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EMBJ

EmbraerB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record backlog, improving deliveries, strong cash generation, and materially higher 2026 targets support a constructive medium-term operating thesis. Defense, executive aviation, and services provide diversification beyond commercial aviation.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Commercial Aviation margin remains vulnerable to unfavorable customer mix and legacy contracts.
Momentum
88
Value
61
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $75.00 · Bull $92.00 · Bear $57.00Analysis 2026-09-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $91.36
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d -2.6
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +8.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commercial Aviation margin remains vulnerable to unfavorable customer mix and legacy contracts.
  • • Consensus surprise, analyst revisions, options positioning, short interest, social sentiment, and post-print market reaction are unavailable.
  • • Near-term upside may be substantially reflected after the earnings reset.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

2Q26 record results and higher FY26 targets

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
88
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-8.2
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+4.3
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
+3.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 88.3 / Value 61.4 / Sentiment 64.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$75.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$13.96B
Beta
0.10
Shares Out
177.96M
P/E (TTM)
38.5
P/S (TTM)
1.67
P/FCF (TTM)
21.06
Rev YoY
+23.8%
EPS YoY
+179.2%
Gross Margin
+17.9%
Op Margin
+8.3%
Net Debt
$86.42M
Current Ratio
1.44
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data