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Earnings documents stored for GBX.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-10How Greenbrier Companies (GBX) Is Growing Rail Earnings Through Margin Expansion, Record Lease Utilization, and a $2 Billion Backlog
Insider Monkey
How Greenbrier Companies (GBX) Is Growing Rail Earnings Through Margin Expansion, Record Lease Utilization, and a $2 Billion Backlog
Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE:GBX) is one of the Best Railroad Stocks to Invest In According to Billionaires. As of Q1 2026, 11 billionaires held the stock. Pixabay/Public Domain On July 1, Greenbrier reported third-quarter results that showed a mixed but useful picture for rail equipment. Aggregate gross margin improved 230 basis points sequentially to 14.1%, while the owned lease fleet grew 23% sequentially to 20,600 units. Lease fleet utilization remained strong at 99%, and the company received new railcar orders for 2,200 units valued at $340 million. Its backlog stood at 13,800 units with an estimated value of $2.0 billion as of May 31. That is the kind of update that works for a railroad-stock list because it links railcar manufacturing, leasing, and replacement demand within a single business. Greenbrier is not a Class I rail operator, but its order book and leasing utilization are closely tied to freight rail capital spending and shippers' equipment needs. Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE:GBX) supplies equipment and services to global freight transportation markets, including railcar manufacturing, leasing, fleet management, maintenance, parts, and related railcar services.\ While we acknowledge the potential of GBX as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 33 Stocks That Should Double in 3 Years and Cathie Wood 2026 Portfolio: 10 Best Stocks to Buy. Disclosure: None. Follow Insider Monkey on Google News.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-06The Greenbrier's Stock Rises 15.3% Since Fiscal Q3 Earnings Release
Zacks
The Greenbrier's Stock Rises 15.3% Since Fiscal Q3 Earnings Release
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. GBX reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 results, wherein earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.3%. The better-than-expected result failed to impress the market, as the stock has decreased 15.3% since the earnings release on July 1, 2026. Quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of 60 cents beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 57 cents but declined 67.7% year over year. Meanwhile, revenues of $576.5 million fell 31.6% year over year. Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The) price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The) Quote Apart from the better-than-expected result, GBX has tweaked its 2026 guidance, adjusted EPS guidance to between $03.00 and $3.15 from the prior range of $3.00-$03.50. The mid-point on the guided range ($03.075) is below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.10 lies within the updated guidance. The Greenbrier continues to expect revenues in the range of $2.40-$2.50 billion. The net capital expenditure is still expected to be $205 million. Manufacturing segment’s net sales of $529.1 million fell 32% year over year and 2.3% quarterly. The sequential downfall was due to fewer new railcar deliveries, partially offset by higher maintenance program work. The adjusted operating margin of the segment grew to 5.7% from 3.8% in the fiscal second quarter of 2026, driven by improved operating performance and positive product mix. In the Leasing & Fleet Management segment, net sales fell 26.5% year over year to $47.4 million but improved 3% on a quarterly basis. The sequential improvement was driven by continued strong fleet utilization, timing of fleet additions and strategic growth of the lease fleet, primarily through secondary market purchases. The segment’s adjusted operating margin fell 1,560 basis points to 61.6% in the fiscal second quarter of 2026, owing to the timing of fleet optimization. EBITDA increased approximately 13.7% to $69.1 million from $60.8 million in the prior-quarter end. GBX exited the fiscal third quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $273.7 million compared with $521.8 million at the end of the fiscal second quarter of 2026. During the reported quarter, the company approved a quarterly dividend of 34 cents per share, payable on Aug. 6, 2026, to shareholders of record as of July 16, 2026. This represents Greenbrier's 49th consecutive quarterly dividend. Currently, GBX has a Z...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-06Freight car builder Greenbrier sees weaker Q2 earnings
FreightWaves
Freight car builder Greenbrier sees weaker Q2 earnings
Railcar maker Greenbrier wrestled with the twin issues of volume and mix in the second quarter as lower railcar deliveries weighed on revenue and profits, even though cash flow stayed solid. Fiscal Q2 2026 earnings for the Lake Oswego, Ore.-based supplier (NYSE: GBX) saw weak earnings per share at $.47 versus $.89 in estimates, on revenue of $587.5 million that also fell below expectations. Cash flow checked in at a positive $159 million and fleet utilization neared 98%. Earnings from operations were about $25 million, or 4.3% of revenue, which points to margin pressure versus stronger recent quarters. “Greenbrier delivered resilient second quarter results in a low-volume environment,” said Chief Executive and President Lorie Tekorius, in an earnings release. “Our integrated business model, supported by disciplined execution and strong cash generation, continued to drive performance. We further strengthened our liquidity and balance sheet, providing flexibility while customer commitments remain measured and market conditions continue to evolve.” Management raised the quarterly dividend by 6% to $.34, which signals confidence in cash generation even amid a softer quarter. The company continued to emphasize strong liquidity and fleet utilization, suggesting the leasing side remained a stabilizer. Greenbrier updated guidance to 17,500-20,500 units from 15,350- 16,350 units, and revenue to $2.7-$3.2 billion from $2.4-$2.5 billion. Subscribe to FreightWaves’ Rail e-newsletter and get the latest insights on rail freight right in your inbox. Read more articles by Stuart Chirls here. Read more: Rising intermodal volume slows big four U.S. rail system No June swoon for surging rail traffic CSX marks unique status with DC 250 rail event UPDATED: Maersk shifts SoCal import containers to UP from BNSF The post Freight car builder Greenbrier sees weaker Q2 earnings appeared first on FreightWaves.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-03Greenbrier (GBX) Stock Looks Reasonable On Earnings Yet Mixed On Fair Value
Simply Wall St.
Greenbrier (GBX) Stock Looks Reasonable On Earnings Yet Mixed On Fair Value
Never miss an important update on your stock portfolio and cut through the noise. Over 7 million investors trust Simply Wall St to stay informed where it matters for FREE. Greenbrier Companies stock has delivered a 36.3% gain over the past five years, yet the current checks on valuation paint a mixed picture rather than a clear bargain or obvious overpricing. Over five years, a total return of 36.3% suggests Greenbrier Companies has rewarded patient shareholders, but it does not on its own signal whether the stock is now ahead of or behind its fundamentals. Efforts to expand the leased railcar fleet and recurring revenue can support the earnings base investors are valuing today. At the same time, weaker railcar demand and regulatory or tariff uncertainty may limit how much they are willing to pay for that cash flow. Greenbrier Companies screens as undervalued on some multiples, yet a value score of 3 out of 6 suggests a mixed valuation picture rather than a clear-cut opportunity. The issue now is whether Greenbrier Companies' current share price fairly reflects this balance of long term returns, recurring revenue ambitions, and the risks hanging over demand and profitability. Find out why Greenbrier Companies' -13.2% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. The P/E ratio is a useful way to think about Greenbrier Companies because earnings remain a key focus for investors in capital goods stocks such as this one. Greenbrier Companies trades on a P/E of 13.7x, which is below the Machinery industry average of 27.9x and also below the peer group average of 51.6x. Based on a tailored fair P/E of 23.3x, which reflects the company’s specific mix of growth prospects, margins, size, and risks, the current level indicates a sizable gap between what the market is paying for Greenbrier’s earnings and what this framework suggests could be reasonable. Because the company recently reported solid Q3 2026 results and reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook, this discount on the P/E multiple stands out even more. For readers weighing Greenbrier Companies against other Machinery stocks, the current valuation indicates that the market is pricing its earnings more cautiously than the sector benchmark would suggest. On the P/E multiple, Greenbrier Companies stock appears undervalued relative to both its industry and a tailored fair value range. See what the numbe...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-02GBX Q3 Earnings Call Shows Focus on Lease Growth
Zacks
GBX Q3 Earnings Call Shows Focus on Lease Growth
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. GBX used its third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call to reinforce a message of resilience rather than rapid recovery. Management emphasized that operational improvements, disciplined cost control, and an expanding leasing platform are helping the company navigate one of the weakest North American railcar production environments in more than a decade. While industry demand remained subdued, executives pointed to growing recurring revenues, improving margins, and confidence that deferred customer demand will eventually translate into stronger orders. Greenbrier Highlights Through-Cycle Strategy President and CEO Lorie Leeson said Greenbrier's operational improvements over the past several years are producing a more resilient earnings profile across industry cycles. She noted that disciplined execution and commercial expansion enabled sequential improvement in gross margin and earnings despite soft new railcar demand. The company reported third-quarter revenues of $576.50 million. Adjusted earnings per share of $0.60 exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.57 by 5.3%. Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The) price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The) Quote Leeson also stressed that freight railcar lease rates and utilization remain healthy even as macroeconomic uncertainty continues to delay customer purchases of new equipment. GBX Expands Leasing Platform A central theme throughout the call was continued investment in Leasing & Fleet Management. Executive vice president Brian Comstock said Greenbrier expanded its owned lease fleet to 20,600 railcars while maintaining 99% utilization. During the quarter, the company acquired roughly 4,400 railcars in the secondary market to accelerate recurring revenue growth. Management reiterated its objective of doubling recurring revenues by 2028 while maintaining disciplined capital allocation. Executives emphasized that fleet quality, diversification and earnings power remain more important than simply increasing the number of railcars owned. Manufacturing Discipline Supports Margins Although industry forecasts call for fewer than 25,000 North American railcar deliveries during calendar 2026, management said production has been aligned with current demand rather than chasing volume. Comstock highlighted that prior in-sourcing investments, labor efficiency initiatives a...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-02Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Solid Financial Performance ...
GuruFocus.com
Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Solid Financial Performance ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Total Revenue: $577 million for the quarter. Leasing & Fleet Management Revenue: $47 million, up 3% from Q2. Manufacturing Revenue: $529 million, down about 2% sequentially. Aggregate Gross Margin: 14.1%, within long-term target range. Earnings from Operations: $32 million, approximately 6% of revenue. Effective Tax Rate: Approximately 20%. Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.60. EBITDA: $69 million, about 12% of revenue. Total Liquidity: Approximately $887 million. Operating Cash Flow Investment: $227 million, primarily for leased railcars. Dividend: $0.34 per share, marking the 49th consecutive quarterly dividend. Fiscal 2026 Revenue Guidance: $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion. Fiscal 2026 EPS Guidance: Narrowed to $3 to $3.15 per share. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 5 Warning Signs with GBX. Is GBX fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: July 01, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Greenbrier Companies Inc (NYSE:GBX) delivered solid commercial, operational, and financial results in the third quarter. The company expanded its owned lease fleet to 20,600 railcars with a high utilization rate of 99%. Greenbrier's lease origination capabilities represented 60% of total global orders, highlighting the strength of its commercial model. The company has a strong financial foundation with approximately $887 million in liquidity, providing flexibility for future growth. Greenbrier is focused on doubling its recurring revenue base by 2028, supported by both manufacturing operations and secondary market opportunities. The demand for new freight railcars is under pressure due to global macroeconomic conditions. Railcar deliveries in North America are projected to be at their lowest level since 2010, with less than 25,000 new railcars expected for calendar 2026. Intermodal activity is uneven, with some commodities shifting towards trucking due to service-related friction in the rail network. The company faces potential tariff implications on tank cars coming from Mexico, which could impact costs and require clarification from authorities. Demand in Europe remains muted, and the company is working on streamlining production processes and reducing inventory. Q: Can you provide clarity on the recent amendments to Section 232 inv...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-01Greenbrier: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot
Associated Press
Greenbrier: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot
LAKE OSWEGO, Ore. (AP) — LAKE OSWEGO, Ore. (AP) — Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) on Wednesday reported earnings of $18.9 million in its fiscal third quarter. On a per-share basis, the Lake Oswego, Oregon-based company said it had net income of 60 cents. The maker of railroad freight car equipment posted revenue of $576.5 million in the period. Greenbrier expects full-year earnings to be $3 to $3.15 per share, with revenue in the range of $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on GBX at https://www.zacks.com/ap/GBX
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-01Greenbrier Companies Q3 Earnings, Revenue Fall; Adjusts Fiscal 2026 EPS Outlook
MT Newswires
Greenbrier Companies Q3 Earnings, Revenue Fall; Adjusts Fiscal 2026 EPS Outlook
Greenbrier Companies (GBX) reported fiscal Q3 earnings late Wednesday of $0.60 per diluted share, do
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-01Greenbrier Announces Third Quarter Financial Results
PR Newswire
Greenbrier Announces Third Quarter Financial Results
LAKE OSWEGO, Ore., July 1, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (NYSE: GBX) today announced its fiscal third quarter 2026 financial results through an earnings release that will be furnished with the Securities and Exchange Commission on a Form 8-K and available on its investor website at https://investors.gbrx.com/. Greenbrier will host a live audio webcast at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time (5:00 p.m. Eastern Time), today, to discuss these financial results. The webcast and all the related materials can also be accessed through Greenbrier's Investor Relations website at https://investors.gbrx.com/. About Greenbrier Greenbrier, headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon, is a leading international supplier of equipment and services to global freight transportation markets. Through its wholly-owned subsidiaries and joint ventures, Greenbrier designs, builds and markets freight railcars in North America, Europe and Brazil. We are a leading provider of freight railcar wheel services, parts, maintenance and retrofitting services in North America. Greenbrier owns a lease fleet of approximately 20,600 railcars that originate primarily from Greenbrier's manufacturing operations. Greenbrier offers railcar management, regulatory compliance services and leasing services to railroads and other railcar owners in North America. Learn more about Greenbrier at www.gbrx.com. View original content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/greenbrier-announces-third-quarter-financial-results-302816033.html
TranscriptFY2026 Q32026-07-01FY2026 Q3 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 81 paragraphs
FY2026 Q3 earnings call transcript
Hello, welcome to The Greenbrier Companies Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings conference call. Following today's presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Until that time, all lines will be in a listen-only mode. At the request of The Greenbrier Companies, this conference call is being recorded for instant replay purposes. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Travis Williams, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Williams, you may begin.
Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, welcome to our Q3 fiscal 2026 conference call. Today, I'm joined by Lori Tekorius, Greenbrier's CEO and President, Brian Comstock, Executive Vice President and President of the Americas, and Michael Donfris, Senior Vice President and CFO. Following our update on Greenbrier's Q3 performance, our outlook for fiscal 2026, we will open the call for questions. Our earnings release and supplemental slides can be found on the IR section of our website. Matters discussed on today's conference call include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Throughout our discussion today, we will describe some of the important factors that could cause Greenbrier's actual results in 2026 and beyond to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Greenbrier. We will refer to recurring revenue throughout our comments today.
Recurring revenue is defined as leasing and management services revenue, excluding the impact of syndication transactions. With that, I will turn it over to Lori.
Thank you, Travis, good afternoon, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today. Greenbrier delivered solid commercial, operational, and financial results in the Q3. Global macroeconomic conditions in our markets support freight rail car lease rates and utilization, where Greenbrier is further strengthening as we serve our shipper customers. Those same conditions pressure demand for new freight rail cars, though maintenance and replacement needs continue and provide a foundation for future orders. This combination of market dynamics and a dedicated focus on operational efficiency led to sequentially improved gross margin and earnings. The improvements that have been made across Greenbrier over the last several years are yielding benefits, and combined with operating discipline, cost control, and commercial excellence, create a more resilient earnings profile through cycles. In other words, we're demonstrating our ability to deliver higher lows across the cycle due to the strength of our business platform.
Our commercial team continues to expand Greenbrier's market reach, adding new customers while strengthening relationships with longstanding partners, supported by our lease origination capabilities. These proficiencies leverage our integrated go-to-market model across direct sales, leasing partnerships, and syndication. Turning to the market, in our core North American market, railcar deliveries have averaged about 35,000 per year since 2020. The current industry forecasts indicate less than 25,000 new railcars for calendar 2026, which will be the lowest level recorded since 2010. The projection for calendar 2027 shows an increase to over 34,000 deliveries. Rail loading trends are up in several key commodity categories, including grain, petroleum products, chemicals, and intermodal. Although intermodal activity is uneven, as some commodities are shifting towards trucking to navigate service-related friction in the rail network. While the uptick in freight rail modal share is uneven, we believe the longer-term outlook is positive.
Our experience tells us it's a matter of when, not if, new railcar demand will increase. An activity coming out of a trough tends to arrive sooner and more robustly than anticipated. In Europe, wagon deliveries are expected to be around 9,000 units for calendar 2026 and the next several years. We're utilizing our lease origination capabilities strategically in this market as well to serve our customers while managing productivity and reducing costs. Our manufacturing segment, which includes maintenance, wheels, and parts activity in North America, executed well in the Q3. Operating efficiency, cost discipline, and solid program and maintenance work helped drive the overall performance in the current macro environment. Our lease origination capabilities provide key flexibility to manage new car production and support utilization across our manufacturing footprints.
In addition, our insourcing investment is delivering broad-based sustained efficiency gains that will further improve earnings power as demand grows. In leasing and fleet management, we saw significant expansion of our own lease fleet with continued high utilization. We remain focused on growing this platform and doubling our recurring revenue base by 2028 through both our own manufacturing operations and secondary market opportunities as they arise. The enterprise-wide improvements that have been made at Greenbrier are supported by a strong financial foundation. A healthy and well-capitalized balance sheet and ample liquidity provide flexibility to support operations, invest in the business, return capital to shareholders, and execute our strategy. As we look ahead, our focus remains squarely on operational execution, commercial discipline, capital allocation, and ongoing enhancement of through-cycle performance. You can expect Greenbrier's solid results across the cycle to continue driving long-term shareholder value.
Finally, I want to thank our employees for their focus, commitment, and execution. Each and every one of their efforts demonstrates the strength of Greenbrier's culture and the durability of the platform that we've built. With that, I'll turn the call over to Brian to discuss our operations in more detail.
Thanks, Lori, good afternoon, everyone. Starting with commercial activity, we received orders for 2,200 railcars during the quarter, valued at $340 million. Demand was led by tank cars and covered hoppers, with additional activity in gondolas, open top hoppers, and heavy-duty flats. In addition to constructive rail loading trends, it's also worth noting the significant increases in trucking spot rates driven by driver shortages, elevated fuel costs, and carrier attrition. While this alone doesn't signal a broad-based freight demand recovery, sustained higher truck rates would improve the relative competitiveness of rail and intermodal service. Turning to backlog, we ended the quarter with 13,800 railcars valued at $2 billion. Our commercial team remains highly engaged with customers across North America, Europe, and Brazil. We are seeing solid activity across several car types. As Lori noted, our lease origination capabilities were a prominent feature of the quarter.
Lease originations represented 60% of total global orders, including 71% of North American awards and 53% of European awards. This highlights the value of our commercial model, flexible production capacity, and our ability to respond to customer needs. The leasing and fleet management segment delivered another strong quarter. We expanded the owned lease fleet to 20,600 railcars, and utilization remained exceptionally strong at 99%. Renewal rates were healthy, reflecting both the quality of our fleet and the depth of our customer relationships. During the quarter, we continued to pursue disciplined fleet growth through secondary market acquisitions of approximately 4,400 railcars and remained active in evaluating additional opportunities. These are strategic investments that support lease fleet growth, recurring revenue, and long-term value creation. Moving to our manufacturing segment, production rates were aligned with current demand levels.
Consistent with our proactive management of the business, headcount continues to be adjusted in line with our teams remaining focused on maintaining operational efficiency as market conditions evolve. At these production levels, operating performance and margin progression improved, reflecting the benefits of our insourcing strategy and focus on cost competitiveness. Recent capital investments are yielding strong returns even at current production levels. Wheel set shipments exceeded expectations. The maintenance team sustained steady throughput. We continue to see progress in cycle time execution. We also are taking actions to sharpen the focus and efficiency of our maintenance service network. In Europe, demand remains muted. We are making progress following recent footprint actions. With the facility consolidation complete, the team has focused on streamlining the production process, reducing inventory, and improving quality and production rates. We are also seeing encouraging traction in the European leasing market.
In Brazil, Greenbrier Maxion delivered another quarter of strong operational performance driven by demand in agriculture and biodiesel sectors. Financial performance exceeded expectations, supported by disciplined cost control, operating efficiency, and improved pricing. Our capital markets team continued to support the integrated model through strong monetization activity, expanded investor relationships, and secondary market. These activities generate profitable through margin recognition and fee income, provide liquidity, support the lease fleet growth, and reinforce the benefits of Greenbrier's integrated platform. In summary, we continue to align production with customer demand, execute with discipline across the platform, expand our leasing capabilities, and advance key initiatives that support margin performance. With that, I'll turn the call over to Michael to review our financial results in a bit more detail.
Thanks, Brian, and good afternoon, everyone. Total revenue for the quarter was $577 million. Leasing and fleet management revenue was $47 million, up 3% from Q2, primarily reflecting the addition of leased railcars. Manufacturing revenue was $529 million, down about 2% sequentially, primarily due to fewer new railcar deliveries, partially offset by higher maintenance program revenue. Aggregate gross margin was 14.1% within our long-term target range and improved from Q2. This performance demonstrates the strength of our integrated business model and the impact of our continued cost discipline. Earnings from operations were $32 million, or about 6% of revenue. These results reflect solid execution at current production volumes and our continued focus on the areas within our control. Our effective tax rate was about 20%, primarily driven by discrete items related to foreign exchange impacts, largely from the strengthening of the Mexican peso.
Diluted earnings per share were $0.60, and EBITDA was $69 million, or about 12% of revenue. Overall, results benefited from stronger margins, favorable foreign exchange, lower net interest expense in leasing and fleet management, and a lower effective tax rate. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with total liquidity of approximately $887 million, representing $274 million in cash and $613 million of available borrowing capacity. Operating cash flow for the quarter reflects $227 million of investment, primarily for leased railcars purchased in the secondary market. This investment supports our strategy to grow the lease fleet, increase recurring revenue, and generate tax-advantaged cash flows while maintaining strong asset quality and enhancing long-term earnings power. Over time, we expect to finance a portion of the newly acquired fleet, preserving balance sheet flexibility.
We also refinanced our leasing term loan with a new $300 million facility, extending the maturity by six years, improving credit terms, and adding a delayed draw that provides up to $125 million of additional capacity to support future growth. Our capital allocation remains disciplined and balanced. We continue to invest in opportunities that generate attractive returns while also returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Greenbrier's Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.34 per share, marking our 49th consecutive quarterly dividend. At quarter end, approximately $65 million remained available under our share repurchase authorization. We will continue to use that capacity opportunistically, guided by market conditions and our broader capital allocation priorities. Turning to guidance, our fiscal 2026 outlook is based on our latest view of Q4 manufacturing margins and delivery timing, reflecting that some activity is moving into fiscal 2027.
While near-term market conditions remain dynamic, customer engagement is strong, and we are encouraged by the business activity developing for 2027. For fiscal 2026, we continue to expect total revenue of $2.4-$2.5 billion and are narrowing our expected EPS range to $3-$3.15 per share. Additional details are included in the earnings release and accompanying slides. In summary, Greenbrier delivered solid Q3 results supported by disciplined execution, resilient aggregate gross margins, and continued strength in leasing and fleet management. We remain focused on the priorities that create value, serving our customers, managing costs, increasing recurring revenue, and deploying capital with discipline. We believe these actions position Greenbrier to deliver attractive through-cycle returns and create long-term shareholder value. With that, we'll open the call up for questions.
Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touch tone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star and then two. At this time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble the roster. The first question will come from Andre Tomchik with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Hey, good evening, everyone, and thanks for taking my questions. Just curious if we could start off on the tariff front just to get a little more clarity there. Our understanding is recent amendments to Section 232 investigations could be imposing a tariff on the full value of tank cars coming out of Mexico into the U.S. Maybe if you could just speak a little more to your current understanding of that tariff situation and what is Greenbrier's current tank car backlog mix, and then maybe just on that, if you guys are actually incurring any tariffs there to start, that would be helpful. Thank you.
Sure. Andre, thanks. I'll start out, and I'm sure that my colleagues here will jump in and fill in if there's anything that I'm missing. Let me start with the beginning. We are not currently entering tank cars or paying a tariff for equipment that's coming from Mexico into the United States. As you state, there has been some recent pronouncements and determinations that have industry-wide implications, and we and our industry partners are seeking guidance from CBP on how best to navigate that. Really right now it's a situation where there's been some pronouncements made, but it's a change to what has been industry-wide practices. Again, we and our partners, whether they're the Class I railroads, the short lines, or even other manufacturers, are seeking clarification from CBP on how to be compliant with the communications we've received.
Understood. Maybe just if we could get a sense for the mix of tank cars that you guys have in the backlog, that would be helpful.
Yeah.
Just, I guess, as a follow-up there, I guess two follow-ups, maybe. If it ended up that the tariffs were applied to the tank cars, is there then a risk of retroactive payments just to sort of be clear there? Separately, are there discussions with customers that there could be potential price escalations if that were to be the case? Just trying to get a sense for if you guys could actually pass through those excess costs. Thanks.
Sure. I'll start with the last question first. Yes, we believe that any adjustments associated with tariffs would be passed through to our customers. When it comes to retroactive obligations, right now that's unclear. Again, this is where we would say that we're seeking clarification from CBP on what some of the language in their rulings means and how we as an industry need to be compliant. Then to, I think, the question I missed from the last, as percentage of backlog, so the backlog that Brian talked about 20% of that is tank cars.
Yeah. I would just add, Lori, that while it's 20% today, I think we're seeing the mix shift in the market kind of pivot away from tank cars. So that mix is quickly diminishing. Lori's right, we have provisions in all of our contracts to pass through tariffs and duties as appropriate.
Just the other thing to highlight, because sometimes folks in our industry tend to forget, we build tank cars not only in Mexico using U.S.-sourced steel and other U.S.-sourced components, but we're also building tank cars in Arkansas at our Marmaduke facility.
Interesting point. Just on that, if I could, what is the capability of shifting production there to the Arkansas facility? Is that something feasible at a later date?
Absolutely. Well, we're building tank cars there right now. We are evaluating how much we could shift. A lot of this comes down to getting employees to be in our shops. I think this is a struggle for many industries in the United States, is just finding and training and retaining a skilled workforce.
Yeah, maybe just adding on, it's Brian again. At the end of the day, we are increasing production at our U.S. facilities, and we have the capability to take on quite a bit of that capacity if need be.
Okay, thanks. Appreciate that color. Maybe just shifting to the core business with the ISM now over 50 for half a year now. Are you guys seeing any of those expectations, optimism from your customers, I guess, creep into conversations? Or do you think that the positive ISM readings are more so reflection of other areas of the economy at the moment? I'm just trying to get a sense for when the broader ISM positivity might be able to translate into improving new rail car backlogs and deliveries.
I'll kind of come high level, and I'm sure that Brian can speak to some of what he's hearing from our customers. What I continue to hear and have been hearing for the last several months is a lot of desire from our customers for additional rail cars. The interesting point, though, is as the macro environment continues to shift, sometimes it's creating a delay in when they want to execute on an investment in these long-lived assets. This is part of what Brian was speaking to, I think, before about trucking. We are seeing some temporary shifts over to trucking if we have a shipper customer that is trying to evaluate how best they navigate for their business, whether they're a farmer or a chemical company or otherwise, how to navigate that.
This is what we mean by we think there's quite a bit of pent-up demand for new equipment. We just need the broader economy to kind of settle down for a little bit so that people can make those long-term investment decisions. Brian?
Yeah, I'll just add onto what Lori said. She's spot on. Directionally, we've been watching the inquiries in the backlog, and while it's been fairly stable over the last few quarters, the pent-up demand is really beginning to rise. You're seeing it on the AI data center infrastructure area, where there's a lot of heavy-duty infrastructure required. When you look at orders to production type of ratios, one of the things that's a bit of an anomaly is some of these cars we're taking in have three to four to five times the number of labor hours as a, let's call it like a tank car or covered hopper car. It's not a one-for-one trade, it's kind of a four or five-to-one trade. We're also seeing significant improvement in the steel side of the industry as well, where a lot of cars are attriting out.
As Lori said, when you look at driver service rules and just kind of what's happening in the industry, intermodal is really feeling the pressure for growth as well. The pent-up demand is a real thing. It's not if, it's just kind of when, and we're starting to see signs of that here in this quarter already.
Got it. Maybe just one more from me before I hop back in the queue here. Just a little bit more specific in terms of the manufacturing margin this quarter versus last was a nice uplift. Just curious if you could share whether mix was a positive this quarter and then maybe how you're thinking about core price versus mix dynamics here into the year-end.
Yeah, I appreciate that. It's Brian again, Andre. At the end of the day, mix always plays a bit of a role, but Lori kind of hit it in her comments, and I think I touched on it briefly in mine as well is, the initiatives we took a couple of years ago, the insourcing initiatives are really starting to pay off. It's not just the insourcing investment we made on manufacturing primary parts, but also the focus we have on labor efficiency, the focus our team has on overhead, and variable costs associated with that have really been paying off in this time. You can look back in time at Greenbrier. I've been here a long time, and we've never had these kinds of margins at this level of production, low level of production in the history of Greenbrier.
We're excited about the opportunity for this market to kind of change and see what we can really do as the market rises back up.
Understood. Thanks, everyone. I'll hop back in the queue here.
The next question will come from Harrison Bauer with Susquehanna. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks for taking my questions. Maybe to ask your sense of demand in a different way, how much of some of the regulatory backdrop on both the Section 232 proclamation on tank cars, as well as your outstanding coupler and EAPA case is eating into customer demand and sentiment on waiting for some clarity before going forward on some higher order amounts?
It's a great question, Harrison, and I would say, quite honestly, that is not the bigger thing that's holding back our customers from making those decisions to invest in long-lived assets. It's again, more the broader macroeconomic situation is they're figuring out how to either put existing equipment through a program, run it longer, maybe if they have pops in demand, if they can shift that over to trucking, they do that. That's really more where we're seeing the hold up is the macroeconomic situation, not what's going on with tariffs or couplers.
Yeah, I'll just tag on. Again, that is spot on by Lori. Also keep in mind that there's a lot of Canadian customers that buy assets from us as well. Those tariffs and those things do not apply to cars that are being moved into Canada. It's really U.S. service at this point. We're continuing to see that demand from a lot of the oil producers and chemical producers up in the Canadian region. Generally speaking, the U.S. customers are not holding back because of any uncertainty at this point. We are seeing a shift again in mix to more covered hopper cars, flat cars, special purpose assets, and really higher value backlog for Greenbrier.
Okay. Thank you for that. Maybe sticking with some of the regulatory environment and on the coupler case, could you give us an update on where you're at with the EAPA determination? I know you're waiting to appeal this case. I know it's a specific office within the CBP, just any color on sort of what's going on in the coupler case and what your opportunities are in an adverse ruling to shift some of the coupler procurement to U.S.-sourced.
Sure. Today, we actually filed our administrative appeal. We have begun that process. I just want to take a big step back and say that the CBP's determination letter does have industry-wide implications, right? This is not just a Greenbrier situation; it impacts everyone who's building cars that are bringing them into the United States from Canada or Mexico. Their determination letter included a change in practice that just like with the 232s, we and our industry partners are seeking guidance and clarification as how best to navigate this ruling and how best to be compliant. That said, we do have, I would say, a very agile industry.
We have a history of working together to figure out across a variety of landscapes how best to navigate, whether it's fluctuations in demand or situations that have to do with high prices of steel, whatever might be going on with couplers and where best to source them. I have no doubt that as an industry, we will find a way to navigate this and come up with how best to continue serving our freight rail customers.
Yeah, maybe I would just point out, it's Brian Harrison, is that while all of these are serious issues, the financial impact of the couplers is fairly small on a per unit basis. When you think about the total number of specialties and steel cost that's in the asset, it's probably less than 1% of the total impact. From a customer perspective, it really doesn't have significant impact to them.
Good point, Brian. Thanks.
Okay, thanks for that. Maybe moving to the leasing side of things, the pretty substantial step-up in your lease fleet quarter-over-quarter. Can you walk through how you're thinking about building for your own fleet versus buying in the secondary market to grow that fleet over time? How much of the step-up in leasing CapEx is related to producing more versus buying more in the secondary market?
Yeah. It's Brian Harrison. It's really kind of a quarter-by-quarter call, to be honest, because we're looking at our concentration, we're looking at our covenants within our debt financing agreements. We're looking at how we balance these things materially each quarter. As books come to market, we evaluate whether or not that fits into our overall strategy from not only a concentration perspective and a risk perspective, but also from a commercial customer perspective. Then we weigh that against what we're building ourselves internally. That's going to shift from quarter-to-quarter, depending on how that looks. It really is about managing the fleet in a very prudent and disciplined way.
I think discipline is, you're spot on. That's what it is looking at what are we building and what are those other opportunities that we can make an investment, whether it's investing in the cars that we're building or that someone else is putting out on the market to improve the quality and diversification on the balance sheet fleet.
Harrison, I would just add, as we mentioned back a number of years ago on targets, we're investing up to $300 million a year in the lease fleet, really that's not really impacting really how we're thinking about that.
Okay, thanks. Broad strokes, is there a target of size of fleet that you'd want to get to by end of fiscal 2027? Maybe just some of your thoughts on the secondary market as a seller and where you would expect gains to land in the Q4, what might be embedded in your guide, and just an early look on gains on sale into next year. Thank you.
Yeah, I'll take maybe the more strategic question is, we've stated publicly, we continue to follow the rule that we're going to invest, as Michael said, about $300 million a year. Do we have an ultimate goal of size in mind? No, but we do want to transform the company to where the recurring revenue from the leasing is more substantial or as substantial as the manufacturing income. What does that mean? I don't know that we can tell you that precisely, because some of it depends on mix. The previous question which you had, which was relative to how many of the new cars are going to go into the fleet versus how many cars we acquire in the secondary market. It's not about overall fleet numbers. It's really about the quality of assets and the earning power of each of those assets.
That's a really good point. That's something we talk a lot about here internally; is we don't want to be spending money just so we can say we grew a fleet if it's not a good quality fleet.
That's where I'm really proud of the team over the last couple of years, is the focus on growing a quality fleet, which I think you can see from H1 of our fiscal year, where we have some substantial gains on sale, taking those opportunities into consideration. My recollection on gains on sale for the rest of the fiscal year is they're going to be probably fairly modest. Michael, I'll let you respond to that.
Right. We'll continue to look across the fleet and determine what makes sense as we think about concentration, as we think about just opportunistically what's out there. You will see that it's going to probably wind down in the Q4. I would just say about 2027, it's a little bit early for us to start really kind of getting out there in terms of what we'll deliver in 2027. We're going to go into planning here pretty soon and be ready to talk about that when the time comes.
I think that's why having the liquidity that you highlighted, Michael Donfris, is so important, because we want to be able to take advantage of whatever situation. We unfortunately do not have a crystal ball into all of the other asset owners to know when they might be putting certain fleets out on the market. We want to be able to have strong liquidity so we can execute as it makes sense for our fleet.
Lori, Brian, Michael, thank you all for the time today.
Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you.
The next question will come from Ken Hoexter with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Hi. It's Adam Rutkowski on for Ken Hoexter. Thanks for taking my question. Maybe just starting on the guidance. No change to the revenue outlook, lowering the midpoint of deliveries and gross margin and EPS. Maybe just, I know you noted some shift into 2027, with revenue flat, is that implying higher selling price per car? Is there more maintenance revenue kind of baked into that? Maybe just help on how we should interpret from a mix production leasing standpoint as well. Thanks.
No, that's a really good question. As we get through looking through the Q4, obviously we're getting closer to what's actually happening. As we look across what we see, we are, as I mentioned in prepared remarks, we are seeing a little bit move into 2027. Also what we start looking at in terms of how much we were going to ramp up in Q4 and ramp up further, we just haven't had need to do that. There's been a little bit on absorption that's impacting us as well. Really a combination of those things. I wouldn't read that much into it. I'd say we're just getting much more closer to being able to call the year.
The other thing that I would point out is, on the revenue is, while the range didn't change, it looks like it's a small range, but it's really $100 million, right?
Right. There's still enough there.
Yeah.
Got it. Thanks for that. Maybe just going to 2027, how much visibility do you have into your production schedules? You called out industry forecasts to 34,000 from 25,000 this year, a 36% increase. Is that the right baseline to be thinking about the step-up into next year? Any thoughts around that? Thanks.
Well, I think as Michael says, we're not really prepared to give explicit guidance on 2027. We're very happy with the pipeline that we have. We do believe that those are going to convert into orders. It's just the timing of when they convert into orders is a little bit difficult, obviously, to predict in this current environment. Oh, just one quick reminder, so that some of the numbers that I was giving were calendar year, and even though I've been here for 31 years, I still can't figure out why we have a fiscal year that begins on September one. There's a little bit of a mismatch there. Brian, what did I miss on
No.
What you're thinking about for our fiscal 2027.
Yeah. When you think about fiscal 2027 and the visibility that we have going in, I think about it in terms of backlog. Backlogs at 13,800 cars, roughly publicly disclosed. Obviously, we continue to renew that backlog on a quarter-by-quarter basis. When you think about it, if we're going to produce historically along the same lines that we've always historically produced, we've got visibility for the first several months into the year.
Yeah. I would say, actually, probably goes further out. It's just there's different gaps.
It's different lines, different gaps. Yeah, exactly.
Sometimes having those gaps has been very beneficial for us because that means that when our customers start nearing the end of their calendar year- spending their allotted dollars, we've seen some interesting activity at times happen towards the end of a calendar year. Not to get too excited.
Thanks for that. Last one. You noted some of the trucking market drivers, and potential impacts that that could have on intermodal type cars, and it sounds like the mix is a bit broad-based on what you've been calling out. Just any thoughts on rail service, these current levels, and the extent that that, or a deterioration in service or fluidity could spur maybe some upside into fiscal or calendar year 2027, however you want to frame it?
Sure. Again, we've been able to navigate any variety of markets. My overarching message is always about the railroads providing better service to our shipper customers so that we can grow modal share by rail. Let's make the pie bigger, because then even if we stay at our current market share, everybody gets a bigger piece of pie. That's the focus. I do think that that is what the Class Is wanting to do. It's just, I'm very thankful to not be the CEO of a Class I railroad because there's a lot more levers and dials to manage than on my side. Brian, what are you seeing?
Yeah. Definitely we're seeing a resurgence of intermodal on rail. I think it'll be interesting to see how railroads can respond to that from a labor perspective and whether or not they have power available on the network. You're starting to see a degradation of velocity on rail. That's always good for the car builders, not necessarily good for the rail system itself. We're always a bit conflicted by that. One proxy we've always used, and it's proved to be a fairly close signal, is for every mile per hour of degradation in velocity or gain, it's about a 40,000-car demand change network wide. You think about degrading velocity, increased pressure on intermodal to grow and some of these other areas, that could bode well for pent-up demand in our space.
Appreciate the time. Thank you.
Again, if you have a question, please press star and then one. Please stand by as we poll for questions. Showing no questions, this will conclude our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Lori Tekorius for any closing remarks.
I just want to say thank you, everyone, for your attention and for your time learning and understanding more about Greenbrier, and I wish everyone a safe and happy 4th of July.
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
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