B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CDE
Coeur MiningCNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-08
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.3
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.3
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-24.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+51.1
Score
AI commentary
News tone is mixed-positive: the company reported record financial results and substantial liquidity, but the earnings setup included a consensus miss, downward pre-print revisions and a guidance adjustment. A third-party earnings page showed CDE at $17.41, up 11.27%, on August 7, but the exact event-window attribution is not independently established; source: https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2026-8-5-coeur-mining-inc-stock/. Social, options, short-interest and employee-score data are unavailable, so they should not be treated as positive evidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-08
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-05eventQ2 2026 results reset expectationsHigh impact
Coeur reported record Q2 revenue of approximately $1.1 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $478 million, operating cash flow of $513 million and free cash flow of $388 million, but updated 2026 guidance for lower prices and adjustments at New Afton and Rainy River. Reported GAAP EPS of $0.12 was below the stored pre-print $0.22 consensus, while revenue was approximately $1.1 billion versus $1.24 billion expected. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-29]
2026-09-30catalystExecution against revised production guidanceMedium impact
Near-term price discovery should focus on delivery against revised 2026 production and cost expectations, particularly for the newly acquired New Afton and Rainy River operations. The guidance reset is a two-sided catalyst: stronger execution can support estimates, while further delays or cost pressure could reverse the post-print strength. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
2026-12-31catalystCash generation and capital returns from the enlarged portfolioHigh impact
The company exited Q2 with approximately $1.1 billion of cash, initiated an enhanced capital-return program, repurchased $121 million of stock through July 31, paid its inaugural dividend and expects record full-year adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.3 billion under updated assumptions. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology