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FC

Franklin CoveyB
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher enterprise invoicing, services bookings and deferred revenue could translate into stronger fiscal 2027 sales and operating leverage. Fiscal Q3 adjusted EBITDA rose 14% to $8.3 million despite only 1% revenue growth [#SEC-8K-2026-07-01].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Delayed enterprise-service delivery or a further education funding shortfall could prevent revenue from reaching revised fiscal 2026 guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-07-01].
Momentum
24
Value
66
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.00 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $12.00Analysis 2026-09-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.00
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d +3.2
Value66 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -5.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Delayed enterprise-service delivery or a further education funding shortfall could prevent revenue from reaching revised fiscal 2026 guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-07-01].
  • • Executive Vice President of Operations Colleen Dom is scheduled to retire effective June 1, 2027; transition effects are not yet established [#8-K-2026-09-01].
  • • The fiscal 2026 revenue-guidance cut shows conversion risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Fiscal 2026 results test the revised outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
24
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
+11.0
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.3
Δ21d
-11.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 24.4 / Value 65.8 / Sentiment 58.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$210.97M
Beta
0.68
Shares Out
11.29M
P/E (TTM)
74.6
P/S (TTM)
0.77
P/FCF (TTM)
15.67
Rev YoY
+1.0%
EPS YoY
-346.5%
Gross Margin
+72.3%
Op Margin
+5.7%
Net Debt
-$23.88M
Current Ratio
0.66
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data