B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CFFN
Capitol Federal FinancialBNasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+1Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+8.4
Positive
Company
0.0
Mixed
Macro
+8.7
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-36.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+65.5
Score
AI commentary
Company-source operating evidence is constructive but mixed: margin expanded while sequential profit and efficiency weakened. An October 29 intraday quote at 14:16 UTC was $8.585, about 2.2% above the packet's October 28 $8.40 anchor; this is not a confirmed post-earnings closing return. Consensus providers disagree on whether EPS was in line or a one-cent miss, and no post-print analyst revisions were verified. Sentiment fields without measured coverage should not be interpreted as observed zero readings.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-29
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-06catalystFiscal Q4 earnings reactionMedium impact
Fiscal Q4 EPS was $0.18. StreetInsider reports this was in line with its $0.18 consensus, while Quiver reports a $0.19 estimate; the surprise is therefore not settled across sources. The company reported net interest margin of 2.39%, up eight basis points sequentially, but net income fell to $22.4 million from $23.6 million in Q3. The next-week date is an assessment window, not a company-scheduled event. [#8-K-2026-10-28] [#SEC-8K-2026-10-28] Company release StreetInsider Quiver
2026-11-20eventAuthorized repurchases and November dividendMedium impact
The company said it received Federal Reserve non-objection for an additional $75 million of repurchase authority, to begin after the current plan, and declared a $0.085-per-share dividend payable November 20. Authorization is not a commitment to buy at a particular pace. Company release
2027-09-30catalystCommercial-loan remix versus credit and expense costsMedium impact
Commercial loans grew $468.8 million during fiscal 2026, supporting nine consecutive quarters of net-interest-margin expansion. Continued benefit depends on funding costs, credit quality and operating expenses: fiscal 2026 included a $4 million specific valuation allowance tied to a nonaccrual commercial relationship, and Q4 efficiency worsened to 53.79% from 52.10%. The date is a monitoring horizon, not announced guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-28] Company release
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology