B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CDE
Coeur MiningANYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The first full quarter of New Afton and Rainy River helped lift Q2 revenue to $1.1 billion and free cash flow to $388 million. If Canadian mining rates improve and the back-half-weighted plan holds, Coeur could turn its enlarged asset base into sustained cash generation and capital returns.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
What can break
Coeur's Q2 release cited lower realized gold and silver prices and lower grades at three legacy operations; metal-price and grade changes can overwhelm operating improvements. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
8
Value
66
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-10-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $23.23
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d -12.8
Value66 · Δ7d +2.1
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +14.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Coeur's Q2 release cited lower realized gold and silver prices and lower grades at three legacy operations; metal-price and grade changes can overwhelm operating improvements. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
- • New Afton C-Zone and Rainy River underground ramp-ups were slower than Coeur previously assumed; both mines' partial-year guidance was reduced. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
- • Coeur already reduced partial-year guidance for both Canadian mines because their ramp-ups were slower than assumed.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-04
November 4 third-quarter results test the Canadian mine ramp-ups
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
8
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.8
Δ21d
-50.6
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+3.8
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.4
Δ21d
+0.7
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 8.3 / Value 65.6 / Sentiment 66.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$13.83B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
1.03B
P/E (TTM)
27.3
P/S (TTM)
7.02
P/FCF (TTM)
32.41
Rev YoY
+124.5%
EPS YoY
+7.1%
Gross Margin
+37.7%
Op Margin
+35.4%
Net Debt
-$194.64M
Current Ratio
3.65
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data