B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$190.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FCN
FTI ConsultingANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings read is that demand remains solid: Q1 revenue beat the limited consensus visible in checked market coverage, Corporate Finance and Strategic Communications were strong, and management reaffirmed full-year guidance. Repurchases at an average $161.11 in Q1 also suggest management was willing to deploy capital below the current share price.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
What can break
Economic Consulting and Compass Lexecon recovery may take multiple quarters, extending pressure on consolidated margins.
Momentum
22
Value
60
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $174.00 · Bull $190.00 · Bear $158.00Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $175.50
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -5.4
Value60 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +2.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Economic Consulting and Compass Lexecon recovery may take multiple quarters, extending pressure on consolidated margins.
- • Higher compensation, forgivable loan amortization, legal expense and SG&A could keep earnings conversion weaker even if revenue stays strong.
- • The earnings follow-up is not cleanly bullish because profitability lagged the revenue strength.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-30
Q2 results need to show margin recovery after a mixed Q1 print
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
+1.4
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+0.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 22.1 / Value 60.1 / Sentiment 81.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$174.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$158.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.14B
Beta
0.08
Shares Out
27.61M
P/E (TTM)
22.8
P/S (TTM)
1.50
P/FCF (TTM)
126.02
Rev YoY
+5.3%
EPS YoY
-6.7%
Gross Margin
+31.8%
Op Margin
+9.7%
Net Debt
$361.63M
Current Ratio
2.03
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data