B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CDLR
Cadeler A/SCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Revenue and EBITDA growth, a large FID-backed backlog, fleet expansion and unchanged 2026 guidance support a constructive medium-term operating case. The March equity raise also supports planned vessel investments.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
What can break
Backlog conversion depends on project timing, client decisions, offshore-wind demand and execution.
Momentum
81
Value
58
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $24.50 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $17.50Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $29.47
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d -1.5
Value58 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Backlog conversion depends on project timing, client decisions, offshore-wind demand and execution.
- • Large planned vessel and newbuild capital expenditures may pressure free cash flow and leverage.
- • Q1 utilization declined year over year and net income turned negative as financial expenses increased.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-20
Q1 growth with unchanged 2026 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
+48.9
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
-8.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 81.4 / Value 57.7 / Sentiment 56.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.26B
Beta
0.59
Shares Out
96.49M
P/E (TTM)
5.2
P/S (TTM)
2.64
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-3.32
Rev YoY
+111.8%
EPS YoY
-533.3%
Gross Margin
+57.1%
Op Margin
+45.5%
Net Debt
$1.73B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data