B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRC
California ResourcesBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-11-05
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+25.7
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+25.7
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+25.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+62.9
Score
AI commentary
The SEC-filed Q3 release confirms adjusted earnings and cash generation, but CRC's $48.34 November 4 anchor was about 8% below its company-reported $52.54 November 2 close. Price history alone does not establish why shares fell. SEC-filed earnings release Company stock history The bounded check found no confirmed post-print analyst target or estimate revision; pre-print UBS target activity should not be presented as a reaction. News coverage is thin. Social, options, short-interest and employee-sentiment figures are unavailable; zero fields above denote missing data, not neutral measurements. The supplied stored earnings document concerns Murphy Oil, not CRC, and was excluded.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-11-05
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-20catalystQ3 earnings beat meets a negative post-print reactionMedium impact
CRC reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.17, above Zacks' $0.94 consensus estimate, and $341 million of adjusted EBITDAX, above company guidance. It generated $147 million of free cash flow. CRC's November 4 anchor of $48.34 was about 8% below its November 2 closing price of $52.54; that comparison does not isolate the cause of the decline. [#SEC-8K-2026-11-02] SEC-filed earnings release Zacks consensus report Company stock history
2026-12-31eventExpected Uinta Basin divestiture closingMedium impact
CRC agreed to sell its Uinta Basin assets for approximately $90 million, subject to adjustments, and expects closing by year-end subject to consents and other conditions. Closing would sharpen its California focus, but has not been confirmed. [#SEC-8K-2026-11-02] SEC-filed earnings release
2027-03-31catalyst2027 capital plan and full-year guidanceMedium impact
CRC plans to enter 2027 with six California rigs and expects $450 million–$475 million of drilling, completions and workover capital. It intends to issue full-year 2027 guidance with its fourth-quarter and year-end 2026 results; the date shown is an approximate monitoring deadline, not an announced release date. [#SEC-8K-2026-11-02] SEC-filed earnings release
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-11-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology