B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$34.64
+1.7% vs current
CLMT
CalumetCNasdaq / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-06-11
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$21.35
-37.3% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.25
-61.1% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-28
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+28.6
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+28.7
Positive
Pulse
+27.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+8.7
Score
AI commentary
Market commentary is mixed: several data sources show a wide analyst range with a median below the current price, indicating some caution [#SERP-1], [#SERP-9]. Other outlets highlight upside scenarios tied to margin recovery, producing a two‑sided market tone ahead of quarterly results [#SERP-3].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-28
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-03-12eventQ4 2025 earnings release and conference callHigh impact
Q4 2025 reported results and management commentary will reset FY2026 guidance and drive near-term estimate revisions; date assumed from typical IR cadence and recent previews [#SERP-4].
2026-05-29catalystAnalyst target revisions following earningsHigh impact
Analysts historically reprice CLMT after quarterly results; a mix of upgrades/downgrades expected and will influence consensus target range [#SERP-1], [#SERP-3].
2027-02-28catalystRefining margin recovery and specialty product demand normalizationHigh impact
Sustained improvement in regional refining/product margins and specialty product demand over the next 12 months would materially boost EBITDA and valuation; assumes gradual recovery in 2026 [#SERP-1].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology