to help move the flywheel.

Cameron Winklevoss

I think taken together, it's a much different story than simply just predictions, and I think the opportunity to cross-sell the existing customer base that we have is a great opportunity. For example, 50% of the people who have placed predictions on Gemini also have a Gemini credit card. That's one good example of the cross-pollinization among our super app.

Ryan Todd

Our next question comes from Michael Cyprys at Morgan Stanley. On perpetuals, given the CFTC's approval of digital asset perps in the U.S., what's the process and timeframe for Gemini to bring a product to market? What are some gating items that need to be overcome? More broadly, if the U.S. regulatory path opens for perps beyond crypto, how quickly could you launch, and where do you think client interest might be strongest?

Ryan Todd

Finally, given the liquidity advantages of larger incumbents, what gives you confidence you can build meaningful share?

Tyler Winklevoss

Thanks for the question. This is Tyler. We are in the process of achieving the approvals we need to offer perpetuals on crypto in the U.S., and what's required is an amendment to our DCO, which is already in flight for margining, and the approval of an FCM, which is already in flight. Once we receive those approvals, we'll be able to launch perpetuals in the U.S. It's important to note that the technology on our side is ready. We already offer this product offshore in Singapore, so we've been doing this now for at least two years, maybe more. We understand the technology, the risk engine, the matching engine, and how to run this type of marketplace.

Tyler Winklevoss

Now it's just a matter of getting the necessary approvals in the U.S., which we believe could happen this year. Once that does happen, we will offer these products. These products have been the largest traded products with the most liquidity in crypto for a really long time. We're very optimistic about the demand. The crypto industry likes to trade perps. There's a huge demand for it, and there has been there globally for many years. Once we get the green light in the U.S., we're excited to bring this instrument to U.S. customers.

Cameron Winklevoss

This is Cameron. Just to build on that a little bit. Perps have been the most popular instrument in crypto for many years, but there's been no perps in the U.S., so that story, it's just getting started. It's so early.

Cameron Winklevoss

When you think of competition and the opportunity, I think the starting gun has essentially just gone off. We're at mile one of a marathon. The perp story in the U.S. is just getting started, and there's just, we think, a tremendous amount of demand and excitement for these products, and it is very early days, even though they've existed offshore elsewhere for a long time.

Ryan Todd

Our next question comes from Adam Frisch at Evercore. Card MTUs fell in 2Q 2026. Do you expect sustained MTU growth to remain soft negative given the bearish crypto market? Do you expect the growth in prediction markets and the newly introduced equities product to be able to reverse the card MTU growth trend?

Cameron Winklevoss

Thanks for the question. This is Cameron.

Cameron Winklevoss

I think the story of the card in 2025 was very much a growth story, and a lot of that was the excitement of this innovative ability to earn crypto rewards with a credit card. Naturally, as crypto prices have declined 50% since their peak last year, thereabouts, interest in a crypto rewards card naturally wanes a bit, and it can be cyclical. With that said, I think we spent the last two quarters, if 2025 was very much about growth, I think the first half of 2026 is about maturity and making sure that we're putting in the right controls. We've got a big growth in receivables and ensuring that we catch fraud, we've got the right controls in place, and that the portfolio is seasoning for the long term. We think that the card is still very much like a diesel engine.

Cameron Winklevoss

I mean, people love it, and I think there's a lot of growth just organically through word of mouth, even in the crypto downturn. We very much believe in this product, and we believe that it will continue to grow throughout 2026. Our focus has shifted in light of how the market has changed.

Tyler Winklevoss

This is Tyler. I'll also add that we're looking to expand the type of rewards that customers can earn with the credit card, such as offering the ability to earn stock rewards. This plays into our overall vision, of course, of the super app, where the credit card's one piece of that larger puzzle and experience. We're not just a crypto company. We offer, obviously, equities now and predictions.

Tyler Winklevoss

As customer demand changes, whether it is they are into Bitcoin or that changes into AI stocks, we have that offering for them. It is always harder to market crypto when the prices are down, even though customers, this is the time they should be purchasing Bitcoin. They tend to get excited about purchasing Bitcoin when prices near all-time highs. This further emphasizes the importance of having a really broad offering. The credit card earning rewards is part of that, but also being really broad in our offering on what rewards mean, and whether that is you can earn back crypto or you can earn back in stocks. Obviously, AI stocks are really popular and there is a lot of demand. We do not want to lose that customer.

Tyler Winklevoss

That just goes back to this idea that we are, of course, we started as a crypto company, but we really evolved into Gemini 2.0, into a markets company. We continue to work on increasing the dimensions of that.

Ryan Todd

Our next question comes from Matt Coad from Truist. Could you touch on the long-term ARPU expansion opportunity for Gemini power users? Put another way, how does the ARPU for your retail customer that adopts all of your Gemini 2.0 product offerings compare to the blended average retail ARPU today, and how do you plan on creating more power users?

Danijela Stojanovic

Thanks for the question, Matt. We believe there is a meaningful long-term ARPU expansion opportunity ahead of us, especially as customers adopt more of the Gemini ecosystem. Historically, many retail customers engage with us through really a single product for the most part. Our strategy is to increase both the scope and the frequency of engagement by offering a more comprehensive financial platform. The first half of 2026 was really about that, right? About building the ecosystem and giving customers more reasons to engage with Gemini through products like prediction markets and now more recently, commission-free equities, while at the same time ensuring the card business was on a solid footing after the fraud events. Going forward, the focus really shifts to distribution by driving adoption across that product suite, increasing cross-sell, and also creating more multi-product power users.

Danijela Stojanovic

That's really what we believe will drive the next leg of ARPU expansion and customer growth. A year ago, we were primarily acquiring crypto traders. Today, we're acquiring customers into a platform that includes a much broader product offering, and we believe that will meaningfully expand customer lifetime value and gives us greater opportunity to really monetize each acquired and existing customer over time. While we don't disclose product-level ARPU, we consistently see that multi-product customers, they do trade more frequently, they retain balances longer, and exhibit stronger long-term retention. So over time, we believe this product ecosystem will really drive sustainable ARPU expansion through that greater product adoption and higher engagement frequency, rather than, again, relying solely on higher trading activity or favorable crypto market conditions.

Ryan Todd

Our last question comes from John Todaro from Needham. Following the initial launch of stock trading on the platform, how have early volumes looked? Additionally, how are trading activity trends across the platform since the beginning of the third quarter? Are there any specific categories that clients are trading more frequently this quarter within predictions?

Danijela Stojanovic

Thank you, John. We're encouraged by the early reception to equities, but it's still very early days. The launch is only about five weeks old, so we're going to be careful not to over-interpret the initial activity. We don't expect equities to be a material revenue contributor in 2026. Over the long term, the monetization opportunity really comes through deeper customer relationships, including customer cash balances and securities lending, as well as order flow economics rather than trading commissions. Again, more importantly, as we've emphasized numerous times, we view equities as another step in building our super app and a broader investing platform. Over the past year, as Cameron or Tyler highlighted, I believe we've expanded from fewer than 100 tradable products to roughly 5,000 across crypto equities and prediction markets. Our multi-product user base has nearly doubled year-over-year.

Danijela Stojanovic

These are the metrics that we're most focused on because it does drive engagement and cross-sell opportunities. With respect to Q3 activities, spot crypto volumes have moderated from the elevated levels we saw historically, and it's weaker than the second quarter as well, which is consistent with publicly available market data. At the same time, prediction markets have continued to perform well. We reached new monthly highs in prediction trading volume during July. Some of that was helped by the later stages of the World Cup. Importantly, activity has remained healthy even after that concluded. We continue to see strong engagement specifically in our crypto prediction contracts, especially Bitcoin contracts that have across different sort of durations and expiry dates, and really demonstrating that prediction markets are evolving beyond one-off event-driven trading.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-13

Gemini: Q2 Earnings Snapshot

Associated Press

NEW YORK (AP) — NEW YORK (AP) — Gemini Space Station Inc. (GEMI) on Thursday reported a loss of $107.7 million in its second quarter. The New York-based company said it had a loss of 89 cents per share. The crypto exchange posted revenue of $45.5 million in the period. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on GEMI at https://www.zacks.com/ap/GEMI

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-13

Gemini Space Station Inc (GEMI) Q2 2026 Earnings Report Preview: What To Expect

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) is set to release its Q2 2026 earnings on Aug 14, 2026. The consensus estimate for Q2 2026 revenue is 45.14 million, and the earnings are expected to come in at -0.74 per share. The full year 2026's revenue is expected to be $197.23 million and the earnings are expected to be $-2.66 per share. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Forecast page Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with GEMI. Is GEMI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Revenue estimates for Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) have declined from $230.19 million to $197.23 million for the full year 2026 and declined from $329.87 million to $259.71 million for 2027 over the past 90 days. Earnings estimates for Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) have increased from $-2.96 per share to $-2.66 per share for the full year 2026 and increased from $-1.85 per share to $-1.79 per share for 2027 over the past 90 days. In the previous quarter of 2026-03-31, Gemini Space Station Inc's (NASDAQ:GEMI) actual revenue was $50.27 million, which beat analysts' revenue expectations of $49.29 million by 2%. Gemini Space Station Inc's (NASDAQ:GEMI) actual earnings were $-0.93 per share, which beat analysts' earnings expectations of $-0.96 per share by 3.13%. After releasing the results, Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) was up by 6.08% in one day. Based on the one-year price targets offered by 10 analysts, the average target price for Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) is $8.20 with a high estimate of $27.00 and a low estimate of $4.00. The average target implies an upside of 96.64% from the current price of $4.17. Based on the consensus recommendation from 10 brokerage firms, Gemini Space Station Inc's (NASDAQ:GEMI) average brokerage recommendation is currently 3.00, indicating a "Hold" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-12

Gemini Space Station Inc (GEMI) Q2 2026: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) is set to release its Q2 2026 earnings on Aug 13, 2026. The consensus estimate for Q2 2026 revenue is 45.14 million, and the earnings are expected to come in at -0.74 per share. The full year 2026's revenue is expected to be $199.58 million and the earnings are expected to be $-2.66 per share. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Forecast page Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with GEMI. Is GEMI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Revenue estimates for Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) have declined from $230.19 million to $199.58 million for the full year 2026 and declined from $329.87 million to $262.63 million for 2027 over the past 90 days. Earnings estimates for Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) have increased from $-2.96 per share to $-2.66 per share for the full year 2026 and increased from $-1.85 per share to $-1.79 per share for 2027 over the past 90 days. In the previous quarter of 2026-03-31, Gemini Space Station Inc's (NASDAQ:GEMI) actual revenue was $50.27 million, which beat analysts' revenue expectations of $49.29 million by 2%. Gemini Space Station Inc's (NASDAQ:GEMI) actual earnings were $-0.93 per share, which beat analysts' earnings expectations of $-0.96 per share by 3.13%. After releasing the results, Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) was up by 6.08% in one day. Based on the one-year price targets offered by 10 analysts, the average target price for Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) is $8.40 with a high estimate of $27.00 and a low estimate of $4.00. The average target implies an upside of 107.41% from the current price of $4.05. Based on the consensus recommendation from 10 brokerage firms, Gemini Space Station Inc's (NASDAQ:GEMI) average brokerage recommendation is currently 3.00, indicating a "Hold" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-19

Gemini Space (GEMI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Motley Fool
Image source: The Motley Fool. Friday, May 15, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET Co-Founder & President — Cameron Winklevoss Co-Founder & CEO — Tyler Winklevoss Chief Financial Officer — Danijela Stojanovic Head of Research — Ryan Todd Cameron Winklevoss: Good morning. Thank you all for joining us. Since announcing Gemini 2.0, we have made meaningful progress towards building Gemini into a markets company. We started as a Bitcoin company, became a crypto company, and are now building the super app for the markets economy. This quarter, we grew revenue 42% and transaction revenue held steady year-over-year, even as trading volume declined more than 50% due to softness in the broader crypto market. We recognize where our share price sits. The price of Bitcoin is down roughly 30% since our IPO, and we are tied to that cycle. However, we do not believe the Gemini of today is 1/6 of the Gemini that IPO’d. We have launched a predictions marketplace and are building a foundation for crypto, predictions, credit card rewards, and soon, stocks. Because we believe the stock is significantly undervalued, we made a strategic investment of $100 million into Gemini via Winklevoss Capital at $14/share, funded in Bitcoin. Tyler Winklevoss: This quarter, Gemini achieved product and regulatory milestones that set us up for success. In April, we received a Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) license from the CFTC. This allows us to act as a clearinghouse for derivatives, event-based contracts, and down the road, futures and perpetual contracts. This follows our Designated Contract Market (DCM) license received in late 2025. Together, DCM plus DCO allow us to build an end-to-end marketplace in-house without third-party dependencies. This positions us for perpetual contracts, which we believe will be permitted in the U.S. soon. We also launched the first agentic trading tool on a regulated U.S. exchange, allowing AI agents like Claude and ChatGPT to connect to our API to place trades autonomously. We believe Gemini will one day have more machines as customers than humans. Danijela Stojanovic: Thank you. Revenue grew 42% year-over-year to $50.3 million, driven by the credit card, our OTC business, and our first full quarter from prediction markets. Services revenue and interest income now represents 49% of total revenue, up from 31% in Q1 of 2025. Total revenue was $50.3 million. Exchange…Read full document

Image source: The Motley Fool. Friday, May 15, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET Co-Founder & President — Cameron Winklevoss Co-Founder & CEO — Tyler Winklevoss Chief Financial Officer — Danijela Stojanovic Head of Research — Ryan Todd Cameron Winklevoss: Good morning. Thank you all for joining us. Since announcing Gemini 2.0, we have made meaningful progress towards building Gemini into a markets company. We started as a Bitcoin company, became a crypto company, and are now building the super app for the markets economy. This quarter, we grew revenue 42% and transaction revenue held steady year-over-year, even as trading volume declined more than 50% due to softness in the broader crypto market. We recognize where our share price sits. The price of Bitcoin is down roughly 30% since our IPO, and we are tied to that cycle. However, we do not believe the Gemini of today is 1/6 of the Gemini that IPO’d. We have launched a predictions marketplace and are building a foundation for crypto, predictions, credit card rewards, and soon, stocks. Because we believe the stock is significantly undervalued, we made a strategic investment of $100 million into Gemini via Winklevoss Capital at $14/share, funded in Bitcoin. Tyler Winklevoss: This quarter, Gemini achieved product and regulatory milestones that set us up for success. In April, we received a Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) license from the CFTC. This allows us to act as a clearinghouse for derivatives, event-based contracts, and down the road, futures and perpetual contracts. This follows our Designated Contract Market (DCM) license received in late 2025. Together, DCM plus DCO allow us to build an end-to-end marketplace in-house without third-party dependencies. This positions us for perpetual contracts, which we believe will be permitted in the U.S. soon. We also launched the first agentic trading tool on a regulated U.S. exchange, allowing AI agents like Claude and ChatGPT to connect to our API to place trades autonomously. We believe Gemini will one day have more machines as customers than humans. Danijela Stojanovic: Thank you. Revenue grew 42% year-over-year to $50.3 million, driven by the credit card, our OTC business, and our first full quarter from prediction markets. Services revenue and interest income now represents 49% of total revenue, up from 31% in Q1 of 2025. Total revenue was $50.3 million. Exchange revenue was $17.2 million, down 27% year-over-year, as spot trading volume declined 53% to $6.3 billion. OTC revenue was $6.3 million, and prediction markets contributed $0.4 million in their first full quarter. Monthly transacting users were 589,000, up 17% year-over-year. On the expense side, total operating expenses were $144.5 million, up 73% year-over-year. This includes $24.2 million of stock-based compensation and $6.5 million in severance from our 30% workforce reduction. Sales and marketing was $19.1 million. Net loss for the quarter was $109 million, an improvement of 27% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $59.9 million. We ended the quarter with $215.6 million in liquidity, further bolstered by the $100 million founder investment. Ryan Todd: We will now take questions from our research analysts. Our first question comes from Adam Frisch at Evercore regarding the strategic rationale behind the $100 million investment. Cameron Winklevoss: Our belief is that Gemini stock is undervalued. We are disconnected from the underlying business. We have launched an entirely new predictions marketplace and acquired DCM and DCO licenses, which are trading north of $100 million each in the open market. We are being offensive and supporting future products, including equities. Ryan Todd: Next question is from James Yaro at Goldman Sachs on the status of the CLARITY Act. Cameron Winklevoss: It feels like we are getting closer to clarity, and we welcome a federal framework. If it stalls, we are already positioned in a very regulated posture and will continue building. Ryan Todd: Matt Coad at Truist asks about prediction markets cross-sell success. Cameron Winklevoss: We are encouraged that 3.4% of our user base has already placed a trade. Volume grew 78% month-over-month in April. We did approximately $30 million in notional last month and have already crossed $20 million so far this month. Half of that volume is crypto contracts, but we have added commodities like oil, gold, and silver. Ryan Todd: Dan Dolev from Mizuho asks about credit card performance and the higher provision for credit losses. Danijela Stojanovic: The portfolio is performing in line with expectations, with a 3.8% delinquency rate. The $8.6 million provision included a $4.1 million discrete fraud event which we believe is non-recurring. We have since strengthened our fraud controls. Pre-provision net revenue reached a new high of $3.8 million, up 150% year-over-year. Over half of our predictions traders are also Gemini cardholders. Ryan Todd: Michael Cyprys from Morgan Stanley asks about OTC and staking performance. Danijela Stojanovic: OTC performance was driven by a mix of market volatility and onboarding new institutional clients. Staking revenue was down 31% due to lower crypto asset prices and moderated network yields. However, we completed the migration to Staking 2.0, which enables auto-compounding and reduced redemption times from 50 days to eight days. Ryan Todd: John Todaro at Needham asks about prediction market categories. Cameron Winklevoss: Crypto contracts account for about 50%. Real-world commodities like oil and Brent are popular, and we’ve added weather contracts. We are just getting started and continue to ship improvements multiple times a week. Operator: This concludes today’s conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Before you buy stock in Gemini Space Station, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Gemini Space Station wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $483,476!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,362,941!* Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 998% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 207% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of May 19, 2026. This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company's SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Gemini Space (GEMI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript was originally published by The Motley Fool

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-16

Gemini Space Station Inc (GEMI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth Amidst ...

GuruFocus.com
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Revenue: $50.3 million, up 42% year-over-year. Transaction Revenue: $24.1 million, stable year-over-year. Exchange Revenue: $17.2 million, down 27% year-over-year. OTC Revenue: $6.3 million, up from $0.1 million in Q1 2025. Prediction Markets Revenue: $0.4 million, first full quarter contribution. Services Revenue and Interest Income: $24.5 million, up 122% year-over-year. Credit Card Revenue: $14.7 million, up nearly 300% year-over-year. Operating Expenses: $144.5 million, up 73% year-over-year. Net Loss: $109 million, improved by 27% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA: Loss of $59.9 million, improved from Q4 2025. Monthly Transacting Users: 589,000, up 17% year-over-year. Assets on Platform: $11.1 billion as of March 31, 2026. Cash and Cash Equivalents: $215.6 million at quarter end. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with GEMI. Is GEMI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: May 15, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) reported a 42% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $50.3 million, driven by credit card, OTC business, and prediction markets. The company received a derivatives clearing organization (DCO) license from the CFTC, enhancing its ability to clear and settle derivatives contracts. Gemini's prediction markets showed strong growth, with a 78% month-over-month increase in volume and over 100 million contracts traded since launch. The company launched agentic trading tools, allowing AI agents to autonomously trade and manage risk, positioning Gemini as a leader in this emerging field. A strategic $100 million investment by Winklevoss Capital into Gemini, funded in Bitcoin, underscores confidence in the company's future growth potential. Despite revenue growth, Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) reported a net loss of $109 million for the quarter, though this was an improvement from the previous year. Crypto market volatility led to a 53% decline in total spot trading volume, impacting exchange revenue, which fell by 27% year-over-year. Operating expenses increased by 73% year-over-year, driven by one-time items such as stock-based compensation and severance costs. Staking revenue decreased by 31% year-over-year due to lower asset prices and reduced…Read full document

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Revenue: $50.3 million, up 42% year-over-year. Transaction Revenue: $24.1 million, stable year-over-year. Exchange Revenue: $17.2 million, down 27% year-over-year. OTC Revenue: $6.3 million, up from $0.1 million in Q1 2025. Prediction Markets Revenue: $0.4 million, first full quarter contribution. Services Revenue and Interest Income: $24.5 million, up 122% year-over-year. Credit Card Revenue: $14.7 million, up nearly 300% year-over-year. Operating Expenses: $144.5 million, up 73% year-over-year. Net Loss: $109 million, improved by 27% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA: Loss of $59.9 million, improved from Q4 2025. Monthly Transacting Users: 589,000, up 17% year-over-year. Assets on Platform: $11.1 billion as of March 31, 2026. Cash and Cash Equivalents: $215.6 million at quarter end. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with GEMI. Is GEMI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: May 15, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) reported a 42% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $50.3 million, driven by credit card, OTC business, and prediction markets. The company received a derivatives clearing organization (DCO) license from the CFTC, enhancing its ability to clear and settle derivatives contracts. Gemini's prediction markets showed strong growth, with a 78% month-over-month increase in volume and over 100 million contracts traded since launch. The company launched agentic trading tools, allowing AI agents to autonomously trade and manage risk, positioning Gemini as a leader in this emerging field. A strategic $100 million investment by Winklevoss Capital into Gemini, funded in Bitcoin, underscores confidence in the company's future growth potential. Despite revenue growth, Gemini Space Station Inc (NASDAQ:GEMI) reported a net loss of $109 million for the quarter, though this was an improvement from the previous year. Crypto market volatility led to a 53% decline in total spot trading volume, impacting exchange revenue, which fell by 27% year-over-year. Operating expenses increased by 73% year-over-year, driven by one-time items such as stock-based compensation and severance costs. Staking revenue decreased by 31% year-over-year due to lower asset prices and reduced staking yields. The company faced a $4.1 million charge related to a fraud incident, highlighting challenges in maintaining robust fraud controls. Q: The $100 million private placement at $14 a share is a strong vote of confidence. Can you discuss the strategic rationale behind the investment and whether there are any commercial or product implications? How does the additional liquidity affect your priorities across exchange, card, predictions, and derivatives? A: Cameron Winklevoss, President and Co-Founder, explained that the investment reflects their belief that Gemini stock is significantly undervalued. The funds will support existing and upcoming products, including equities. The investment underscores their conviction in Gemini's growth potential, especially with new market offerings like prediction markets and the acquisition of DCM and DCO licenses. Q: Could you comment on the status of the Clarity Act? How do you expect this bill to evolve, and what are your latest views on the impacts on your business? A: Cameron Winklevoss noted that Gemini has been building a regulated exchange in the US and is encouraged by the progress towards the Clarity Act. While the timing is uncertain, they believe a good regulatory framework will positively impact the market. Regardless of the bill's progress, Gemini is well-positioned to continue its operations under existing regulations. Q: The prediction market's cross-sell continues to progress well, with 3.5% of the user base engaging. Could you provide more detail on how you're driving this successful cross-sell and where you expect the penetration rate to be by year-end? A: Cameron Winklevoss highlighted the early success of the prediction markets, with significant user engagement and growth. They continue to integrate the product within the Gemini app and expect further growth as more users discover and engage with the platform. The focus is on increasing liquidity and engagement, with a notable increase in prediction market volume. Q: Can you walk through current credit performance versus expectations and how funding is evolving as receivables grow? What happened with the higher provision for credit losses this quarter? A: Danijela Stojanovic, Interim CFO, stated that the credit portfolio is performing as expected, with improvements in delinquency and charge-off rates. The higher provision for credit losses was primarily due to a non-recurring fraud event, which has been addressed with enhanced controls. Funding remains stable, with a warehouse facility supporting portfolio growth. Q: What drove the strong OTC performance? Is this due to crypto market volatility, or is there a structural change? Also, why was staking revenue lower than expected? A: Danijela Stojanovic explained that OTC performance was driven by both market conditions and business momentum, with increased institutional engagement. Staking revenue declined due to lower crypto asset prices and reduced staking yields. However, Gemini has upgraded its staking infrastructure, positioning it well for future growth when market conditions improve. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

Update: Gemini Space Station Shares Rise After Q1 Results Top Estimates; Secures $100 Million Investment

MT Newswires

(Updates with share movement in the headline and first paragraph, additional details on the investme

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

Gemini Space Station Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat
Interested in Gemini Space Station, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Gemini’s Q1 revenue rose 42% year over year to $50.3 million even as crypto trading volumes fell sharply, showing the company is increasingly relying on non-trading businesses to drive growth. Services revenue became a much bigger part of the mix, up 122% to $24.4 million and nearly half of total revenue, led by a 300% jump in credit card revenue and strong growth in OTC and prediction markets. Losses narrowed and the founders backed the company with a $100 million investment, while Gemini also highlighted new regulatory licenses and product expansion plans aimed at building a broader “markets company” beyond crypto trading. Gemini Space Station (NASDAQ:GEMI) reported higher first-quarter revenue as the crypto platform said it is moving to diversify beyond digital asset trading through credit cards, over-the-counter trading, prediction markets and planned future products. On the company’s first-quarter 2026 earnings call, co-founder and President Cameron Winklevoss said Gemini has made “meaningful progress” toward its goal of becoming what he described as a “markets company,” rather than a business tied primarily to crypto market cycles. Interim CFO Danijela Stojanovic said total revenue rose 42% year-over-year to $50.3 million, even as crypto trading activity weakened materially from the prior-year period. → Micron Investors Face a High-Stakes Moment After the Latest Rally “This revenue growth was achieved against a backdrop of materially lower crypto trading volumes than Q1 of 2025,” Stojanovic said. Gemini’s transaction revenue was $24.1 million, roughly stable from a year earlier. Within that category, exchange revenue fell 27% year-over-year to $17.2 million, reflecting lower crypto market activity. Total spot trading volume dropped 53% to $6.3 billion from $13.5 billion in the first quarter of 2025. → How Bad Could Tesla’s Cybertruck Recall Be for Shares? Stojanovic said the smaller decline in exchange revenue compared with trading volume reflected “continued improvement” in Gemini’s fee economics. OTC revenue increased to $6.3 million from $0.1 million in the prior-year quarter. Stojanovic attributed the performance to both episodic client demand and structural improvements in the business, including new institutional clients added through Gemini’s eOTC API program. She cau…Read full document

Interested in Gemini Space Station, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Gemini’s Q1 revenue rose 42% year over year to $50.3 million even as crypto trading volumes fell sharply, showing the company is increasingly relying on non-trading businesses to drive growth. Services revenue became a much bigger part of the mix, up 122% to $24.4 million and nearly half of total revenue, led by a 300% jump in credit card revenue and strong growth in OTC and prediction markets. Losses narrowed and the founders backed the company with a $100 million investment, while Gemini also highlighted new regulatory licenses and product expansion plans aimed at building a broader “markets company” beyond crypto trading. Gemini Space Station (NASDAQ:GEMI) reported higher first-quarter revenue as the crypto platform said it is moving to diversify beyond digital asset trading through credit cards, over-the-counter trading, prediction markets and planned future products. On the company’s first-quarter 2026 earnings call, co-founder and President Cameron Winklevoss said Gemini has made “meaningful progress” toward its goal of becoming what he described as a “markets company,” rather than a business tied primarily to crypto market cycles. Interim CFO Danijela Stojanovic said total revenue rose 42% year-over-year to $50.3 million, even as crypto trading activity weakened materially from the prior-year period. → Micron Investors Face a High-Stakes Moment After the Latest Rally “This revenue growth was achieved against a backdrop of materially lower crypto trading volumes than Q1 of 2025,” Stojanovic said. Gemini’s transaction revenue was $24.1 million, roughly stable from a year earlier. Within that category, exchange revenue fell 27% year-over-year to $17.2 million, reflecting lower crypto market activity. Total spot trading volume dropped 53% to $6.3 billion from $13.5 billion in the first quarter of 2025. → How Bad Could Tesla’s Cybertruck Recall Be for Shares? Stojanovic said the smaller decline in exchange revenue compared with trading volume reflected “continued improvement” in Gemini’s fee economics. OTC revenue increased to $6.3 million from $0.1 million in the prior-year quarter. Stojanovic attributed the performance to both episodic client demand and structural improvements in the business, including new institutional clients added through Gemini’s eOTC API program. She cautioned that OTC activity can be “somewhat lumpy” and said investors should not assume the same level of episodic large trades every quarter. → How Berkshire’s New York Times Bet Looks Today Prediction markets, which Gemini launched in December 2025, contributed $0.4 million to transaction revenue in their first full quarter. Stojanovic said April prediction market volume increased 78% month-over-month, and the platform has surpassed 100 million contracts traded across more than 20,000 traders since launch. Services revenue and interest income totaled $24.4 million, up 122% year-over-year, and accounted for 49% of total revenue compared with 31% in the first quarter of 2025. Stojanovic said the shift is central to Gemini’s strategy of building a business less dependent on crypto market cycles. The Gemini credit card was a major contributor. Credit card revenue rose nearly 300% year-over-year to $14.7 million. Gemini ended the quarter with more than 154,000 open card accounts, up 111,000 from a year earlier. Managed receivables increased to $217 million from $69 million. Advisory fee revenue was $2.7 million, reflecting an advisory services agreement with a strategic customer entered into during the third quarter of 2025. Custodial fee revenue was $1.9 million, roughly flat year-over-year. Staking revenue fell 31% to $2.1 million, which Stojanovic attributed to lower crypto asset prices and reduced staking yields compared with elevated levels in early 2025. Gemini posted a net loss of $109 million, compared with a net loss of $149.3 million in the first quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $59.9 million, compared with a loss of $92.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and a loss of $61.6 million in the prior-year quarter. Total operating expenses were $144.5 million, up 73% year-over-year. Stojanovic said the figure included one-time and non-cash items, including $24.2 million of stock-based compensation and $6.5 million of severance and related payroll taxes tied to a roughly 30% workforce reduction completed in the quarter. Headcount at quarter-end was approximately 441. Stojanovic said the restructuring began flowing through results in the first quarter and will be more fully reflected in the second quarter as Gemini enters a lower cost run rate. Transaction losses increased to $11.1 million from $4.1 million a year earlier. The increase included a $4.6 million provision for expected credit losses on the credit card portfolio, a $4.1 million credit card fraud reserve and $2.4 million in ACH and other transaction losses. In response to analyst questions, Stojanovic said the fraud charge related to a discrete event that was identified, contained and fully reserved for during the quarter. She said Gemini implemented additional controls and monitoring enhancements, while declining to discuss the mechanics of the incident for security reasons. Cameron Winklevoss said Gemini’s share price does not reflect the company’s current position or recent product launches. He noted that Bitcoin is down roughly 30% since Gemini’s initial public offering and said the company remains tied to the crypto cycle “to some degree.” Gemini said Winklevoss Capital made a $100 million strategic investment in the company at $14 per share of Class A common stock, funded in Bitcoin. Cameron Winklevoss said the investment reflects the founders’ belief that Gemini stock is “significantly undervalued.” In response to an analyst question, he said the funds will support existing products and products Gemini hopes to bring to market, including equities. He also pointed to Gemini’s prediction markets and its regulatory licenses as developments he believes are not reflected in the stock price. Co-founder Tyler Winklevoss said Gemini received a derivatives clearing organization license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in April. He said the DCO license, together with Gemini’s designated contract market license received in December 2025, positions the company to build an end-to-end marketplace in-house for prediction market and event contract trading. Tyler Winklevoss said the DCO license also positions Gemini for potential future offerings, including perpetual contracts, if a regulated U.S. path develops. He said most price discovery in Bitcoin currently occurs in perpetuals markets offshore and on unregulated exchanges. The company also highlighted its launch of an agentic trading tool through a regulated U.S.-based exchange. Tyler Winklevoss said the tool allows customers to connect AI agents, including Claude and ChatGPT, to Gemini’s API to place trades, monitor markets and manage risk autonomously. Gemini did not provide formal revenue guidance, citing continued macro uncertainty. Stojanovic said the company expects cash compensation, excluding stock-based compensation and restructuring charges, to decline 15% to 20% relative to 2025 levels. She said full-year stock-based compensation is expected to total $100 million to $115 million, while combined technology and general and administrative expenses are expected to range from $155 million to $190 million. Gemini ended the quarter with $215.6 million in cash and cash equivalents. Stojanovic said the company’s priorities for the rest of 2026 are revenue growth, diversification away from digital asset trading, cost discipline and continued investment in products including the card and prediction markets. Our mission is to unlock the next era of financial, creative, and personal freedom. Gemini envisions a future where crypto will redesign the global financial system, the internet, and money in a way that provides greater choice, independence, and opportunity for all. As a trusted bridge between the traditional financial system and the emerging cryptoeconomy, we are providing access for individuals and institutions to a decentralized future that is more open, fair, and secure. Gemini was founded in 2014 to be the most trusted, secure, and easy way to buy, sell, and store crypto assets. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "Gemini Space Station Q1 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for May 2026.

TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-15

FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 48 paragraphs
Operator

Good day. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Gemini first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would like to hand the conference over to Ryan Todd, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Ryan Todd

Good morning, and thank you for joining Gemini's first quarter 2026 earnings call. My name is Ryan Todd, Head of Investor Relations at Gemini. Joining me on the call today are Gemini's Co-Founders, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, and our Interim CFO, Danijela Stojanovic. Yesterday, we released our first quarter 2026 financial results. During today's call, we may make forward-looking statements which may vary materially from actual results and are based on management's current expectations, forecasts, and assumptions. Information concerning the risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause these results to differ is included in our SEC filings.

Ryan Todd

Our discussion today will also include certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in the earnings presentation on our investor relations website and on the SEC's website. Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for, GAAP measures. We'll start today's call with prepared remarks and then take questions. With that, let me turn the call over to our Founders, Cameron and Tyler.

Cameron Winklevoss

Good morning. Thank you all for joining us on our Q1 2026 earnings call. I'm Cameron Winklevoss, President and Co-Founder of Gemini. Since announcing Gemini 2.0, we believe we have made meaningful progress towards our goal of building Gemini into a markets company. We started as a Bitcoin company. We became a crypto company. We are now building the super app for the markets economy, our vision of being the bridge to the future of money and markets. This quarter, we made meaningful progress towards that vision. While we still have significant work ahead, we grew revenue this quarter 42% and transaction revenue held steady year-over-year, even as trading volume declined more than 50% due to meaningful softness in the broader crypto market trading activity. While these are positive headline numbers, we recognize where our share price currently sits.

Cameron Winklevoss

The price of Bitcoin is down roughly 30% since our IPO, and as a crypto-native business, we are tied to that cycle to some degree. We do not believe the Gemini of today is 1/6 of the Gemini that IPO'd. When we went public in September, we did not have a predictions marketplace. We do now. We were a crypto company. Today, we are building the foundation for so much more. Our ability to launch and scale market infrastructure is rooted in more than a decade of experience building Gemini's crypto marketplace. We have demonstrated this with our predictions product, which we chose to build in-house instead of partnering like some of our competitors. With our recently acquired DCO license from the CFTC, which Tyler will discuss shortly, we're even better equipped to bring this vision to life.

Cameron Winklevoss

This license, combined with our experience building marketplaces, will help enable us to fully own the customer experience and deliver a best-in-class predictions marketplace. We truly believe that when you create value by offering more options to customers across multiple asset classes, crypto predictions, credit card rewards, and soon we expect stocks, you build a company that is indexed to markets broadly, not just to a single cycle. That is what Gemini is working toward becoming, and we believe the foundation we built this quarter is a meaningful step in that direction.

Cameron Winklevoss

For these reasons, we think Gemini stock is significantly undervalued, which is why we made a strategic investment of $100 million into Gemini via Winklevoss Capital at a price of $14/share of the company's Class A common stock with the investment funded in Bitcoin. We strongly believe this investment will allow us to set up the company for its next phase of growth. With that, I'd like to turn it over to Tyler to discuss some of our business highlights this quarter and how they will shape our future.

Tyler Winklevoss

Thanks, Cameron. Tyler here. This quarter, Gemini achieved product and regulatory milestones that will help set us up for success going forward. In April, Gemini received a derivatives clearing organization license from the CFTC. I want to spend a moment on what this is, why it matters, and what it unlocks. A DCO, or derivatives clearing organization, allows us to act as a clearinghouse, the entity that clears and settles derivatives contracts, prediction market contracts, event-based contracts, and down the road, futures, options, and perpetual contracts. The DCO uses the same clearing structure that has underpinned crucial derivatives markets for decades. This DCO follows our DCM, our designated contract market license, which we received in December 2025. A DCM allows you to list derivatives contracts. We started with events contracts for our prediction marketplace. The DCO is the other half of the puzzle.

Tyler Winklevoss

Together, DCM plus DCO represent key milestones as we seek to build an end-to-end marketplace in-house without material third-party dependencies. This combination is rare. Most of our competitors have moved into derivatives through acquisition. Gemini built its DCM and DCO in-house, the same way we built our crypto exchange over the past decade. Our regulatory positioning is foundational, not bolted on. Holding the DCM and DCO ourselves helps unlock our ability to clear prediction market and event contract trades through our own infrastructure today. It also better positions us for what comes after predictions, which we believe is perpetual contracts. Perps are the most traded product in global crypto markets by a significant margin. Most of the price discovery for Bitcoin happens in perpetuals markets, not spot.

Tyler Winklevoss

Right now, all of that volume and price discovery happens offshore on unregulated exchanges, largely because there has been no regulated path for perps in the United States. The crypto story in terms of regulated onshore price discovery does not fully start in America until perpetuals are permitted here. We believe that will happen in the United States soon based on the CFTC's public comments. We expect Gemini to be among the platforms best positioned to win in this arena when it arrives. In addition to securing our DCO, Gemini made strides this quarter in what we think will be the next frontier for trading, which is agentic trading. We launched the first agentic trading tool available directly through a regulated U.S.-based exchange.

Tyler Winklevoss

Agentic trading allows customers to connect AI agents, including Claude, ChatGPT, and others directly to Gemini's full API to place trades, monitor markets, and manage risk autonomously. While we are still in early innings for agentic trading, we have long believed that Gemini will one day have more machines as customers than humans. Humans may have built crypto, but crypto is not so much money for humans as it is money for machines. Taken together, we believe our DCO license and agentic trading launch represents the first steps to building out our long-term vision of being the go-to super app for the future of money and markets in the United States. With that, I'll turn over the call to our Interim CFO, Danijela, to discuss our financial results for the quarter in greater detail.

Danijela Stojanovic

Thank you, Cameron and Tyler. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I'll start with a few key takeaways from the quarter, then walk you through the results in detail and close with our financial outlook for the year. Let me highlight three things up front. First, revenue grew 42% year-over-year to $50.3 million. That growth was broad-based, driven by the credit card, our OTC business, and our first full quarter contribution from prediction markets. Importantly, this revenue growth was achieved against a backdrop of materially lower crypto trading volumes than Q1 of 2025. Second, services revenue and interest income continued its structural shift, reaching $24.5 million and now representing 49% of total revenue, up from 31% in Q1 of 2025.

Danijela Stojanovic

This diversification is central to our strategy of building a business that is less dependent on crypto market cycles. Third, our cost restructuring is taking hold. The roughly 30% workforce reduction completed in Q1 started flowing through the financials and will be more fully reflected in Q2 as we enter a lower run rate cost structure. Turning to revenue. Total revenue was $50.3 million, up 42% year-over-year from $35.3 million in Q1 of 2025. Transaction revenue maintained stable year-over-year at $24.1 million. Within that, there were meaningful moving parts worth walking through. Exchange revenue was $17.2 million, down 27% year-over-year, reflecting the significant pullback in crypto market activity. Total spot trading volume declined to $6.3 billion from $13.5 billion in Q1 of 2025.

Danijela Stojanovic

That's a 53% decline in volume against only a 27% decline in exchange revenue, which reflects continued improvement in our fee economics. OTC revenue was $6.3 million compared to $0.1 million in Q1 of 2025. This performance reflects both opportunistic and structural tailwinds. The quarter included meaningful one-time volume driven by episodic client demand, contributing to an elevated baseline not fully expected to repeat. Importantly, underlying business momentum remained strong. The eOTC API program added new institutional clients during the quarter, expanding the desk's recurring revenue base and supporting a more durable growth trajectory going forward. For the first time, prediction markets contributed $0.4 million to transaction revenue, reflecting our first full quarter following the December 2025 launch.

Danijela Stojanovic

Adoption accelerated throughout the quarter and has continued to accelerate into Q2, with April volume up 78% month-over-month. Since launch, the platform has surpassed 100 million contracts traded across more than 20,000 traders. As a reminder, this is still an early-stage product for us, and our focus today is on building liquidity, engagement, and market depth on our own infrastructure. We expect monetization to scale over time as the platform matures. Turning to services revenue and interest income, which was $24.4 million, up 122% year-over-year. The majority of this growth was driven by services, particularly the credit card, which I'll walk through now. Credit card revenue was $14.7 million, up nearly 300% year-over-year. As of quarter end, we had over 154,000 open card accounts, up 111,000 year-over-year.

Danijela Stojanovic

Growth in Q1 of 2026 remained steady, though sign-ups can vary quarter-to-quarter, particularly as we continue to refine acquisition channels and strengthen risk controls as the portfolio scales. The expansion of the cardholder base is the primary driver of managed receivables growing from $69 million to $217 million over the same period, more than a tripling of the portfolio. Advisory fee revenue was $2.7 million, consistent with the prior quarter, reflecting our ongoing advisory services agreement with the strategic customer entered into during Q3 of 2025. There was no comparable revenue in Q1 of 2025. Custodial fee revenue was $1.9 million, roughly flat year-over-year. Staking revenue was $2.1 million, down 31% year-over-year, reflecting lower asset prices and reduced staking yields relative to the elevated crypto market levels in the prior year period. Turning to expenses.

Danijela Stojanovic

Total operating expenses were $144.5 million in Q1, up 73% year-over-year. I want to be direct about what's in those numbers because there are meaningful one-time items that create some noise relative to our ongoing cost structure. Salaries and compensation were $65.4 million. This includes $24.2 million of stock-based compensation and $6.5 million of severance and related payroll taxes associated with the Q1 workforce reduction, the latter being a one-time item that will not repeat. Excluding those items, core cash compensation was $34.8 million, though it's worth noting that figure still includes partial quarter salary costs for the approximately 30% of employees who departed during Q1. The true run rate entering into Q2 is lower. Headcount at quarter end was approximately 441.

Danijela Stojanovic

Sales and marketing was $19.1 million, up 111% year-over-year. Down significantly from the $32.9 million and $39 million we spent in Q3 and Q4 of 2025, respectively. We are continuing to deploy marketing capital opportunistically, calibrated to market conditions and acquisition ROI. Within that figure, brand and performance marketing was $7.6 million, and credit card rewards and promotional and referral incentives were $11.4 million. Transaction losses were $11.1 million, up from $4.1 million in Q1 of 2025. The increase was driven by three items. Our provision for expected credit losses on the credit card portfolio of $4.6 million, up from $2.5 million in Q1 of 2025 as the portfolio continues to scale.

Danijela Stojanovic

A credit card fraud reserve of $4.1 million, a new item with no comparable charge in Q1 of 2025. ACH and other transaction losses of $2.4 million, up from $1.6 million in Q1 of 2025. The provision and fraud reserve reflect seasoning dynamics on a rapidly growing portfolio, and overall credit performance remains consistent with our expectations. We have also taken steps to further strengthen our fraud controls and monitoring. Technology expenses were $22.1 million, up 32% year-over-year, reflecting infrastructure investments to support platform growth and new product launches. General and administrative expenses were $21.7 million, up 55% year-over-year, driven primarily by higher legal expenses. Combined, tech and G&A was $43.7 million for the quarter.

Danijela Stojanovic

On the bottom line, net loss was $109 million, an improvement of 27% year-over-year compared to a net loss of $149.3 million in Q1 of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $59.9 million compared to a loss of $92.2 million in Q4 of 2025 and a loss of $61.6 million in Q1 of 2025. The sequential improvement reflects the early impact of our cost actions, though the full benefit of the Q1 restructuring will begin to flow through in Q2. We are not satisfied with the current loss levels, but we believe the path forward is clear.

Danijela Stojanovic

Scaling the card efficiently, growing predictions, and continuing to build recurring services revenue that compounds regardless of trading volumes while maintaining discipline on our expense base and leveraging the infrastructure we've built across the platform. A few platform metrics worth noting. Monthly transacting users were 589,000, up 17% year-over-year. That growth is occurring despite a softer trading environment, which reflects the platform diversification we've been building across the card, staking, and now prediction markets. Assets on platform were $11.1 billion as of March 31st, 2026, compared to $14.2 billion as of March 31st, 2025. That decline reflects lower crypto asset valuations relative to the elevated market levels in the prior year period, not a reduction in user engagement or assets managed. Let me close with our outlook.

Danijela Stojanovic

We are not providing formal revenue guidance at this time, consistent with our approach last quarter, given the continued uncertainty in the macro environment. On expenses, the restructuring actions we announced in Q1 are expected to begin flowing fully through the cost structure in Q2. The key parameters we shared last quarter remain unchanged. To briefly recap those, cash compensation, excluding stock-based compensation and restructuring charges, is expected to decline 15%-20% relative to 2025 levels. Stock-based compensation is expected to total $100 million-$115 million for the full year. Technology and G&A combined is expected to range from $155 million-$190 million for the full year. Marketing, excluding rewards and promotions, is expected to run at 10%-15% of revenue.

Danijela Stojanovic

On liquidity, we ended the quarter with $215.6 million in cash and cash equivalents. As Cameron and Tyler noted, our founders have completed a $100 million direct investment into Gemini funded in Bitcoin, further strengthening our balance sheet as we execute on our 2026 priorities. The through line across all of this is straightforward. We are growing revenue, diversifying away from digital asset trading, holding discipline on cost, and as our founders' commitment demonstrates, we have both the conviction and capital behind us to see it through. The focus for the balance of 2026 is about disciplined execution on each of these priorities. To summarize, Q1 showed meaningful progress on the priorities we laid out. Revenue grew 42% year-over-year. Services revenue and interest income now represent nearly half of total revenue, and our cost reset is underway.

Danijela Stojanovic

The momentum in the card, the early traction in predictions, and the growth in our OTC business give us confidence that we are building a more durable platform. We have more work to do on profitability, and we are moving with urgency. We are building a more diversified, more disciplined business, and we believe we are better positioned to scale as market conditions improve. With that, I'll hand it back to Ryan to open up the Q&A.

Ryan Todd

We will now take questions from our research analysts. Questions were submitted to us in writing, and we will take one question per analyst. Our first question comes from Adam Frisch at Evercore, who asks, "The $100 million private placement at $14 a share is a strong vote of confidence. Can you discuss the strategic rationale behind the investment and whether there are any commercial or product implications, and how the additional liquidity affects your priorities across exchange, card, predictions, and derivatives?"

Cameron Winklevoss

Thanks for the question, Adam. This is Cameron. In regards to our $100 million investment, our belief is that the Gemini stock is significantly undervalued at current levels, and we believe this investment reflects that belief and our conviction in Gemini. With respect to the use of funds, we're focused on being offensive and supporting existing as well as products that are hopefully coming to market soon, including equities. When we look at the business, we really feel it's disconnected. The share price is disconnected from the underlying business. When we look at where Gemini was when it launched in IPO'd in September of 2025, we don't believe that this is a business that's one-sixth of the value of that company that IPO'd, and in fact, quite the opposite.

Cameron Winklevoss

We feel that we have since launched an entirely new marketplace of prediction markets, which we're really excited about. We're really encouraged with the growth so far. We've acquired a DCM license as well as a DCO license along the way, and those licenses alone are trading north of $100 million in the open market each. I don't think the share price reflects any of that underlying value, let alone the improvements in our product. So we're looking to continue to support existing products and focuses as well as future products and including equities, which we hope to launch soon.

Ryan Todd

The next question is from James Yaro at Goldman Sachs, who asks, "Could you comment on the status of the CLARITY Act? How do you expect this bill to evolve, and what are your latest views on the impacts on your business?"

Cameron Winklevoss

We've been building a regulated exchange and custodian, for over a decade now in the U.S., via the state MTL path, and we will continue to do so until there is a federal framework, such as CLARITY. It definitely feels like we're getting closer to CLARITY. It's hard to predict exactly what the timing will be. But we're definitely encouraged with the direction and the pace that things are moving. I think that we've always believed that a good bill, the right bill, will be very positive for the market, and we welcome that. We hope that is the case and continues to sort of make its way through the rounds. At the same time, if for whatever reason it does stall out, we are a built and positioned in a very regulated posture, and we'll just continue building and doing what we're doing.

Ryan Todd

Our next question comes from Matt Coad at Truist, who asks: The prediction markets cross-sell continues to progress well, with 3.5% of our user base now putting in a trade since the product's inception last year. Could you provide some more detail on how you're driving this successful cross-sell, where you would expect the penetration rate to sit at the end of the year, and how you're seeing engagement levels trend as well?

Cameron Winklevoss

Thanks for this question, Matt. The cross-sell, we're seeing a lot of good success there. We're very encouraged at the 3.4% so far. Hard to predict where that settles out, but I think that the story here is that we're very early with this product predictions within Gemini. We continue to surface it within the app. It's one of our core tabs. We also surface it in different buy flows. I think there's a number of users who still just haven't found it yet and don't, you know that Gemini is in predictions and are discovering it on a daily basis or a weekly basis.

Cameron Winklevoss

We think that there's a lot of room to grow here, both within the Gemini ecosystem, but also people outside of it who are not currently customers today who are seeing our product on social media or hearing about it and curious to give it a try. We're seeing some cool results. We had 78% month-over-month growth in total prediction market volume. I think we did almost approximately $30 million in notional last month. Far this month, we've crossed $20 million in notional, so we think we will beat last month, and hopefully, you know, by a considerable amount. We'll have to see. I think the key thing is, are we continuing to grow month-over-month, and what is that growth rate? That's, I think, the name of the game right now.

Cameron Winklevoss

We're seeing about half of that volume is coming from crypto contracts, which makes sense. We have obviously a very, you know, user base that's passionate about crypto contracts, and we've been adding just a lot more durations with monthly touch contracts, weekly, daily, hourly, 15 minutes, five minutes, starting with Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, and XRP now. We're just adding more contracts, more durations. We added a lot of real-world commodities in the past quarter, including oil, gold, silver. We're, you know, the story's early, and it's hard to say exactly, you know, where that gets saturated, but we think that there's people that are discovering the product and really liking it.

Ryan Todd

Our next question comes from Dan Dolev from Mizuho, who asks: On credit card, can you walk through current credit performance versus expectations and how funding is evolving as receivables grow, including what changes if macro softens? Combining a follow-up question asked: Can you speak to the higher provision for credit losses in the quarter? What happened there, and what is being done to prevent another incident of that size in the future?

Danijela Stojanovic

Sure. Thanks so much, Dan, for the question. I'll try to walk through these questions one by one. On credit performance broadly, the portfolio is performing in line with our expectations. Our 30+ day delinquency rate was 3.8% at quarter end, and our annualized charge-off rate is running around 3.5%. Both of which sort of represent meaningful improvement from where we were a year ago when the portfolio was in its really earliest and most delinquency-prone stage. On the provision specifics, specifically, we don't see that $8.6 million figure you would have seen in our earnings release as a representative of the underlying credit trajectory. I want to be really clear about why.

Danijela Stojanovic

As we also disclosed, roughly $4.1 million of that charge related to a discrete fraud event that occurred during the quarter. That item, we believe is non-recurring, and most importantly, we have taken real steps to strengthen our fraud controls to prevent a reoccurrence. Normalizing for that item, our core provision was approximately $4.6 million higher than Q4, and which does reflect some normal seasoning as the portfolio matures, but consistent with what we'd expect from a portfolio that has tripled in size over the past year. In terms of what happened with that fraud incident, we're not going to discuss the exact mechanics or attack vector for security reasons, but what we can say is that the issue was identified, contained, and fully reserved for during the quarter.

Danijela Stojanovic

Following that incident, we've definitely implemented additional controls and monitoring enhancements across the affected workflows. I think what's important to note is fraud is not a static problem, so fraudsters continuously adapt their methods, particularly in digital financial ecosystems, and our controls and monitoring frameworks evolve alongside that. Just to add also, our pre-provision net revenue reached a new high of $3.8 million this quarter, which is up over 150% year-over-year. That's the signal on the underlying economics of the card business. You asked on funding. On funding, we have our warehouse facility in place that has scaled alongside receivables and provides us the capacity we need to support the portfolio today. Our funding costs are manageable, and we're actively evaluating our long-term funding mix as the portfolio continues to grow.

Danijela Stojanovic

We maintain an open and ongoing dialogue with our funding partners and continue to stress test the portfolio under different macro scenarios. Stepping back, we continue to view the card less as a standalone product and more as a strategic engagement layer inside the Gemini ecosystem. Over half of our predictions traders are also holders of the Gemini Credit Card, and we remain very focused on credit discipline and portfolio economics, as well as the broader value creation that comes from driving deeper multi-product engagement across the platform. While quarterly growth rates may moderate relative to the initial high growth launch phase that we saw, we continue to believe that the card can be an engagement driver for the broader Gemini ecosystem and hopefully facilitate Gemini's long-term growth.

Ryan Todd

The next question comes from Michael Cyprys from Morgan Stanley. What drove the strong OTC performance? Is this a function of crypto market volatility and users opting for a different approach, or is there something more structural going on, and should we expect that momentum to carry forward? As a quick follow-up on staking, anything to call out on staking being lower than expected? Do you view this alongside a downturn in trading activity?

Danijela Stojanovic

Sure. Thanks, Michael. We're very pleased with the OTC performance this quarter. This quarter really reflected a combination of both market conditions and underlying business momentum. I'll touch on both. On the market side, there was some episodic activity during the quarter tied to client positioning and periods of market volatility, which contributed to elevated volumes. We view the continued maturity of the platform itself as the most important trend though. Over the last several quarters, we have expanded our electronic OTC capabilities, onboarded additional API-driven institutional counterparties, and also deepened engagement with existing clients. We're increasingly seeing repeat flow from clients integrating Gemini into their trading infrastructure rather than approaching the desk opportunistically. We will continue to look for ways to expand our OTC offerings and capabilities.

Danijela Stojanovic

In terms of sustainability, we would not necessarily extrapolate the exact Q1 growth rate or assume every quarter will benefit from the same level of episodic large trades. OTC can be naturally somewhat lumpy quarter-to-quarter, but structurally, we do believe the business is stronger today than it was a year ago. Our client base is broader, electronic penetration is increasing, and institutional engagement remains healthy. While volatility can amplify activity in any given quarter, we think there is still meaningful underlying growth trajectory in the product itself. I'll touch on staking as well. Staking was down 31% year-over-year, and there are two straightforward factors that's really driving that. The first is crypto asset prices. Staking revenue is the direct function of the value of assets staked on our platform.

Danijela Stojanovic

When ETH and Solana prices are lower relative to a year ago, the dollar value of rewards that we generate for customers and the fees we earn on that are proportionally lower. That's really the majority of the year-over-year decline, and it's a dynamic that's fully correlated with the broader crypto market environment. The second factor is staking yields on the networks themselves, which have moderated from the elevated levels that we saw in early 2025. We don't view this as a concerning signal for the staking business. During the first quarter of 2026, our team completed a full migration of our users to Staking 2.0, which is a ground-up rebuild of our staking infrastructure that we believe fundamentally changes our ability to grow in this business going forward. The new architecture enables auto-compounding for ETH validators.

Danijela Stojanovic

It reduces the redemption time from roughly 50 days to eight days for the vast majority of staked funds and gives us the infrastructure foundation to rapidly onboard new networks and institutional customers. Lastly, we have also launched a fully rebuilt staking UX during the quarter. While the revenue line is reflecting the macro environment, the underlying investment in the platform positions us well when asset prices and yields recover.

Ryan Todd

Our final question comes from John Todaro at Needham. Prediction markets are still in the early stage, but great to see 78% month-over-month growth in April. What type of clients are trading prediction markets? More specifically, are there any specific categories within prediction markets that your clients are trading? As a quick follow-up, are there any categories around these markets that are not currently offered to clients where you see long-term growth opportunities?

Cameron Winklevoss

Thanks for the question. The, the crypto contracts are one of our biggest categories. I think they account for about 50% of the contracts traded. As I mentioned earlier, we have all types of durations on various crypto contracts, starting with Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP, and Zcash. Zcash in particular has been really popular the last week or so with the recent price action and run-up in price. Then we have a full suite of spot contracts. Those are also quite popular. We added in the past quarter a lot of real-world commodities, including oil, the price of WTI, the price of Brent, we have durations on that from monthly to weekly to daily contracts, we'll continue to expand that outward. We've added some weather contracts.

Cameron Winklevoss

We've seen interest there. I think we'll continue to go wider and deeper. I think we have hundreds of contracts trading per day, but I think that can easily scale into the thousands with all the different price levels. We see continued interest from market makers and participants who are already in the space on other venues who see the growth in our marketplace and are curious to provide liquidity and trade it. We're just getting started. I think we got our, we launched in December 15th.

Cameron Winklevoss

I think we're maybe less than perhaps two quarters or just over two quarters since launch, and the product is sort of unrecognizable from the MVP that we launched in late 2025. We continue to ship improvements multiple times a week and so we're really excited about it, and I think our customers are realizing, "Oh, wow, you guys are really making a lot of progress here. I don't need to leave Gemini. I can do all of my predictions here." We're excited about that.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-30

Robinhood Leads Crypto Stocks Lower After Disappointing Earnings

CryptoProwl

Down 14% after disappointing earnings, Robinhood Markets’ (NASDAQ: $HOOD) stock is leading a rout in crypto-related securities on April 29. Cryptocurrency stocks are falling after Robinhood's earnings missed Wall Street forecasts and amid escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Robinhood reported a 47% decline in crypto-related revenue during this year’s first quarter, stunning many analysts and investors and leading to the current rout. More From Cryptoprowl: Ripple, The Company Behind XRP, Is Valued At $50 Billion Eightco Secures $125 Million Investment From Bitmine And ARK Invest, Shares Surge Blockchain Projects Decline 75% As Developers Shift To A.I. Stanley Druckenmiller Says Stablecoins Could Reshape Global Finance New York Stock Exchange Invests $600 Million In Polymarket Other crypto stocks are down sharply on the day, with U.S. exchanges Coinbase Global (NASDAQ: $COIN) and Bullish (NYSE: $BLSH) each down 8%. Gemini (NASDAQ: $GEMI), the crypto exchange run by billionaire twin brothers Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, is down 6%. At the same time, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: $BTC) miners Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: $RIOT) and MARA Holdings (NASDAQ: $MARA) are down 7%. Strategy (NASDAQ: $MSTR), the largest corporate owner of BTC, is down 4% on the day. The declines also come as the price of Bitcoin slides lower, dropping to $75,500 U.S. in afternoon trading after hovering above $77,000 U.S. earlier in the day. Adding to the pressure on risk assets was U.S. President Donald Trump rejecting an Iranian proposal to end the naval blockade and open the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil shipping route. That news sent oil prices surging 6% higher on concerns that energy supply chains in the Middle East will remain under pressure for some time. Crypto stocks could be roiled further by upcoming financial results from mega-cap technology names such as Alphabet (NASDAQ: $GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ: $AMZN), Meta (NASDAQ: $META), and Microsoft (NASDAQ: $MSFT), all of which are due to report earnings after the bell.

As of 2026-08-15 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook