B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$34.64
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CLMT
CalumetFNasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$21.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-28
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+39.4
Positive
Company
+2.0
Mixed
Macro
+39.6
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+22.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
0.0
Score
AI commentary
Market commentary is mixed: several data sources show a wide analyst range with a median below the current price, indicating some caution [#SERP-1], [#SERP-9]. Other outlets highlight upside scenarios tied to margin recovery, producing a two‑sided market tone ahead of quarterly results [#SERP-3].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-28
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-03-12eventQ4 2025 earnings release and conference callHigh impact
Q4 2025 reported results and management commentary will reset FY2026 guidance and drive near-term estimate revisions; date assumed from typical IR cadence and recent previews [#SERP-4].
2026-05-29catalystAnalyst target revisions following earningsHigh impact
Analysts historically reprice CLMT after quarterly results; a mix of upgrades/downgrades expected and will influence consensus target range [#SERP-1], [#SERP-3].
2027-02-28catalystRefining margin recovery and specialty product demand normalizationHigh impact
Sustained improvement in regional refining/product margins and specialty product demand over the next 12 months would materially boost EBITDA and valuation; assumes gradual recovery in 2026 [#SERP-1].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology