B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRC
California ResourcesBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-13
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+26.3
Positive
Company
+2.0
Mixed
Macro
+26.4
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+28.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+76.1
Score
AI commentary
The company’s SEC-filed Q2 release provides concrete operating evidence and is constructive on production, cash flow, liquidity, synergies, capital intensity, and strategic initiatives, but earnings quality is mixed because reported net income included a non-cash derivative fair-value gain. The only supplied price anchor is $53.47 on August 12; the packet does not provide a verified pre- versus post-release price series or trusted attribution of the market reaction. No verified later analyst revisions, target changes, estimate changes, or guidance revisions are available. Social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable, so this remains a cautious monitoring view.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-13
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-10eventQ2 2026 results show solid cash generation but mixed earnings qualityMedium impact
CRC reported 149 MBoe/d of production at 81% oil, $338 million of adjusted EBITDAX, $263 million of operating cash flow, $114 million of free cash flow, and $1.322 billion of liquidity. Net income included a non-cash derivative fair-value gain, while adjusted net income was $88 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
2026-11-11catalystCommodity hedges can blunt the benefit of elevated oil pricesMedium impact
Preliminary Q2 data showed a $190 million net commodity-derivative settlement loss and oil realization of $76.50 per barrel including derivatives versus $91.64 without settlements. Commodity exposure remains a material source of earnings volatility. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-14]
2027-01-01catalystLower maintenance capital and faster Berry synergies support 2027 visibilityHigh impact
Management said it reduced the California long-term maintenance-capital outlook to $450-$475 million and achieved more than 100% of the annual Berry merger synergy target, or $103 million of annualized savings, six months ahead of schedule. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-13 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology