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EXPE

Expedia GroupA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
View Chart
Current thesis
The bullish read is that the market reaction may have over-penalized a quarter that materially beat on revenue, profitability, and cash generation, with B2B gross bookings up 22%, B2B revenue up 25%, and first-quarter profitability reaching a record seasonal level per management's prepared remarks in the earnings release [#8-K-2026-05-07].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
A large part of Q1 cash strength came from working-capital timing, including higher deferred merchant bookings and merchant payables, which can reverse across periods [#10-Q-2026-05-08].
Momentum
87
Value
64
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $265.00 · Bull $290.00 · Bear $210.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $285.82
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d +2.0
Value64 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -2.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
87
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+8.8
Value
64
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
44
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-3.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 87.2 / Value 64.3 / Sentiment 44.5

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$31.8B
Beta
1.42
Shares Out
120.02M
P/E (TTM)
27.5
P/S (TTM)
2.45
P/FCF (TTM)
12.37
Rev YoY
+14.7%
EPS YoY
-96.8%
Gross Margin
+84.4%
Op Margin
+11.6%
Net Debt
-$820M
Current Ratio
0.73
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology