B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EPSN
Epsilon EnergyCNasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 update provides stronger forward visibility than the prior baseline: Niobrara wells reportedly exceeded type-curve expectations, Parkman is ahead of schedule, and second-half production growth is expected to accelerate, with Q4 as the main inflection point [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.
What can break
Higher development spending and revolver use may increase leverage or reduce financial flexibility.
Momentum
39
Value
55
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.10 · Bull $6.90 · Bear $4.40Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -
Value55 · Δ7d -0.9
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher development spending and revolver use may increase leverage or reduce financial flexibility.
- • Low coverage, absent analyst targets, and limited direct peers reduce valuation confidence.
- • The thesis is execution-dependent.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-12
Q2 earnings reset the thesis toward second-half production growth
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
39
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 38.6 / Value 54.6 / Sentiment 53.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$192.61M
Beta
-0.03
Shares Out
30.28M
P/E (TTM)
16.9
P/S (TTM)
2.38
P/FCF (TTM)
24.50
Rev YoY
+57.1%
EPS YoY
+235.5%
Gross Margin
+49.1%
Op Margin
+35.9%
Net Debt
$42.15M
Current Ratio
0.96
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data