B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ELF
e.l.f BeautyDNYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$73.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-16
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+26.2
Score
AI commentary
The primary company source provides a quantified FY2027 outlook and brand-level operating context, improving the evidence base, but the company’s investor-events page shows no confirmed upcoming event. No verified post-print price reaction or analyst target and estimate revisions are available. This remains a cautious, lower-conviction monitoring view.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-16
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-10-14eventFY2027 outlook executionMedium impact
The company provided FY2027 guidance for net sales of $1.835-$1.865 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $379-$385 million, and adjusted diluted EPS of $3.27-$3.32 versus FY2026 actuals of $1.636 billion, $335 million, and $3.13, respectively [#IR-2026-05-20]. The company has not confirmed the date of its next earnings event.
2027-07-16catalystQ1 FY2027 pre-print tensionMedium impact
A stored Zacks excerpt expects quarterly EPS of $0.73, down 18% year over year, alongside revenue of $424.55 million, up 20%; the EPS estimate was revised 1.2% higher over 30 days. This is secondary consensus context, not company guidance, and the company has not confirmed a reporting date.
2027-07-16catalystBrand portfolio and rhode/Naturium runwayHigh impact
Management reported that all five brands grew in FY2026, with rhode and Naturium particularly strong, and cited further whitespace across brands, categories, and geographies [#IR-2026-05-20]. The opportunity is credible but lacks quantified near-term conversion evidence.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-16 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology