B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FHB
First HawaiianBNasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-28
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+3.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+3.0
Mixed
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-20.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+63.7
Score
AI commentary
FHB closed at $25.34 on October 23 versus $26.13 on October 22, a 3.0% earnings-day decline; the supplied October 27 anchor was $25.27, so the decline had broadly held. Historical prices. An October 26 analyst-revision report identifies one $1 target increase and one $1 decrease, both to $28 with Neutral ratings. This limited follow-up is not evidence of a broader positive consensus; providers also disagree on the pre-print EPS consensus. No reliable social, options, short-interest or employee measures were supplied; zero values in the sentiment object denote unavailable data, not neutral readings.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-28
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-10-29eventTriCo shareholder votes and remaining approvalsMedium impact
First Hawaiian and TriCo have special meetings scheduled for October 29. Management expects the acquisition to close in Q4, but shareholder approval, final regulatory approval and other conditions remain outstanding. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q3] Joint proxy.
2026-11-30catalystQ3 earnings digestion and CRE credit reviewMedium impact
Q3 diluted EPS was $0.52, below published consensus estimates that vary by provider from $0.56 to $0.59. Net interest margin rose five basis points to 3.30%, but provision expense increased to $20.3 million from $5.6 million, driven partly by a $12.5 million charge-off on one commercial real estate loan and other downgrades. Whether losses remain isolated could move shares. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-23] Company earnings release. Consensus reporting, alternate estimate.
2026-12-31catalystTriCo closing and integration economicsHigh impact
The proposed all-stock combination could broaden First Hawaiian's franchise, but deal completion and integration benefits are not assured. The joint proxy estimates existing First Hawaiian holders would own approximately 65% of the combined company, making dilution and execution central to the longer-term case. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q3] Joint proxy.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology