B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
+42.3% vs current
DB
Deutsche Bank AktiengesellschaftBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
+23.8% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
-16.5% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-06-02
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+18.4
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+18.7
Positive
Pulse
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+68.4
Score
AI commentary
Overall tone is mildly constructive after the Q1 print. A live primary-source retrieval confirmed Deutsche Bank's investor-relations quarterly-results page includes the Q1 2026 release, report, presentation and analyst-call materials, but conviction remains capped because the packet itself has no SEC filing excerpts and no fresh analyst revision signal. Social, options and employee-sentiment inputs are effectively unavailable, so this remains a monitoring view rather than a strong thesis call.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-06-02
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-29eventQ1 2026 earnings showed better profit and revenue mix, with capital-return framing intactMedium impact
Deutsche Bank's investor-relations quarterly-results page lists the Q1 2026 release, earnings report, presentation and analyst-call transcript, and the official Q1 media-release context supports record quarterly post-tax profit, €3.0 billion profit before tax, €8.7 billion net revenues, a 13.8% CET1 ratio and a €1 billion buyback underway; higher credit-loss provisions remain the main offset [#IR-Q1-2026-RESULTS].
2026-06-30catalystCredit provisions and higher 2026 expense guidance can cap near-term upsideMedium impact
The main near-term bear case is that provisions stay elevated and 2026 expenses remain slightly above prior expectations, which would slow operating leverage and limit multiple expansion even if revenue trends stay stable [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-05-29].
2026-12-31catalystBuybacks and a 60% payout target can support a longer rerating if execution stays on trackMedium impact
If Deutsche Bank sustains revenue growth, keeps capital within the 13.5%-14.0% CET1 operating range and delivers on its 2028 RoTE and cost-income targets, the market can keep assigning a higher multiple to the capital-return story [#IR-Q1-2026-RESULTS].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology