B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
+56.8% vs current
CHTR
CharterDNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
+14.1% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
-32.3% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-27
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.1
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+60.0
Score
AI commentary
The setup remains a tentative filing-driven monitoring view. Q1 fundamentals were mixed, recent third-party coverage was mildly negative, and the packet has no usable social, options, or short-interest context. The main question is whether mobile and bundling, plus the Cox transaction, can offset continuing internet-line erosion, elevated capex, and leverage sensitivity. Because the available peer candidates are generic same-sector names rather than direct operating comparators, forward evidence is limited and confidence should stay modest.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-27
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; memo remains a monitoring view with limited forward evidence and should not be standard-conviction
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-30catalystQ1 2026 fundamentals were mixed with continued internet pressureMedium impact
First-quarter results showed total revenue down 1.0% to $13.6B, internet customers down 120k in the quarter, residential internet customers down 455k year over year, free cash flow down to $1.37B, and capex up to $2.86B. Mobile growth helped, but the core broadband franchise still looks pressured. [#10-Q-2026-04-24]
2026-12-31eventCox transaction remains the key corporate eventHigh impact
Charter says the Cox Transactions would require $3.5B of cash consideration, another $650M cash payment at closing, issuance of $6.0B of convertible preferred units and about 33.6M common units, while the combined entity assumes about $12.4B of Cox net debt. Closing and financing terms remain a major rerating variable. [#10-Q-2026-04-24]
2026-12-31catalystMobile and bundling remain the offsetting growth leverMedium impact
Mobile service revenue rose 15.1% and mobile lines increased by about 1.7M year over year, suggesting the longer-term thesis depends on bundling and monetization keeping pace with continued internet-line erosion rather than on a return to core subscriber growth. [#10-Q-2026-04-24]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology