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ECVT

EcovystB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 continuing-operations sales rose 42% and adjusted EBITDA rose 27%; higher acid volumes, favorable net pricing and Calabrian's expected contribution support the raised 2026 outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Calabrian integration and synergy delivery are unproven; acquisition borrowing raised reported net-debt leverage from 1.2x at year-end 2025 to 2.0x at June 30, 2026. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
48
Value
61
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.40 · Bull $12.50 · Bear $7.80Analysis 2026-10-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.17
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d +3.0
Value61 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Calabrian integration and synergy delivery are unproven; acquisition borrowing raised reported net-debt leverage from 1.2x at year-end 2025 to 2.0x at June 30, 2026. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Ecovyst appointed Laurie Bergman CFO effective August 24, succeeding Michael Feehan; the transition warrants monitoring but is not evidence of operating deterioration. [#8-K-2026-08-24] SEC filing
  • • Approximately $55 million of Q2 sales growth reflected sulfur-cost pass-through rather than equivalent underlying volume growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Delivery against raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
48
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.0
Δ21d
+30.4
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
-29.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 48.2 / Value 60.5 / Sentiment 59.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$10.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$1.08B
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
109.47M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-50.9
P/S (TTM)
1.51
P/FCF (TTM)
15.43
Rev YoY
+42.0%
EPS YoY
+38.1%
Gross Margin
+20.3%
Op Margin
+12.1%
Net Debt
$233.55M
Current Ratio
1.70
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data