B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
+34.6% vs current
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty TrustDNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$35.34
+18.9% vs current
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
-9.1% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-06
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-23.7
Negative
Company
-45.0
Negative
Macro
-22.8
Negative
Pulse
-45.4
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+65.5
Score
AI commentary
Market consensus shows modestly favorable analyst sentiment with median targets in the mid-$30s and highs near $40, implying cautious optimism [#SERP-3][#SERP-1]. Recent aggregator snapshots portray a 'Buy' tilt from analysts while noting a spread of views from low-$30s to $40 [#SERP-6].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-06
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-07catalystQuarterly FFO / earnings releaseMedium impact
Upcoming quarterly FFO and earnings release; outcomes (FFO beat or miss) typically move REIT shares and dividend perceptions. Date estimated conservatively (no public date disclosed) [#SERP-6].
2026-08-06eventAnalyst target revisions / consensus updatesHigh impact
Analyst reviews and consensus target updates (driven by results or guidance) can re-rate the stock; date is an estimated window end (assumption: consensus updates by mid-2026) [#SERP-3][#SERP-7].
2027-02-06catalystPortfolio growth / accretive acquisitionsHigh impact
Continued property acquisitions and accretive leasing could raise NAV and analyst targets over the next year; market consensus price targets show upside that would reflect successful acquisitions [#SERP-1][#SERP-5].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-06 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology