B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CDLR
Cadeler A/SCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-05
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.6
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+56.8
Score
AI commentary
Recent company and market headlines are generally constructive, centered on Q1 revenue and EBITDA growth, backlog visibility, project execution and fleet expansion. However, utilization was lower year over year, net income was negative, and the packet lacks reliable social, options, short-interest and analyst-revision data. The evidence supports monitoring rather than an aggressive bullish stance.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-05
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-20eventQ1 growth with unchanged 2026 guidanceMedium impact
Cadeler reported Q1 2026 revenue of EUR125 million and EBITDA of EUR47 million, while retaining 2026 revenue guidance of EUR854-944 million and EBITDA guidance of EUR420-510 million [#IR-2026-05-20][#SEC-6K-2026-05-20].
2026-09-30catalystFleet integration and project executionHigh impact
Near-term performance depends on converting newly added vessel capacity into contracted days and utilization. Q1 utilization was 47.6% versus 55.3% a year earlier because of vessel transitions, upgrades and dry-docking, although management reported strong underlying activity and new operations-and-maintenance projects [#IR-2026-05-20][#SEC-6K-2026-05-20].
2026-12-31catalystBacklog conversion and expanded fleet capacityHigh impact
Order backlog was EUR2.705 billion at 31 March 2026, with 82% tied to projects whose counterparties had taken final investment decisions. Fleet expansion and contracted-day growth provide meaningful visibility, but execution and vessel-financing requirements remain material [#IR-2026-05-20][#SEC-6K-2026-05-20].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology