ES

Eversource EnergyC

NYSE / Utilities

At close

2026-06-02

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$74.60

+8.9% vs current

Most likely

Base case

45%

Probability

Target price

$68.00

-0.7% vs current

B-

Bear case

30%

Probability

Target price

$61.00

-11.0% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-05-08

AI commentary

Post-earnings tone is mixed-to-cautious. The company source showed a real Q1 operating beat, but checked earnings coverage focused more on the lower full-year outlook tied to the FERC ROE ruling than on the beat itself. Checked market snippets indicated ES traded around 67.08 on May 7 versus 68.52 at the May 6 close, consistent with an initial roughly 2% negative reaction, and clear T+3 analyst target-reset evidence was still limited rather than supportive. Social coverage was not sufficient in the packet, so conviction stays moderate-low.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-08

Open post-earnings memo

Evidence flagged

peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators

Impact

tentative

Confidence

AI events

2026-05-09catalystQ1 beat was overshadowed by the already-announced 2026 guide resetMedium impact

Eversource reported Q1 2026 non-GAAP recurring EPS of $1.73 and GAAP EPS of $1.61, with stronger electric distribution and gas results, but management also reiterated the lower 2026 non-GAAP range of $4.57-$4.72 after the March FERC ROE ruling and expected Aquarion-sale effects; that keeps the near-term setup more defensive than bullish [#8-K-2026-05-06].

2026-06-30eventFERC response to the 11.39% replacement ROE filingMedium impact

The New England transmission owners submitted a Section 205 filing on April 30, 2026 proposing an 11.39% replacement base ROE, with a requested June 30, 2026 effective date; a favorable response would help offset part of the earnings drag from the March ruling, but timing and outcome remain uncertain [#10-Q-2026-05-07].

2026-06-30eventQuarterly dividend remains a modest support signalMedium impact

The board approved a $0.7875 quarterly dividend payable June 30, 2026 to shareholders of record on May 18, 2026, reinforcing the stock's income profile even though it is unlikely to clear the current regulatory overhang by itself [#8-K-2026-05-06].

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology