B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$53.50
+14.2% vs current
FDBC
Fidelity D D BancorpANasdaq / Banks
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
-3.9% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.50
-17.8% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+16.9
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+17.9
Positive
Pulse
-34.8
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+44.9
Score
AI commentary
Low-coverage monitoring name with no recent news or social context. The only fresh evidence is the 2026-05-08 10-Q, which improves the earnings picture but does not remove credit and funding concerns; with no analyst target or revision signal, the setup remains cautious rather than rerating-driven.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-29
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-08catalyst1Q26 earnings and margin improvedMedium impact
The 2026-05-08 10-Q showed higher net income and a stronger NIM, helped by lower rates paid on interest-bearing deposits, which supports the near-term earnings case even though the reaction is still filing-led and not reinforced by analyst revisions [#10-Q-2026-05-08].
2026-08-19eventNext 10-Q will test credit disciplineMedium impact
The next quarterly filing is the key checkpoint for whether the better earnings profile is sustainable; the 1Q26 report still pointed to elevated provisioning and higher problem-asset metrics versus year-end, so investors will want evidence that loan growth is not coming at the expense of asset quality [#10-Q-2026-05-08].
2026-12-31catalystDeposit mix and funding discipline remain the medium-term leverHigh impact
The 2025 10-K and 1Q26 10-Q both show that uninsured deposits remain a meaningful share of funding and that wholesale borrowings remain an available backstop if deposit growth lags, so medium-term upside depends on retention, repricing, and balance-sheet discipline [#10-K-2026-03-13] [#10-Q-2026-05-08].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology