FSUN

FirstSun Capital BancorpC

Nasdaq / Banks

At close

2026-07-24

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$51.00

+47.9% vs current

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$44.50

+29.0% vs current

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$30.12

-12.7% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-01-27

AI commentary

Cautiously constructive: the analyst median ($44.50) sits above the anchor ($37.82), supporting base-case upside, while the analyst high ($51.00) caps upside and the low ($30.12) defines downside risk. Near-term focus is on upcoming earnings, NIM trends, and deposit stability.

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-27

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-04-27catalystQuarterly earnings release (next scheduled)High impact

Quarterly results and guidance could move the stock if net interest margin or credit-cost commentary diverge from expectations; market sources list upcoming analyst coverage and estimates that will be refreshed at the next quarter close [#SERP-4].

2026-04-27catalystAnalyst target revisions / consensus updatesHigh impact

Multiple aggregator sources show a tight analyst range and a median around $44.50; formal target updates by coverage analysts can re-rate shares if guidance or macro views change [#SERP-1][#SERP-2].

2027-01-27catalystRegional credit cycle / deposit trendsHigh impact

A sustained shift in deposit costs or regional CRE/consumer credit performance would materially affect earnings power over the next year; timeline uses a conservative 12‑month horizon to reflect macro uncertainty.

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-01-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology