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FSUN

FirstSun Capital BancorpB
Nasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Stronger-than-expected NIM expansion and stable deposit funding lead to re-rating toward analyst highs; successful execution on asset-liability management could justify the upper-range target [#SERP-5].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.
What can break
Deposit outflows and funding-cost increases
Momentum
63
Value
58
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $44.50 · Bull $51.00 · Bear $30.12Analysis 2026-01-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $45.75
Why
Momentum63 · Δ7d -4.1
Value58 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +1.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Deposit outflows and funding-cost increases
  • • Margin compression from interest-rate shifts
  • • Material deposit outflows or rising credit provisions compress earnings and valuation, pushing shares toward the lower analyst range and reflecting regional bank stress [#SERP-7].

Catalyst clock

2026-04-27

Quarterly earnings release (next scheduled)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
63
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.1
Δ21d
-5.2
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
+0.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 63.1 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 67.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$51.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$44.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.12
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.8B
Beta
0.29
Shares Out
43.95M
P/E (TTM)
12.0
P/S (TTM)
2.59
P/FCF (TTM)
12.06
Rev YoY
+87.3%
EPS YoY
-152.3%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+16.9%
Net Debt
-$575.7M
Current Ratio
0.10
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data