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2026-08-28
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Earnings documents stored for CSX.

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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-28

Q2 Earnings Outperformers: CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) And The Rest Of The Transportation and Logistics Stocks

StockStory
Looking back on transportation and logistics stocks’ Q2 earnings, we examine this quarter’s best and worst performers, including CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) and its peers. The growth of e-commerce and global trade continues to drive demand for shipping services, presenting opportunities for transportation and logistics companies. The industry continues to invest in advanced technologies such as automated sorting systems and real-time tracking solutions to enhance operational efficiency. Companies that win in this space boast speed, reach, reliability, and last-mile efficiency while those who do not see their market shares diminish. Like other industrials companies, transportation and logistics companies are at the whim of economic cycles. Consumer spending, for example, can greatly impact the demand for these companies’ offerings while fuel costs influence profit margins. The 27 transportation and logistics stocks we track reported a strong Q2. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 3%. In light of this news, share prices of the companies have held steady. On average, they are relatively unchanged since the latest earnings results. Established as part of the Chessie System and Seaboard Coast Line Industries merger, CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) is a transportation company specializing in freight rail services. CSX reported revenues of $3.94 billion, up 10.1% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 1%. Overall, it was a strong quarter for the company with a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates. Interestingly, the stock is up 3.3% since reporting and currently trades at $51.58. Is now the time to buy CSX? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free. Started with a dozen Model T Fords, Hertz (NASDAQ:HTZ) is a global car rental company providing vehicle rental services to leisure and business travelers. Hertz reported revenues of $2.40 billion, up 9.7% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 4.9%. The business had an incredible quarter with a beat of analysts’ EPS and EBITDA estimates. The market seems happy with the results as the stock is up 35.6% since reporting. It currently trades at $2.12. Is now the time to buy Hertz? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free. Conducting business in over a 100 countries, Werner (NASDAQ:WERN) offers full-truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal deli…Read full document

Looking back on transportation and logistics stocks’ Q2 earnings, we examine this quarter’s best and worst performers, including CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) and its peers. The growth of e-commerce and global trade continues to drive demand for shipping services, presenting opportunities for transportation and logistics companies. The industry continues to invest in advanced technologies such as automated sorting systems and real-time tracking solutions to enhance operational efficiency. Companies that win in this space boast speed, reach, reliability, and last-mile efficiency while those who do not see their market shares diminish. Like other industrials companies, transportation and logistics companies are at the whim of economic cycles. Consumer spending, for example, can greatly impact the demand for these companies’ offerings while fuel costs influence profit margins. The 27 transportation and logistics stocks we track reported a strong Q2. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 3%. In light of this news, share prices of the companies have held steady. On average, they are relatively unchanged since the latest earnings results. Established as part of the Chessie System and Seaboard Coast Line Industries merger, CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) is a transportation company specializing in freight rail services. CSX reported revenues of $3.94 billion, up 10.1% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 1%. Overall, it was a strong quarter for the company with a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates. Interestingly, the stock is up 3.3% since reporting and currently trades at $51.58. Is now the time to buy CSX? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free. Started with a dozen Model T Fords, Hertz (NASDAQ:HTZ) is a global car rental company providing vehicle rental services to leisure and business travelers. Hertz reported revenues of $2.40 billion, up 9.7% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 4.9%. The business had an incredible quarter with a beat of analysts’ EPS and EBITDA estimates. The market seems happy with the results as the stock is up 35.6% since reporting. It currently trades at $2.12. Is now the time to buy Hertz? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free. Conducting business in over a 100 countries, Werner (NASDAQ:WERN) offers full-truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal delivery services. Werner reported revenues of $933.9 million, up 24% year on year, in line with analysts’ expectations. It was a slower quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates and adjusted operating income in line with analysts’ estimates. Interestingly, the stock is up 1.3% since the results and currently trades at $38.80. Read our full analysis of Werner’s results here. Founded by a Swedish orphan, Matson (NYSE:MATX) is a provider of ocean transportation and logistics services. Matson reported revenues of $969.4 million, up 16.7% year on year. This number beat analysts’ expectations by 8.4%. It was a stunning quarter as it also put up an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA and EPS estimates. The stock is up 6.8% since reporting and currently trades at $221.57. Read our full, actionable report on Matson here, it’s free. With its name deriving from the Commonwealth of Virginia’s nickname, Old Dominion (NASDAQ:ODFL) delivers less-than-truckload (LTL) and full-container load freight. Old Dominion Freight Line reported revenues of $1.55 billion, up 10.4% year on year. This print topped analysts’ expectations by 0.7%. Overall, it was a strong quarter as it also logged a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates. The stock is down 12.3% since reporting and currently trades at $198.37. Read our full, actionable report on Old Dominion Freight Line here, it’s free. Over the past year, investors have been forced to repeatedly answer the same question: what is the market’s biggest risk? The answer has changed several times, and each shift has reshaped market leadership. Late in 2025 and early 2026, artificial intelligence became the market’s primary uncertainty. Investors questioned whether AI would erode software pricing power and weaken competitive moats as AI made it easier to replicate once-differentiated products. By the spring, technology took a back seat to geopolitics. The U.S. conflict with Iran briefly became the market’s dominant narrative, raising concerns about oil prices, inflation, and global growth. But as energy markets remained orderly and fears of a prolonged supply disruption faded, investors quickly turned their focus back to fundamentals. Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our 9 Best Market-Beating Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-23

CSX Q2 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Up Y/Y, EPS View Raised

Zacks
CSX Corporation CSX reported impressive second-quarter 2026 results, wherein both earnings and revenues surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of 54 cents surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 50 cents and increased 22.7% on a year-over-year basis. Total revenues of $3.94 billion beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.82 billion. The top line increased 10.1% year over year, driven by higher fuel surcharge revenues, volume growth and pricing across merchandise, intermodal and coal. These were partially offset by a decrease in export coal revenues, including the impact of lower benchmark rates. CSX Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | CSX Corporation Quote Second-quarter operating income increased 17% year over year to $1.51 billion. Total expenses increased 6% year over year. CSX’s operating margin expanded to 38.3% during the March quarter from 35.9% in the year-ago quarter. Total volumes inched up 6% year over year, boosted by 9% growth in intermodal volumes. Merchandise revenues grew 8.4% year over year to $2.45 billion (above our estimate of $2.33 billion) in the reported quarter. Merchandise volumes rose 4% year over year to $670 million. Segmental revenues per unit inched up 4% year over year. Intermodal revenues increased 26% year over year to $620 million (above our estimate of $547.1 million). Segmental volumes increased 9%, while revenues per unit rose 16% year over year. Coal revenues improved 9% year over year to $520 million in the reported quarter (above our estimate of $506.7 million). Coal volumes inched up 4% year over year, while segmental revenues per unit increased 4% year over year. Trucking revenues totaled $226 million (above our estimate of $190.6 million) and rose 7% year over year. Other revenues fell 11% year over year to $123 million in the reported quarter. CSX exited the second quarter of 2026 with cash and cash equivalents of $1 billion compared with $670 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025. Long-term debt of $17.16 billion compared with $18.17 at the quarter end of 2025. For 2026, CSX now expects mid-to high single-digit revenue growth (including fuel, based on the current forward curve for diesel) compared with its prior guidance of mid-single digit revenue growth. Operating margin expansion is now anticipated to exceed 350 basis points compared with the previou…Read full document

CSX Corporation CSX reported impressive second-quarter 2026 results, wherein both earnings and revenues surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of 54 cents surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 50 cents and increased 22.7% on a year-over-year basis. Total revenues of $3.94 billion beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.82 billion. The top line increased 10.1% year over year, driven by higher fuel surcharge revenues, volume growth and pricing across merchandise, intermodal and coal. These were partially offset by a decrease in export coal revenues, including the impact of lower benchmark rates. CSX Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | CSX Corporation Quote Second-quarter operating income increased 17% year over year to $1.51 billion. Total expenses increased 6% year over year. CSX’s operating margin expanded to 38.3% during the March quarter from 35.9% in the year-ago quarter. Total volumes inched up 6% year over year, boosted by 9% growth in intermodal volumes. Merchandise revenues grew 8.4% year over year to $2.45 billion (above our estimate of $2.33 billion) in the reported quarter. Merchandise volumes rose 4% year over year to $670 million. Segmental revenues per unit inched up 4% year over year. Intermodal revenues increased 26% year over year to $620 million (above our estimate of $547.1 million). Segmental volumes increased 9%, while revenues per unit rose 16% year over year. Coal revenues improved 9% year over year to $520 million in the reported quarter (above our estimate of $506.7 million). Coal volumes inched up 4% year over year, while segmental revenues per unit increased 4% year over year. Trucking revenues totaled $226 million (above our estimate of $190.6 million) and rose 7% year over year. Other revenues fell 11% year over year to $123 million in the reported quarter. CSX exited the second quarter of 2026 with cash and cash equivalents of $1 billion compared with $670 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025. Long-term debt of $17.16 billion compared with $18.17 at the quarter end of 2025. For 2026, CSX now expects mid-to high single-digit revenue growth (including fuel, based on the current forward curve for diesel) compared with its prior guidance of mid-single digit revenue growth. Operating margin expansion is now anticipated to exceed 350 basis points compared with the previous expectation of around the higher end of the 200-300 basis points range. Free cash flow is now anticipated to increase more than 80% compared with the prior expectation of growth of more than 60%. For the full-year 2026, CSX continues to expect capital expenditures to be below $2.4 billion. Currently, CSX carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies WAB, operating as Wabtec Corporation, reported encouraging second-quarter 2026 results, wherein both earnings and revenues surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate and increased year over year. Quarterly adjusted earnings of $2.76 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.63 by 4.9% and increased 21.6% year over year, owing to higher sales and operating margin expansion. Revenues climbed 17.5% to $3.18 billion and surpassed the consensus mark of $3.08 billion by 3.2%. United Airlines Holdings, Inc. UAL reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $1.99 per share, down 48.6% year over year but above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.92 by 3.7%. Operating revenues rose 16% to $17.67 billion and were essentially in line with the $17.68 billion consensus mark. A 12.1% increase in total revenues per available seat mile or TRASM, and broad-based gains across premium, loyalty and cargo revenues, supported the top line despite sharply higher fuel costs. J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. JBHT reported second-quarter 2026 earnings of $1.91 per share, up 45.8% from $1.31 a year ago. The figure beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.71 by 11.7%. Operating revenues climbed 19.4% year over year to $3.50 billion and surpassed the consensus mark of $3.19 billion by 9.5%. Higher volumes and pricing across several businesses supported growth, led by a 10% increase in Intermodal loads. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report CSX Corporation (CSX) : Free Stock Analysis Report United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) : Free Stock Analysis Report J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) : Free Stock Analysis Report Wabtec (WAB) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

CSX: Q2 Earnings Snapshot

Associated Press

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (AP) — JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (AP) — CSX Corp. (CSX) on Wednesday reported second-quarter earnings of $1 billion. The Jacksonville, Florida-based company said it had net income of 54 cents per share. The results surpassed Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of seven analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of 50 cents per share. The freight railroad posted revenue of $3.94 billion in the period, also topping Street forecasts. Six analysts surveyed by Zacks expected $3.82 billion. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on CSX at https://www.zacks.com/ap/CSX

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

CSX (CSX) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks
CSX (CSX) reported $3.94 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.1%. EPS of $0.54 for the same period compares to $0.44 a year ago. The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.82 billion, representing a surprise of +2.99%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +8%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.50. While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health. Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance. Here is how CSX performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Operating Margin: 38.3% versus the four-analyst average estimate of 64.3%. Volume - Merchandise - Minerals: 105 thousand versus the three-analyst average estimate of 100.46 thousand. Revenue ton-miles: 51.4 billion versus 52.24 billion estimated by three analysts on average. Revenue per unit - Intermodal: $783.00 compared to the $713.43 average estimate based on three analysts. Revenue- Coal: $520 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $516.78 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +9%. Revenue- Intermodal: $620 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $563.18 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +26.3%. Revenue- Merchandise- Fertilizers: $132 million versus $147.23 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +4.8% change. Revenue- Merchandise- Chemicals: $774 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $756.3 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +10.4%. Revenue- Merchandise- Automotive: $332 million compared to the $323.06 million average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +3.8% year over year. Revenue- Merchandise- Minerals: $242 million compared to the $227.78 million average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +11% yea…Read full document

CSX (CSX) reported $3.94 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.1%. EPS of $0.54 for the same period compares to $0.44 a year ago. The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.82 billion, representing a surprise of +2.99%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +8%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.50. While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health. Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance. Here is how CSX performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Operating Margin: 38.3% versus the four-analyst average estimate of 64.3%. Volume - Merchandise - Minerals: 105 thousand versus the three-analyst average estimate of 100.46 thousand. Revenue ton-miles: 51.4 billion versus 52.24 billion estimated by three analysts on average. Revenue per unit - Intermodal: $783.00 compared to the $713.43 average estimate based on three analysts. Revenue- Coal: $520 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $516.78 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +9%. Revenue- Intermodal: $620 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $563.18 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +26.3%. Revenue- Merchandise- Fertilizers: $132 million versus $147.23 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +4.8% change. Revenue- Merchandise- Chemicals: $774 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $756.3 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +10.4%. Revenue- Merchandise- Automotive: $332 million compared to the $323.06 million average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +3.8% year over year. Revenue- Merchandise- Minerals: $242 million compared to the $227.78 million average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +11% year over year. Revenue- Merchandise- Forest Products: $266 million compared to the $251.57 million average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +6.4% year over year. Revenue- Total Merchandise: $2.45 billion versus $2.38 billion estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +8.4% change. View all Key Company Metrics for CSX here>>> Shares of CSX have returned +8.1% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.3% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), indicating that it could outperform the broader market in the near term. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report CSX Corporation (CSX) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

CSX (CSX) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates

Zacks
CSX (CSX) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.5 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.44 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +8.00%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this freight railroad would post earnings of $0.39 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.43, delivering a surprise of +10.26%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. CSX, which belongs to the Zacks Transportation - Rail industry, posted revenues of $3.94 billion for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.99%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $3.57 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates just once over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. CSX shares have added about 37.6% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 9.7%. While CSX has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for CSX was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see h…Read full document

CSX (CSX) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.5 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.44 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +8.00%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this freight railroad would post earnings of $0.39 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.43, delivering a surprise of +10.26%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. CSX, which belongs to the Zacks Transportation - Rail industry, posted revenues of $3.94 billion for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.99%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $3.57 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates just once over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. CSX shares have added about 37.6% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 9.7%. While CSX has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for CSX was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.51 on $3.86 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $1.92 on $14.93 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Transportation - Rail is currently in the bottom 26% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. One other stock from the same industry, Canadian National (CNI), is yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on July 24. This railroad is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.39 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +3%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 1.7% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. Canadian National's revenues are expected to be $3.26 billion, up 5.5% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report CSX Corporation (CSX) : Free Stock Analysis Report Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

First look: CSX earnings

FreightWaves
CSX Corp. (NASDAQ: CSX) reported second-quarter 2026 earnings after the market close on Wednesday, delivering a solid performance that exceeded Wall Street expectations on both revenue and earnings per share. The Class I railroad based in Jacksonville, Fla., posted revenue of $3.94 billion, up 10.1% year-over-year, while GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.54, beating analyst consensus estimates of $0.52 by 4.2%. Revenue came in at $3.94 billion, up 10.1% y/y, with operating income of $1.51 billion. Operating margin was 38.3%, up from 35.9%. “Our second quarter results reflect the solid progress we’re making at CSX. Our railroaders successfully managed substantial volume growth while maintaining a consistent focus on safety and productivity, which allowed us to deliver improved financial performance,” said Steve Angel, president and chief executive, in an earnings release. “As we move into the second half of the year, we will strengthen our service execution as we continue to build momentum across the business.” Carload volumes improved by 6.1% from 0.1% a year ago. The railroad’s operating ratio improved to 61.7% from 64.1% in the prior-year quarter, reflecting better cost control and operational efficiency. Free cash flow swung dramatically from negative $115 million in Q2 2025 to positive $687 million this quarter, underscoring strong cash generation. Intermodal volumes, in particular, have been a highlight, with analysts noting a surge in intermodal traffic ahead of the earnings release. The volume rebound suggests strengthening demand across key freight segments, including consumer goods and industrial shipments moving through CSX’s eastern U.S. network. CSX raised its full-year outlook for revenue growth in the mid-to-high single digits, operating margin growth of greater than 350 basis points, and free cash flow growth of better than 80%. Capital spending remains unchanged at less than $2.4 billion. Subscribe to FreightWaves’ Rail e-newsletter and get the latest insights on rail freight right in your inbox. Read more articles by Stuart Chirls here. Read more: Street flip: Intermodal rail charges ahead in latest data Peak fatigue? Intermodal slows in latest data WATCH: Hellish wildfire overtakes CN train, crew in Canada Norfolk Southern conductor struck, killed by train in Indiana EXCLUSIVE: Union Pacific, Norfolk Southern CEOs talk about the rail me…Read full document

CSX Corp. (NASDAQ: CSX) reported second-quarter 2026 earnings after the market close on Wednesday, delivering a solid performance that exceeded Wall Street expectations on both revenue and earnings per share. The Class I railroad based in Jacksonville, Fla., posted revenue of $3.94 billion, up 10.1% year-over-year, while GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.54, beating analyst consensus estimates of $0.52 by 4.2%. Revenue came in at $3.94 billion, up 10.1% y/y, with operating income of $1.51 billion. Operating margin was 38.3%, up from 35.9%. “Our second quarter results reflect the solid progress we’re making at CSX. Our railroaders successfully managed substantial volume growth while maintaining a consistent focus on safety and productivity, which allowed us to deliver improved financial performance,” said Steve Angel, president and chief executive, in an earnings release. “As we move into the second half of the year, we will strengthen our service execution as we continue to build momentum across the business.” Carload volumes improved by 6.1% from 0.1% a year ago. The railroad’s operating ratio improved to 61.7% from 64.1% in the prior-year quarter, reflecting better cost control and operational efficiency. Free cash flow swung dramatically from negative $115 million in Q2 2025 to positive $687 million this quarter, underscoring strong cash generation. Intermodal volumes, in particular, have been a highlight, with analysts noting a surge in intermodal traffic ahead of the earnings release. The volume rebound suggests strengthening demand across key freight segments, including consumer goods and industrial shipments moving through CSX’s eastern U.S. network. CSX raised its full-year outlook for revenue growth in the mid-to-high single digits, operating margin growth of greater than 350 basis points, and free cash flow growth of better than 80%. Capital spending remains unchanged at less than $2.4 billion. Subscribe to FreightWaves’ Rail e-newsletter and get the latest insights on rail freight right in your inbox. Read more articles by Stuart Chirls here. Read more: Street flip: Intermodal rail charges ahead in latest data Peak fatigue? Intermodal slows in latest data WATCH: Hellish wildfire overtakes CN train, crew in Canada Norfolk Southern conductor struck, killed by train in Indiana EXCLUSIVE: Union Pacific, Norfolk Southern CEOs talk about the rail merger that could reshape the U.S. economy The post First look: CSX earnings appeared first on FreightWaves.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

S&P 500 Stock Chugs Past Buy Point; CSX Rises Late On Earnings

Investor's Business Daily

Wabtec was the No. 2 S&P 500 stock on Wednesday after the supplier of locomotives and railcars for freight and passenger service topped Q2 earnings estimates and raised its full-year outlook. Strong international performance, backlog growth and a wider profit margin — despite tariffs — powered Wabtec shares toward the top of a buy zone. Results: Wabtec posted adjusted earnings per share of $2.76, up 21.6% from a year ago and 16 cents ahead of estimates.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

Update: Equities Mixed Intraday as Traders Await Alphabet, Tesla Results

MT Newswires

(Updates with latest market prices and developments.) US benchmark equity indexes were mixed intr

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

CSX Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat
Interested in CSX Corporation? Here are five stocks we like better. CSX raised its full-year 2026 outlook after a strong second quarter, now expecting mid- to high-single-digit revenue growth, more than 350 basis points of operating margin expansion, and over 80% free cash flow growth. Second-quarter results were boosted by higher volumes and record revenue, with total volume up 6% and revenue up 10%; operating income rose 17% and EPS increased 23% even with fuel cost pressure. Intermodal led growth across the business, while management said service metrics still need improvement, especially dwell and trip-plan performance, though they expect sequential operating improvement ahead. MarketBeat Week in Review – 08/18 - 08/22 CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) raised its full-year 2026 outlook after reporting a second quarter marked by higher volumes, record revenue and expanded margins, with executives saying stronger demand and cost controls helped offset fuel-related headwinds. President and CEO Steve Angel said CSX made progress toward its goal of “best-in-class performance,” while acknowledging that network fluidity and service remain areas for improvement. For the quarter, total volume increased 6% and revenue rose 10% to what Angel described as a new quarterly record. Operating income and earnings per share both grew by double digits. → Buyback Boom: These 3 Companies Are Betting Billions on Their Own Stocks This Railroad Stock Is Chugging Along to a New All-Time High “Our priority is achieving profitable growth, not gaining market share for its own sake,” Angel said. He added that CSX is focused on adding business that increases operating income, expands margins and generates good returns on invested capital. Chief Financial Officer Kevin Boone said total revenue increased 10%, supported by higher fuel surcharge revenue, volume growth and higher pricing across merchandise, intermodal and coal markets. Total expenses rose 6%, but non-fuel expenses declined 2%. → 3 Photonics Companies Making Quantum Tech Possible Golden Cross Alert: 3 Stocks With Serious Upside Potential Operating income increased 17%, and operating margins improved 240 basis points despite 160 basis points of fuel price headwinds. Earnings per share increased 23% in the quarter. Second-quarter expenses increased by $138 million from the prior year. Boone said fuel expense rose $177 million due to higher d…Read full document

Interested in CSX Corporation? Here are five stocks we like better. CSX raised its full-year 2026 outlook after a strong second quarter, now expecting mid- to high-single-digit revenue growth, more than 350 basis points of operating margin expansion, and over 80% free cash flow growth. Second-quarter results were boosted by higher volumes and record revenue, with total volume up 6% and revenue up 10%; operating income rose 17% and EPS increased 23% even with fuel cost pressure. Intermodal led growth across the business, while management said service metrics still need improvement, especially dwell and trip-plan performance, though they expect sequential operating improvement ahead. MarketBeat Week in Review – 08/18 - 08/22 CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) raised its full-year 2026 outlook after reporting a second quarter marked by higher volumes, record revenue and expanded margins, with executives saying stronger demand and cost controls helped offset fuel-related headwinds. President and CEO Steve Angel said CSX made progress toward its goal of “best-in-class performance,” while acknowledging that network fluidity and service remain areas for improvement. For the quarter, total volume increased 6% and revenue rose 10% to what Angel described as a new quarterly record. Operating income and earnings per share both grew by double digits. → Buyback Boom: These 3 Companies Are Betting Billions on Their Own Stocks This Railroad Stock Is Chugging Along to a New All-Time High “Our priority is achieving profitable growth, not gaining market share for its own sake,” Angel said. He added that CSX is focused on adding business that increases operating income, expands margins and generates good returns on invested capital. Chief Financial Officer Kevin Boone said total revenue increased 10%, supported by higher fuel surcharge revenue, volume growth and higher pricing across merchandise, intermodal and coal markets. Total expenses rose 6%, but non-fuel expenses declined 2%. → 3 Photonics Companies Making Quantum Tech Possible Golden Cross Alert: 3 Stocks With Serious Upside Potential Operating income increased 17%, and operating margins improved 240 basis points despite 160 basis points of fuel price headwinds. Earnings per share increased 23% in the quarter. Second-quarter expenses increased by $138 million from the prior year. Boone said fuel expense rose $177 million due to higher diesel prices, partially offset by what the company described as record fuel efficiency. Labor costs increased $40 million, including nearly $90 million of combined pressure from higher incentive compensation and inflation. Those increases were mostly offset by savings from a 6% lower headcount across management and craft employees. → AI Data Centers Need Power, and These 2 Industrials Are Cashing In Boone said train and engine headcount will increase modestly in coming months to support service as demand improves, while CSX expects to use process improvements and technology to absorb attrition elsewhere in the business. The company also continued to reduce purchased services and other expenses. Boone cited $23 million in lower third-party services spending within operations, helped by better use of internal maintenance functions and reviews of contractor activity. Intermodal terminal costs per lift fell 12% as the company absorbed higher volumes more efficiently. Chief Operating Officer Mike Cory said CSX made progress in safety and productivity even as volumes grew faster than expected. The company’s FRA injury rate improved 19% from the prior year, while its train accident rate improved 30%. Cory said total people hours declined 7%. Average velocity improved 3% year over year, but dwell increased. Cory said the company saw tightness in some parts of the network due to stronger demand and seasonal reductions in employee availability. “Our service metrics aren’t where we want them to be, and particularly terminal dwell and trip plan performance,” Cory said during the question-and-answer portion of the call. He said the issue was not structural and that CSX expects sequential improvement in operating and service metrics. Cory said CSX increased average tonnage per merchandise train by 5% and improved workforce productivity. He said the company plans only a modest increase in headcount and will avoid overcorrecting in a way that gives back productivity gains. Chief Commercial Officer Maryclare Kenney said commercial and operations teams handled volumes that exceeded expectations. She said favorable market trends that began narrowly broadened through the spring, contributing to growth across the business. Merchandise volume rose 4% year over year, while revenue increased 8%. Merchandise revenue per unit excluding fuel increased 1%, as pricing helped offset negative mix. Chemicals volume grew 8%, supported by plastics exports and demand for waste-by-rail. Metals and equipment revenue increased 14% on 3% higher volume, helped by new plate mill production and favorable mix from military and equipment moves. Forest products volume was flat from a year earlier, which Kenney said was a significant improvement from the first quarter. Intermodal was the largest contributor to unit growth. Revenue increased 26% on 9% higher volume, while revenue per unit rose 16%, driven by fuel surcharge. Kenney said domestic intermodal growth benefited from new service offerings, tighter truck capacity and truck-to-rail conversions. She also cited faster service and expanded network capacity enabled by the Howard Street Tunnel. Coal revenue increased 9% on 4% higher volume. Export tonnage increased 12%, driven by mine restarts and strong tonnage through Curtis Bay. Domestic tonnage declined 2% as lower natural gas prices and normalized customer inventories tempered demand. CSX raised its 2026 outlook based on year-to-date performance and expectations for the rest of the year. The company now expects: Full-year revenue growth in the mid- to high-single-digit range; Operating margin expansion of more than 350 basis points; Free cash flow growth of more than 80%; Capital spending of less than $2.4 billion, unchanged from the prior outlook. Kenney said the second-half outlook remains encouraging, with opportunities tied to new service offerings, industrial development projects, investments in transload and terminal networks, and truck-to-rail conversions. She said tighter truck supply and higher rates are reinforcing rail’s value proposition, particularly in forest products, waste, metals and domestic intermodal. Still, Kenney flagged potential moderation in some markets. Automotive is starting the second half softer after strong second-quarter production, with normalized inventories and summer shutdowns ahead of new model launches in the fourth quarter. Plastics volumes in chemicals could also moderate after first-half pull-forward activity. On pricing, Kenney reiterated that CSX expects same-store sales pricing to be stronger in 2026 than in 2025. She said truck capacity tightened over the past few months, particularly after regulatory enforcement, and that CSX has seen acceleration in domestic intermodal spot pricing and some recent rail asset contract renewals. However, she declined to provide a 2027 pricing outlook. Angel said CSX continues to see opportunities in operations, pricing and productivity. “All businesses, great businesses, have opportunities for improvement, and we’re no different than anyone else,” he said. CSX Corporation is a leading North American transportation company that provides rail-based freight services and supply-chain solutions. Its operating subsidiary, CSX Transportation, moves a wide range of goods for customers across multiple industries, using a combination of long-haul rail service, intermodal operations and terminal and yard services. The company focuses on delivering efficient, reliable freight transportation between major production centers, consumption markets and port gateways. CSX's freight portfolio includes intermodal containers and trailers, bulk commodities, industrial products and specialized unit trains. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "CSX Q2 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for July 2026.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

CSX Reports Higher Second-Quarter Profit, Sales

The Wall Street Journal

The railroad operator’s revenue rose 10%, driven by increased fuel surcharge revenue paired with higher volume and pricing across merchandise, intermodal and coal.

TranscriptFY2026 Q22026-07-22

FY2026 Q2 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 88 paragraphs
Kevin Boone

At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Matthew Korn, Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Please go ahead.

Matthew Korn

Thank you, Audra. Good afternoon, everyone. We are very pleased to have you join our second quarter 2026 earnings call. Joining me from the CSX leadership team are Steve Angel, President and Chief Executive Officer, Mike Cory, EVP and Chief Operating Officer, Kevin Boone, EVP and Chief Financial Officer, and Maryclare Kenney, Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer. In the presentation that accompanies this call, which is available on our website, you will find slides with our forward-looking and our non-GAAP disclosures. We encourage you to review them. With that, I'm very happy to turn the call over to Mr. Steve Angel.

Steve Angel

Good afternoon. Thank you for joining our earnings call. This quarter, CSX continued to make progress toward our goal of best-in-class performance. Stronger demand led to volume growth across our business, we managed this growth while delivering strong safety and productivity outcomes. These results reflect the hard work and dedication of our railroaders as they serve our customers safely and reliably. For the quarter, volume increased 6% and our revenue increased 10%, reaching a new quarterly record. At the same time, we improved operating efficiency and maintained strong cost discipline, driving substantial margin expansion and double-digit growth in operating income and earnings per share. We are proud of our accomplishments so far this year, our objective is to build an organization that can consistently deliver strong performance over the long term.

Steve Angel

There are many areas across the business where we can improve performance, network fluidity and service are among them. Plans are in place to address opportunities for improvement, we expect to see steady progress throughout the quarter while maintaining our focus on profitable growth. Our solid volume growth this quarter reflects the benefits of our commercial initiatives, network investments, the execution of our team across the railroad. Our priority is achieving profitable growth, not gaining market share for its own sake. I believe that industries that become too focused on market share eventually drive out profitability. At CSX, what's most important is that the business we add increases operating income, expands margins, and delivers good returns on invested capital. Mike?

Mike Cory

Thank you very much, Steve, and good afternoon, everyone. The railroad made solid progress in safety and productivity this quarter, as shown on slide five. Our team continued its consistent and disciplined approach to managing risk and controlling cost, even as the amount of volume we handled grew substantially. The strength of our safety culture is the foundation for everything we do at CSX, and our year-over-year safety performance was impressive in the second quarter. Our FRA injury rate improved by 19% compared to last year, even as our base of total people hours declined by 7%, and our train accident rate improved by 30%. We see opportunities to build on these results through continued focus on risk awareness, field-level engagement, and applied technology as we pursue best-in-class performance. We managed stronger than expected growth in the second quarter, with volumes increasing 6% year-over-year.

Mike Cory

Handling this growth while experiencing seasonal reductions in employee availability created tightness in certain areas of the network. While our average velocity improved 3% compared to the prior year, we also saw an increase in dwell. We're taking clear steps to improve the consistent availability of our crews, and with the effective management of resources, we expect sequential improvement in our service metrics. Network productivity continued to increase this quarter. The metrics on the right side of this slide highlight the specific gains our team delivered. Our fuel efficiency improved year-over-year for the fourth straight quarter as we improved locomotive utilization and continued to maximize the use of Trip Optimizer. We increased the number of GTMs we generated per unit of horsepower for the sixth quarter in a row. Our employees were more productive, and we moved more tonnage per train compared to a year ago.

Mike Cory

Overall, our team stepped up as customers brought more business to CSX. We ran safely and efficiently. I expect fluidity to improve as the year progresses. Kevin's now going to review our financial results. Over to you, Kevin.

Kevin Boone

All right. Thank you, Mike. Good afternoon. As both Mike and Steve noted, the CSX team delivered another strong quarter, including higher volume, record revenue, and lower non-fuel expense. These results reflect continued partnership across the business to improve safety and drive cost efficiencies while meeting increased demand from our customers. Total revenue increased 10%, benefiting from higher fuel surcharge combined with both volume growth and higher pricing across our merchandise, intermodal, and coal markets. Total expenses increased by 6%, with a 2% reduction in non-fuel expenses. Putting it all together, operating income increased by 17%, with operating margins improving 240 basis points despite 160 basis points of fuel price headwinds. This strong performance drove earnings per share growth of 23% in the quarter. Let's now turn to the next slide for a closer look at expenses. Total second quarter expenses increased by $138 million compared to the prior year.

Kevin Boone

This includes an increase of $177 million for fuel, driven by higher diesel prices, net of savings from our record-setting quarter fuel efficiency. Labor costs increased by $40 million with a nearly $90 million combined impact from higher incentive compensation and inflation. These headwinds were mostly offset by savings from a 6% lower headcount, with declines across both management and craft employees. T&E headcount will increase modestly in the coming months to support our service product with improved demand, while we expect to leverage process improvements and technology to absorb attrition in other areas of the business. PS&O expenses were lower again in the second quarter, with efficiency savings across each of our operating departments, as well as our G&A and technology functions.

Kevin Boone

Discretionary costs remain under intense review, managers across the company are being empowered with tools and visibility to take action on wasteful spending and other cost opportunities. For example, spend on third-party services across our operations team was lower by $23 million in the quarter, benefiting from better utilization of our internal maintenance functions and detailed reviews of contractor activity. That discipline also applies to our corporate functions with savings in external technology labor, corporate communication support, and legal fees. The business also demonstrated an ability to efficiently absorb higher volumes with a 12% reduction in our intermodal terminal costs per lift. Moving to the third quarter, incentive compensation expense will step lower sequentially, largely offset by the 3.75% union wage increase. Within PS&O, we expect fewer property gains and insurance recoveries, as well as higher costs for locomotive overhauls in the second half relative to the first.

Kevin Boone

As Steve noted, we are focused on our service product while embedding a culture of continuous improvement. Our accomplishments year-to-date put us in a position to invest in initiatives that drive further productivity in 2027 and beyond. With that, I'll turn it over to Maryclare to review our revenue results.

Maryclare Kenney

Thank you, Kevin, and good afternoon, everyone. Before I get into the results, I want to recognize the hard work of our commercial and operations teams, who worked closely together to handle volumes that exceeded our expectations. Heading into the second quarter, we saw favorable trends emerging in select markets. What started as a narrow, supply-driven improvement in market conditions broadened through the spring, resulting in strong volume growth across the business. Customers are increasingly turning to rail for their supply chain needs, and we are focused on earning their business through competitive service offerings and reliable execution. Turning to slide 10, I'll walk you through second quarter volume and revenue performance. Overall, total volume was up 6% in the quarter. Revenue was up 10%, and revenue per unit was up 4%.

Maryclare Kenney

Total revenue per unit, excluding fuel, declined 1% compared to the prior year due to mix, as intermodal grew at more than double the rate of other business units. In merchandise, volume was up 4% year-over-year, while revenue grew 8%. Merchandise RPU, excluding fuel, was 1% higher as solid pricing helped offset negative mix. Including fuel, RPU was up 4% year-over-year. Strength was broad-based across merchandise, with six of our seven business units growing or holding flat year-over-year. Chemicals volume increased 8% compared to last year, supported by plastics exports and demand for waste by rail. Metals and equipment delivered a standout quarter, with 14% revenue growth on 3% higher volume, driven by increased customer production at new plate mills and favorable mix from higher military and equipment moves.

Maryclare Kenney

Forest Products volume was flat year-over-year, a significant improvement from the first quarter, as conversions increased on tighter truck capacity and higher fuel costs. Intermodal continues to build momentum and was the largest contributor to unit growth this quarter, with revenue up 26% on 9% higher volume and RPU up 16% year-over-year, driven by fuel surcharge. Our diverse domestic business drove our volume growth as new service offerings continue to ramp and truck-to-rail conversions have accelerated. Faster service and expanded network capacity enabled by the Howard Street Tunnel have positioned us well to capture this business. Finally, coal revenue grew 9% on 4% higher volume. Coal RPU increased 4%, primarily due to strong domestic contract renewals, as Hampton Roads benchmark prices were relatively stable during the quarter.

Maryclare Kenney

Export tonnage increased 12% year-over-year, driven by mine restarts and a best-ever four-month stretch of tonnage through Curtis Bay. Domestic tonnage declined 2% as lower natural gas prices and normalized customer inventories modestly tempered otherwise healthy demand. As we look to the second half of the year, our commercial initiatives continue to create opportunities for us to grow the business, including new service offerings, the ramp-up of industrial development projects, and investments in our transload and terminal network. Our opportunities to convert business to the railroad continue to grow as tighter truck supply and higher rates are highlighting the value proposition of rail. On the merchandise side, this is most prominent in forest products, waste, and metals. We also expect strength in conversions to support domestic intermodal volume. Steady construction activity continues to support minerals and metals.

Maryclare Kenney

An investment tied to power infrastructure and data center build-out is driving demand in domestic coal, frac sand, and heavy equipment. Agricultural exports are another area of strength, with record U.S. corn shipments through Chesapeake continue to continue through year-end. That said, we do see the potential for momentum to slow in some markets. Following a quarter of strong production in automotive, normalized inventories and summer shutdowns are leading to a softer start to the second half ahead of new model launches in the fourth quarter. In chemicals, we expect plastics volumes to moderate following pull-forward activity in the first half. Meanwhile, coal fundamentals remain strong. Power demand and recent plant life extensions will support domestic utility burn. New business wins are driving growth in domestic steel and industrial markets, and export volumes are expected to remain steady, benefiting from improved mine supply.

Maryclare Kenney

Finally, on the outlook for revenue per unit, underlying core pricing remains at or above our plan. With most of our contract renewals for the year already complete, we expect fuel and mix to be the primary drivers of RPU in the second half, as any flow-through from truck rate pricing to yield typically takes time to materialize. Overall, trends for the back half of the year remain encouraging, and we're focused on converting those opportunities into long-term growth for the railroad. With that, I'll turn it back over to Steve.

Steve Angel

Thank you, Maryclare. Now we'll review our updated guidance for 2026 on slide 13. Based on our results year-to-date and our expectations for the balance of the year, we are adjusting our 2026 outlook higher. We now expect full-year revenue growth in the mid to high single digits, operating margin expansion of greater than 350 basis points, and free cash flow growth of greater than 80%. Our outlook for capital spending remains unchanged at less than $2.4 billion. The updated outlook reflects strong volume growth, improved financial performance, and the continued focus on productivity and cost control that you've heard about in today's call. We continue to see opportunities to strengthen service execution, improve productivity, and drive long-term efficiency across the railroad. Those efforts remain central to our goal of delivering sustainable improvement over time.

Steve Angel

Finally, I want to thank our railroaders for their hard work and dedication this quarter. These results were made possible by their commitment to safety, integrity, and serving our customers efficiently. Matthew will now open it up for questions.

Matthew Korn

Thank you, Steve. We will now proceed with the question and answer session. To ensure that we maximize everyone's opportunity to participate, we ask that you please limit yourselves to one and only one question. Audra, we are ready to begin.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you have dialed in and would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star one again. We'll take our first question from Stephanie Moore at Jefferies.

Stephanie Moore

Great. Good afternoon. Appreciate the question. I guess maybe starting on one of the last points here in the prepared remarks about just the pricing opportunity in the back half, understand the benefits you're seeing mix and fuel-wise, and maybe not necessarily seeing some of the truckload benefits yet. Maybe just help us understand when we would expect to maybe see some of those benefits come through as the underlying freight environment certainly has seemed to heat up a bit here in the last couple of months or so. Thanks.

Maryclare Kenney

Thanks for the question. Yeah, as we think about pricing, we've said earlier this year, and we reaffirm it today, that we expect our same-store sales pricing to be stronger this year than it was last year. I think as I think about our merchandise portfolio, the team recognizes the value of the service that we provide, and they're leaning in, having conversations with customers and continuing to accelerate price. I think there's a lot of, obviously, conversation out there in terms of the truck market. We did see truck capacity tighten, I'd say, and particularly over the course of the last couple of months with regulatory enforcement. I'd say on the intermodal side, we're near the tail end of the domestic intermodal bid season for 2026.

Maryclare Kenney

I'm not going to get into 2027 at this point, but I would say we have seen pricing accelerate in our domestic spot segment, which is a smaller portion of our business. We've also seen it on some of our recent rail asset contract renewals. The team is constantly evaluating what marketing conditions look like, and like I said, they recognize the importance of ensuring we're getting the value for the service we provide. I do think it's important, on the intermodal side, to remember that not all areas of that business have the same market dynamics. For example, I'd tell you international, I think I've mentioned this before, is heavily concentrated, it's competitive, and it's primarily contracted under long-term deals. That is not as highly coordinated to the truck market as you might see on domestic.

Operator

We'll go next to Chris Wetherbee at Wells Fargo.

Chris Wetherbee

Hey, thanks. Good afternoon. Maybe wanted, Steve, to get your perspective on productivity and cost control progress from here. Obviously, some really good momentum so far in these first two quarters of 2026, particularly seeing it on the PS&O line. I guess, as you think about the bigger picture opportunity, is this sort of just low-hanging fruit that you're capturing now? I guess you've been there a couple of quarters now, have a better sense of what maybe the bigger picture opportunity is. Wondering if maybe you can comment on what you think you can continue to generate out of the business as we maybe look into the second half and potentially beyond to 2027.

Steve Angel

Kevin, why don't you take that one? Yeah.

Kevin Boone

Yeah. I would say expenses and efficiencies are never low-hanging. There's a lot of work that goes into the efforts. Obviously, coming into the year, we had a plan, and we're delivering on that plan, which I'm encouraged about. I could say we looked outward first. We're looking at all of our contractors, everything that we pay outside of the company first. Quite frankly, Mike and his team have come to the table with ideas on insourcing. We found opportunities to insource activity and use our employees to do that work. That's materialized into savings as well. We see other opportunities there. The pipeline is robust. We're currently in the process of building out our 2027 plan and efficiencies, bringing the whole team together. We obviously have targets that we're setting for ourselves internally and goals there.

Kevin Boone

I would say we're about halfway through that process and moving on probably a lot earlier than we normally would in any other year that I've seen. It's really about creating the muscle. It's about creating the accountability throughout the organization, ownership, common goals. From a finance perspective, it's about us providing the tools and the visibility for Mike and his team and others to really go out and get those costs and understand where those cost opportunities are. A lot of collaboration. We're excited. We're reviewing those tomorrow. Again, our status update and more to come on that.

Operator

We'll go next to Scott Group at Wolfe Research.

Scott Group

Hey, thanks. I just want to follow up on the pricing question. First question, I think you answered a lot about intermodal pricing. I want to ask about merchandise. We're seeing better volumes there. I'm sure they have some competition with truck market. Do you think merchandise price should be accelerating as well with intermodal? Maybe, in an aggregate basis, you said, "Hey, we think same-store pricing better in 2026 than 2025." Maybe it's too early to ask this, but would you think we see another acceleration in overall same-store price in 2027?

Maryclare Kenney

Yeah. Thanks, Scott. I would say yes, I'll reiterate, this year better than last year. I would say, we're constantly looking at the markets and having discussions with customers. They want us to reinvest in the business. They understand inflation. I would tell you, we have seen improvement in several markets as we've gone throughout the course of this year, but too early to get into 2027 at this point.

Operator

Next, we'll move to Brian Ossenbeck at JPMorgan.

Brian Ossenbeck

Hey, afternoon. Thanks for taking the time. Question for Mike. We see some of the KPIs, some of them moving in what we would historically see not a good direction, the trip plan, the cars as well, but clearly setting record fuel, locomotive safety, and a solid result. Just wanted to see if you can square the KPIs that we'd normally see maybe a little bit of a more mixed picture, and you still think there's some improvement. With sort of the impact on the business, is this really affecting pricing renewals? The service looks at least a little challenged in some areas, and was this any impact from the surprise in volume growth? Thank you.

Mike Cory

Yeah. Thanks for the question, Brian, and I'll turn the second piece over to Maryclare on any effect it may have. You're correct. Our service metrics aren't where we want them to be, and particularly terminal dwell and trip plan performance. The short version of that is the demand came in much stronger than we expected, and we were tighter on crews in some of our locations. Volume was up 6% across the network and higher in some individual locations while the headcount was lower than last year. We managed through that by being safer and more efficient, and we increased our average tonnage per merchandise train by 5%, and we improved our workforce productivity. While we were doing that, it added pressure, obviously, to our service metrics, and I tell you, that's our area of opportunity, and we're extremely focused on it.

Mike Cory

It's not a structural service issue, and certainly not to minimize the importance of it, but we're very productive and just not as fluid as we needed to be. The forward work is pretty straightforward for us. The fluid network provides reliable service at the cost that we need. This isn't really about choosing one or the other. It's about meeting our customers' needs effectively and productively. We're going to keep improving on the safety and productivity gains we earned, but our goal is to create the capacity where the demand profile requires it. That's going to include a little modest increase in our team head count to support that service product. However, we expect the productivity to increase. Again, we're being deliberate about it. We aren't going to overcorrect and reduce the productivity the team has really worked hard to earn.

Mike Cory

We're focused on creating the consistency that our customers need and deserve. Bottom line, the quarter showed that we can handle stronger volumes and do it safely and efficiently. While we count on those two things to continuously improve, our next step is really to convert that into more consistent fluidity and service, and that's going to prepare us for productive growth. That's what we're focused on, and I see us sequentially improving our operating and service metrics, no doubt about it. Over to you, Maryclare.

Maryclare Kenney

I'd just add that the team's obviously staying very close with customers and with our operating team. Mike and I spend a lot of time together. Our teams spend a lot of time together, we're constantly reviewing service. We're talking through if we see an area that is an opportunity, how do we work through it together, making sure we're staying close to the customer.

Operator

We'll move next to Ken Hoexter at Bank of America.

Ken Hoexter

Hey. Good afternoon. Great job on the higher volumes, but I guess maybe just to clarify, the 350 basis points target, that includes the gain on sale, right? What, about $93 million this quarter? Mike, on that point of hiring faster or do you need to hire faster given the 6% jump in car loads? Isn't this the time where you need to start planning ahead for not just what may come, but if the truck market keeps tightening and we keep getting a spillover, can you meet that with productivity or do you need to start hiring faster given the lead time you have to start working on it? Thanks.

Kevin Boone

Yeah, just to clarify, on the margin side, it does include obviously the results that we reported in the first half, including some of the real estate gains, as you mentioned. It wasn't $93 million in the quarter. It was much less than that in the second quarter. In the first half of the year, it was about that amount.

Ken Hoexter

Okay.

Steve Angel

Let me take that. This is Steve. Any kind of headcount increase is very modest. One thing that happened, I think Mike covered it, is the summer months are where we have a lot of vacations, so those people have really come back, so it's concentrated in just a few months, and that's right at the same time that we saw that acceleration in demand. We kind of got caught a little bit there, but those people are back at work and any increases we're contemplating are going to be very modest. It will be in good shape going forward and, in fact, as you look at our service metrics today, they're definitely improving.

Operator

Our next question comes from Jonathan Chappell at Evercore ISI.

Jonathan Chappell

Thank you. Good afternoon. Kevin, you called out two cost line items somewhat specifically. On labor it feels like it's going to be roughly flattish as the incentive comp declines, but then you have the annual wage inflation. PS&O, I guess you kind of insinuated that's going to be higher without the gains on sales, some of the locomotive work, et cetera. We would typically, I think, maybe expect to see the 3Q margin improving, especially when you have this type of volume acceleration, the strong start that you've had to July. Given some of those cost things that you've just noted, maybe some of the hiring, fuel volatility again, would you expect to see a kind of normal seasonal trend as we go through the second half of this year?

Jonathan Chappell

Some of maybe the lower hanging fruit or the heavy lifting has already been done in the first half?

Kevin Boone

No, I wouldn't say that. I think we have a lot of good initiatives that we're going to continue to carry through on the PS&O side. I think you're spot on the labor side. Incentive comp largely will offset some of the labor increases that we have starting July 1 with our union labor workforce. Otherwise, I think you'll see typically some of the same seasonality. I think typically you'll see third quarter maybe a little lower than second quarter. Really the big factor here on the margin side will be the fuel. We've seen a lot of volatility in the fuel price. Certainly we faced the fuel lag in the second quarter of the year, and that should go away. All bets are off on where the fuel could go. We saw a pretty dramatic increase this past week.

Kevin Boone

All else equal, I think we'll see some benefit quarter-over-quarter, and that's probably going to help our margin story a little bit as well as we move from second quarter into third quarter. Probably a little bit better than the typical seasonality when we see a little bit deterioration from an operating income perspective from second to third quarter.

Operator

We'll move next to Tom Wadewitz at UBS.

Tom Wadewitz

Yeah, good afternoon. I wanted to swing back a little bit to the pricing side. I think maybe Maryclare, if I ask it in a way that you frame where we're at on merchandise pricing, maybe that'll help us to think about what the upside could be. If we think about a range of merchandise pricing you've achieved over time, I don't know if the low end's 1%, the high end's 5% or 6%, something like that. Obviously, if I'm off on that, please correct me. Where do you think you're at on the range of pricing gains in 2026? Just so we can have a sense of, as you see some of this tighter truck market and maybe some strength in your markets, how much upside is there in pricing when you look to 2027, in particular on the merchandise segment?

Maryclare Kenney

Yeah, thanks. We're not going to put out a number associated with pricing, what I would tell you is the team is closely looking at it. I think in several markets, the fundamentals have changed over the course of the last several months, it's something that we watch closely. We have a highly skilled team on the marketing side. They understand their markets. They're constantly having conversations with customers, we're going to make sure that we continue to price at the value of the service and make sure that as people are looking to bring more to rail, we're taking that into account.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Brandon Oglenski at Barclays.

Brandon Oglenski

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. Maryclare, maybe I can ask one of you, too. It looks like your units are running up maybe 6.5% right now early in the third quarter. How can you compare that to your annual revenue guidance here? I know you called out some headwinds in the back half, are we just running maybe even ahead of expectations right now?

Maryclare Kenney

Yeah, thanks. Right now, we called out a couple of areas that we're watching. Merchandise and intermodal improved in the second quarter. If we think about the balance of the year, the tighter truck capacity should create some additional opportunities on domestic intermodal. We've taken that into account as we think about balance of year. In certain areas of our merchandise portfolio, we saw probably the strongest acceleration due to truck conversion in the forest product segment in Q2 versus where we were in Q1. As we're thinking about the future, there's two areas in merchandise that were a little stronger in the second quarter than we anticipated that we're keeping our eye on. I mentioned in the prepared remarks, is chemicals and it's automotive.

Maryclare Kenney

On the chemical side, with the war in Iran, we saw an uptick in plastics as people were looking to pull ahead. Inventories now, we're keeping a close eye on those. They could moderate as we get into the back half, that's an area we're keeping focus up against. On the automotive side, overall automotive demand really hasn't improved. The current outlook for North American light vehicle production is still to be down just under 2% for the year. It was slower first quarter. It accelerated some in the second quarter, we're watching those trends coming out of shutdown. Some inventories are high, we're keeping an eye on that. That could decelerate a bit.

Maryclare Kenney

I think as we think about the rest of the markets, there's better fundamentals we see out there now than where we saw starting out this year.

Operator

We'll move next to Walter Spracklin at RBC Capital.

Walter Spracklin

Yeah, thanks very much. Good afternoon, everyone. I was going to come back to Mike on the capacity side. I know you talked a little bit about labor and hiring, but I was wondering if you're seeing any pinch points from a structural standpoint, anything that might make you look a little bit harder at the CapEx. I know you held it constant this year, but when growth comes on, sometimes you find some pinch points that you didn't know were there before, and is there any evidence of that at all?

Mike Cory

Thanks for the question, Walter. No, in terms of structural issues, no. We're always looking at our capacity, and actually we're working very hard to define and make better our capacity modeling. In terms of the network itself, we showed with the volume we brought, with the exception of some locations where we were very tight on crews, we can handle it and we can handle more. We'll continuously look at our demand profile and work hard to find out the capacity that we have and obviously exert everything we can out of it. In terms of structural, no, we're in good shape going forward, and that's how we see it.

Operator

Our next question comes from Ari Rosa at Citi.

Ari Rosa

Hi, Maryclare, I was hoping you could talk about the intermodal opportunity, maybe staying on the idea of available capacity. Now that Howard Street is open, obviously the trucking market has tightened a lot, especially in the East, and we heard J.B. Hunt speak to that. Just talk about how you're balancing the desire to grow volume against the pricing opportunity and how much available capacity is on the network. How should we be modeling that over the next couple of quarters? Thanks.

Maryclare Kenney

Thank you. I'd say when we think about domestic intermodal this year and longer term, we see opportunity out there. We talked about that, go back to even a couple of years ago when we talked publicly about where we saw domestic intermodal. There's a good amount of traffic that moves over the highway that is suitable for intermodal conversion. Certainly, we're coming out of what was a pretty soft truck market. It's tightened pretty significantly over the course of the last several months, and we're having a lot of conversations with customers. I tell you, the investments we've made in our infrastructure have allowed us to capitalize on opportunities probably pretty quickly over the course of the last few months.

Maryclare Kenney

I'm closely watching as the team goes out there and sells against Howard Street Tunnel and the new connectivity that we've put in place, what that looks like on a weekly basis. We've talked about over the last couple of calls, some of the new services that we've put in place, including the partnership with CPKC on SMX. When I look at SMX and Howard Street Tunnel over the course of the last few weeks, really over the course of the last couple of months, we've seen growth week over week in both of those areas. As I look at the last couple of weeks, it's adding about a couple of points, I would say, in terms of domestic intermodal growth. We see additional opportunity there.

Maryclare Kenney

Howard Street's still pretty early for our customers, and it was later in the bid cycle when that was unlocked this year. As we go into the back end of this year and we go into next year, we see additional opportunity. I know pricing is a hot topic today. As we think about that and going forward, we're constantly watching the market, evaluating the market. Not everything comes up at the same time. I talked earlier about the bid season associated with domestic intermodal, and that comes into play. In terms of capacity, it's a constant conversation with Mike and his team. I would say, as I think about our intermodal trains, they're out there running today.

Maryclare Kenney

There's capacity on many of our trains, it gives us the ability to bring on business pretty quickly within that area and still be able to support it from a reliability and a consistency perspective for our customers.

Operator

We'll go next to Richa Harnain at Deutsche Bank.

Richa Harnain

Hey. Thanks, everyone. Thanks for the time. I just wanted to discuss more about customer feedback. The value proposition for intermodal is pretty clear, but more broadly, I guess, how are customers feeling? What's driving them to CSX? Does it feel very company specific? You've optimized your product portfolio, you're exposed to specific projects, or does it feel like there's true macro uplift here? I just wanted to clarify that there's no fear around broad-based pull forward. Maryclare, I think you gave us a lot on plastics and auto, but wanted to confirm you don't feel like there was broader pull forward out there given the high level data we see from the ports. Along those lines, maybe also comment on the competitive environment and how that's affecting your ability to optimize demand in this environment. Thank you.

Maryclare Kenney

Yes, I'll try to remember all of that. Starting on the intermodal side, like I said, I think there's good opportunity for intermodal conversion. We have a wholesale channel of sale. We work with our channel partners. We have lots of conversations with them. We also have a BCO national accounts team that talks directly with shippers. We're constantly working with them, evaluating what they're moving over the road, looking at their truckload files, and advising them on what are the best lanes that are suitable for intermodal conversion. We do continue to see opportunities there. With a tighter truck market, the value proposition that intermodal provides, I think, is really strong, and it will be an area of opportunity as we proceed through this year into next.

Maryclare Kenney

When I think about the broader markets, I mentioned a couple in terms of automotive and plastics. What I would say is, talking maybe a little bit about forest products, that's an area coming into this year we saw the biggest headwinds. I wouldn't say that the demand has necessarily strengthened, but the supply really has. We do continue to see opportunities within that area as we think about tighter truck capacity out there. We've said many times this year about several of the other areas of the business more tied to infrastructure. Think about metals, going into data centers, infrastructure investment, your plate, your rebar, that we continue to see strength there, expect that to maintain. Same with the minerals perspective. A lot of funding with IIJA, a lot of investment continuing in that area.

Maryclare Kenney

We don't see a material change in that going forward. We're positive about that.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Jason Seidl at Cowen.

Jason Seidl

Thank you, operator. Steve team, good job on the quarter. Maryclare, I wanted to talk a little bit more about two things you brought up. Number one, you mentioned sort of your spot intermodal business. Maybe you could remind us the percent of the total that is. You referenced your SMX Advantage business with the CPKC. Just curious what sort of is the longer term opportunity with that? Given that we saw the FMCSA eliminate thousands of individual carriers overnight earlier this year that violated cabotage. I was wondering if you're getting a lot of questions from maybe new people that might want to ship cross-border intermodal from Mexico.

Maryclare Kenney

On the spot piece, I'd say that it's a very small portion of our business. It's a small element of our domestic intermodal side. It's an area that we've seen acceleration recently. In terms of SMX and CPKC, I mentioned we've continued to see growth. We saw good volumes as we started the program a little over 1 year ago. We've been very happy as we've come into this year with the acceleration that we've seen already. Like I said, similar to Howard Street Tunnel, it is something that is building upon itself, and we're seeing growth week in and week out.

Maryclare Kenney

We think as we've improved the service in recent months, we've added additional lanes of service to SMX as we get into the back half of this year and start into next year's bid season, we're going to continue to see additional growth in that area.

Operator

We'll move next to Harrison Bauer at Susquehanna.

Harrison Bauer

Earlier comments, you provided a merchandise RPU ex-fuel. I was curious if you can offer what intermodal RPU ex-fuel was, or said another way, what your renewals, particularly in the domestic business, were like. Then maybe taking a step back off of that, if truckload sees two strong bid seasons of over double-digit renewals, what's the ultimate opportunity for pricing within your domestic intermodal business without sacrificing maybe some of that opportunity for truckload conversions? Thank you.

Maryclare Kenney

Yeah, I think I mentioned that fuel was a big driver on intermodal RPU in this past quarter. I would say as we think about the future, the truck market has just recently tightened. When we think about our bid season, it's not different than what you hear from some of the other large trucking companies out there, ones that reported recently and ones that will report. The bid season kicks off towards the end of the year and we start seeing pricing then, and it's coming up to the tail end of it right now. I would say the market dynamics have shifted as we've been in bid season for domestic intermodal this year. As we think about the future, there's some business we can reprice each year. There's some that is in multi-year agreements that have specific things tied to it.

Maryclare Kenney

We're going to lean in, as I've mentioned, but I think that's about as far as we're going to go at this point on domestic intermodal pricing.

Operator

Our final question today comes from David Vernon with Bernstein.

David Vernon

Hey, good afternoon, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Kevin, I wanted to get your sense for how you're feeling about the operating leverage on the incremental business that's coming in. There's a lot of stuff that you guys have done this year, which is commendable around headcount reductions and expense reductions. But when I think about the freight revenue growth in relation to the profit growth ex some of those one time items, maybe the incrementals aren't so great. I'm just wondering how you're feeling about the leverage you're getting on the new business and how much of the $54 million of efficiency gains is really volume driven versus more cost takeout driven.

Kevin Boone

Yeah, when I do the math, quite frankly, our incremental margins were very strong when you ex-fuel for your overall expenses to be down 2%. The growth that we achieved in the quarter, the incremental margins I'm quite pleased with, if you do that math. As we move forward, this is a model that has a lot of fixed costs, and as we bring volume on it, and it's got to be profitable and it supports, obviously, our reinvestments in our railroad, we expect to generate powerful incremental margins. I think you did see that in the second quarter if you do the math, and look at the fuel impact that occurred. Moving forward, obviously, that net fuel impact will be less, going forward. It won't be as quite of a headwind as we saw in the second quarter.

Kevin Boone

I see line of sight to strong, powerful, incremental margins. It's a cost discipline. Obviously, as we build, take on the volume, not all volume is created equal, to your point. We're looking for volume that supports our reinvestments, and returns on invested capital is a real focus for this team.

Operator

We do have one more question, and that comes from Bascome Majors at Stephens.

Bascome Majors

Yeah. Thanks for taking my question. Steve, I'd be curious on your perspective as an outsider now 10 months into being an insider at the railroad. Relative to what you were thinking when you came in and accepted this role, where do you still think there is a lot of opportunity to do things differently in an old economy, established industry? Where, maybe, have you sort of given up where there's too much friction or just processes that are too ingrained to really change? Thank you.

Steve Angel

Well, I would say as a 10 month veteran, I'm encouraged about the progress we've made and really what we have ahead of us. I always think of it in terms of there's opportunity to improve everything, and I've always found that to be true. In operations, I think it's probably a never-ending endeavor to continue to improve operations. Mike Cory's a 40-year veteran, he knows all about it, and I'm always amazed how much he knows about the railroads and how to operate the railroads. There's always going to be opportunities to improve that. We talked about that a little bit today, some of the things we're doing to improve. Pricing, Maryclare had to answer about 18 pricing questions today. I really think that's a muscle we're building. I think we're getting better every day at that.

Steve Angel

Building price management capability, she's all over it. This is an area where AI can really do some good with good price analytical tools so we can get a little better at that. I always think about pricing in terms of making sure that we understand the value we're providing the customer. What is the value we're providing? What is their next best alternative? Are we earning good returns? Do we have the capacity to serve? All that goes into those decisions, and you make those decisions surgically. It's not a blanket, we're going to do X% price across this segment of the market. Those are all surgical decisions. Of course, we want profitable business. We want good returns on capital, as Kevin said, and continue to reinvest the business. I think on the productivity side, Kevin talked a lot about that.

Steve Angel

Mike did, too, to some degree. I think there's a lot of opportunity on the productivity side. The team responded great so far this year, but as we look at, we're talking about we're working on 2027. We'll be talking about benefits that will carry forward to 2028. It's really all about building that productivity muscle, and I think that's an opportunity for improvement. All businesses, great businesses, have opportunities for improvement, and we're no different than anyone else.

Operator

This concludes today's question and answer session and conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-21

CSX or GE Vernova? Wall Street Has Already Picked Its Earnings Winner

24/7 Wall St.
GE Vernova sweeps CSX across analyst ratings, price-target headroom, and sentiment, with 30 Buy ratings, zero Sells, and 37% AI-model upside. CSX has beaten revenue estimates just once in five quarters and shows net insider selling across six recent transactions. Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and CSX didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today. Two industrial heavyweights report Q2 2026 results on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, and investors must pick a side: GE Vernova (NYSE:GEV), which reports before the market open, or CSX (NASDAQ:CSX), which reports after the close. Both are riding strong year-to-date gains, but Wall Street is not neutral between them. Across analyst tilt, implied upside, and sentiment momentum, one of these tickers is clearly the market's favored pick heading into the reporting day. Here is the head-to-head, dimension by dimension. The sell-side breakdown is lopsided. GE Vernova carries 30 Buy ratings, eight Hold ratings, and no Sell ratings, an unusually clean setup for a stock that has already run hard. CSX shows a softer mix: 15 Buy ratings, six Hold ratings, and two Sell ratings. Both stocks are rated "Moderate Buy" in aggregate, but GE Vernova has zero sell-side bears while CSX has active detractors. Winner: GE Vernova. No sell ratings versus two is a meaningful gap. GE Vernova last traded at $1,079.18 against a consensus analyst target of $1,221.48. CSX closed at $50.11 against a consensus target of $50.63. In other words, analysts see GE Vernova with room to run to a higher target, while CSX is essentially already trading on top of its consensus. AI-model targets tell the same story: $1,484.04 for GEV (37.5% predicted upside) versus $55.18 for CSX (10.1% upside). Winner: GE Vernova. More absolute and relative headroom to the consensus target. Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and CSX didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today. Composite sentiment scores lean bullish for both, but with different conviction. GE Vernova's composite reads 66.22 (bullish, medium confidence), with social sentiment at 68/100 and news sentiment at 64.44/100. CSX's composite reads 61.18 (bullish, lower confidence), driven almost entirely by news with insufficient social data. Prediction markets tilt further toward GE Vernova. Polymarket assigns an 85.5% pro…Read full document

GE Vernova sweeps CSX across analyst ratings, price-target headroom, and sentiment, with 30 Buy ratings, zero Sells, and 37% AI-model upside. CSX has beaten revenue estimates just once in five quarters and shows net insider selling across six recent transactions. Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and CSX didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today. Two industrial heavyweights report Q2 2026 results on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, and investors must pick a side: GE Vernova (NYSE:GEV), which reports before the market open, or CSX (NASDAQ:CSX), which reports after the close. Both are riding strong year-to-date gains, but Wall Street is not neutral between them. Across analyst tilt, implied upside, and sentiment momentum, one of these tickers is clearly the market's favored pick heading into the reporting day. Here is the head-to-head, dimension by dimension. The sell-side breakdown is lopsided. GE Vernova carries 30 Buy ratings, eight Hold ratings, and no Sell ratings, an unusually clean setup for a stock that has already run hard. CSX shows a softer mix: 15 Buy ratings, six Hold ratings, and two Sell ratings. Both stocks are rated "Moderate Buy" in aggregate, but GE Vernova has zero sell-side bears while CSX has active detractors. Winner: GE Vernova. No sell ratings versus two is a meaningful gap. GE Vernova last traded at $1,079.18 against a consensus analyst target of $1,221.48. CSX closed at $50.11 against a consensus target of $50.63. In other words, analysts see GE Vernova with room to run to a higher target, while CSX is essentially already trading on top of its consensus. AI-model targets tell the same story: $1,484.04 for GEV (37.5% predicted upside) versus $55.18 for CSX (10.1% upside). Winner: GE Vernova. More absolute and relative headroom to the consensus target. Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and CSX didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today. Composite sentiment scores lean bullish for both, but with different conviction. GE Vernova's composite reads 66.22 (bullish, medium confidence), with social sentiment at 68/100 and news sentiment at 64.44/100. CSX's composite reads 61.18 (bullish, lower confidence), driven almost entirely by news with insufficient social data. Prediction markets tilt further toward GE Vernova. Polymarket assigns an 85.5% probability that Q2 orders exceed $18 billion, with the probability mass clustering in the $18 billion to $20 billion range. That aligns with a track record of four straight revenue beats. CSX has no active prediction market, and insider activity is net selling across six recent transactions. Its EPS beat cadence is also choppier at four beats in five quarters, with revenue beats at just one in five. Winner: GE Vernova. Higher composite sentiment, active bullish prediction market, and a cleaner revenue-beat streak. Three dimensions, three wins for GE Vernova. Wall Street is leaning firmly into that stock heading into the July 22 reporting day, and the setup is backed by a 65.1% year-to-date gain that still leaves meaningful headroom to analyst price targets, plus a Q1 2026 orders figure of $18.3 billion, up 71% organically, with backlog expanding by more than $13 billion quarter-over-quarter, per CEO Scott Strazik. CSX has its own case: it is the cheaper, lower-beta name with a 38.2% year-to-date gain and a real dividend, making it better suited to income-focused investors who cannot stomach a $1,000 industrial cyclical. For pure earnings-day conviction, though, Wall Street favors GE Vernova. The risks to watch on GEV are its rich 31 P/E, wind-segment losses of roughly $400 million in EBITDA, and tariff exposure. On CSX, watch for freight-demand softness, insider selling, and revenue that has now missed in four of the past five quarters. Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and CSX didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

As of 2026-08-29 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook