B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$313.19
+37.6% vs current
FERG
Ferguson EnterprisesDNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$266.21
+17.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$221.84
-2.5% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-25
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+66.3
Score
AI commentary
Analyst medians cluster near the mid-to-high $200s while high/low estimates diverge, indicating mixed sell-side views [#SERP-1]. Near-term sentiment centers on upcoming earnings and any reconsensus; longer-term tone depends on construction activity and margin recovery [#SERP-5].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-25
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-26catalystNext quarterly results / guidance update (estimated)Medium impact
Estimated next quarterly report; market reaction should hinge on guidance, margin trends, and supply dynamics [#SERP-1].
2026-09-30eventCapital-allocation update or M&A integration milestoneMedium impact
Announcements on buybacks/dividends or successful integration milestones could reprice shares; timing is an estimated window [#SERP-5].
2027-02-25catalystSustained end-market recovery / infrastructure demandHigh impact
A multi-quarter recovery in construction and maintenance activity would lift volumes and improve mix, supporting upside over the next year [#SERP-3].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-25 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology