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FUN

Six Flags EntertainmentB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
A depressed $7.07 anchor leaves recovery potential if the investigation resolves without broad disruption and Q3 confirms that pass-base and attendance gains convert into spending and cash flow. Q2 same-park EBITDA growth provides limited operating support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Active investigation, continued Goliath closure and unquantified litigation or insurance exposure. Cobb County Police; Six Flags ride status.
Momentum
2
Value
66
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $7.50 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $4.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $19.00
Why
Momentum2 · Δ7d -1.3
Value66 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -3.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Active investigation, continued Goliath closure and unquantified litigation or insurance exposure. Cobb County Police; Six Flags ride status.
  • • Debt burden and uncertain cash generation may limit the benefit to equity holders from an operating recovery.
  • • The unresolved fatal-incident investigation may raise legal, insurance and demand costs while the company already faces losses and heavy debt.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

November 5 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
2
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-0.8
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+2.2
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
-1.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 2.4 / Value 65.8 / Sentiment 61.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$4.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$717.24M
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
102.32M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.4
P/S (TTM)
0.47
P/FCF (TTM)
68.15
Rev YoY
-7.0%
EPS YoY
+101.2%
Gross Margin
+23.0%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$5.34B
Current Ratio
0.42
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data