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Six Flags EntertainmentB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Improving same-park attendance, EBITDA, and pass metrics suggest demand and recurring-revenue momentum, while the 2027 attraction pipeline and Arlington operating hub could improve execution.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -20.0.
What can break
Analyst revision data, social sentiment, and verified post-earnings market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
13
Value
63
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.70 · Bull $21.70 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $21.50
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -0.7
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -20.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -20.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Analyst revision data, social sentiment, and verified post-earnings market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
  • High leverage and reported losses may limit rerating and increase sensitivity to weaker attendance or cash flow.
  • Approximately $4.9 billion of net debt and reported losses constrain equity upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Q2 same-park improvement needs peak-season validation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+4.7
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+7.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-20.0
Δ21d
-10.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 12.8 / Value 63.4 / Sentiment 76.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$15.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.6B
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
102.32M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.0
P/S (TTM)
0.47
P/FCF (TTM)
68.15
Rev YoY
-7.0%
EPS YoY
+101.2%
Gross Margin
+23.0%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$5.34B
Current Ratio
0.42
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data