B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.40
+101.7% vs current
DLPN
Dolphin EntertainmentBNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.50
+26.1% vs current
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.70
-41.2% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-14
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+71.6
Score
AI commentary
Post-earnings tone is cautiously mixed: the company delivered a real Q1 update and reiterated its 2026 margin/free-cash-flow narrative, but the filing still showed wider operating and net losses and meaningful cash use. By T+3, checked evidence did not show a strong analyst-revision cycle, and low coverage makes the immediate market read noisy; the May 13, 2026 anchor close of $1.41 suggests no obvious breakout confirmation from the print alone. Social context was unavailable in the packet, so sentiment metrics are not used as evidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-14
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
Coverage is limited for this name. This memo is usable, but confidence is lower and evidence depth is thinner than a standard report.
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-12eventQ1 2026 earnings release confirmed modest revenue growth but still negative operating leverageHigh impact
Dolphin furnished its May 12, 2026 earnings release on Form 8-K; Q1 revenue rose 5.2% year over year to $12.8 million and adjusted EBITDA loss improved 25%, but operating loss widened to $2.1 million and net loss to $2.7 million, keeping the post-print setup mixed rather than cleanly bullish [#8-K-2026-05-12] [#10-Q-2026-05-12].
2026-06-30catalystLiquidity and covenant monitoring into the June 30, 2026 semiannual testHigh impact
The Q1 10-Q showed cash and cash equivalents of about $6.3 million, operating cash use of about $2.0 million in the quarter, and a BankUnited liquidity covenant requiring a daily minimum deposit balance of $2.0 million; the next covenant-testing date is a near-term monitoring point for a leveraged micro-cap issuer [#10-Q-2026-05-12].
2026-12-31catalystManagement execution on 2026 free-cash-flow and margin-improvement planHigh impact
Management reiterated expectations for continued revenue growth, significant free cash flow generation, and adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in 2026, while pointing to NOL carryforwards, DealMaker progress, and future debt and lease savings; the thesis needs follow-through in later 2026 filings because current-quarter operating and net losses were still negative [#8-K-2026-05-12] [#10-Q-2026-05-12].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology