FOR
Forestar GroupCNYSE / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
Current thesis
Quarterly earnings growth, contracted-lot backlog, strong liquidity, low leverage, and book value of $36.40 support a recovery toward the available $34 median target indication if lot conversions remain healthy.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Backlog conversion, margins, and inventory execution remain unproven.
Momentum
73
Value
50
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $34.00 · Bear $22.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-22
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.00
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -15.2
Value50 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d +11.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
73
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.2
Δ21d
-9.8
Value
50
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
44
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.7
Δ21d
+14.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 72.5 / Value 49.9 / Sentiment 44.4
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$1.4B
Beta
1.43
Shares Out
51.01M
P/E (TTM)
7.6
P/S (TTM)
0.76
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
5.28
Rev YoY
+6.6%
EPS YoY
+1.6%
Gross Margin
+23.4%
Op Margin
+12.9%
Net Debt
$437.9M
Current Ratio
0.96
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology