CIEN
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Earnings documents stored for CIEN.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-03CIEN Q3 Earnings Beat on AI-Led Cloud Demand, Top Line Climbs 37% Y/Y
Zacks
CIEN Q3 Earnings Beat on AI-Led Cloud Demand, Top Line Climbs 37% Y/Y
Ciena Corporation CIEN reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings of $2.11 per share, which soared 215% year over year and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74. Quarterly revenues rose 37% to $1.67 billion and topped the $1.65 billion consensus mark. AI-driven networking demand remained the key growth engine. Cloud provider revenues accounted for 53% of total sales and jumped 82% year over year, underscoring the scale of hyperscaler spending behind Ciena’s record quarter. Product demand remained strong across Ciena’s optical portfolio. Revenues from RLS and Waveserver each increased more than 55% year over year, while pluggables revenues more than doubled as WaveLogic 6 Nano ramped. WaveLogic 6 Nano 800ZR pluggable shipments also more than doubled sequentially. Ciena received a significant direct performance optics module order and secured a second multi-rail win, extending its participation in hyperscaler infrastructure. The company also posted record shipments of WL5e, WL6e and WL6n products. Management said a growing backlog and customer commitments are providing multi-year visibility, and the company has entered long-term supplier agreements to support elevated demand. APAC revenues climbed 58% year over year, with strength across the region. Customer concentration was notable, with two customers each representing more than 10% of revenues and together accounting for 41.7% of the quarter’s top line. Networking Platforms revenues increased 44% year over year to $1.36 billion and represented 81.1% of total sales. Optical Networking revenues rose 46.1% to $1.19 billion, while Routing and Switching revenues advanced 30.6% to $164.4 million. Platform Software and Services revenues grew 9.6% to $98.6 million. Global Services revenues increased 20.8% to $193.6 million, supported by higher maintenance, implementation and advisory revenues. Blue Planet Automation Software and Services revenues fell 16.5% to $23.2 million. Ciena Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Ciena Corporation Quote Geographically, the Americas generated 79% of fiscal third-quarter revenues, while Europe, the Middle East and Africa contributed 11% and Asia-Pacific accounted for 10%. That mix kept the Americas as Ciena’s dominant revenue region even as APAC expanded sharply. Adjusted gross margin expanded 450 basis points (bps) year over year to 46.4%. Adjusted ope…Read full documentShow less
Ciena Corporation CIEN reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings of $2.11 per share, which soared 215% year over year and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74. Quarterly revenues rose 37% to $1.67 billion and topped the $1.65 billion consensus mark. AI-driven networking demand remained the key growth engine. Cloud provider revenues accounted for 53% of total sales and jumped 82% year over year, underscoring the scale of hyperscaler spending behind Ciena’s record quarter. Product demand remained strong across Ciena’s optical portfolio. Revenues from RLS and Waveserver each increased more than 55% year over year, while pluggables revenues more than doubled as WaveLogic 6 Nano ramped. WaveLogic 6 Nano 800ZR pluggable shipments also more than doubled sequentially. Ciena received a significant direct performance optics module order and secured a second multi-rail win, extending its participation in hyperscaler infrastructure. The company also posted record shipments of WL5e, WL6e and WL6n products. Management said a growing backlog and customer commitments are providing multi-year visibility, and the company has entered long-term supplier agreements to support elevated demand. APAC revenues climbed 58% year over year, with strength across the region. Customer concentration was notable, with two customers each representing more than 10% of revenues and together accounting for 41.7% of the quarter’s top line. Networking Platforms revenues increased 44% year over year to $1.36 billion and represented 81.1% of total sales. Optical Networking revenues rose 46.1% to $1.19 billion, while Routing and Switching revenues advanced 30.6% to $164.4 million. Platform Software and Services revenues grew 9.6% to $98.6 million. Global Services revenues increased 20.8% to $193.6 million, supported by higher maintenance, implementation and advisory revenues. Blue Planet Automation Software and Services revenues fell 16.5% to $23.2 million. Ciena Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Ciena Corporation Quote Geographically, the Americas generated 79% of fiscal third-quarter revenues, while Europe, the Middle East and Africa contributed 11% and Asia-Pacific accounted for 10%. That mix kept the Americas as Ciena’s dominant revenue region even as APAC expanded sharply. Adjusted gross margin expanded 450 basis points (bps) year over year to 46.4%. Adjusted operating expenses rose 5.2% to $400 million, well below revenue growth, supporting stronger profitability. That operating leverage lifted adjusted operating margin to 22.5% from 10.7% a year earlier, an improvement of 1,180 bps. Adjusted EBITDA increased 160.2% year over year to $411.1 million. Cash provided by operations rose 13% year over year to $196 million. Free cash flow declined 14% to $116 million, even as the company continued to generate positive cash from operations. Cash and investments doubled year over year to $2.8 billion. DSO improved to 76 days from 88, and inventory turns increased to 3.5 from 2.7. Net debt rose to $431 million from $204 million. Ciena repurchased about 0.4 million shares for $171.7 million during the quarter, bringing capital returned under its $1 billion repurchase program to roughly $665 million. The company also completed a $2.9 billion, 0% coupon convertible debt offering, which management said lowered overall interest expense and enhanced financial flexibility. For fourth-quarter fiscal 2026, Ciena expects revenue of $1.75 billion (+/- $50 million). Adjusted gross margin is projected at 45% (+/- 50 bps), and adjusted operating expenses are expected to be $415 million (+/- $10 million). Adjusted operating margin is forecast at 20% (+/- 50 bps). Ciena raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $6.42 billion (+/- $50 million), implying 35% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. For fiscal 2027, management’s early view indicates at least 30% revenue growth, an adjusted gross margin of 45-46%, and an adjusted operating margin of 25-27%. The outlook assumes that cloud providers continue AI infrastructure spending at levels consistent with recent public commitments, that optical component and substrate supply remains broadly stable, and that there are no material changes in tariff, trade, or foreign-exchange conditions. Ciena currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. NETGEAR, Inc. NTGR reported second-quarter 2026 non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of 16 cents compared with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 2 cents. The company’s bottom line improved 167% year over year. Quarterly net revenues of $168.6 million declined 1.2% year over year but topped the consensus estimate of $157.9 million by 6.8%. Revenues exceeded management guidance of $150 million and $165 million. Corning Incorporated GLW reported second-quarter 2026 results with non-GAAP earnings of 78 cents per share, up 30% year over year and 2.6% above the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Core revenues of $4.74 billion surged 17%, surpassing the consensus by 2.9%. Corning’s revenue growth was driven by Optical Communications and Solar segments. Enterprise Networks sales jumped 65%, supported by accelerating demand for generative artificial intelligence infrastructure. Viavi Solutions Inc. VIAV reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results. Non-GAAP earnings of 34 cents per share beat the consensus estimate by 13.33%, while revenues of $443.1 million increased 52.5% year over year. Viavi Solutions’ robust performance was driven by sustained demand from the data center ecosystem and aerospace and defense markets, along with contributions from acquired Spirent product lines. The Network and Service Enablement segment remained the primary growth engine, delivering nearly 70% year-over-year revenue growth. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Ciena Corporation (CIEN) : Free Stock Analysis Report Corning Incorporated (GLW) : Free Stock Analysis Report NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR) : Free Stock Analysis Report Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-03Ciena Lifts Fiscal 2026 Revenue Outlook as Third-Quarter Results Top Street Views
MT Newswires
Ciena Lifts Fiscal 2026 Revenue Outlook as Third-Quarter Results Top Street Views
Ciena (CIEN) raised its full-year revenue outlook on Thursday as the networking systems and software
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-03Ciena Corporation Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Moby
Ciena Corporation Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Our analysts just identified a stock with the potential to be the next Nvidia. Tell us how you invest and we'll show you why it's our #1 pick. Tap here. Achieved record Q3 revenue of $1.7 billion and 22.5% operating margin, driven by an accelerating industry demand environment for data center infrastructure. Management attributes the performance to Ciena's role in re-architecting networks for AI, which requires high-speed, low-latency optical connectivity for both training and inferencing workloads. The company is seeing a fundamental shift where optics have become the 'indispensable element' for next-generation AI architectures across traditional WAN, AI-specific WAN, and intra-data center fabrics. Market share gains are being driven by the WaveLogic 6 Extreme platform, which remains the only 1.6 terabit high-performance modem available after 18 months on the market. The RLS (Reconfigurable Line System) has become the industry standard for disaggregated systems, maintaining a roughly 70% market share and serving as the foundation for 'scale across' AI applications. Management highlighted a significant competitive takeaway from a component rival, securing a win with a major hyperscaler that integrates Ciena's coherent technology into the customer's own platform. Strategic focus has shifted toward securing long-term supply capacity, with new agreements finalized through 2029 to support the massive multi-year demand backlog. Projecting to exit fiscal 2026 with over $10 billion in backlog, with visibility extending into 2028 due to lead times and sustained customer commitments. Preliminary fiscal 2027 guidance sets a revenue floor of $8.3 billion to $8.4 billion, representing at least 30% year-on-year growth, with upside potential if supply constraints ease. Management expects the Total Addressable Market (TAM) to effectively double from $25 billion to $50 billion by 2029 as optical connectivity expands deeper into the data center. Anticipates fiscal 2027 adjusted operating margins between 25% and 27%, reflecting significant operating leverage and the ramp of higher-margin products like Hyper-Rail. Initial customer standardization for the next-generation RLS Hyper-Rail is expected by the end of 2026, with material revenue scaling throughout 2027 and 2028. Adjusted gross margin of 46.4% included a 70 basis point benefit from one-time tariff refunds; management h…Read full documentShow less
Our analysts just identified a stock with the potential to be the next Nvidia. Tell us how you invest and we'll show you why it's our #1 pick. Tap here. Achieved record Q3 revenue of $1.7 billion and 22.5% operating margin, driven by an accelerating industry demand environment for data center infrastructure. Management attributes the performance to Ciena's role in re-architecting networks for AI, which requires high-speed, low-latency optical connectivity for both training and inferencing workloads. The company is seeing a fundamental shift where optics have become the 'indispensable element' for next-generation AI architectures across traditional WAN, AI-specific WAN, and intra-data center fabrics. Market share gains are being driven by the WaveLogic 6 Extreme platform, which remains the only 1.6 terabit high-performance modem available after 18 months on the market. The RLS (Reconfigurable Line System) has become the industry standard for disaggregated systems, maintaining a roughly 70% market share and serving as the foundation for 'scale across' AI applications. Management highlighted a significant competitive takeaway from a component rival, securing a win with a major hyperscaler that integrates Ciena's coherent technology into the customer's own platform. Strategic focus has shifted toward securing long-term supply capacity, with new agreements finalized through 2029 to support the massive multi-year demand backlog. Projecting to exit fiscal 2026 with over $10 billion in backlog, with visibility extending into 2028 due to lead times and sustained customer commitments. Preliminary fiscal 2027 guidance sets a revenue floor of $8.3 billion to $8.4 billion, representing at least 30% year-on-year growth, with upside potential if supply constraints ease. Management expects the Total Addressable Market (TAM) to effectively double from $25 billion to $50 billion by 2029 as optical connectivity expands deeper into the data center. Anticipates fiscal 2027 adjusted operating margins between 25% and 27%, reflecting significant operating leverage and the ramp of higher-margin products like Hyper-Rail. Initial customer standardization for the next-generation RLS Hyper-Rail is expected by the end of 2026, with material revenue scaling throughout 2027 and 2028. Adjusted gross margin of 46.4% included a 70 basis point benefit from one-time tariff refunds; management has reset the baseline margin goal to the mid-40s. Secured a 5-year zero-coupon convertible debt issuance to retire a 5.5% interest term loan, lowering the cost of capital while providing liquidity for supply chain investments. Management is monitoring new Canadian tariff regimes that could impact costs by approximately $10 million per quarter, though mitigation actions are underway. Cash from operations is expected to decrease in Q4 as the company disperses capital to secure long-term supply agreements for critical optical components. One stock. Nvidia-level potential. 30M+ investors trust Moby to find it first. Get the pick. Tap here. Management is negotiating price increases ranging from high single digits to the low twenties, depending on the product line, with some increases applying to existing backlog. The 'value exchange' is a two-way commitment where Ciena secures supply for customers in exchange for improved payment terms and demand predictability. Management clarified that the $10 billion backlog is driven by actual lead times rather than speculative over-ordering; the vast majority of orders have customer request dates in 2027. Supply remains the primary bottleneck; management stated that 2027 revenue would be even higher if they could secure more components to unwind the backlog faster. Ciena believes they are largely immune to near-term fluctuations in new data center construction because existing facilities require massive capacity refreshes to support new GPUs. A major hyperscaler indicated that even if they stopped building new centers today, Ciena's demand would remain unaffected for at least two years due to existing infrastructure needs. Hyper-Rail is expected to ramp to several hundred million dollars in revenue in 2027 and will be a 'step function' improvement in margin compared to the current RLS generation. The platform is purpose-built to distribute AI training workloads across greater distances, addressing the power and density limitations of current data center architectures.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-03Ciena Beats Earnings Estimates. The Stock Is the Worst Performer in S&P 500 Today.
Barrons.com
Ciena Beats Earnings Estimates. The Stock Is the Worst Performer in S&P 500 Today.
The optical networking company reports better-than-expected earnings and raises fiscal-year revenue guidance.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-03Ciena Tumbles 10% as In-Line Guidance Overshadows Earnings Beat, Arista Edges Higher
24/7 Wall St.
Ciena Tumbles 10% as In-Line Guidance Overshadows Earnings Beat, Arista Edges Higher
Ciena dropped 10% on in-line Q4 guidance despite a record quarter beat, while Arista gained 3% on continued AI networking momentum. Cisco held nearly flat and IYW traded higher, confirming Ciena's slide is a company-specific valuation reset, not a sector-wide unwind. Two customers drove 42% of Ciena's quarterly revenue, and its elevated valuation means the December Q4 report is the next real inflection point. Just released. Our analysts combed the entire stock market and named the ten best stocks to buy right now. The report is free. Enter your email and see if any of your stocks made the cut. Ciena Corporation's (NYSE:CIEN) fiscal third-quarter beat wasn't enough to save its stock this morning. An in-line fourth-quarter revenue outlook overshadowed record results and sparked a sharp de-rating in a name that had rallied hard on the AI networking build. Interestingly, Ciena's peer-group stocks are holding firm, which makes the divergence the story of the session. Ciena stock is down 10% to $320.38, cutting into a year that had shares up 51% through the prior close. The pullback extends a rough stretch, with Ciena now down 18% over the past month. Today's move deepens a de-rating already in progress. Meanwhile, Arista Networks (NYSE:ANET) stock is up 3% to $191.65, isolating Ciena's specific guidance issue from the broader networking demand story. Meanwhile, Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) stock is down 0.1% to $109.31. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 index, is up 1% to $773.17, and the iShares U.S. Technology ETF (NYSEARCA:IYW) is trading higher, so Ciena's slide isn't a broad-tape problem. Free Report, Just Released Did Any of Your Stocks Make the Top 10 List? It is an uncomfortable question, and there is now an answer to it. 24/7 Wall St has helped investors make money for over two decades, and our top analysts just finished ranking the definitive Top 10 Stocks To Buy Now. Not the ten biggest companies. Not the ten everyone is arguing about. The ten best stocks to buy right now. Open your account and look at what you own. Some of it you bought for a reason you could still defend today. Some of it you bought years ago for a reason you can no longer remember. The report is free. Put the ten next to what you own and find out which is which. Enter Your Email and See the Ten → Free from 24/7 Wall St. It lands in your inbox. Ciena…Read full documentShow less
Ciena dropped 10% on in-line Q4 guidance despite a record quarter beat, while Arista gained 3% on continued AI networking momentum. Cisco held nearly flat and IYW traded higher, confirming Ciena's slide is a company-specific valuation reset, not a sector-wide unwind. Two customers drove 42% of Ciena's quarterly revenue, and its elevated valuation means the December Q4 report is the next real inflection point. Just released. Our analysts combed the entire stock market and named the ten best stocks to buy right now. The report is free. Enter your email and see if any of your stocks made the cut. Ciena Corporation's (NYSE:CIEN) fiscal third-quarter beat wasn't enough to save its stock this morning. An in-line fourth-quarter revenue outlook overshadowed record results and sparked a sharp de-rating in a name that had rallied hard on the AI networking build. Interestingly, Ciena's peer-group stocks are holding firm, which makes the divergence the story of the session. Ciena stock is down 10% to $320.38, cutting into a year that had shares up 51% through the prior close. The pullback extends a rough stretch, with Ciena now down 18% over the past month. Today's move deepens a de-rating already in progress. Meanwhile, Arista Networks (NYSE:ANET) stock is up 3% to $191.65, isolating Ciena's specific guidance issue from the broader networking demand story. Meanwhile, Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) stock is down 0.1% to $109.31. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 index, is up 1% to $773.17, and the iShares U.S. Technology ETF (NYSEARCA:IYW) is trading higher, so Ciena's slide isn't a broad-tape problem. Free Report, Just Released Did Any of Your Stocks Make the Top 10 List? It is an uncomfortable question, and there is now an answer to it. 24/7 Wall St has helped investors make money for over two decades, and our top analysts just finished ranking the definitive Top 10 Stocks To Buy Now. Not the ten biggest companies. Not the ten everyone is arguing about. The ten best stocks to buy right now. Open your account and look at what you own. Some of it you bought for a reason you could still defend today. Some of it you bought years ago for a reason you can no longer remember. The report is free. Put the ten next to what you own and find out which is which. Enter Your Email and See the Ten → Free from 24/7 Wall St. It lands in your inbox. Ciena reported adjusted earnings per share of $2.11 for the quarter ended August 1, 2026, against a $1.72 analyst consensus, with revenue of $1.67 billion versus a $1.63 billion estimate, up 37% from $1.22 billion a year earlier. Ciena's adjusted gross margin expanded to 46.4% from 41.9% in the prior-year period, a clean quality print behind the top-line acceleration. Ciena CEO Gary Smith stated, "Today's outstanding financial performance demonstrates Ciena's leadership in providing industry-leading, high-speed connectivity solutions as AI continues to drive compounding waves of network investment." The problem sits in the forward number. Ciena guided its fiscal fourth-quarter revenue to $1.75 billion plus or minus $50 million, a midpoint that only aligns with the $1.7 billion analyst consensus rather than clearing it. Ciena also raised its full fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to $6.42 billion, up 35% year over year at the midpoint, but for a stock priced for acceleration, matching isn't beating, according to Ciena Corporation. Two Ciena customers together accounted for 41.7% of quarterly revenue, meaning the AI-driven demand is real but narrow, according to Ciena Corporation. Ciena CFO Marc Graff called the period a record quarter, yet that concentration weighs heavier on the Ciena multiple when the forward guide only matches expectations. That mix is what powered today's de-rating. Arista Networks stock was up 42% year to date (YTD) through the prior close and is extending gains today on continued AI fabric momentum. Arista posted Q2 FY2026 non-GAAP EPS of $1.02 on $3.04 billion in revenue in its August report, its first three-billion-dollar quarter. Management pointed to Ethernet-based AI networking as a durable share opportunity, with a full-year revenue outlook of approximately $12.6 billion. Cisco stock was up 44% year to date through the prior close after booking $4 billion in AI infrastructure orders in Q4 FY2026 and guiding fiscal 2027 AI infrastructure revenue to $7.5 billion. Cisco characterized the environment as a networking supercycle. Arista Networks and Cisco holding firm while Ciena resets is the cleanest evidence that this is a company-level issue, not a sector verdict. The table sets today's session move against the YTD anchor through the prior close for each covered name. Ciena's reset stands out against modest peer gains. Ciena's preliminary fiscal 2027 outlook calls for at least 30% revenue growth on a backlog of $8.5 billion exiting Q3 FY2026, so the December fourth-quarter report becomes the next real inflection point for the stock. Management framed the environment as a multi-year, supply-constrained investment cycle. That keeps the debate about pace and share rather than direction. Position sizing in Ciena shares should account for both the customer concentration and the tendency of supply-constrained networking names to trade on incremental order signals rather than trailing beats. A moderate approach makes sense while the guide-versus-consensus gap sorts out. Ciena's elevated valuation raises the bar for any forward number, and today's tape shows what happens when it isn't cleared. The broader read is that AI networking demand remains intact, with Arista Networks and Cisco both carrying rich YTD gains. Follow-through in those two names during the afternoon session may indicate whether today's Ciena move stays contained or spreads to peers. Ultimately, the IYW ETF trading higher today reinforces the containment case rather than a sector-wide unwind. If you have cash sitting in your account right now, give this two minutes. After more than two decades of helping investors beat the market, our top analysts at 24/7 Wall St. put together a definitive report on the Top 10 Stocks To Buy Today. They combed the entire market. It's not 10 ideas, not 10 stocks everyone is talking about, it's what their research point to as the 10 best stocks to buy right now, and it's free. Read more here and >;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas" data-yga="{"yLinkElement":"context_link","yModuleName":"content-canvas","yLinkText":"see which stocks made the cut -->"}" class="link ">see which stocks made the cut -->> Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-03Ciena Corp (CIEN) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Backlog Surge on ...
GuruFocus.com
Ciena Corp (CIEN) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Backlog Surge on ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Revenue: $1.67 billion, a quarterly record, up 37% year-over-year and at the top end of guidance. Adjusted Gross Margin: 46.4%, exceeding the top end of guidance by 90 basis points and up 450 basis points year-over-year, positively impacted by ~70 basis points from tariff refunds. Adjusted Operating Margin: 22.5%, a record high, exceeding guidance by 250 basis points and more than doubling year-over-year. Adjusted EPS: $2.11, a record, up 215% year-over-year. Adjusted Operating Expense: $400 million, at the low end of guidance. Free Cash Flow: $116 million generated in Q3. Backlog: Increased by $800 million in Q3 to $8.5 billion; expected to exceed $10 billion by fiscal year-end. Optical Networks Revenue (including interconnects): Grew over 45% year-over-year, with RLS and Waveserver systems each growing over 55%. Interconnects Revenue: More than doubled year-over-year. Direct Cloud Provider Revenue: Grew over 80% year-over-year. Share Repurchases: Repurchased 356,000 shares for $172 million in Q3. Cash and Equivalents: $2.8 billion at the end of Q3. Q4 FY2026 Guidance: Revenue of $1.75 billion ($50 million); adjusted gross margin of 45% (50 basis points); adjusted operating expense of roughly $415 million ($10 million); adjusted operating margin of approximately 20% (50 basis points). Fiscal 2027 Early Outlook: Revenue growth of at least 30% year-over-year, yielding at least $8.3 billion to $8.4 billion; gross margins of at least 45% to 46%; adjusted operating margin between 25% and 27%. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with CIEN. Is CIEN fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: September 03, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Record Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.7 billion, up 37% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $2.11, up 215%. Adjusted operating margin of 22.5% exceeded guidance and more than doubled year-over-year, marking the highest ever for Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN). Strong demand with Q3 book-to-bill significantly greater than one, leading to a substantial backlog increase to $8.5 billion, expected to exceed $10 billion by fiscal year-end. WaveLogic 6 Extreme remains the only 1.6 terabit high-performance modem on the market, with adoption outpacing the prior generation WaveLogic 5e. Fiscal…Read full documentShow less
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Revenue: $1.67 billion, a quarterly record, up 37% year-over-year and at the top end of guidance. Adjusted Gross Margin: 46.4%, exceeding the top end of guidance by 90 basis points and up 450 basis points year-over-year, positively impacted by ~70 basis points from tariff refunds. Adjusted Operating Margin: 22.5%, a record high, exceeding guidance by 250 basis points and more than doubling year-over-year. Adjusted EPS: $2.11, a record, up 215% year-over-year. Adjusted Operating Expense: $400 million, at the low end of guidance. Free Cash Flow: $116 million generated in Q3. Backlog: Increased by $800 million in Q3 to $8.5 billion; expected to exceed $10 billion by fiscal year-end. Optical Networks Revenue (including interconnects): Grew over 45% year-over-year, with RLS and Waveserver systems each growing over 55%. Interconnects Revenue: More than doubled year-over-year. Direct Cloud Provider Revenue: Grew over 80% year-over-year. Share Repurchases: Repurchased 356,000 shares for $172 million in Q3. Cash and Equivalents: $2.8 billion at the end of Q3. Q4 FY2026 Guidance: Revenue of $1.75 billion ($50 million); adjusted gross margin of 45% (50 basis points); adjusted operating expense of roughly $415 million ($10 million); adjusted operating margin of approximately 20% (50 basis points). Fiscal 2027 Early Outlook: Revenue growth of at least 30% year-over-year, yielding at least $8.3 billion to $8.4 billion; gross margins of at least 45% to 46%; adjusted operating margin between 25% and 27%. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with CIEN. Is CIEN fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: September 03, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Record Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.7 billion, up 37% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $2.11, up 215%. Adjusted operating margin of 22.5% exceeded guidance and more than doubled year-over-year, marking the highest ever for Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN). Strong demand with Q3 book-to-bill significantly greater than one, leading to a substantial backlog increase to $8.5 billion, expected to exceed $10 billion by fiscal year-end. WaveLogic 6 Extreme remains the only 1.6 terabit high-performance modem on the market, with adoption outpacing the prior generation WaveLogic 5e. Fiscal 2027 preliminary guidance projects at least 30% revenue growth to $8.3-$8.4 billion, with adjusted operating margin expected between 25% and 27%. Secured long-term supply agreements through 2029 for critical components, enhancing supply security to meet multiyear demand. Interconnects revenue more than doubled year-over-year, with 800 ZR plug shipments more than doubling sequentially. RLS Hyper-Rail, co-created with hyperscalers, is on track for standardization by end of 2026, with a ramp to several hundred million dollars in fiscal 2027. Direct cloud provider revenue grew over 80% year-over-year, with in-and-around data center revenue quadrupling year-to-date. Successfully raised prices across product lines, with increases ranging from high single digits to high teens/low 20s, contributing to margin expansion. Supply constraints remain a significant bottleneck, limiting the ability to fully meet customer demand and potentially capping revenue growth. Cash conversion stepped back quarter-on-quarter due to working capital investments, with Q4 cash from operations expected to decline as supply agreements are funded. Adjusted gross margin of 46.4% was positively impacted by a one-time tariff refund of about 70 basis points, which is not expected to continue. New Canadian tariff regime could impact the company by approximately $10 million per quarter, though mitigation actions are being explored. The company faces ongoing challenges in balancing supply and demand, with backlog extending into fiscal 2028 and beyond, indicating prolonged lead times. Operating expenses are expected to rise in fiscal 2027, with reinvestment of one-time variable compensation and increased investment in line systems and interconnect portfolio. The bespoke consumption model for WaveLogic 6e with a major hyperscaler involves custom development, which may limit scalability and margin predictability. DCOM (data center optical modules) revenue is lumpy due to customer concentration, which could cause quarterly volatility. The company's reliance on a few large customers (two customers each >10% of revenue) poses concentration risk. Despite strong demand, the company's ability to grow revenue is constrained by component supply, with fiscal 2027 guidance described as a 'floor' subject to supply-driven upside. Q: Can you provide more detail on the "value exchange" discussions with customers, specifically regarding price increases and the alignment of demand terms and conditions? A: Marc Graff (CFO): We've had conversations with customers across different product lines, expecting price increases anywhere from high single digits to the high teens or low 20s, depending on the customer and product line. Some of this will selectively hit backlog. The second pillar involves a two-way discussion on conditions, where we are on the hook to deliver what we say, but we expect reciprocity from customers, covering aspects like payment terms and fill rates. It's a holistic conversation about value exchange, not just price. Q: Given the massive backlog growth, can you help us understand the early ordering portion of the backlog and how it could behave in 2027? A: Gary Smith (CEO): The backlog is almost entirely driven by lead times, not speculative buying. The demand is absolutely there. We expect to exit fiscal 2026 with over $10 billion in backlog, and our preliminary revenue guide of $8.3 to $8.4 billion for 2027 is a floor. It would be greater if supply were greater. Marc Graff (CFO): Demand doubled from '24 to '25 and is expected to increase another 50% from '25 to '26. We are constrained by the industry's need to add significant capacity. We don't see supply and demand getting back into balance before '28. Q: Can you discuss the durability of demand in light of potential pacing issues with data center construction? A: Gary Smith (CEO): We have unique insight as the #1 player in data center connectivity. A hyperscaler told us that if they stopped building data centers tomorrow, we probably wouldn't notice for two years because they must connect existing assets and refresh GPUs, which requires massive additional connectivity. Our backlog is largely for data centers that are already there. For the next couple of years, we believe we are largely immune from the pacing of new data center construction. Q: Can you provide an update on the Hyper-Rail product ramp and its economics relative to the prior generation RLS? A: Marc Graff (CFO): We are on track for standardization by the end of calendar 2026, with a ramp in fiscal 2027 to several hundred million dollars. The economics are a step function improvement over RLS, which has already seen margin improvements over the last four to eight quarters. Hyper-Rail will be accretive to the company as a whole once we get into '27, '28, and '29. Q: Regarding the performance optics consumption model, is this a bespoke arrangement with one customer, and how does it fit into the interconnect family? A: Scott McFeely (Executive Advisor): The specific opportunity of taking our WaveLogic Extreme family and offering it in a different consumption model is bespoke to individual customers. We have two examples today, including one announced last quarter. These are very unique custom developments for how those customers want to deploy them, and our relationships reflect that. We make the technology available however our customers want to consume it. Q: Can you elaborate on the fiscal 2027 operating margin guidance of 25% to 27% and the mechanics around operating expenses? A: Marc Graff (CFO): We are in the middle of our annual planning process. This year, we'll spend roughly $1.6 billion, which includes onetime variable compensation. We are going to reinvest that onetime expense, so the "flat" OpEx is misleading as we are looking at $100 million more of investment. We will also see a little more investment in line systems and our interconnect portfolio. Q: Can you discuss the customer composition, specifically regarding new "neoscalers" and your ability to grow the customer list? A: Gary Smith (CEO): About 50% of our business is now directly with hyperscalers. Increasingly, we are seeing "neoscalers" lean heavily into networking, securing networks on MOFN deals and putting in their own fiber. We are taking more than our fair share of that market as it grows, both in the U.S. and globally. We expect this to become an increasingly important part of our business through '27 and '28. Q: Can you provide color on the demand inflection across your portfolio and how much of fiscal 2027 is already covered by backlog? A: Gary Smith (CEO): We are seeing broad demand across the portfolio, including line systems (both RLS and Hyper-Rail), modems (WaveLogic 6), and submarine networks. We are seeing strong growth in MOFN deals globally, particularly in India and the Middle East. Unidentified Company Representative: The vast majority of the $10 billion backlog has customer request dates in '27, meaning they would take it if we could give it to them. The backlog covers most of the '27 guide. Q: What is your take on the Coherent-Lite market moving inside the data center and the potential for optical circuit switching (OCS)? A: Scott McFeely (Executive Advisor): We believe Coherent moving inside the data center is inevitable. We think the right intercept for the general market is at 3.2 terabits, and we will be in a great position to be a leader. We love OCS because it drives adoption of coherent optics inside the data center faster. However, we are not commenting on whether we will enter the OCS market ourselves. Q: Can you discuss the prospects for accelerating revenue growth in fiscal 2027 and what things might look like if supply constraints were relaxed? A: Marc Graff (CFO): All of our focus is on getting more supply to meet demand. The $8.3 to $8.4 billion guide is a floor and would be higher if we could get more supply. We are accelerating growth from '24 to '25 to '26 and into '27. A year ago, we guided '26 to grow 17%, and we are now at 35%. We want to give a floor we can achieve while we continue to work on supply. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-03Should You Bet on GLW Stock Amid Rising Earnings Estimate Revisions?
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Should You Bet on GLW Stock Amid Rising Earnings Estimate Revisions?
Earnings estimates for Corning Incorporated GLW for fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 have moved up 2.51% to $3.27 and 1.66% to $4.28, respectively, over the past 60 days. The positive estimate revision depicts bullish sentiment about the stock’s growth potential. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Optical Communications has emerged as Corning’s major growth engine. In the second quarter, the segment’s sales increased 32% year over year to $2.07 billion, while segment net income jumped 77% to $438 million. The uptick is backed by rapid AI infrastructure buildout.Corning is expanding collaboration with some of the world’s largest tech companies. It has inked a multiyear, multibillion-dollar agreement with Amazon. Per the deal, Corning will provide optical fiber, cable and connectivity products for Amazon’s expanding U.S. data-center infrastructure. The company also announced a long-term partnership with NVIDIA to expand U.S.-based optical connectivity manufacturing capacity by 10 times and increase domestic fiber production capacity by more than 50%.Corning’s Glass Innovations business is benefiting from its premium positioning and product innovation. The company expects Gorilla Glass sales to outperform the broader handheld market despite pressure from higher memory prices. TV manufacturers and panel makers are increasingly shifting towards larger and higher-priced televisions. This is likely to create a favorable opportunity for Corning’s Display Business.Corning continues to enhance its financial profile under the Springboard initiative. The company has raised the ambition of its Springboard strategy, targeting an annualized sales run rate of $20 billion by the end of 2026, $30 billion by the end of 2028 and $40 billion by the end of 2030. Management expects sales to witness a 19% CAGR from the fourth quarter of 2026 through the fourth quarter of 2030, with earnings growing faster than sales. Demand softness in the handheld device market remains one of the key near-term challenges for the company. Management expects higher memory prices to push smartphone industry unit volumes down by a mid-teens percentage in 2026. Despite the company’s expectation of outperforming the market, demand for Gorilla Glass will likely be impacted by lower handset volume.Corning maintains a sizeable presence in China, which exposes the company to geopolitical tensions and tariff…Read full documentShow less
Earnings estimates for Corning Incorporated GLW for fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 have moved up 2.51% to $3.27 and 1.66% to $4.28, respectively, over the past 60 days. The positive estimate revision depicts bullish sentiment about the stock’s growth potential. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Optical Communications has emerged as Corning’s major growth engine. In the second quarter, the segment’s sales increased 32% year over year to $2.07 billion, while segment net income jumped 77% to $438 million. The uptick is backed by rapid AI infrastructure buildout.Corning is expanding collaboration with some of the world’s largest tech companies. It has inked a multiyear, multibillion-dollar agreement with Amazon. Per the deal, Corning will provide optical fiber, cable and connectivity products for Amazon’s expanding U.S. data-center infrastructure. The company also announced a long-term partnership with NVIDIA to expand U.S.-based optical connectivity manufacturing capacity by 10 times and increase domestic fiber production capacity by more than 50%.Corning’s Glass Innovations business is benefiting from its premium positioning and product innovation. The company expects Gorilla Glass sales to outperform the broader handheld market despite pressure from higher memory prices. TV manufacturers and panel makers are increasingly shifting towards larger and higher-priced televisions. This is likely to create a favorable opportunity for Corning’s Display Business.Corning continues to enhance its financial profile under the Springboard initiative. The company has raised the ambition of its Springboard strategy, targeting an annualized sales run rate of $20 billion by the end of 2026, $30 billion by the end of 2028 and $40 billion by the end of 2030. Management expects sales to witness a 19% CAGR from the fourth quarter of 2026 through the fourth quarter of 2030, with earnings growing faster than sales. Demand softness in the handheld device market remains one of the key near-term challenges for the company. Management expects higher memory prices to push smartphone industry unit volumes down by a mid-teens percentage in 2026. Despite the company’s expectation of outperforming the market, demand for Gorilla Glass will likely be impacted by lower handset volume.Corning maintains a sizeable presence in China, which exposes the company to geopolitical tensions and tariff- related uncertainty. The Display and consumer electronics businesses remain dependent on Chinese panel makers and manufacturing ecosystems. Escalating trade restrictions, tariff increases or supply-chain disruptions between the United States and China could adversely affect operating margins, production efficiency and customer demand. Stiff competition can limit growth potential. Competition from companies such as Amphenol APH and Ciena Corporation CIEN may increase pressure on pricing.Corning's growing AI infrastructure exposure enhances growth but increases reliance on a small number of large customers. In second-quarter 2026, contract liabilities totaled $2.7B and included a $1B customer deposit tied to a long-term AI infrastructure supply agreement, highlighting concentration risk even as it supports near-term visibility. Corning shares have gained 104% in the past year compared with the communications components industry’s growth of 157.1%. The stock has outperformed the S&P 500 indexduring this period. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research It has underperformed its competitor, Ciena, but outperformed Amphenol. Ciena has gained 179.1%, while Amphenol has declined 28.4%. From a valuation standpoint, GLW is currently trading at a premium compared with the industry. Going by the price/earnings ratio, the company’s shares currently trade at 36.51 forward 12-month earnings, higher than 35.16 for the industry. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Growing exposure to AI infrastructure and expanding optical content per AI system are major growth drivers for Corning. Focus on product diversification and exposure to various markets such as solar, automotive and display boost resiliency in the business model. Strong demand for Gorilla Glass is a positive. However, weakness in the smartphone market, high customer concentration risks and growing geopolitical volatility remain major concerns. With a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), Corning seems to offer a balanced investment outlook, suggesting that investors may want to exercise caution when considering the stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Corning Incorporated (GLW) : Free Stock Analysis Report Ciena Corporation (CIEN) : Free Stock Analysis Report Amphenol Corporation (APH) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research
TranscriptFY2026 Q32026-09-03FY2026 Q3 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 115 paragraphs
FY2026 Q3 earnings call transcript
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Ciena Fiscal Q3 2026 Financial Results Call. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. I will now hand the conference over to Gregg Lampf, Vice President, Investor Relations. Greg, please go ahead.
Thank you, Jennifer. Good morning, and welcome to Ciena's 2026 Fiscal Third Quarter Conference Call. On the call today is Gary Smith, President and CEO, and Marc Graff, CFO. Scott McFeely, Executive Advisor, is also with us for Q&A. In addition to this call and the press release, we've posted to the investors section of our website an accompanying investor presentation that reflects this discussion, as well as certain highlighted items from the quarter. Our comments today speak to our recent performance, our views on current market dynamics and drivers of our business, as well as a discussion of our financial outlook. Today's discussion includes certain adjusted or non-GAAP measures of Ciena's results of operations. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to our GAAP results is included in today's release. Before turning the call over to Gary, I'll remind you that during this call we'll be making certain forward-looking statements.
Such statements, including our quarterly and annual guidance, commentary on market dynamics, and discussion of opportunities and strategy are based on current expectations, forecasts, and assumptions regarding the company and its markets, which include risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the statements discussed today. Assumptions relating to our outlook, whether mentioned on this call or included in the investor presentation that we posted earlier today, are an important part of such forward-looking statements, and we encourage you to consider them. Our forward-looking statements should also be viewed in the context of the risk factors detailed in our most recent 10-K and our forthcoming 10-Q. Ciena assumes no obligation to update the information discussed in this conference call, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
As always, we'll allow for as much Q&A as possible today, though we ask that you limit yourselves to one question and one follow-up. I'll hand the call over to Gary.
Thanks, Gregg, and good morning, everybody. Today, we reported record financial results across the board. We demonstrated outstanding third quarter performance, including revenues of $1.7 billion, another quarterly record, and up 37% year-on-year. Adjusted operating margin of 22.5%, exceeding guidance, was more than doubling year-on-year and the highest ever achieved for the company. Our adjusted earnings per share are up 215% year-on-year to a record $2.11. We delivered results in the context of an extraordinary industry demand environment that continues to accelerate. We continue to see strong momentum in customer demand and order flow with a Q3 book-to-bill ratio that was significantly greater than one, which resulted in a substantial quarterly increase in our backlog. We also expect backlog to grow at an even greater rate in Q4.
In fact, just one month into this quarter, we are approaching a level of orders booked equal to the entirety of Q3. As a result, we are currently projecting to exit fiscal 2026 with over $10 billion in backlog. Overall, our outstanding Q3 performance reflects Ciena's essential role in the fundamental re-architecting of network infrastructure. Looking at these industry dynamics, I would remind everybody that we remain in the very early stages of a multiyear, highly durable network investment era. This is springboarding and caused by the large and growing investments in data center infrastructure. AI is starting to build on the previous eras of communications, including those driven first by the internet and then by the cloud. It is doing so at a massive scale. As a result, AI is currently driving and will continue to drive significant increases in both bandwidth connectivity demand and network traffic growth.
In that context, high speed, low latency optical connectivity has become a critical enabler to not only operationalizing the AI driven investments in the network and the data center, but also monetizing those investments over time. Because of the increasing demands for higher capacity, faster speed, greater density, improved reliability, reduced space, and lower power and cost, optics have become the indispensable element for next generation AI architectures. This is manifesting across all three of our primary markets. First, you call it the traditional network or the wide area network, the WAN, encompasses the network backbone, network edge, and network operations. It includes optical connectivity for long haul subsea metro regional applications that people are familiar with. It is also being impacted by AI in a number of ways.
From challenges of fiber availability in the backbone to quality of service demands at the edge, to the requirements of automation to address the increasing complexity of network operations. Second is a market that we are referring to as AI WAN. It includes both data center interconnect or DCI for the WAN backbone and scale across, currently used for distributed training across data centers and subsequently to be used for inferencing. Here, the fundamental challenges are related to power caused by the increasing GPU compute capacity and energy load required to train large language models at scale, and the high volume, low price demands of deploying modems at much greater scale. The third is, of course, the data center themselves, which includes the fabric connectivity domains of scale up and scale out, as well as data center operations.
As AI continues to drive up the data rates and bandwidth requirements inside the data center, new optical technologies and applications are required to provide the needed improvements in capacity and density for short reach, low power connections. Given the acceleration and projected increase in the compounding waves of spend on network infrastructure across these markets, we continue to believe that the total addressable market for our business will effectively double over the next three years, growing from approximately $25 billion today to approximately $50 billion by 2029. Moreover, given our growing competitive advantages, we expect our share of that TAM to continue to increase over that timeframe. More specifically, Ciena's long-established technology leadership in optical networking positions us to capture a growing share of wallet as optical connectivity expands its role throughout the WAN and inside the data center.
Across generations of coherent technology, Ciena's first-to-market benchmarks have set the bar for the industry and continue to do so. Ciena was the first to commercialize coherent optics decades ago, and we continue to lead the industry in optical innovation, backed by very focused R&D, deep expertise, and proven deployment at scale. Moving forward, performance gains will increasingly depend on precisely these capabilities. Because of our leadership position and value proposition, we've developed a high degree of competitive differentiation across our portfolio. With the clearest proof being the customer adoption that we're seeing across our portfolio in each of the primary market segments. Starting with both the traditional WAN market, as I outlined, and the AI WAN. Today's market dynamics are driving higher adoption rates for our WaveLogic 6 Extreme platform, which after 18 months is still the only 1.6 Tb high performance modem on the market today.
Notably, its ramp has already exceeded that of our prior generation WaveLogic 5 Extreme. Separately, customer adoption and scaling of our intelligent line systems remains exceptionally strong. RLS is basically the industry standard in disaggregated optical line systems, where Ciena's first-mover advantage has driven a leading installed base, where roughly we have 70% market share. In addition to serving cloud providers and service providers in the network backbone and cloud providers for DCI in the AI WAN, RLS is the industry's first system deployed for scale across applications. The next generation of RLS, Hyper-Rail, is our second generation of RLS and represents our sixth generation of photonic line systems leadership. Co-created with the hyperscalers, it dramatically increases the density of existing optical amplifier infrastructure, and as such, is purpose-built to address the needs to distribute AI training workloads in data centers across greater distances.
With customer orders ramping, we remain on track for initial customer standardization for RLS Hyper-Rail by the end of 2026 and scaling to material revenue as we move throughout 2027. Turning to our interconnects portfolio, we're applying our optical leadership to a growing portfolio of connectivity solutions that address surging bandwidth demands inside and around the data center and the performance limitations, of course, of today's short-reach technologies. Starting with our WaveLogic 5 Nano pluggable optics, we are seeing strong market adoption as we continue to ramp into production volume. In fact, in Q3, we shipped more than twice the volume of 800 ZR plugs than in the previous quarter. In addition, during the quarter, we made strong progress with the components portion of our interconnects portfolio. We are seeing strong market receptivity to Nitro, our linear redriver for active copper cable solutions.
I am pleased to report that we received sample orders from several anchor customers in the ecosystem for Vesta, our open co-packaged optical or CPX solution. This represents another important step towards the commercialization of our open ecosystem approach towards short-reach data center optics. We believe this is gaining meaningful industry momentum, most importantly, with potential customers. As any new growth sector, our CPX business will continue to strengthen over time, with revenue expected to begin in 2027 and ramping into 2028. Finally, it is worth noting that last quarter we announced a significant win with a major hyperscaler that integrates our WaveLogic 6 Extreme coherent technology into their own platform. This solution goes well beyond the modem and combines our DSP, drivers, TIAs, and coherent expertise into a complete module that will be deployed broadly across the customer's global optical network via their own optical platform.
I think this win demonstrates our ability to deliver for our customers across multiple consumption models with our best-in-class portfolio, and this represents a significant takeaway from a component competitor. At the highest level, the current and future waves of AI-driven demands on bandwidth and network traffic will require industry-leading, high-speed optical connectivity. We remain focused on managing the business with this long-term view, supported by durable demand, a broad set of co-creation opportunities and customer design wins, robust orders, and a backlog that extends well into fiscal 2028. Looking forward, the strength of our market position and the breadth of our portfolio provide us with growing confidence and visibility into a multi-year runway of growth, operating leverage, and increasing profitability. As a result, and to add to this level of confidence, we recently secured a significant increase in customer commitments that extend through 2029.
At the same time, as Marc will discuss in a few moments, we have also secured incremental supply capacity for critical optical components to service that multi-year demand. In summary, Ciena's unmatched combination of leading optical technologies, incumbency, portfolio breadth, and deep expertise across systems, components, software, and services gives us a powerful and sustainable competitive advantage. Really as the only pure play optical systems and interconnects vendor operating at scale, we are uniquely positioned to convert AI-driven demand into durable top-line growth with increasing operating leverage and earnings power over multiple years, delivering differentiated value for our customers and our shareholders. With that, I will hand the call over to Marc for an update on our financials and our outlooks.
Thank you, Gary, and good morning, everyone. As Gary just discussed, our focus is on delivering strong financial performance while ensuring security of supply and manufacturing capacity necessary to support the significant multi-year demand in front of us. Within that context, we continue to make excellent progress against our three financial priorities. First, let me discuss our progress on gross margin. We achieved 46.4% adjusted gross margin this quarter, which was positively impacted by the treatment of tariff refunds by about 70 basis points. Even without the tariff impact, gross margin achieved the top end of guidance, reflecting disciplined at-cost execution, favorable mix, and pricing discipline. Our midterm goal was to structurally position the company to achieve mid-40s gross margins. With our results over the past several quarters, we are confident that we have reset our margin baseline to this mid-40s goal.
As we've said over the past year, the mid-40s goal was a waypoint, not the final destination. We have the cost structure and leadership portfolio to expand gross margins further over the next few years. Second, as we balance the investments to support the growth of our business, working capital remains a focus. While our cash conversion has taken a step back quarter-on-quarter, the overall trend is positive relative to the year-ago results. We've invested working capital to support slightly higher inventory levels and to increase revenue through the quarter. Even with these investments, we've generated $116 million in free cash flow. Third is capital allocation. We continue to take meaningful steps to improve the operational and financial efficiency of the business. Our June convertible debt issuance achieved two specific goals.
First, it lowered our cost of capital with a five-year zero coupon instrument at an economic conversion premium of 114%, from which we retired our 5.5% interest term loan. Second, it provided the capital to help secure supply over the next three years. We maintain strategic flexibility as a result and have $2.8 billion in cash and equivalents at the end of Q3. Our capital investments this year have increased capacity sufficient to support RLS, plug, and Waveserver revenue growth all over 60% year to date. Additionally, we continue to return capital to our shareholders in Q3. We repurchased 356,000 shares for an aggregate price of $172 million, reflecting the acceleration associated with the convert deal. Lastly, we expect to be on the high end of our capital expenditure range of $250 million-$275 million. Now let's move to the quarter results in more detail.
As Gary noted in his opening remarks, revenue achieved $1.67 billion at the top end of our guidance, an increase of 37% year-on-year and another quarterly record. Our total combined optical networks revenue, including interconnects, grew over 45% year-on-year, supported by over 55% growth for both our RLS and Waveserver systems. Our interconnects more than doubled year-on-year, while our direct cloud provider revenue grew over 80%. Our in and around the data center percent of revenue has quadrupled year to date, well ahead of our committed 3x growth from the beginning of the year. We had two customers that each contributed more than 10% of revenue. Lastly, we exited Q3 with an $800 million increase in backlog to $8.5 billion. Orders continue to accelerate, as Gary noted.
One month into the quarter, we have booked nearly as much demand as all of Q3 and expect to end the year with more than $10 billion in backlog. As I noted earlier, adjusted gross margin was 46.4%, exceeding the top end of our guidance by 90 basis points and up 450 basis points year-on-year. Q3 adjusted operating expense was $400 million, coming in at the low end of our guide and driving a record adjusted operating margin of 22.5%, 250 basis points over our guide and more than doubling the year ago result. Adjusted EPS reached $2.11, more than triple the year ago figure and achieving a new record level for the company. Now let's move to guidance for the last quarter of the year.
In Q4 2026, we expect to deliver revenue of $1.75 billion ±$50 million, raising the full year midpoint to $6.42 billion, up $120 million from last quarter. With this revenue guide, we expect to increase our market share in the combined optical systems and plug market by about 4 points to approximately 30%. We expect adjusted gross margins of 45% ±50 basis points, bringing the year to a similar range, a raise of 50 basis points from last quarter. Adjusted operating expense will be roughly $415 million ±$10 million, with our annual OpEx at $1.6 billion, slightly down from the June guide.
All told, we expect to drive an adjusted operating margin of approximately 20% ±50 basis points, bringing the full year to between 20% and 21% and exceeding the 20% annual figure for the first time in the company's history. Now let me address the topic of supply more closely. Gary described an unprecedented durable demand environment with backlog now into 2028. To ensure our ability to service this demand, we have taken decisive steps to strengthen our supply security and to increase our output. In recent weeks, we finalized long-term agreements that secure supply of certain key components through 2029, including incremental capacity for those key components that will enable us to support growing customer demand. This extends the investments we have made for this year to drive 35% revenue growth.
We continue to invest upstream to drive security of supply to meet and eventually bring into balance the demand backlog. As a result, we expect to see a reduction in cash from operations in Q4 as investments are dispersed to support these agreements. At the same time, we continue to make progress in the value exchange discussions with our customers. In addition to price discussions, these conversations are increasingly focused on the alignment of various demand terms and conditions with the capacity required to support them. With this ongoing momentum and improved visibility into future demand, we believe it is prudent to provide early direction for fiscal 2027. As we see it today, we expect to deliver another record year with revenue growing a minimum of 30% year-on-year, yielding at least $8.3 billion to $8.4 billion in revenue with supply-driven upsides.
Our investments in capacity and supply allow us to accelerate absolute revenue growth from 2025 to 2026 and now into 2027. At these levels, we expect to again increase our market share in optical systems and plugs in fiscal 2027. We expect gross margins to be at least between 45% and 46%. And we expect to achieve fiscal 2027 adjusted operating margin between 25% and 27%, posting yet another record in profitability and serving as yet another proof point for the earnings potential of Ciena's model. Again, this is our preliminary view of 2027, and we will provide an update when we report our Q4 results in December. In the interim, we look forward to continuing the dialogue in a few weeks' time in Ottawa at our investor forum, the content from which will be posted on our investor website afterwards.
To close out, Q3 was a testament to the strength of Ciena's technology leadership, customer engagements, and supply resiliency in the face of unprecedented multi-year demand. The execution of our business model has driven an acceleration of our earnings in Q3, in 2026, and we now believe into 2027 and beyond. With that, operator, we will now take questions from our sell-side analysts.
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of George Notter with Wolfe Research. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hi, guys. Thanks very much for the question and congrats on the terrific results here. I guess I wanted to start just by, you mentioned value exchange on the call. Certainly, I think you mentioned prices as well as alignment of demand terms and conditions. Could you just talk a little bit more about what is going on there? Any sense for what price increases might look like? Any sense for what terms and conditions might be looking like in terms of the context of value exchange? Thanks.
Yeah. Hey, George. It is Marc. Thanks for the question. I will take it in two parts. On the pricing piece, we have had conversations with customers across different product lines, and we have gotten to a space where we would expect, depending on the customer and the product line, anywhere between high single digits types of price increases to something in the range of high teens, low 20s type of price increases. What is remarkable, and I think you will appreciate this, George, is some of that will selectively hit backlog. I think we have made really good progress there. The second pillar in terms of conditions is really a two-way discussion. The first is we are on the hook to make sure that we deliver what we say we are going to deliver. But we expect the reciprocity of that from the customer side as well. We have covered those aspects.
We've talked a little bit about payment terms. We've talked a little bit about fill rates and things like that. We're trying to make it a pretty holistic conversation in terms of that value exchange, and not just have a conversation about price. Because just like we're looking for supply security, our customers are looking for supply security from us as well. It's something that we feel pretty confident that with the supply agreements that we can fulfill.
Got it. Super. I know that there were some price increases, I think, earlier in the year, last year, just around tariffs. Is that something that's flowing into the model now? I know that in the past you were not repricing backlog, certainly. Is that something that's helping the gross margin now? Any sense there? Thanks.
Yeah. Again, this is Marc again, George. It's relatively neutral. We're not putting margin on top of tariffs, right? If we get 10 bucks of tariffs, we pass on that 10 bucks of tariffs. What we saw in Q3 was kind of a one-time accounting adjustment for those tariff refunds that we don't expect to continue moving forward, and that gave us about 70 basis points of uplift. But moving forward, I would say the tariff impact, again, under today's current regime, is relatively neutral. We're monitoring pretty closely some of the impacts that are coming out of the new Canadian tariff regime that could have an impact of, call it, $10-ish million a quarter. But again, we're still trying to work through the mitigation actions that we've got associated with that.
Super. I'll pass it on. Thanks a lot, guys.
Yep. Thanks, George.
Your next question comes from the line of Tal Liani with Bank of America. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hello. Good morning. Gary, if I told you three years ago that you are going to grow 30%. Can you hear me?
Yes, I can hear you loud and clear, Tal.
Yeah. Perfect. If I told you three years ago you are going to grow 30% with 26% margin, you would have asked to drink the same thing I am drinking. The question I have is about backlog. Your backlog is doubling this year. It grows even faster than revenues. Your revenues are growing fast, and it grows even faster than revenues. I am trying to understand the early ordering portion of the backlog, maybe customers are buying ahead just because of supply constraints. It is not a concern. I just want to understand, get understanding of how backlog could behave in 2027. That is the reason for my question.
Okay. I think it is almost entirely just driven by a function of lead times. The demand is absolutely there. Just to just sort of illustrate that, Marc gave an early indication of what we think our guidance is, for the year as just an early directional indication for next year. It would be greater than that if supply was greater. That sort of, I think summarizes it. We have, we think at least a $10 billion backlog as we leave this year. In the midpoint of what Marc was talking about, you are looking at revenues of $8.3 billion, $8.4 billion as a sort of baseline for us for next year. It would be greater than that if we had more supply. The demand is absolutely there. You look at our installation services, they are up 35% for the year.
As soon as we can ship it is installed and carrying traffic.
Yeah. Hey, Tal, maybe I will just add maybe a little bit more context here. If you look back all the way back to 2024, our orders, call that demand, doubled from 2024 to 2025. From 2025 to 2026, we are expecting another 50% increase. As you rightly noted, backlog is doubling across all three of those years. From 2024 to 2025 was a double, from 2025 to 2026 is a double. What we are really constrained with is the industry needs to add a significant amount of capacity to keep up with that demand. We think it is going to be a multi-year journey before we see that supply and demand get back into balance. Multi-year, so we do not see that happening before 2028 at all. I think you will see a very similar constrained dynamic going into 2027 and likely into 2028.
Got it. If I can just ask a follow-up, any color on customer composition, meaning hyperscalers, I understand. What about smaller hyperscalers? Meaning, neo clouds and new hyperscalers like Oracle. Without names of customers, but can you discuss your ability to grow the customer list over time, and where is the demand?
You want me to take them on that, Tal? About 50% of our business is now hyperscalers directly. But increasingly, I think to your point, we're seeing this sort of neo scalers, umbrella of neo scalers, which covers a multitude of different business models, et cetera. We are very focused on that space. They are leaning very much into networking now, and they are securing networks on MOFN deals. They're beginning to put their own fiber in when they can get it, and we are taking more than our fair share of that market as it grows. We are very focused on addressing that market, both in the U.S. and globally. We're seeing that in certain parts of the world where these neo scalers are investing in the networking.
I think as we go through 2027 and 2028, that will become an increasingly important part of our business.
Got it. Thank you.
Thanks, Tal.
Your next question comes from the line of Meta Marshall with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks. A couple of questions. Maybe just following up on George's question, just in terms of some of these new arrangements that you guys are having with, or discussions that you're having with customers. Are some of those pricing adjustments dependent on timeline of delivery? Like, in terms of, if you can deliver six months earlier, you can capture high single digits versus a mid-single digit price adjustment. Just trying to get a sense of whether there's any kind of escalators in there. Then second question, just as you guys look to assure more supply, have you qualified additional suppliers at this point, or is this largely reaching long-term agreements with existing suppliers? Thanks.
Yeah. Thanks, Meta. It's Marc. So on your first question, in terms of escalators, we really haven't built those in. The price increases that we've talked about aren't necessarily performance-based per se. They will cut in as more and more backlog from those orders becomes a bigger part of our revenue. So I wouldn't say that it's performance related. Once we agree to those price increases, it's really around when we deliver it, they'll pay for it. In terms of qualifying new suppliers, yes, that is part of our supply resiliency strategy that we're driving. We've got our typical providers that are in this table that you know of very well, but we are looking at expanding both the types, the numbers of suppliers that we have, as well as we're constantly looking at new technologies to satisfy the same type of functionality.
So we are taking both a quantity as well as a technology perspective to our supply chain.
Great. Thanks.
Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Joseph Cardoso with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning, and I will share my congrats as well on the results and guidance here, and thanks for the question. Maybe another backlog question and more on the composition of it. As we think about the portfolio offerings that you guys have and maybe the raw irons in the fire that you guys are trying to address, where are you seeing this strong demand inflection as we are entering the back half of the fiscal year? As a second part to that, it is great to hear that you are seeing visibility now into 2028, but any color you can provide on the weighting of orders coming in for 2027 versus 2028? Essentially just trying to get a better understanding of how much of 2027 is already covered versus what is building for 2028 now. Then I have a follow-up. Thank you.
So the first part of that question, Joe, thank you, is really we are seeing broad demand across the portfolio, and you would say characterized as being line systems, both in terms of the existing RLS and Hyper-Rail. We have a number of new wins for Hyper-Rail that we will begin to ramp up during 2027. So there is a lot of infrastructure going in for that. Think scale across, not entirely, but predominantly, the deployments for that is driving it. Then on the modem side, we shared some of the statistics that you are seeing for WaveLogic 6. We doubled output. It is already, at this point, exceeding 5E in terms of its adoption. I think that again just talks to the need for high speed, distance, for these kinds of applications. So we are seeing it on the modem side, and of course, we are seeing it on the infrastructure of line systems.
We are also seeing that both in terms of MOFN deals globally as well to support this expansion, particularly markets like India and the Middle East, and certain parts of Asia, where the hyperscalers are leaning into provisioning of extension of their networks. Submarine as well, massive build-outs going on across the global submarine market, where we have number one market share in the world. So, we are seeing that across it, Joe. In terms of the profile of the backlog, we have, as you said, we will probably have about $10 billion plus backlog as we go into 2027. We cannot satisfy basically all of the requirements that they would take to deliver all of that in 2027.
Joseph, the vast majority of that $10 billion comes with a customer request date that is actually in 2027, meaning that they would take it if we could give it to them. So to your question, the backlog covers most of the 2027 guide.
No, got it.
Thanks, Joe.
That is exactly what I was getting at with that. So thanks for the color there.
Thanks, Joe.
Your next question comes from the line of Ruben Roy with Stifel. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Yes, thank you. Gary, for the first question, I wanted to maybe drill into the performance optics discussion and the consumption model that, compared to the systems model. Is that a bespoke arrangement with one customer? Are you productizing this consumption model as you go forward? I guess, as you think about that longer term, and how that sits in the interconnect family, if you could talk a little bit about the margin structure, as that consumption model starts to build. Thank you.
Hey, Ruben. It's Scott. First of all, going to ask the question from two different angles, or that's how I heard it anyways. First of all, the performance modem portfolio, with the Extreme family, if you like, WaveLogic 5, and then WaveLogic 6, is obviously a very broadly deployed solution within our systems business. We have a lot of deployments out there on Extreme modems. The specific opportunity you're referring to, though, of taking that and offering it up in a different consumption model is bespoke relationships with individual customers. We have two examples of that today, one that was a recent announcement last quarter. It's certainly something that we don't shy away from. We've made the technology available, and however our customers want to consume it. But in those examples, those are very unique in terms of how those customers want to deploy them.
They're custom development for them. The relationship we have with those customers reflects that.
Okay. Thank you, Scott. As a quick follow-up for Marc, sorry if I missed this, Marc, but with the 25%-27% operating margin guidance for 2027 or first look at 2027, that implies, I think, roughly flat to maybe up a little bit operating expenses. If you could just walk us through sort of the mechanics around operating expense as you look out into fiscal 2027, that would be helpful. Thank you.
Yeah. No problem, Ruben. We haven't really closed in yet. We're in the middle of our annual planning process. But the puts and takes that you should be thinking about is, this year we will spend roughly, call it, $1.6 billion. Keep in mind that $1.6 billion includes a bunch of one-time variable compensation.
That a year ago we were telling you it was going to be about $1.5 billion, we're at $1.6 billion mostly because of that variable comp. We are going to reinvest that one time, so that's when you say it's about flat. All the folks sitting around the table here are looking at $100 million more of investment that they get, regardless of the performance of the company. So we are reinvesting those one-time things. I think you will also see there will be a little bit more investment in some of the activities, particularly around line systems as we continue to grow that business and invest in our interconnect portfolio.
Great. Thank you, Marc.
Yep. You bet, Ruben.
Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Koontz with Needham & Company. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Great. Good morning. Thanks for the question. In light of some of the politics around data center construction and the like, which I know weighs on investor minds a lot and whips a lot of the broader sector around, how do you feel about the pace of catch-up of your WAN projects relative to data center construction? Do you feel like you've got visibility independent of pacing of data centers in that light? Maybe you can comment on that, Gary?
Yeah. No, listen, it's a great topical question. I would say that, as we talk to the hyperscalers and we talk about durability of demand and their long-term view and the rest of it, and getting long-term agreements with them and commitments, so part of that. One of the comments that was made to me was basically that, "If they stopped building data centers tomorrow, Gary, you probably wouldn't notice for two years.
Yeah.
Meaning they've already got these data centers out there and they need connectivity, and they're not going to strand the assets. Secondly, they've got data centers that they must increase the network capacity to. Largely what we've got in backlog here and what we've got visibility to going forward is really the data centers that are already there. Particularly, you've got a lot of international expansion as well, and it's really the refresh of the GPUs in these data centers that are already there that require massive amounts of additional connectivity. Bear in mind, we have a unique insight into this because we've got number one market share in data center connectivity before all of this AI expansion began. So we have got the connection to most of the data centers around the world.
A lot of what we're seeing is the expansion and increasing of that capacity and connectivity to enable the refreshing of the GPUs, et cetera. You've also got all of the inference and agentic stuff in front of us. So, Ryan, certainly for the next couple of years, we think we're largely immune from what may or may not happen with the pacing of new data centers.
That's great. Thank you for that. Maybe as a follow-up, any commentary on the product mix here? As you've seen in the most recent quarter or maybe recent bookings in terms of shift of line systems versus pluggables and transponders. Any commentary there?
Yeah. Maybe I'll jump in, and others can add color, Ryan. As I think through what we've seen, particularly over the last 12 months, I think we've seen our plugs and our line systems, particularly RLS, really grow at much higher than corporate average growth rates, right? I think I mentioned plugs and RLS together as part of our optical piece growing 45%. So you see how that's becoming a bigger piece of the pie. One of the things that, from a margin perspective that we're seeing is as our DCOM solution really starts to increase over the last year, that's really driven a pretty accretive dynamic for us moving forward. We expect that to continue, and then obviously as we add Hyper-Rail, that's going to be another accretive motion for us.
I think what you're seeing is the optical piece of our portfolio really driving a bunch of the growth for the company. Then obviously we've got the DCOM piece, which is shown in route and switch really in the early part of its ramp as well.
I think, Ryan, the dynamic that's been going on since 2024, we're just seeing more and more demand for line systems, meaning more fibers are getting lit. Those are getting lit with coherent optics of all flavors, whether it be plugs or performance optics consumed in Waveserver. All those, to Marc's point, are up well north of the 35% or 37% that we're reporting as a corporate average. That's going to continue, we think, going into the foreseeable future. The DCOM piece is a great adder, but it's a bit lumpy because of the concentration of the customers. So from quarter to quarter, DCOM will come and go, but it's a net new add for us.
That's great. Thanks so much.
Thanks, Ryan.
Your next question comes from the line of Tim Long with Barclays. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Appreciate it. Two for me as well. Maybe first, if we could dig a little deeper into Hyper-Rail. Mentioned it a few times here on the value-add side and ramp. Just update us on, it sounds like a few customers, but where are we in the demand profile, and how quickly could we see the ramp of this product? Just to remind us on the economics versus more the RLS prior generation. Then the follow-up would be on just the pure telco business, maybe ex-MOFN. If you could just talk a little bit about the durability of that business. In the past, that's been a little bit more cyclical, so just curious of the outlook on just the pure telco piece. Thanks.
I will start on Hyper-Rail, Tim, and then others can jump in. We are on track for getting that product to standardization by the end of this calendar year, and you will see the ramp starting in 2027. That ramp in 2027 will be to several hundred million dollars. We are looking at that as a pretty meaningful ramp for us. The backstory on that is it probably could be faster if we could get more components. Obviously, we are working day and night on that. From an economics perspective, relative to RLS, I think the team has done a fantastic job of improving the margins over the last four to eight quarters on RLS to get us to a pretty decent margin profile. Hyper-Rail will be a step function on top of that.
With the size of the ramp and the opportunity that we think that is coming through with Hyper-Rail and the economics of that, it is going to be accretive to the company as a whole once we get into 2027, 2028, 2029. So we are really looking forward to getting Hyper-Rail out there, and I think our customers are placing quite a few orders that is represented in that $10 billion of backlog that we expect at the end of the year.
On service provider growth, it is actually quite difficult to separate it from a lot of the MOFN activity that is going on. We know the MOFN activity is high. I would say there are two things going on with the service provider piece. One, it is growing anyway, because I think there has been under-investment in optical infrastructure in the last five years. You have got the service providers returning to drive out infrastructure for optical infrastructure. You have also got this MOFN piece. You are seeing that phenomenon now, certainly in North America. If you go back about 18 months, it was very much an international phenomenon. Now with training and the rest of it, we are seeing that very much so in North America. That is driving a lot of the, particularly the wholesale market in the U.S. and the wholesale carriers that specialize in that.
We are seeing very strong growth in that space, and we expect that to continue. Markets like India, particularly for MOFN, we are seeing explosive growth in provisioning of MOFN networks for multiple hyperscalers in places like India. Japan, I would also highlight, and then certain parts of the Middle East. So, we expect to see good, steady service provider growth continue over the next few years, irrespective of the MOFN phenomenon.
Thank you very much.
Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Simon Leopold with Raymond James. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Hey, thanks, guys. Jeff Koche in for Simon. I really wanted to ask, first question on the software business. It doesn't really appear like the web scale RLS deployments are a driver here. Is that the right interpretation? Is that because they have their own solutions into that? How do you win the RLS deals if it's not a management platform type play? Thank you. I have a follow-up.
Yeah, Jeff. Scott here.
Can you hear me?
Yeah. Can you hear us back? We can hear you.
Yes. Thanks.
Okay. Your hypothesis that there is less off-box software components in a web scale deal in general, not just an AI deal, is valid. That is a fair statement. However, having said that, to your second question, do not take that comment to mean that the only thing these guys are buying is merchant hardware from us, because the value that they get is much broader than that. Whether it is submarine networks, their existing backbone, their DCI networks or their scale across networks, the statement is true across the piece. They are getting, yes, a hardware platform, but some very sophisticated on-box software capabilities that is embedded into their back office system that has an awful lot of intelligence in it, protection mechanisms, et cetera, to allow them to deliver to their SLAs. They are getting planning tools and deployment tools. They are getting link engineering tools.
They are getting a global across-the-world service capability to turn these things on, pre-position them, pre-configure them, and turn them on. A set of skills that we have developed with them in their relationships for more than a decade now. Just because we are not selling as much off-box software components to service providers, do not conclude therefore it is just a commodity hardware sale. It is far from that.
Great answer. So maybe just with that in mind, can you maybe give a little bit of color on how the gross margins are for that business and maybe how they are changing, maybe even just relative to the average?
You are talking about the software, the off box software?
No, on the RLS. Sorry. For the line systems.
Yeah. As I said previously with Tim, we have seen really good improvements in the RLS gross margins over the last two, three years. I expect that to continue, and those are approaching what I would call the corporate average. As we move into the next generation, Hyper-Rail, the economics get significantly better. Those will be above the current corporate average, and I would expect, with the size of opportunity that we have with Hyper-Rail over the next couple of years, that will be accretive.
Terrific. If I could just do another follow-up on the interconnect business and really just inside the data center. We hear that Google is looking to deploy 2.4 Tb coherent light solution for GPUs. Maybe talk about, are you in those deals? Are you being evaluated? What is your take there, and what is your take on optical circuit switching? Is that a product that Ciena would explore? Thank you.
Yeah. So a couple things. There's a couple questions there. The coherent moving inside the data center, we said for a long time now that we think that's a trend that is inevitable, and it's going to happen, and we're committed to that. We absolutely believe in the coherent light market. We think the right intercept for that for the general market is at 3.2 Tb. And we think we'll be in great position to be a leader in that market. In terms of OCS, we love OCSs because it is part of the continuation of more optics inside the data center. And it will drive actually the adoption of coherent inside that data center faster than without OCSs in our belief system. So that's all good news.
That's a separate answer to whether or not we're going to jump into the OCS market ourselves, and we're not going to comment on plans, make any product announcements or that on the call today, so.
We're going to move on to one last question.
Your last question comes from the line of Tim Savageaux with Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning, and congrats on the results and especially the guide. That is kind of the focus of my question, which is, along several lines, the case for accelerating revenue growth in fiscal 2027 looks particularly strong. Whether we are talking about anecdotal commentaries, backlog, Hyper-Rail, scale across, which will be my focus on my follow-up. I know you sort of termed this as an initial guide, but I would be interested in your commentary on the prospects for delivering accelerating revenue growth in fiscal 2027. I know you mentioned supply as a constraint, and maybe what things might look like if that constraint were relaxed a bit.
Yeah. Hey, Tim. It is Marc. I think you kind of answered your own question. As we look at it, and you are right, we are early, right? Typically, we would not do this. As we look at the demand or the dynamics that we are seeing in the market, we thought it was prudent to give our owners and the investment community at least some initial thoughts on what we think the floor will be going into 2027. As you rightly pointed out, all of our focus right now is on how do we get more supply to get more of that demand. As Gary said, and Scott said as well, if we could get more demand, we would unwind that $10 billion of backlog faster. Right? That 8.3-8.4 that we talked about as the floor, would be higher.
From an absolute dollar terms, we think we are accelerating the growth from 2024 to 2025 to 2026, and into 2027, excuse me. It is really going to be dependent on that supply. A year ago, when we did this for the first time, we said we thought 2026 would grow 17%, and here we are at 35%. I am not suggesting that my 30% in a year is going to be 60%, right? Because we are in obviously a different supply environment. We want to make sure that we give you guys a floor and make sure that we can achieve at least that number that we give you while we continue to work on supply.
Great. As a quick follow-up on scale across, to what extent is that maybe even the primary driver of growth in 2027? I would be interested in your reaction to some pretty extraordinary comments from suppliers and competitors about dynamics and scale across, I think Cisco talking about 14x the port count versus traditional DCI and some pretty spectacular comments from Lumentum as well. Maybe we can sharpen the focus on the scale across opportunity, how you see that TAM having maybe increased in recent quarters. Thanks again.
Yeah, Tim, I think it's a major driver of demand. We were the first out there with the first scale across piece that came out of the data center, so we've got good visibility to it. I concur with most of the industry comments that's gone on to it. I think it's at, excuse the pun, it is at a massive scale, and it's just beginning. That's the point I would make is we're just beginning to roll out the first connectivity between these data centers. It is almost entirely North American, U.S.-based, and we're just beginning to link the first few data centers for a couple of hyperscalers to it, and that's all in front of us. Yeah, it's a massive driver to it. But we're also seeing just a general increase in connectivity around the data centers as well.
The agentic stuff's beginning to flow, particularly on the submarine cables. The inference traffic, we also think is a big step function. It's mainly in front of us. Everywhere you look, basically, Tim, you're looking at compounding waves of applications and traffic growth that will just build on top of each other. Because even the scale across, which is really predominantly now on training, started off with synchronous training, you're going to get asynchronous training as well. You're also going to get large amounts of inference cascading into that as well. Massive amounts of connectivity between these data centers in front of us. We're only just at the early innings of that. We are incredibly well positioned to it, having the leading platform for Hyper-Rail. RLS was an industry standard.
We have about 70% of that market share, and we expect that to continue with Hyper-Rail in this next generation and the leading modem technology. We can basically move bits faster and longer than anybody else in the world, and that's a super valued, critical element that will enable this.
Thanks, Tim, for the question. Thanks, Gary. We look forward to seeing everyone over the next several weeks. We have a very busy schedule. Thanks for your time this morning.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-02GitLab Q2 Earnings Beat on Revenue Growth and Sales Productivity
Zacks
GitLab Q2 Earnings Beat on Revenue Growth and Sales Productivity
GitLab GTLB reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 non-GAAP earnings of 24 cents per share, which remained unchanged year over year and 33.33% above the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Revenues of $286.25 million rose 21.3% year over year and beat the consensus mark by 4.74%.Broad-based strength across new and existing customers supported the quarter. Net annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth accelerated to 42% year over year, while the dollar-based net retention rate was 117%. Subscription, self-managed and SaaS revenues increased 21.5% year over year to $258.31 million. License, self-managed and other revenues rose 20.1% year over year to $27.94 million. GitLab Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | GitLab Inc. Quote SaaS revenues represented 34% of total revenues and increased 36% year over year. Calculated billings grew 24%, while total remaining performance obligations rose 16% to $1.2 billion and current RPO increased 20% to $744.7 million. Customers generating more than $5,000 of ARR reached 11,114, up 8% year over year. Customers with more than $100,000 of ARR increased 17% year over year to 1,571. Ultimate ARR grew roughly 35% and accounted for 59% of total ARR. Eight of GitLab’s 10 largest second-quarter deals purchased Ultimate, while gross retention remained above 90%.GitLab recorded approximately 1,700 first orders, more than double the year-ago level, while first-order net ARR increased 39%. Deals worth at least $500,000 grew more than 150% year over year. Account executive capacity increased about 30%, while productivity per rep improved about 10%. GitLab Flex attracted more than 130 customers with over $20 million in commitments during its first six weeks in market. Paid consumption run rate exceeded $40 million at quarter-end, up from $15 million exiting the first quarter. Management is targeting more than $100 million by fiscal year-end.Duo Agent Platform paid consumption run rate increased roughly 50% sequentially. GitLab Orbit, which entered public beta in June, had more than 2,200 organizations enabled indexing and generated more than 170,000 customer queries. Roughly 80% of query volume came from customers connecting Orbit to external agents. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, non-GAAP gross margin was 86%, down from 90% in the prior year. On a non-GAAP basis, sales and marketing expenses rose 15.8% year over year to $103.82 million, resea…Read full documentShow less
GitLab GTLB reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 non-GAAP earnings of 24 cents per share, which remained unchanged year over year and 33.33% above the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Revenues of $286.25 million rose 21.3% year over year and beat the consensus mark by 4.74%.Broad-based strength across new and existing customers supported the quarter. Net annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth accelerated to 42% year over year, while the dollar-based net retention rate was 117%. Subscription, self-managed and SaaS revenues increased 21.5% year over year to $258.31 million. License, self-managed and other revenues rose 20.1% year over year to $27.94 million. GitLab Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | GitLab Inc. Quote SaaS revenues represented 34% of total revenues and increased 36% year over year. Calculated billings grew 24%, while total remaining performance obligations rose 16% to $1.2 billion and current RPO increased 20% to $744.7 million. Customers generating more than $5,000 of ARR reached 11,114, up 8% year over year. Customers with more than $100,000 of ARR increased 17% year over year to 1,571. Ultimate ARR grew roughly 35% and accounted for 59% of total ARR. Eight of GitLab’s 10 largest second-quarter deals purchased Ultimate, while gross retention remained above 90%.GitLab recorded approximately 1,700 first orders, more than double the year-ago level, while first-order net ARR increased 39%. Deals worth at least $500,000 grew more than 150% year over year. Account executive capacity increased about 30%, while productivity per rep improved about 10%. GitLab Flex attracted more than 130 customers with over $20 million in commitments during its first six weeks in market. Paid consumption run rate exceeded $40 million at quarter-end, up from $15 million exiting the first quarter. Management is targeting more than $100 million by fiscal year-end.Duo Agent Platform paid consumption run rate increased roughly 50% sequentially. GitLab Orbit, which entered public beta in June, had more than 2,200 organizations enabled indexing and generated more than 170,000 customer queries. Roughly 80% of query volume came from customers connecting Orbit to external agents. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, non-GAAP gross margin was 86%, down from 90% in the prior year. On a non-GAAP basis, sales and marketing expenses rose 15.8% year over year to $103.82 million, research and development costs increased 24.6% year over year to $65.17 million, and general and administrative expenses advanced 19.1% year over year to $36.00 million.Non-GAAP operating income increased 7.6% year over year to $42.57 million. However, the corresponding operating margin was 15%, down from 17% in the year-ago quarter. As of July 31, 2026, cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments were $1.26 billion compared with $1.36 billion as of April 30, 2026.Operating cash outflow was $3.09 million compared with operating cash flow of $49.37 million in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted free cash flow declined to $9.75 million from $46.45 million.The company repurchased approximately 3.5 million shares during the quarter and had about $245 million remaining under its current authorization. For the third quarter of fiscal 2027, GitLab expects revenues of $281-$283 million, implying 15%-16% year-over-year growth. Non-GAAP operating income is projected to be $35-$37 million, while non-GAAP earnings are expected to be between 19 cents and 20 cents per share.For fiscal 2027, revenues are now projected to be $1.129-$1.133 billion, representing 18-19% growth. Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be $148-$152 million, and earnings are likely to be between 85 cents and 87 cents per share. The outlook assumes a normalized bookings pace, modest Duo Agent Platform revenue contribution and excludes the potential revenue-timing impact of Flex. Management estimates a maximum $13 million fiscal 2027 revenue-timing impact from Flex adoption. GitLab currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).Some better-ranked stocks in the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector include Ciena CIEN, Docusign DOCU and Micron Technology MU. Each stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 (Strong Buy) Rank stocks here.Ciena shares have surged 268.4% in the year-to-date period. Ciena is set to report third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on Sept. 3.Shares of Docusign have plunged 13.3% year to date. Docusign is set to report second-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Sept. 3.Shares of Micron Technology have rallied 129.9% year to date. Micron Technology is slated to report fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results on Sept. 30. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report GitLab Inc. (GTLB) : Free Stock Analysis Report Ciena Corporation (CIEN) : Free Stock Analysis Report Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) : Free Stock Analysis Report Docusign Inc. (DOCU) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-02Jobs Report, Broadcom Earnings: What to Watch the Rest of the Week
The Wall Street Journal
Jobs Report, Broadcom Earnings: What to Watch the Rest of the Week
Today Earnings (a.m.): Brown-Forman, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Earnings (p.m.): Broadcom, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Snowflake, Five Below Economic data: ADP national employment report (August), July durable-goods and factory orders, Federal Reserve Beige Book, EIA weekly petroleum status report Central banks: Bank of Canada interest rate announcement Tomorrow Fed speakers: Fed governor Christopher Waller.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-09-01Ciena's Next Earnings Report on September 3 Could Send the Stock Soaring. Here's Why.
Motley Fool
Ciena's Next Earnings Report on September 3 Could Send the Stock Soaring. Here's Why.
Thursday is going to be an important day for Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) investors, as it's when their company unveils a fresh quarterly earnings report. Not for the first time, hopes are high for the tech hardware maker. It's one of the better-known equipment suppliers helping to feed the feverish build-out of artificial intelligence (AI) compute. As such, analysts are -- again -- predicting extremely robust growth. Ciena has a recent history of not only hitting that mark but also beating the consensus estimates of those prognosticators. This, however, didn't help its stock rise after the previous earnings report. Here's what might get the shares to defy gravity this time around. Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue » Image source: The Motley Fool. Ciena is scheduled to publish its fiscal 2026 third-quarter results and host a conference call to discuss them before market open on Thursday. It'll be broadcasting to an investment community that continues to expect much from the company. The consensus analyst revenue estimate for the quarter is $1.64 billion. That's a robust 34% above the same period of 2025, although it sits at nearly the midpoint of the company's guidance range of almost $1.58 billion to nearly $1.68 billion. A higher bar for Ciena to clear will be net income not in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (non-GAAP, or adjusted). This is expected to soar by 158% -- wow! -- to $1.73 per share. The company hasn't provided guidance for this metric. Ciena is quite the grizzled veteran in the optical networking components niche. The current boom in its business is driven by products that enable extremely high-speed data transfers, which are crucial for resource-intensive AI capabilities. That explains the rosy third-quarter projections from both analysts and company management. Yet the gap between revenue and adjusted profitability growth is striking. This is based on recent history; Ciena has done an effective job of designing increasingly more cost-effective products. It's also enacted strategic price increases from time to time, which isn't a challenge in such a demand-heavy environment. Another factor at wo…Read full documentShow less
Thursday is going to be an important day for Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) investors, as it's when their company unveils a fresh quarterly earnings report. Not for the first time, hopes are high for the tech hardware maker. It's one of the better-known equipment suppliers helping to feed the feverish build-out of artificial intelligence (AI) compute. As such, analysts are -- again -- predicting extremely robust growth. Ciena has a recent history of not only hitting that mark but also beating the consensus estimates of those prognosticators. This, however, didn't help its stock rise after the previous earnings report. Here's what might get the shares to defy gravity this time around. Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue » Image source: The Motley Fool. Ciena is scheduled to publish its fiscal 2026 third-quarter results and host a conference call to discuss them before market open on Thursday. It'll be broadcasting to an investment community that continues to expect much from the company. The consensus analyst revenue estimate for the quarter is $1.64 billion. That's a robust 34% above the same period of 2025, although it sits at nearly the midpoint of the company's guidance range of almost $1.58 billion to nearly $1.68 billion. A higher bar for Ciena to clear will be net income not in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (non-GAAP, or adjusted). This is expected to soar by 158% -- wow! -- to $1.73 per share. The company hasn't provided guidance for this metric. Ciena is quite the grizzled veteran in the optical networking components niche. The current boom in its business is driven by products that enable extremely high-speed data transfers, which are crucial for resource-intensive AI capabilities. That explains the rosy third-quarter projections from both analysts and company management. Yet the gap between revenue and adjusted profitability growth is striking. This is based on recent history; Ciena has done an effective job of designing increasingly more cost-effective products. It's also enacted strategic price increases from time to time, which isn't a challenge in such a demand-heavy environment. Another factor at work is Ciena's shift toward more state-of-the-art, premium products with relatively high price tags. The company's GAAP gross margins tell the tale. Over the past five quarters, they've risen steadily but surely, from 40.2% in the second frame of fiscal 2025 to 44% in the same period of 2026. I need to emphasize that after Ciena reported its latest earnings (for the fiscal second quarter) in early June, it was hit by an aggressive sell-off by investors. Its stock still hasn't come close to recovering from this. That's usually not what happens when a company posts a beat-and-raise quarter marked by skyrocketing growth in core fundamentals. To me, that sharply negative reaction was due to two factors. One was the extreme run-up in the company's shares, which had risen 165% year-to-date as of the day before the earnings release. At that point, it became clear to many that the company was a star pick-and-shovel play on the AI revolution. Investor expectations, then, were sky-high, to the point that only an absolute blowout of a quarter would have sustained that momentum. Major factor No. 2 was the performance of Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), a bellwether for AI adoption (as it's the top designer of custom AI chips favored by many prominent developers). Broadcom reported its own fiscal second-quarter figures a mere two days before Ciena, and the dynamic was similar. A sustained stock rally had left Broadcom richly priced, and despite record results, powerful growth, and meaty margins its stock tumbled. In retrospect, nothing short of a real stunner on the upside was likely to push it higher. So the good news for Ciena is that the pressure has eased since those peak share price days (and I mean that, as its equity hit a more than 25-year high before the offending second-quarter release). At this point, folks are looking for good reasons to believe in the stock again. I think the company will deliver. After all, it notched earnings beats on lofty analyst estimates in all four of its trailing quarters. And it's not like demand for crucial AI components is fading at all; in fact, the opposite is true. I believe many investors will be looking for yet another raise in guidance, either of the quarterly or (preferably) the annual variety. This has become habitual, too, and the stock might sink if this doesn't occur. I'm cautiously optimistic here. I think investors won't be as demanding of Ciena as they were in the run-up to the second-quarter print, and its shares will see a lift. However, the company will have to post yet another impressive performance; no matter how strong a business or how favorable its environment, that's never an easy accomplishment. Before you buy stock in Ciena, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Ciena wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut are built for long-term growth and could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $437,097!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,355,077!* That performance is why people listen. With a track record of beating the S&P 500 by nearly 5x, Stock Advisor offers a distinct advantage. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built for the long haul. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of September 1, 2026. Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Broadcom and Ciena. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Ciena's Next Earnings Report on September 3 Could Send the Stock Soaring. Here's Why. was originally published by The Motley Fool
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-31Morgan Stanley sees key catalyst in vital tech stock before earnings
TheStreet
Morgan Stanley sees key catalyst in vital tech stock before earnings
Most investors have never heard of Ciena. Most investors also don’t know what actually powers the Internet’s massive highway system. Ciena builds the engines that drive it. And right now, the world needs more of them than it can get. The 34-year-old Hanover, Maryland, company makes high-speed optical networking equipment. Those are the specialized hardware and software that shoot data across long distances at the speed of light. Telecommunications companies, cloud giants, and governments all depend on them. And with AI data centers multiplying faster than power grids can handle them, the demand for Ciena’s technology is accelerating in ways that weren’t fully visible even 18 months ago. Ciena reports fiscal Q3 2026 results on Sept. 3. Morgan Stanley shared a preview note laying out exactly what to watch and why the results might be more important than the headline numbers suggest. The firm maintains an Equal-Weight rating with a $490 price target, according to a note shared with TheStreet. That’s not a ringing buy call. But it’s a constructive setup heading into a print the firm explicitly describes as having “positive catalysts.” Also Read: Ciena Corporation Latest News and Stories Here’s the dynamic at the centre of the Ciena story, and it’s worth understanding before the Sept. 3 numbers land. Ciena is not supply-constrained because demand is weak. It’s supply-constrained because demand is outrunning its ability to source optical components, particularly pump lasers, which are critical to its networking hardware. Lumentum (LITE) is one of Ciena’s key suppliers, and LITE reported pump-laser shipments up more than 80% year over year last quarter, with plans to increase volumes roughly fourfold over the coming quarters, according to the Morgan Stanley note. New long-term agreements between suppliers and Ciena should improve supply visibility, but not in time to meaningfully impact Q3. More AI: Nvidia just made a move Wall Street wasn’t ready for Microsoft just took sides in AI policy fight OpenAI just disclosed something genuinely alarming What that means for you as an investor is that the revenue number matters less than the backlog number. Backlog represents orders Ciena has won but can’t yet ship due to component constraints. In Q2, backlog grew by $600 million. Morgan Stanley expects Q3 backlog growth to exceed that figure, according to the note. If it do…Read full documentShow less
Most investors have never heard of Ciena. Most investors also don’t know what actually powers the Internet’s massive highway system. Ciena builds the engines that drive it. And right now, the world needs more of them than it can get. The 34-year-old Hanover, Maryland, company makes high-speed optical networking equipment. Those are the specialized hardware and software that shoot data across long distances at the speed of light. Telecommunications companies, cloud giants, and governments all depend on them. And with AI data centers multiplying faster than power grids can handle them, the demand for Ciena’s technology is accelerating in ways that weren’t fully visible even 18 months ago. Ciena reports fiscal Q3 2026 results on Sept. 3. Morgan Stanley shared a preview note laying out exactly what to watch and why the results might be more important than the headline numbers suggest. The firm maintains an Equal-Weight rating with a $490 price target, according to a note shared with TheStreet. That’s not a ringing buy call. But it’s a constructive setup heading into a print the firm explicitly describes as having “positive catalysts.” Also Read: Ciena Corporation Latest News and Stories Here’s the dynamic at the centre of the Ciena story, and it’s worth understanding before the Sept. 3 numbers land. Ciena is not supply-constrained because demand is weak. It’s supply-constrained because demand is outrunning its ability to source optical components, particularly pump lasers, which are critical to its networking hardware. Lumentum (LITE) is one of Ciena’s key suppliers, and LITE reported pump-laser shipments up more than 80% year over year last quarter, with plans to increase volumes roughly fourfold over the coming quarters, according to the Morgan Stanley note. New long-term agreements between suppliers and Ciena should improve supply visibility, but not in time to meaningfully impact Q3. More AI: Nvidia just made a move Wall Street wasn’t ready for Microsoft just took sides in AI policy fight OpenAI just disclosed something genuinely alarming What that means for you as an investor is that the revenue number matters less than the backlog number. Backlog represents orders Ciena has won but can’t yet ship due to component constraints. In Q2, backlog grew by $600 million. Morgan Stanley expects Q3 backlog growth to exceed that figure, according to the note. If it does, it would signal that the demand is accelerating even as near-term revenue conversion remains limited. My read is that a backlog beat is the most important signal in this print. It offers an early look at what fiscal 2027 revenue could look like before supply constraints fully normalize. According to Morgan Stanley’s note, its specific Q3 bogeys are approximately $1.69 billion in revenue, a 45.5% gross margin, and a 21% operating margin. A clean print also requires Q4 guidance of approximately $1.73 billion in revenue with similar margin parameters. Here’s the part of the Morgan Stanley thesis that I find most interesting, and most underappreciated by the market. Everyone knows AI data centers require enormous amounts of connectivity. The conventional assumption is that this means building massive centralized campuses. Morgan Stanley’s thematics team is pushing back on that assumption, according to the note. Related: Morgan Stanley resets CIEN stock target after earnings Political opposition and power constraints are rising non-linearly with campus size. The bigger the proposed campus, the harder it becomes to permit and power it. The result, according to the note, is that workloads may increasingly be distributed across smaller, geographically dispersed sites, which then need to be interconnected over long-haul optical networks. That’s exactly what Ciena builds. If the mega-campus model hits structural limits, the scale-across optical networking opportunity doesn’t shrink. It potentially expands. The Nvidia long-haul network build reinforces this thesis. Nvidia’s infrastructure project includes more than 8,000 miles of new fiber across 16 U.S. routes and targets 15,000 new route miles through 2030, according to Morgan Stanley’s note. Ciena is well-positioned to capture equipment orders as those routes are lit. Morgan Stanley estimates the total CIEN opportunity from this build at less than $1 billion over multiple years. That’s roughly one-quarter to one-third the size of Lumentum’s deals with Meta and Microsoft, with initial deployments expected as early as 2027, according to the note. It’s not a near-term catalyst. But it’s a real, named pipeline item that the Street hasn’t fully modeled. Ciena’s most recent quarter, reported June 4, was genuinely impressive. Revenue reached $1.57 billion, up 40% year over year (YoY). Adjusted EPS came in at $1.64, up 290% YoY. The company raised its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $6.3 billion, representing 32% YoY growth at the midpoint. CEO Gary Smith mentioned this in Ciena’s Q2 statement. “Our long-term strategy to be the global leader in high-speed connectivity is tightly aligned to the structural, multi-year opportunities created by AI-driven demand.” Ciena’s own guidance calls for $1.625 billion in revenue, an adjusted gross margin of around 45%, and an operating margin between 19% and 20%. Morgan Stanley’s bogey of $1.69 billion sits above that guidance midpoint. The firm is modeling upside relative to management guidance, according to Ciena’s Q2 statement. CIEN shares were trading at $378.44, down 5.35% on the week ended Aug. 28, but up 61.82% year to date and 286.60% over the past year, according to Yahoo Finance. Morgan Stanley’s $490 target, based on 37x its 2028 EPS estimate of $13.26, implies roughly 29% upside from current levels. The Equal-Weight rating reflects near-term caution on optical sector multiples, not a fundamental concern about the business. The Sept. 3 print gives us the chance to see whether the backlog inflection Morgan Stanley expects actually shows up in the numbers. Related: Morgan Stanley rattles investors with bombshell HP stock verdict This story was originally published by TheStreet on Aug 31, 2026, where it first appeared in the Investing section. Add TheStreet as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

