CARG
CarGurusBNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 showed the core marketplace still growing cleanly: revenue was at the midpoint of guidance, adjusted EBITDA beat the high end, paying dealers rose 7% year over year, QARSD rose 8%, and aggressive buybacks continue to shrink share count. If investors conclude the roughly 9% post-print drop already prices in 2026 margin pressure, the setup can improve quickly on any clean Q2 follow-through.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
2026 guidance still calls for 1.5 to 2.5 points of adjusted EBITDA margin compression even after a solid Q1, so execution must stay strong to prevent estimate pressure.
Momentum
78
Value
58
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $41.00 · Bear $30.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $38.07
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +8.7
Value58 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -7.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
78
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.7
Δ21d
+43.2
Value
58
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
47
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.3
Δ21d
-7.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 77.9 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 47.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$3.17B
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
90.19M
P/E (TTM)
26.0
P/S (TTM)
3.90
P/FCF (TTM)
14.36
Rev YoY
+14.8%
EPS YoY
-8.8%
Gross Margin
+88.6%
Op Margin
+19.3%
Net Debt
$315K
Current Ratio
1.50
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology