B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
COCO
Vita CocoBNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 organic growth of 18%, branded coconut-water growth of 15% and the higher 2026 sales and EBITDA ranges support a stronger operating case than the April baseline [#PR-2026-10-22]. Piper Sandler raised its target to $88 from $83 and retained Overweight after the print, citing stronger volume and sales growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +30.8.
What can break
Copra integration and the durability of branded versus private-label growth remain execution tests; the release reports 152% Q3 private-label sales growth including Copra, not a like-for-like growth rate [#PR-2026-10-22]. Company earnings release
Momentum
40
Value
50
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $60.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $43.00Analysis 2026-10-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $79.10
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d -9.6
Value50 · Δ7d +1.3
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +30.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +30.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Copra integration and the durability of branded versus private-label growth remain execution tests; the release reports 152% Q3 private-label sales growth including Copra, not a like-for-like growth rate [#PR-2026-10-22]. Company earnings release
- • Management's approximately 33% Q4 gross-margin outlook implies a sharp sequential decline from Q3's 38% [#PR-2026-10-22]. Company earnings release
- • The raised guide did not prevent a selloff.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Raised 2026 outlook meets a weaker post-earnings share price
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
40
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.6
Δ21d
+11.4
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+30.8
Δ21d
+17.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 40.0 / Value 50.0 / Sentiment 67.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$3.12B
Beta
0.37
Shares Out
57.06M
P/E (TTM)
46.3
P/S (TTM)
5.00
P/FCF (TTM)
57.59
Rev YoY
+28.1%
EPS YoY
+112.3%
Gross Margin
+40.9%
Op Margin
+19.1%
Net Debt
-$183.34M
Current Ratio
3.36
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data